Free Morning Sentiment Digest: forex sentiment and new articles, in your inbox before the open. Free morning digest, every weekday.
SUBSCRIBE FREE

Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Tuesday, 06 October 2026 Forecast for: Wednesday, 07 October 2026 Plan window: Tue 23:00 – Wed 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

You are viewing an archived forecast

This is the forex forecast generated for 06 October 2026. View current forecast

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The dollar is firm on multi-decade-high Treasury yields, but the FOMC minutes at 14:00 New York keep today's plans off every USD pair and gold. Today's plans instead express three cross themes: short euro on European fiscal and political risk, short New Zealand dollar as the weakest currency, and long pound. Each theme is limited to two or three of its cleanest crosses, entered on shallow pullbacks, with similar setups left neutral.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

  • USD FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY: all USD pairs and gold stay neutral
  • EUR: fiscal and political risk premium from French and Spanish spreads, despite Tuesday's relief on French deficit steps
  • JPY: Ueda gave little push toward an October BoJ hike, with USDJPY near 158-159 and past intervention territory
  • CNY holiday thins Asian liquidity for AUD and NZD; GBPNZD retest of the 2.36646 high

Best Opportunities

GBPCAD Bullish
GBPNZD Bullish
EURGBP Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (296 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

GBPCAD

Bullish Medium Confidence
R/R 1:1.42

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.88480 Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.88030 (45.0 pips)
Conservative Target 1.89118 (63.8 pips)
Optimal Target 1.89256 (77.6 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.89118 1.89256 1.89527
Support: 1.88272 1.88096 1.87437

Rationale

Rising lows since 23 September with 69% of retail short; buy above the 1.88272 support with the stop beyond 1.88096. The target is the 1.89118 pivot below Tuesday's 1.89256 high.

GBPNZD

Bullish Medium Confidence
R/R 1:1.27

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 2.35780 Buy limit
Stop Loss 2.35100 (68.0 pips)
Conservative Target 2.36646 (86.6 pips)
Optimal Target 2.37000 (122.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.36646 2.37000 2.38000
Support: 2.35423 2.34420 2.33434

Rationale

Persistent uptrend with 75% of retail short and NZD the weakest currency; buy the dip above 2.35423 for a retest of the 2.36646 high. RSI 71 after two stalled sessions argues for a shallow entry and the nearer target.

EURGBP

Bearish Medium Confidence
R/R 1:2.28

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.84862 Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.85000 (13.8 pips)
Conservative Target 0.84547 (31.5 pips)
Optimal Target 0.84400 (46.2 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.84930 0.85079 0.85269
Support: 0.84757 0.84547 0.84400

Rationale

Seven-session downtrend with 79% of retail long, and the euro still carries a fiscal risk premium from French and Spanish spreads; sell under 0.8493 with the stop above it. RSI 27.7 is oversold after an inside day, so the target is a break of 0.84547, not a deep extension.

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair Direction Confidence Analysis Price Entry Stop Loss Target Expected result Risk:Reward

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 0.84829
Entry Point 0.84862
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.85000
Conservative Target 0.84547
Risk:Reward 1:2.28
Optimal Target 0.84400
Stop Loss Distance 13.8 pips
Target Distance 31.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.84930 0.85079 0.85269
Support: 0.84757 0.84547 0.84400

Rationale

Seven-session downtrend with 79% of retail long, and the euro still carries a fiscal risk premium from French and Spanish spreads; sell under 0.8493 with the stop above it. RSI 27.7 is oversold after an inside day, so the target is a break of 0.84547, not a deep extension.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 1.88594
Entry Point 1.88480
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.88030
Conservative Target 1.89118
Risk:Reward 1:1.42
Optimal Target 1.89256
Stop Loss Distance 45.0 pips
Target Distance 63.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.89118 1.89256 1.89527
Support: 1.88272 1.88096 1.87437

Rationale

Rising lows since 23 September with 69% of retail short; buy above the 1.88272 support with the stop beyond 1.88096. The target is the 1.89118 pivot below Tuesday's 1.89256 high.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 2.35938
Entry Point 2.35780
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 2.35100
Conservative Target 2.36646
Risk:Reward 1:1.27
Optimal Target 2.37000
Stop Loss Distance 68.0 pips
Target Distance 86.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.36646 2.37000 2.38000
Support: 2.35423 2.34420 2.33434

Rationale

Persistent uptrend with 75% of retail short and NZD the weakest currency; buy the dip above 2.35423 for a retest of the 2.36646 high. RSI 71 after two stalled sessions argues for a shallow entry and the nearer target.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 178.098
Entry Point 178.280
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 179.400
Conservative Target 177.029
Risk:Reward 1:1.12
Optimal Target 176.212
Stop Loss Distance 112.0 pips
Target Distance 125.1 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 178.336 178.572 179.309
Support: 177.839 177.029 176.212

Rationale

Lower highs since 179.309 and euro fiscal stress favour selling the bounce under 178.336, with the stop above the 178.57-179.31 zone sellers must defend. Ueda gave no push toward an October BoJ hike, so yen support is limited and confidence stays low.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 88.985
Entry Point 89.080
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 89.580
Conservative Target 88.329
Risk:Reward 1:1.50
Optimal Target 88.116
Stop Loss Distance 50.0 pips
Target Distance 75.1 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 89.068 89.511 90.063
Support: 88.329 88.116 88.000

Rationale

Lower highs from 90.542 with 76% of retail long; sell the bounce above 89.068, stop beyond 89.511, targeting the 88.329 base. The risk is a firm equity tone lifting yen crosses, since Ueda gave the yen little support.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 0.79933
Entry Point 0.80000
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.80260
Conservative Target 0.79711
Risk:Reward 1:1.11
Optimal Target 0.79504
Stop Loss Distance 26.0 pips
Target Distance 28.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.80082 0.80161 0.80394
Support: 0.79815 0.79711 0.79504

Rationale

Descending triangle with highs stepping down to 0.80082 and 74% of retail long; sell the bounce toward that cap with the stop beyond the 0.80233 swing high. The target is Tuesday's 0.79711 low, the first level beyond 1:1.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.12604
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.12767 1.13367 1.13801
Support: 1.12029 1.11612 1.11000

Rationale

FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY (High-impact USD) fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan. The bearish staircase stays the reference after the release, with 1.12767 overhead.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.32743
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.32853 1.33110 1.33488
Support: 1.32733 1.32040 1.31811

Rationale

FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY (High-impact USD) fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan. Cable is also boxed in a 1.3181-1.3311 range with no bias.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 158.164
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 158.450 159.036 159.777
Support: 158.025 157.441 156.948

Rationale

FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY (High-impact USD) fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan. The uptrend toward 159.036 also nears territory that drew official intervention in the past.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.83197
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.83260 0.83615 0.83822
Support: 0.82957 0.82761 0.82272

Rationale

FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY (High-impact USD) fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan. Momentum is also stalling after the 0.83822 rejection.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.69824
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.69898 0.70239 0.70450
Support: 0.69607 0.69220 0.69037

Rationale

FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY (High-impact USD) fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan. The bearish read resumes only on rejection in the 0.70239-0.7045 zone.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.42083
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.42610 1.42931 1.43500
Support: 1.42001 1.41543 1.40867

Rationale

FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY (High-impact USD) fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan. Tuesday's largest red body of the run also puts 1.42001 in play.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.56260
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.56279 0.56440 0.56872
Support: 0.55888 0.55798 0.55500

Rationale

FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY (High-impact USD) fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan. Short-NZD exposure is carried by GBPNZD, NZDJPY and NZDCAD instead.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.93683
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.93718 0.93938 0.94105
Support: 0.93108 0.93018 0.92597

Rationale

Low-confidence retest of the broken 0.938 floor after a close at the session high, and the stop beyond 0.93938 leaves the first 1:1 target more than 1.2 ATR away. Short-EUR exposure is carried by EURGBP and EURJPY.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.61269
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.61453 1.62272 1.62518
Support: 1.60807 1.60639 1.60000

Rationale

Range-bound with a flat MACD and only about 1:1.3 to 1.60807, a thin edge. Short-EUR exposure is carried by EURGBP and EURJPY.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.59982
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.60671 1.61027 1.61368
Support: 1.59760 1.59476 1.59000

Rationale

The stop must clear 1.60671, and no support reaches 1:1 before 1.59, over 1.5 ATR away. Short-EUR exposure is carried by EURGBP and EURJPY.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 2.00152
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.00399 2.00718 2.01110
Support: 1.99909 1.99363 1.98728

Rationale

Price sits at the midpoint of the 1.993-2.016 range with neutral RSI and no bias. No edge until a close outside the range.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 209.949
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 209.993 210.890 211.275
Support: 209.559 208.620 207.866

Rationale

Low-confidence range setup with 61% of retail long. Long-GBP exposure is already carried by EURGBP, GBPNZD and GBPCAD, and a short-yen leg would offset the long-yen plans.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.10437
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.10445 1.10662 1.11044
Support: 1.09644 1.09110 1.08947

Rationale

Whipsaw range with a flat MACD and balanced retail, so there is no directional edge. Long-GBP exposure is carried by EURGBP, GBPNZD and GBPCAD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.90111
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.90311 1.91148 1.91889
Support: 1.90035 1.89388 1.88552

Rationale

Redundant with the long-GBP plans in EURGBP, GBPNZD and GBPCAD. The stop below 1.89388 also leaves the first 1:1 target at 1.91148, over 1.2 ATR away.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 110.437
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 110.502 110.888 111.441
Support: 109.923 109.666 109.233

Rationale

Recovery without momentum into the 110.5-110.9 breakdown zone, with neutral retail. No edge on either side.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 111.327
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 111.514 112.586 112.921
Support: 110.798 110.537 110.150

Rationale

Low-confidence fade at the top of the 110.15-111.33 range. Long-yen exposure is carried by EURJPY and NZDJPY, and Ueda's silence on an October hike argues against adding more.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 190.108
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 190.493 190.944 192.478
Support: 189.728 189.082 188.455

Rationale

Stalled in a narrow 189.7-190.9 band with undecided momentum. No edge.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.58091
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58108 0.58571 0.58825
Support: 0.57875 0.57472 0.57280

Rationale

The failed breakdown supports the long bias, but the first 1:1 level, 0.58571, is about 1.3 ATR away for a thin edge over baseline. Price also closed on the session high under 0.58108.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.99204
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.99256 0.99581 0.99690
Support: 0.99034 0.98982 0.98389

Rationale

Tuesday's long upper wick rejected 0.99581, the first level that reaches 1:1, leaving too thin an edge. The pair has no trend inside the 0.984-1.001 range.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.24109
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.24367 1.24650 1.24906
Support: 1.24083 1.23565 1.22827

Rationale

Redundant with the short-NZD plans in GBPNZD, NZDJPY and NZDCAD. The MACD is also lagging price under the 1.2465 high.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.46807
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.46776 0.47081 0.47237
Support: 0.46679 0.46399 0.46330

Rationale

Redundant with the short-NZD plans in GBPNZD, NZDJPY and NZDCAD. The stop must clear 0.47081, which puts the 0.46399 target about 1.4 ATR away.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.58559
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58638 0.58778 0.58866
Support: 0.58280 0.58152 0.57872

Rationale

Mid-range at the midline with momentum neutral and retail conflicting with the bounce. No edge.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 4166.67
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 4166.08 4226.97 4303.22
Support: 4123.21 4104.62 4019.14

Rationale

FOMC Meeting Minutes at 14:00 NY (High-impact USD) count for gold, so no directional plan. Price also sits mid-band at the 4166.08 pivot of the 4104-4227 consolidation.

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$4 average per $100 risked

69 of 105 picks filled, over 35 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$8 average per $100 risked

303 plans over 35 verified days · target hit 10%

35 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 69 picks the honest range around the +$4 runs from −$15 to +$23 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 105 picks published, 69 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 19 of the 69 picks lost the full $100, against 40 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 100% of the Top 3 result, and 25 of the 69 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$16 to +$0, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 303 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 6 Oct 2026)

  • Target hit 10% (30)
  • Stop hit 24% (74)
  • Timed out 66% (199)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 151 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown
29% Win rate 30 of 104 plans closed at target or stop
-0.08R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one
+0.07R Timed-out average how those 199 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%
14 of 63 plans

Bearish

39%
16 of 41 plans

Win rate by pair

PairWin ratePlans
GBPJPY
75%
3 / 4
NZDJPY
67%
2 / 3
AUDCHF
50%
3 / 6
NZDCAD
50%
2 / 4
AUDUSD
43%
3 / 7
USDCAD
40%
2 / 5
GBPAUD
33%
1 / 3
GBPUSD
33%
1 / 3
CHFJPY
33%
1 / 3
EURCHF
30%
3 / 10
AUDJPY
25%
1 / 4
EURNZD
25%
1 / 4
EURUSD
25%
1 / 4
USDCHF
25%
1 / 4
USDJPY
25%
1 / 4
NZDUSD
25%
1 / 4
NZDCHF
0%
0 / 4
GBPCAD
0%
0 / 5
AUDCAD
0%
0 / 3
GBPNZD
0%
0 / 3
EURGBP
0%
0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit
Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit
Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out
The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled
Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken
Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

6 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $49
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12290 → 1.11612 Timed out -0.50R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.42500 → 1.42931 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDUSD Bearish 0.56080 → 0.55798 Timed out -0.67R
EURGBP Bearish 0.84890 → 0.84547 Timed out +0.35R
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93290 → 0.93018 Stop hit -1.00R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88400 → 1.88934 Not filled –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35880 → 2.36646 Timed out +0.25R
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46580 → 0.46330 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
5 Oct 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $37
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12650 → 1.12150 Not filled –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69620 → 0.69220 Timed out -0.36R
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Bearish 0.56260 → 0.55858 Not filled –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Bearish 177.850 → 176.595 Not filled –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93370 → 0.93018 Not filled –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90350 → 1.91148 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88700 → 1.89527 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bearish 109.880 → 109.233 Timed out -0.50R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46610 → 0.46330 Not filled –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Bearish 0.58200 → 0.57872 Timed out -0.28R
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
2 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $71
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Bearish 177.950 → 176.771 Not filled –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59970 → 1.59500 Stop hit -1.00R
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90320 → 1.91157 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35400 → 2.36208 Timed out +0.59R
AUDJPY Bearish 109.650 → 108.708 Timed out -0.33R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.680 → 88.119 Timed out +0.06R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Bearish 0.98610 → 0.98198 Stop hit -1.00R
AUDNZD Bullish 1.23580 → 1.24376 Timed out +0.64R
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
1 Oct 2026 2 target · 4 stop · 1 timed out $100 → $65
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69540 → 0.69223 Target hit +1.09R
USDCAD Bullish 1.42200 → 1.42500 Not filled –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Bullish 0.94640 → 0.94862 Stop hit -1.00R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90830 → 1.91910 Timed out -0.56R
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88720 → 1.89536 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bearish 109.500 → 108.892 Stop hit -1.00R
CADJPY Bearish 110.720 → 110.170 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDJPY Bearish 88.810 → 88.231 Target hit +1.03R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Bearish 0.80270 → 0.79944 Not filled –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
30 Sep 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $177
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bullish 0.94530 → 0.94767 Target hit +1.25R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Bullish 2.00950 → 2.02000 Timed out +0.16R
GBPJPY Bearish 208.260 → 207.103 Target hit +1.45R
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.790 → 88.000 Timed out +0.25R
CHFJPY Bearish 188.780 → 187.841 Not filled –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

  1. Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
  2. Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
  3. AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
  4. Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

  • Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
  • Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
  • Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
  • Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
  • Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
  • Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 17%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

  • Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
  • Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
  • Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
  • Adjust position size based on expected volatility
  • Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
  • Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

Forex Sentiment AI Trade Panel for MT5 — now with the Chart Panel

The AI plan of the day on your chart: entry, stop and two targets for every market our AI reads as directional. The Trade Panel runs the whole account from one chart — five-factor signals, orders prefilled from the plan with automatic lot sizing, close-only account protection. The new Chart Panel sits beside each chart you trade: retail positioning, our signal and the AI plan for that market, levels drawn on the chart, stop and target you can drag. Available now: one license, both panels.

Discover the panel

Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

ForexSentiment App
ForexSentiment Forex Sentiment & AI Signals
App Store Google Play