Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Sunday, 11 October 2026 Forecast for: Monday, 12 October 2026 Plan window: Sun 23:00 – Mon 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-10-11

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Today's plans lean on a firm US dollar, backed by the Fed's September rate hike and hawkish minutes, and on a broadly weak euro, where retail traders keep buying dips against the downtrend. A third theme is a soft New Zealand dollar against the pound, the Australian dollar and the US dollar. Bank holidays in the US, Canada and Japan should thin liquidity, so yen pairs stay on the sidelines and targets are kept close.

Volatility Forecast

Low

Key Events to Monitor

USD, CAD, JPY: bank holidays (US Columbus Day, Canadian Thanksgiving, Japan) thin liquidity all session
USD: hawkish Fed backdrop after the September hike; US CPI on Wednesday is the week's main risk, outside today's window
EURUSD test of the 1.1161 floor, with 1.1100 below
AUD: RBA September minutes at 20:30 NY, after the plan window

Best Opportunities

EURAUD Bearish

NZDUSD Bearish

GBPNZD Bullish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (321 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

EURAUD

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.09

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.60480 Sell limit

Stop Loss 1.60920 (44.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.60000 (48.0 pips)

Optimal Target 1.59500 (98.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.60470 1.61206 1.61453

Support: 1.60276 1.60000 1.59500

Rationale

High-confidence downtrend with 82% of retail long, and the RBA's hiking cycle supports the Aussie; sell a retest of the broken 1.6047 floor with a 0.54 ATR stop above it. Targets 1.6000, then 1.5950.

Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail

NZDUSD

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.09

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.56170 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.56390 (22.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.55930 (24.0 pips)

Optimal Target 0.55798 (37.2 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.56262 0.56440 0.56872

Support: 0.55930 0.55798 0.55500

Rationale

Downtrend with 74% of retail long and a firm, hawkish-Fed dollar; sell a pullback toward Friday's 0.5626 high with the stop just above it. All five recent sessions traded down to the first target at 0.5593, with 0.5580 next.

Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

GBPNZD

Bullish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.46

Expected result +0.08 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 2.35680 Buy limit

Stop Loss 2.35020 (66.0 pips)

Conservative Target 2.36646 (96.6 pips)

Optimal Target 2.37000 (132.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.36646 2.37000 2.38000

Support: 2.35427 2.34420 2.32432

Rationale

A bull flag above the September range with 78% of retail short; buy a shallow dip with a 0.55 ATR stop under the 2.3543 flag floor. Targets the 2.3665 flag top, then 2.3700.

Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	Medium	1.11993	1.12070Sell limit	1.12480	1.11612	+0.09R	1:1.12	+1.12RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 1.11993 Entry Point 1.12070 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.12480 Conservative Target 1.11612 Risk:Reward 1:1.12 Optimal Target 1.11000 Stop Loss Distance 41.0 pips Target Distance 45.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.12429 1.12767 1.13801 Support: 1.11875 1.11612 1.11000 Rationale Downtrend with 71% of retail long, and the Fed's hawkish stance after its September hike keeps the dollar firm; sell a pullback below Friday's 1.1243 high with the stop just above it. Targets the 1.1161 floor, then 1.1100; the US holiday may thin liquidity. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Bearish	Medium	0.56120	0.56170Sell limit	0.56390	0.55930	+0.09R	1:1.09	+1.09RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 0.56120 Entry Point 0.56170 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.56390 Conservative Target 0.55930 Risk:Reward 1:1.09 Optimal Target 0.55798 Stop Loss Distance 22.0 pips Target Distance 24.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.56262 0.56440 0.56872 Support: 0.55930 0.55798 0.55500 Rationale Downtrend with 74% of retail long and a firm, hawkish-Fed dollar; sell a pullback toward Friday's 0.5626 high with the stop just above it. All five recent sessions traded down to the first target at 0.5593, with 0.5580 next. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Bearish	High	1.60381	1.60480Sell limit	1.60920	1.60000	+0.09R	1:1.09	+0.36RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 1.60381 Entry Point 1.60480 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.60920 Conservative Target 1.60000 Risk:Reward 1:1.09 Optimal Target 1.59500 Stop Loss Distance 44.0 pips Target Distance 48.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.60470 1.61206 1.61453 Support: 1.60276 1.60000 1.59500 Rationale High-confidence downtrend with 82% of retail long, and the RBA's hiking cycle supports the Aussie; sell a retest of the broken 1.6047 floor with a 0.54 ATR stop above it. Targets 1.6000, then 1.5950. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Bearish	Medium	0.84626	0.84680Sell limit	0.84875	0.84474	+0.08R	1:1.06	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 0.84626 Entry Point 0.84680 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.84875 Conservative Target 0.84474 Risk:Reward 1:1.06 Optimal Target 0.84200 Stop Loss Distance 19.5 pips Target Distance 20.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.84850 0.85079 0.85472 Support: 0.84580 0.84474 0.84200 Rationale Downtrend with 80% of retail long, and the news flow points to a euro-weakness breakdown in EURGBP; the entry sits about 0.2 ATR up because the 1:1 target at 0.8447 needs that room against a stop above the 0.8485 cap. Next target is 0.8420. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Bullish	Medium	2.35805	2.35680Buy limit	2.35020	2.36646	+0.08R	1:1.46	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 2.35805 Entry Point 2.35680 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 2.35020 Conservative Target 2.36646 Risk:Reward 1:1.46 Optimal Target 2.37000 Stop Loss Distance 66.0 pips Target Distance 96.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 2.36646 2.37000 2.38000 Support: 2.35427 2.34420 2.32432 Rationale A bull flag above the September range with 78% of retail short; buy a shallow dip with a 0.55 ATR stop under the 2.3543 flag floor. Targets the 2.3665 flag top, then 2.3700. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Bullish	Medium	1.42588	1.42470Buy limit	1.42020	1.42980	+0.07R	1:1.13	+0.85RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.07R Analysis Price 1.42588 Entry Point 1.42470 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.42020 Conservative Target 1.42980 Risk:Reward 1:1.13 Optimal Target 1.43500 Stop Loss Distance 45.0 pips Target Distance 51.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.42980 1.43500 1.44000 Support: 1.42061 1.41960 1.41543 Rationale Uptrend flag with 82% of retail short, the most crowded fade on the dollar side; buy a 0.19 ATR dip with the stop under the 1.4206 double low, targeting the 1.4298 flag top and then 1.4350. Confidence is cut to medium because US and Canadian bank holidays thin liquidity. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Bullish	Low	1.24428	1.24300Buy limit	1.23970	1.24650	+0.06R	1:1.06	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.06R Analysis Price 1.24428 Entry Point 1.24300 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.23970 Conservative Target 1.24650 Risk:Reward 1:1.06 Optimal Target 1.24906 Stop Loss Distance 33.0 pips Target Distance 35.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.24650 1.24906 1.25000 Support: 1.24046 1.23565 1.22827 Rationale Uptrend with 84% of retail short (the most crowded book here) and a hawkish RBA behind the Aussie; buy just above the 1.2405 shelf with the stop under it, targeting 1.2465 and then 1.2491. Confidence is low because momentum has slowed and ranges are compressing. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.32340	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.32340 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.32498 1.32853 1.33110 Support: 1.32040 1.31811 Rationale Neutral bias inside the 1.3181–1.3311 box with fading but unconfirmed momentum; no edge. Long-GBP exposure is already carried by EURGBP and GBPNZD. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	158.295	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 158.295 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 158.511 159.036 159.777 Support: 158.025 157.521 156.948 Rationale The long-USD theme is already carried by EURUSD, NZDUSD and USDCAD, and a Japanese bank holiday thins yen liquidity. The 159–160 upside path also nears the area that drew MoF intervention in 2024. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.83039	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.83039 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.83186 0.83464 0.83822 Support: 0.82955 0.82761 0.82272 Rationale Redundant with the long-USD plans in EURUSD, NZDUSD and USDCAD. The first 1:1 target at 0.8346 needs almost 1 ATR while momentum is cooling, so there is no edge over baseline. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.69830	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.69830 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.69898 0.70239 0.70775 Support: 0.69607 0.69490 0.69220 Rationale Neutral triangle under 0.6990, with the firm-dollar theme pulling against the Aussie. AUD exposure is already carried by EURAUD and AUDNZD. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	177.283	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 177.283 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 177.868 178.336 179.309 Support: 176.833 176.516 176.212 Rationale Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURUSD, EURGBP and EURAUD. A Japanese bank holiday also thins yen liquidity. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Neutral	Low	0.92998	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.92998 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.93154 0.93490 0.93660 Support: 0.92886 0.92700 0.92597 Rationale Bearish momentum, but this is redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURUSD, EURGBP and EURAUD, and retail at 51/49 adds no edge. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.59681	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.59681 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.60193 1.60671 1.61027 Support: 1.59349 1.59058 1.58500 Rationale Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURUSD, EURGBP and EURAUD. Canadian Thanksgiving thins CAD liquidity. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Neutral	Low	1.99560	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.99560 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.00399 2.01110 2.01643 Support: 1.99388 1.99204 1.95740 Rationale A low-confidence long at the 1.9920 range floor would buy the euro against the short-EUR theme. Holding off. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	209.488	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 209.488 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 209.737 210.201 211.275 Support: 208.653 208.193 207.866 Rationale Neutral range with retail split 51/49 and a Japanese bank holiday; no directional edge. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.09893	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.09893 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.10054 1.10262 1.10459 Support: 1.09785 1.09110 1.08947 Rationale Flat momentum mid-range with lower highs since Oct 6; the low-confidence long has no edge, and GBP is already carried by EURGBP and GBPNZD. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.89518	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.89518 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.89702 1.90311 1.91148 Support: 1.89316 1.88552 1.87299 Rationale Neutral on the 1.8932 floor; the first 1:1 short target at 1.8855 is too far for one session, and a hawkish RBA rules out the long. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.88690	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.88690 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.88971 1.89256 1.89527 Support: 1.87998 1.87437 1.87117 Rationale The 1:1 target at the 1.8926 high gives no edge over baseline on a Canadian holiday. GBP is already carried by EURGBP and GBPNZD. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Neutral	Low	110.538	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 110.538 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 110.641 111.441 112.616 Support: 109.735 109.233 108.703 Rationale A short would sell the Aussie against the long-AUD plans that the hawkish RBA supports, while the USDJPY uptrend argues against yen strength. A Japanese holiday thins liquidity. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	111.022	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 111.022 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 111.297 111.514 112.586 Support: 110.798 110.507 110.375 Rationale Both legs are on bank holidays, and with USDJPY and USDCAD both rising, the cross has no clear driver; the short's edge is at baseline. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Neutral	Low	88.838	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 88.838 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 89.073 89.511 90.542 Support: 88.344 88.116 87.500 Rationale The short-NZD theme is already carried by NZDUSD, GBPNZD and AUDNZD. A Japanese holiday and a rising USDJPY weaken the long-yen leg. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	190.632	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 190.632 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 190.944 191.932 192.478 Support: 189.520 189.082 188.455 Rationale Neutral range under 190.94 with recovering but unconfirmed momentum and a Japanese bank holiday; no edge. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.57985	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.57985 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58163 0.58571 0.58825 Support: 0.57875 0.57750 0.57280 Rationale Textbook directionless range, with RSI on 50 and MACD flat; no edge. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.99564	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.99564 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.99690 0.99908 1.00125 Support: 0.99312 0.98951 0.98389 Rationale The 1:1 target at 0.9991 needs a break of the 0.9969 cap on a Canadian holiday, so there is no edge over baseline. Long AUD is already carried by EURAUD and AUDNZD. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.46603	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.46603 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.46709 0.46811 0.47237 Support: 0.46469 0.46330 0.46000 Rationale Redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDUSD, GBPNZD and AUDNZD. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.80019	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.80019 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.80200 0.80394 0.80518 Support: 0.79815 0.79581 0.79504 Rationale Redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDUSD, GBPNZD and AUDNZD; Canadian Thanksgiving also thins CAD liquidity. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58238	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58238 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58225 0.58475 0.58636 Support: 0.58126 0.57983 0.57872 Rationale Lower-high staircase, but the short's edge is only about one point over baseline on a Canadian holiday. Standing aside. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	4187.94	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 4187.94 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4207.56 4226.97 4303.22 Support: 4131.03 4110.89 4066.46 Rationale Neutral range below 4227, with a firm dollar fighting the bounce and a US holiday thinning liquidity; no edge. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$5 average per $100 risked

78 of 117 picks filled, over 39 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

325 plans over 39 verified days · target hit 10%

39 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 78 picks the honest range around the +$5 runs from −$12 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 117 picks published, 78 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 20 of the 78 picks lost the full $100, against 45 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 69% of the Top 3 result, and 26 of the 78 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$14 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 325 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 12 Oct 2026)

Target hit 10% (34)
Stop hit 24% (78)
Timed out 66% (213)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 158 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

30% Win rate 34 of 112 plans closed at target or stop

-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.09R Timed-out average how those 213 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%

14 of 65 plans

Bearish

43%

20 of 47 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
EURJPY	67%	2 / 3
NZDJPY	67%	2 / 3
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDUSD	43%	3 / 7
EURUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
USDCAD	40%	2 / 5
XAUUSD	33%	1 / 3
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	30%	3 / 10
EURGBP	25%	1 / 4
GBPAUD	25%	1 / 4
EURNZD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
AUDJPY	20%	1 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 6
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 4
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 3
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

12 Oct 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $185

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12070 → 1.11612	Target hit	+1.12R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42470 → 1.42980	Timed out	+0.85R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56170 → 0.55930	Target hit	+1.09R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84680 → 0.84474	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.60480 → 1.60000	Timed out	+0.36R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35680 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24300 → 1.24650	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

9 Oct 2026 1 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $84

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12210 → 1.11612	Timed out	+0.61R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83060 → 0.83464	Timed out	-0.23R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84790 → 0.84613	Target hit	+1.04R
EURJPY	Bearish	177.250 → 176.516	Timed out	-0.04R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.90000 → 1.90693	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35920 → 2.36646	Timed out	-0.18R
AUDJPY	Bearish	110.000 → 109.233	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46650 → 0.46357	Timed out	+0.35R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4147.00 → 4066.46	Stop hit	-1.00R

8 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 7 timed out $100 → $125

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12100 → 1.11612	Timed out	-0.08R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83200 → 0.83615	Timed out	-0.21R
AUDUSD	Bearish	0.69710 → 0.69426	Timed out	+0.45R
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93360 → 0.92951	Timed out	+0.35R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59730 → 1.59058	Timed out	+0.82R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24270 → 1.24650	Timed out	-0.18R
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46690 → 0.46515	Timed out	+0.61R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

7 Oct 2026 1 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $106

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84862 → 0.84547	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Bearish	178.280 → 177.029	Target hit	+1.12R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88480 → 1.89118	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35780 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.080 → 88.329	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80000 → 0.79711	Not filled	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

6 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $49

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12290 → 1.11612	Timed out	-0.50R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42500 → 1.42931	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56080 → 0.55798	Timed out	-0.67R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84890 → 0.84547	Timed out	+0.35R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93290 → 0.93018	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88400 → 1.88934	Not filled	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35880 → 2.36646	Timed out	+0.25R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46580 → 0.46330	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 17%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

ChartJudge: an AI second opinion on your chart

Paste the chart you are looking at and get the trend, the key levels, bull and bear scenarios and a plan with entry, stop and two targets, or the setups worth waiting for. Behind every analysis on 29 markets is the Forex Sentiment engine: retail positioning, the five-factor signal, levels on real prices and the calendar. Free to try with a verified email, no card needed.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

EURAUD

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NZDUSD

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