Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our proprietary AI engine builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Sunday, 27 September 2026 Forecast for: Monday, 28 September 2026 Plan window: Sun 23:00 – Mon 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-09-27

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Today's plans follow three themes: a firm US dollar, backed by a hawkish Fed and high Treasury yields; a firmer yen against the crosses, as intervention risk returns near 160 per dollar; and a weak New Zealand dollar. No high-impact releases are scheduled before the New York close, but ECB President Lagarde speaks at 09:30 New York time. EURUSD, GBPUSD and NZDUSD are oversold, so the plans wait for pullbacks rather than chasing the move.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

EUR ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 09:30 NY (medium impact)
JPY: intervention risk is back in focus after a two-week yen slide took USDJPY close to 160, and the JPY crosses sold off on Friday
USD: a hawkish Fed and high Treasury yields keep the dollar bid; watch EURUSD test the 1.13593 low and GBPUSD test the 1.32047-1.32094 shelf
NZDJPY test of the 88.95 two-week floor, where retail is 82% long

Best Opportunities

USDCAD Bullish

NZDJPY Bearish

GBPUSD Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (263 filled plans), 9% hit the target, 23% hit the stop and 68% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

USDCAD

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:2.13

Expected result +0.12 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.41360 Buy limit

Stop Loss 1.41060 (30.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.42000 (64.0 pips)

Optimal Target 1.42388 (102.8 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.41541 1.42000 1.42388

Support: 1.41330 1.40905 1.40584

Rationale

Five higher closes, an expanding MACD and 80% retail short support buying a shallow dip toward 1.4133, with a 0.56 ATR stop below it. Targets are 1.42, then the 1.42388 pivot.

Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

NZDJPY

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.56

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 89.140 Sell limit

Stop Loss 89.550 (41.0 pips)

Conservative Target 88.500 (64.0 pips)

Optimal Target 88.000 (114.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 89.503 90.072 90.545

Support: 88.962 88.500 88.000

Rationale

This pairs the weakest major against a yen supported by intervention risk near 160, with 82% of retail long. Sell below 89.503 resistance; reaching 88.5 needs a break of the 88.95 floor.

Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

GBPUSD

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.26

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.32510 Sell limit

Stop Loss 1.32840 (33.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.32094 (41.6 pips)

Optimal Target 1.32000 (51.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.32626 1.33484 1.33871

Support: 1.32094 1.32047 1.32000

Rationale

The lower-high sequence is intact, retail is 69% long and the dollar has the broad bid. Sell a retest under Friday's 1.32626 high with a 0.52 ATR stop just beyond it, targeting the 1.32094 shelf and then 1.32.

Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward
USDCAD	Bullish	High	1.41421	1.41360Buy limit	1.41060	1.42000	+0.12R	1:2.13
Forecast Details Confidence High Analysis Price 1.41421 Entry Point 1.41360 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.41060 Conservative Target 1.42000 Risk:Reward 1:2.13 Optimal Target 1.42388 Stop Loss Distance 30.0 pips Target Distance 64.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.41541 1.42000 1.42388 Support: 1.41330 1.40905 1.40584 Rationale Five higher closes, an expanding MACD and 80% retail short support buying a shallow dip toward 1.4133, with a 0.56 ATR stop below it. Targets are 1.42, then the 1.42388 pivot. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Bearish	Medium	1.13914	1.13965Sell limit	1.14240	1.13593	+0.10R	1:1.35
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 1.13914 Entry Point 1.13965 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.14240 Conservative Target 1.13593 Risk:Reward 1:1.35 Optimal Target 1.13500 Stop Loss Distance 27.5 pips Target Distance 37.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.14089 1.14357 1.14777 Support: 1.13774 1.13593 1.13500 Rationale Lower highs, a still-widening MACD and a hawkish-Fed dollar support selling a retest toward 1.14089, with the stop above it, for the 1.13593 low. Confidence is medium and the entry shallow because Lagarde speaks at 09:30 NY. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Bearish	Medium	1.32436	1.32510Sell limit	1.32840	1.32094	+0.10R	1:1.26
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 1.32436 Entry Point 1.32510 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.32840 Conservative Target 1.32094 Risk:Reward 1:1.26 Optimal Target 1.32000 Stop Loss Distance 33.0 pips Target Distance 41.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.32626 1.33484 1.33871 Support: 1.32094 1.32047 1.32000 Rationale The lower-high sequence is intact, retail is 69% long and the dollar has the broad bid. Sell a retest under Friday's 1.32626 high with a 0.52 ATR stop just beyond it, targeting the 1.32094 shelf and then 1.32. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Bullish	Medium	2.01236	2.01100Buy limit	2.00530	2.02000	+0.10R	1:1.58
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 2.01236 Entry Point 2.01100 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 2.00530 Conservative Target 2.02000 Risk:Reward 1:1.58 Optimal Target 2.02000 Stop Loss Distance 57.0 pips Target Distance 90.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 2.01478 2.02000 Support: 2.00766 2.00102 2.00005 Rationale The uptrend has absorbed every dip near 2.00, NZD is the weakest major and retail is 74% short. Buy a shallow pullback with a 0.51 ATR stop below 2.00766, targeting 2.02; confidence is medium because Lagarde speaks at 09:30 NY. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Bearish	Medium	110.468	110.570Sell limit	111.010	110.029	+0.10R	1:1.23
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 110.468 Entry Point 110.570 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 111.010 Conservative Target 110.029 Risk:Reward 1:1.23 Optimal Target 109.671 Stop Loss Distance 44.0 pips Target Distance 54.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 110.804 111.484 112.144 Support: 110.272 110.029 109.671 Rationale Lower highs, low risk appetite and renewed yen intervention risk favour the yen. Sell below 110.804 resistance with the stop just beyond it, targeting 110.029 and then the 109.671 low. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Bearish	High	89.054	89.140Sell limit	89.550	88.500	+0.10R	1:1.56
Forecast Details Confidence High Analysis Price 89.054 Entry Point 89.140 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 89.550 Conservative Target 88.500 Risk:Reward 1:1.56 Optimal Target 88.000 Stop Loss Distance 41.0 pips Target Distance 64.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 89.503 90.072 90.545 Support: 88.962 88.500 88.000 Rationale This pairs the weakest major against a yen supported by intervention risk near 160, with 82% of retail long. Sell below 89.503 resistance; reaching 88.5 needs a break of the 88.95 floor. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Bearish	Medium	0.46910	0.46945Sell limit	0.47100	0.46727	+0.10R	1:1.41
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 0.46910 Entry Point 0.46945 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.47100 Conservative Target 0.46727 Risk:Reward 1:1.41 Optimal Target 0.46500 Stop Loss Distance 15.5 pips Target Distance 21.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.47017 0.47196 0.47377 Support: 0.46824 0.46727 0.46500 Rationale The lower highs keep coming, NZD is broadly weak and retail is 66% long. Sell below 0.47017 resistance with the stop just beyond it, targeting the 0.46727 double low and then 0.465. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Bearish	High	111.211	111.310Sell limit	111.900	110.549	+0.09R	1:1.29
Forecast Details Confidence High Analysis Price 111.211 Entry Point 111.310 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 111.900 Conservative Target 110.549 Risk:Reward 1:1.29 Optimal Target 110.549 Stop Loss Distance 59.0 pips Target Distance 76.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 111.855 112.466 112.930 Support: 111.008 110.803 110.549 Rationale Friday broke the 111.8-112.6 floor, and retail is 75% long against a yen supported by intervention risk. Sell a pullback with the stop above 111.855, targeting the 110.5485 pivot. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	157.289	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 157.289 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 158.048 158.401 159.033 Support: 156.993 156.673 155.874 Rationale A hawkish-Fed dollar pulls one way and renewed yen intervention risk near 160 pulls the other, after Friday's reversal from 158.85. RSI is at 50 and retail at 55/45, so there is no edge. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.82836	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.82836 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.82975 0.83000 Support: 0.82730 0.82289 0.82010 Rationale The uptrend is intact, but the only resistances, 0.82975 and 0.83, sit closer than a 0.5 ATR stop, so no target reaches 1:1. The long-USD theme is already carried by EURUSD, GBPUSD and USDCAD. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.70241	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.70241 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.70411 0.70779 0.71198 Support: 0.70223 0.70044 0.70000 Rationale This duplicates the long-USD plans in EURUSD, GBPUSD and USDCAD. Price is sitting on the 0.70044-0.70 support, so the best reward is only about 1.2R. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.56631	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.56631 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.56768 0.56862 0.57271 Support: 0.56500 0.56000 Rationale The 0.565 shelf is closer than a 0.5 ATR stop, and 0.56 is 1.5 ATR away. The short-NZD and long-USD themes are already carried by NZDJPY, EURNZD, NZDCHF and by EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Neutral	Low	0.86000	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.86000 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.86048 0.86118 Support: 0.85995 0.85914 0.85696 Rationale Price is pressing the 0.86118 range top that rejected Friday, and it is the only 1:1 target, so the edge is barely above baseline. Lagarde at 09:30 NY adds EUR noise. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	179.147	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 179.147 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 179.540 180.848 181.552 Support: 178.962 178.475 177.853 Rationale This duplicates the long-JPY plans in NZDJPY, CADJPY and AUDJPY. Retail at 51/49 offers no edge, and Lagarde speaks at 09:30 NY. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Neutral	Low	0.94363	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.94363 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.94554 0.94767 0.94791 Support: 0.94222 0.94175 0.93973 Rationale The range bounce is backed by 74% retail short, but the MACD sits below its signal and the reward is only about 1.2R, near baseline. Lagarde at 09:30 NY adds event noise. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.62220	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.62220 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.62275 1.62523 1.63383 Support: 1.62002 1.61571 1.61478 Rationale Price is stuck at the 1.6249-1.62523 ceiling of the September box, with balanced retail and no momentum edge. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.61077	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.61077 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.61365 1.61864 1.62484 Support: 1.60792 1.60327 1.60217 Rationale Price is testing the 1.61365 top of a four-week box, and the MACD is flat around zero. Without a breakout close there is no directional edge. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	208.334	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 208.334 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 209.429 210.149 211.283 Support: 208.068 207.871 207.103 Rationale This duplicates the long-JPY plans in NZDJPY, CADJPY and AUDJPY. Only the 207.103 low reaches 1:1 behind the 209.429 stop level. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.09712	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.09712 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.09895 1.10059 1.10667 Support: 1.09387 1.09136 1.08999 Rationale The rebound is in the middle of the range, RSI is on the midline and retail at 45/55 gives no signal. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.88617	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.88617 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.88804 1.89510 1.89713 Support: 1.88561 1.88191 1.87341 Rationale Price is sitting on the 1.88561 pivot inside a month-long range, with mixed momentum and no clean 1:1 setup. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.87356	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.87356 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.87530 1.87854 1.88522 Support: 1.87127 1.86785 1.86475 Rationale The pair is range-bound below the 1.87854 cap with a flat MACD and neutral retail, so neither side is in control. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.33951	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 2.33951 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.34115 2.34897 2.35412 Support: 2.33205 2.32694 2.32450 Rationale This duplicates the short-NZD plans in NZDJPY, EURNZD and NZDCHF, and the pair is consolidating below 2.34897. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	189.789	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 189.789 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 191.063 191.988 192.488 Support: 189.411 189.087 188.464 Rationale This duplicates the long-JPY plans in NZDJPY, CADJPY and AUDJPY. A stop beyond 191.063 needs 0.78 ATR against a first 1:1 target almost 1 ATR away. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58184	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.58184 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58320 0.58583 0.58825 Support: 0.58122 0.57998 0.57910 Rationale The bullish lean has low confidence and the MACD is below its signal. A long would also cut against the AUD short in AUDJPY. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.99317	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.99317 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.99560 0.99786 1.00127 Support: 0.99082 0.98966 0.98198 Rationale The market is directionless inside the 0.989-0.999 range after the failed breakout above parity, and retail gives no signal. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Low	1.23991	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.23991 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.24136 1.24583 1.24910 Support: 1.23772 1.23569 1.22781 Rationale This duplicates the short-NZD plans in NZDJPY, EURNZD and NZDCHF, and the MACD has just slipped under its signal. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.80076	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.80076 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.80275 0.80401 0.80667 Support: 0.79936 0.79823 0.79500 Rationale This duplicates the short-NZD plans in NZDJPY, EURNZD and NZDCHF, and the pair is basing in a range. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58584	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.58584 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58644 0.58805 0.59078 Support: 0.58508 0.58294 0.57862 Rationale The pair is drifting sideways under the 0.58644 pivot with no directional momentum. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	4284.35	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 4284.35 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4314.86 4376.11 4399.70 Support: 4282.77 4244.31 4234.84 Rationale This duplicates the long-USD plans in EURUSD, GBPUSD and USDCAD. The 1:1 target lands in the 4234-4244 zone buyers keep defending, for only about 1.06R. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$7 average per $100 risked

56 of 84 picks filled, over 28 verified days · target hit 18%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

263 plans over 28 verified days · target hit 9%

28 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 56 picks the honest range around the +$7 runs from −$13 to +$28 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 84 picks published, 56 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 17 of the 56 picks lost the full $100, against 35 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 74% of the Top 3 result, and 25 of the 56 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$15 to +$3, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 263 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 25 Sep 2026)

Target hit 9% (24)
Stop hit 23% (60)
Timed out 68% (179)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 134 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

29% Win rate 24 of 84 plans closed at target or stop

-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.09R Timed-out average how those 179 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%

12 of 54 plans

Bearish

40%

12 of 30 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
GBPJPY	67%	2 / 3
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
USDCAD	50%	2 / 4
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
AUDUSD	33%	2 / 6
EURCHF	29%	2 / 7
EURUSD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
NZDUSD	25%	1 / 4
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 3
EURGBP	0%	0 / 3
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the hourly candles confirm it happened after the order filled. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the hourly candles say which one came first — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same hour, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

25 Sep 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $85

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.13830 → 1.13500	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.82720 → 0.83000	Timed out	+0.49R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.94130 → 0.94353	Not filled	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.00640 → 2.01372	Not filled	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	90.130 → 89.498	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80130 → 0.79803	Timed out	-0.03R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4288.00 → 4234.83	Timed out	-0.07R

24 Sep 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $157

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Bearish	1.32480 → 1.32000	Timed out	+0.72R
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.41000 → 1.41500	Timed out	+0.88R
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.00450 → 2.01162	Timed out	+0.98R
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.900 → 89.267	Timed out	-0.05R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4300.00 → 4200.00	Timed out	+0.35R

23 Sep 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $56

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.14545 → 1.14292	Not filled	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.40540 → 1.41289	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.57340 → 0.56942	Not filled	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93970 → 0.93729	Timed out	+0.38R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Bearish	1.09570 → 1.09136	Not filled	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58350 → 0.58583	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDCAD	Bullish	1.00000 → 1.00500	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24130 → 1.24777	Timed out	-0.16R
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.47055 → 0.46799	Not filled	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Bearish	0.58400 → 0.57862	Timed out	-0.41R
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

22 Sep 2026 2 target · 3 stop · 1 timed out $100 → $88

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Bearish	1.33740 → 1.33355	Target hit	+1.20R
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.82060 → 0.82390	Timed out	-0.05R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.40270 → 1.40804	Target hit	+1.14R
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.00400 → 2.01118	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.33550 → 2.34250	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.47010 → 0.46799	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

21 Sep 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $76

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.82180 → 0.82593	Timed out	-0.25R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.39800 → 1.40139	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.57270 → 0.57034	Timed out	+0.48R
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.94440 → 0.94743	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bearish	1.88090 → 1.87548	Not filled	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58540 → 0.58751	Timed out	-0.50R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24410 → 1.25000	Timed out	+0.27R
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80090 → 0.79803	Timed out	-0.47R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels across multiple timeframes.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 16%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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The AI plan of the day on your chart: entry, stop and two targets for every market our AI reads as directional. The Trade Panel runs the whole account from one chart — five-factor signals, orders prefilled from the plan with automatic lot sizing, close-only account protection. The new Chart Panel sits beside each chart you trade: retail positioning, our signal and the AI plan for that market, levels drawn on the chart, stop and target you can drag. Available now: one license, both panels.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

USDCAD

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