| EURGBP |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.84829 |
0.84862Sell limit |
0.85000 |
0.84547 |
+0.10R |
1:2.28 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.84829
Entry Point
0.84862
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.85000
Conservative Target
0.84547
Risk:Reward
1:2.28
Optimal Target
0.84400
Stop Loss Distance
13.8 pips
Target Distance
31.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.84930
0.85079
0.85269
Support:
0.84757
0.84547
0.84400
Rationale
Seven-session downtrend with 79% of retail long, and the euro still carries a fiscal risk premium from French and Spanish spreads; sell under 0.8493 with the stop above it. RSI 27.7 is oversold after an inside day, so the target is a break of 0.84547, not a deep extension.
|
| GBPCAD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.88594 |
1.88480Buy limit |
1.88030 |
1.89118 |
+0.10R |
1:1.42 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.88594
Entry Point
1.88480
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.88030
Conservative Target
1.89118
Risk:Reward
1:1.42
Optimal Target
1.89256
Stop Loss Distance
45.0 pips
Target Distance
63.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.89118
1.89256
1.89527
Support:
1.88272
1.88096
1.87437
Rationale
Rising lows since 23 September with 69% of retail short; buy above the 1.88272 support with the stop beyond 1.88096. The target is the 1.89118 pivot below Tuesday's 1.89256 high.
|
| GBPNZD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
2.35938 |
2.35780Buy limit |
2.35100 |
2.36646 |
+0.10R |
1:1.27 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
2.35938
Entry Point
2.35780
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
2.35100
Conservative Target
2.36646
Risk:Reward
1:1.27
Optimal Target
2.37000
Stop Loss Distance
68.0 pips
Target Distance
86.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.36646
2.37000
2.38000
Support:
2.35423
2.34420
2.33434
Rationale
Persistent uptrend with 75% of retail short and NZD the weakest currency; buy the dip above 2.35423 for a retest of the 2.36646 high. RSI 71 after two stalled sessions argues for a shallow entry and the nearer target.
|
| EURJPY |
Bearish
|
Low
|
178.098 |
178.280Sell limit |
179.400 |
177.029 |
+0.09R |
1:1.12 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
178.098
Entry Point
178.280
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
179.400
Conservative Target
177.029
Risk:Reward
1:1.12
Optimal Target
176.212
Stop Loss Distance
112.0 pips
Target Distance
125.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
178.336
178.572
179.309
Support:
177.839
177.029
176.212
Rationale
Lower highs since 179.309 and euro fiscal stress favour selling the bounce under 178.336, with the stop above the 178.57-179.31 zone sellers must defend. Ueda gave no push toward an October BoJ hike, so yen support is limited and confidence stays low.
|
| NZDJPY |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
88.985 |
89.080Sell limit |
89.580 |
88.329 |
+0.09R |
1:1.50 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
88.985
Entry Point
89.080
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
89.580
Conservative Target
88.329
Risk:Reward
1:1.50
Optimal Target
88.116
Stop Loss Distance
50.0 pips
Target Distance
75.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
89.068
89.511
90.063
Support:
88.329
88.116
88.000
Rationale
Lower highs from 90.542 with 76% of retail long; sell the bounce above 89.068, stop beyond 89.511, targeting the 88.329 base. The risk is a firm equity tone lifting yen crosses, since Ueda gave the yen little support.
|
| NZDCAD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.79933 |
0.80000Sell limit |
0.80260 |
0.79711 |
+0.09R |
1:1.11 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.79933
Entry Point
0.80000
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.80260
Conservative Target
0.79711
Risk:Reward
1:1.11
Optimal Target
0.79504
Stop Loss Distance
26.0 pips
Target Distance
28.9 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.80082
0.80161
0.80394
Support:
0.79815
0.79711
0.79504
Rationale
Descending triangle with highs stepping down to 0.80082 and 74% of retail long; sell the bounce toward that cap with the stop beyond the 0.80233 swing high. The target is Tuesday's 0.79711 low, the first level beyond 1:1.
|
| EURUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.12604 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.12604
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.12767
1.13367
1.13801
Support:
1.12029
1.11612
1.11000
Rationale
FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY (High-impact USD) fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan. The bearish staircase stays the reference after the release, with 1.12767 overhead.
|
| GBPUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.32743 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.32743
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.32853
1.33110
1.33488
Support:
1.32733
1.32040
1.31811
Rationale
FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY (High-impact USD) fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan. Cable is also boxed in a 1.3181-1.3311 range with no bias.
|
| USDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
158.164 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
158.164
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
158.450
159.036
159.777
Support:
158.025
157.441
156.948
Rationale
FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY (High-impact USD) fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan. The uptrend toward 159.036 also nears territory that drew official intervention in the past.
|
| USDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.83197 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.83197
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.83260
0.83615
0.83822
Support:
0.82957
0.82761
0.82272
Rationale
FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY (High-impact USD) fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan. Momentum is also stalling after the 0.83822 rejection.
|
| AUDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.69824 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.69824
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.69898
0.70239
0.70450
Support:
0.69607
0.69220
0.69037
Rationale
FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY (High-impact USD) fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan. The bearish read resumes only on rejection in the 0.70239-0.7045 zone.
|
| USDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.42083 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.42083
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.42610
1.42931
1.43500
Support:
1.42001
1.41543
1.40867
Rationale
FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY (High-impact USD) fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan. Tuesday's largest red body of the run also puts 1.42001 in play.
|
| NZDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.56260 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.56260
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.56279
0.56440
0.56872
Support:
0.55888
0.55798
0.55500
Rationale
FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY (High-impact USD) fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan. Short-NZD exposure is carried by GBPNZD, NZDJPY and NZDCAD instead.
|
| EURCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.93683 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.93683
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.93718
0.93938
0.94105
Support:
0.93108
0.93018
0.92597
Rationale
Low-confidence retest of the broken 0.938 floor after a close at the session high, and the stop beyond 0.93938 leaves the first 1:1 target more than 1.2 ATR away. Short-EUR exposure is carried by EURGBP and EURJPY.
|
| EURAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.61269 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.61269
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.61453
1.62272
1.62518
Support:
1.60807
1.60639
1.60000
Rationale
Range-bound with a flat MACD and only about 1:1.3 to 1.60807, a thin edge. Short-EUR exposure is carried by EURGBP and EURJPY.
|
| EURCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.59982 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.59982
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.60671
1.61027
1.61368
Support:
1.59760
1.59476
1.59000
Rationale
The stop must clear 1.60671, and no support reaches 1:1 before 1.59, over 1.5 ATR away. Short-EUR exposure is carried by EURGBP and EURJPY.
|
| EURNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
2.00152 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
2.00152
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.00399
2.00718
2.01110
Support:
1.99909
1.99363
1.98728
Rationale
Price sits at the midpoint of the 1.993-2.016 range with neutral RSI and no bias. No edge until a close outside the range.
|
| GBPJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
209.949 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
209.949
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
209.993
210.890
211.275
Support:
209.559
208.620
207.866
Rationale
Low-confidence range setup with 61% of retail long. Long-GBP exposure is already carried by EURGBP, GBPNZD and GBPCAD, and a short-yen leg would offset the long-yen plans.
|
| GBPCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.10437 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.10437
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.10445
1.10662
1.11044
Support:
1.09644
1.09110
1.08947
Rationale
Whipsaw range with a flat MACD and balanced retail, so there is no directional edge. Long-GBP exposure is carried by EURGBP, GBPNZD and GBPCAD.
|
| GBPAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.90111 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.90111
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.90311
1.91148
1.91889
Support:
1.90035
1.89388
1.88552
Rationale
Redundant with the long-GBP plans in EURGBP, GBPNZD and GBPCAD. The stop below 1.89388 also leaves the first 1:1 target at 1.91148, over 1.2 ATR away.
|
| AUDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
110.437 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
110.437
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
110.502
110.888
111.441
Support:
109.923
109.666
109.233
Rationale
Recovery without momentum into the 110.5-110.9 breakdown zone, with neutral retail. No edge on either side.
|
| CADJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
111.327 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
111.327
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
111.514
112.586
112.921
Support:
110.798
110.537
110.150
Rationale
Low-confidence fade at the top of the 110.15-111.33 range. Long-yen exposure is carried by EURJPY and NZDJPY, and Ueda's silence on an October hike argues against adding more.
|
| CHFJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
190.108 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
190.108
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
190.493
190.944
192.478
Support:
189.728
189.082
188.455
Rationale
Stalled in a narrow 189.7-190.9 band with undecided momentum. No edge.
|
| AUDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58091 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.58091
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58108
0.58571
0.58825
Support:
0.57875
0.57472
0.57280
Rationale
The failed breakdown supports the long bias, but the first 1:1 level, 0.58571, is about 1.3 ATR away for a thin edge over baseline. Price also closed on the session high under 0.58108.
|
| AUDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.99204 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.99204
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.99256
0.99581
0.99690
Support:
0.99034
0.98982
0.98389
Rationale
Tuesday's long upper wick rejected 0.99581, the first level that reaches 1:1, leaving too thin an edge. The pair has no trend inside the 0.984-1.001 range.
|
| AUDNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.24109 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.24109
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.24367
1.24650
1.24906
Support:
1.24083
1.23565
1.22827
Rationale
Redundant with the short-NZD plans in GBPNZD, NZDJPY and NZDCAD. The MACD is also lagging price under the 1.2465 high.
|
| NZDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.46807 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.46807
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.46776
0.47081
0.47237
Support:
0.46679
0.46399
0.46330
Rationale
Redundant with the short-NZD plans in GBPNZD, NZDJPY and NZDCAD. The stop must clear 0.47081, which puts the 0.46399 target about 1.4 ATR away.
|
| CADCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58559 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.58559
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58638
0.58778
0.58866
Support:
0.58280
0.58152
0.57872
Rationale
Mid-range at the midline with momentum neutral and retail conflicting with the bounce. No edge.
|
| XAUUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
4166.67 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
4166.67
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
4166.08
4226.97
4303.22
Support:
4123.21
4104.62
4019.14
Rationale
FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY (High-impact USD) count for gold, so no directional plan. Price also sits mid-band at the 4166.08 pivot of the 4104-4227 consolidation.
|