Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Monday, 12 October 2026 Forecast for: Tuesday, 13 October 2026 Plan window: Mon 23:00 – Tue 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-10-12

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The US dollar sits near 18-month highs on hawkish Fed expectations and oil-driven haven demand, while the euro keeps sliding as retail traders stay heavily long. Today's plans express three themes: long USD, short EUR and short NZD. Yen shorts are avoided as USDJPY nears the 159-160 zone, where Japan and the US intervened this summer.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

JPY: intervention risk as USDJPY approaches 159-160, with Tokyo back from Monday's holiday
USD: hawkish Fed pricing and oil-driven haven demand keep the dollar near 18-month highs; US cash Treasury trading resumes after Monday's holiday
EURGBP: test of 0.8440 then 0.8425 after a close on the session low
XAUUSD: 4217-4227 ceiling versus 4110.89 support

Best Opportunities

EURGBP Bearish

EURAUD Bearish

XAUUSD Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (321 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

EURGBP

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.39

Expected result +0.12 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.84500 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.84680 (18.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.84250 (25.0 pips)

Optimal Target 0.84000 (50.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.84655 0.84869 0.85079

Support: 0.84400 0.84250 0.84000

Rationale

Eleven down sessions in twelve and a close on the 0.84447 low, with 82% retail long feeding the slide and European fiscal worries weighing on the euro. Sell a pullback with the stop above 0.84655 resistance, targeting 0.8425 then 0.8400.

Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail

EURAUD

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.07

Expected result +0.08 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.60430 Sell limit

Stop Loss 1.60830 (40.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.60000 (43.0 pips)

Optimal Target 1.59500 (93.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.60627 1.61206 1.61453

Support: 1.60108 1.60000 1.59500

Rationale

Lower high every session since Sep 30 with 80% retail long and MACD still widening lower. Sell a pullback with a 0.5 ATR stop beyond 1.60627 resistance, targeting the 1.6000 handle then 1.5950.

Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail

XAUUSD

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.41

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 4183.00 Sell limit

Stop Loss 4234.00 (51.0 pts)

Conservative Target 4110.89 (72.1 pts)

Optimal Target 4066.46 (116.5 pts)

Key Levels

Resistance: 4217.17 4226.97 4315.81

Support: 4154.66 4110.89 4066.46

Rationale

A second rejection from the 4217-4227 ceiling, with MACD widening lower, while the hawkish Fed and firm dollar cap bullion. Stop above 4226.97, targets 4110.89 then 4066.46.

Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward
EURGBP	Bearish	High	0.84473	0.84500Sell limit	0.84680	0.84250	+0.12R	1:1.39
Forecast Details Confidence High Analysis Price 0.84473 Entry Point 0.84500 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.84680 Conservative Target 0.84250 Risk:Reward 1:1.39 Optimal Target 0.84000 Stop Loss Distance 18.0 pips Target Distance 25.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.84655 0.84869 0.85079 Support: 0.84400 0.84250 0.84000 Rationale Eleven down sessions in twelve and a close on the 0.84447 low, with 82% retail long feeding the slide and European fiscal worries weighing on the euro. Sell a pullback with the stop above 0.84655 resistance, targeting 0.8425 then 0.8400. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Bearish	Medium	4173.37	4183.00Sell limit	4234.00	4110.89	+0.10R	1:1.41
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 4173.37 Entry Point 4183.00 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 4234.00 Conservative Target 4110.89 Risk:Reward 1:1.41 Optimal Target 4066.46 Stop Loss Distance 51.0 pts Target Distance 72.1 pts Key Levels Resistance: 4217.17 4226.97 4315.81 Support: 4154.66 4110.89 4066.46 Rationale A second rejection from the 4217-4227 ceiling, with MACD widening lower, while the hawkish Fed and firm dollar cap bullion. Stop above 4226.97, targets 4110.89 then 4066.46. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Bearish	Low	0.46639	0.46680Sell limit	0.46840	0.46433	+0.09R	1:1.54
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.46639 Entry Point 0.46680 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.46840 Conservative Target 0.46433 Risk:Reward 1:1.54 Optimal Target 0.46330 Stop Loss Distance 16.0 pips Target Distance 24.7 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.46670 0.46811 0.47237 Support: 0.46433 0.46330 0.46200 Rationale Rebound highs fading from 0.46811 to 0.4667 with 71% retail long; sell into 0.4667 with the stop above 0.46811. Low confidence because the franc was Monday's weakest major. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Bearish	High	1.60331	1.60430Sell limit	1.60830	1.60000	+0.08R	1:1.07
Forecast Details Confidence High Analysis Price 1.60331 Entry Point 1.60430 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.60830 Conservative Target 1.60000 Risk:Reward 1:1.07 Optimal Target 1.59500 Stop Loss Distance 40.0 pips Target Distance 43.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.60627 1.61206 1.61453 Support: 1.60108 1.60000 1.59500 Rationale Lower high every session since Sep 30 with 80% retail long and MACD still widening lower. Sell a pullback with a 0.5 ATR stop beyond 1.60627 resistance, targeting the 1.6000 handle then 1.5950. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Bearish	Medium	88.635	88.720Sell limit	89.120	88.244	+0.08R	1:1.19
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 88.635 Entry Point 88.720 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 89.120 Conservative Target 88.244 Risk:Reward 1:1.19 Optimal Target 88.116 Stop Loss Distance 40.0 pips Target Distance 47.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 88.884 89.073 89.511 Support: 88.551 88.244 88.116 Rationale Every rally since Oct 1 has stalled below 89.073 and 74% of retail is long; selling the kiwi against the yen also leans with Japan's intervention risk. Stop above 89.073, targets 88.244 then 88.116. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Bearish	Medium	1.11589	1.11680Sell limit	1.12210	1.11000	+0.07R	1:1.28
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 1.11589 Entry Point 1.11680 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.12210 Conservative Target 1.11000 Risk:Reward 1:1.28 Optimal Target 1.11000 Stop Loss Distance 53.0 pips Target Distance 68.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.12170 1.12429 1.12767 Support: 1.11525 1.11500 1.11000 Rationale Lower highs since mid-September, a close on the 1.11525 low, 78% retail long and a hawkish-Fed dollar bid keep the short on; the stop sits above 1.1217 resistance. With RSI near 22 the plan aims only for 1.1100, the last listed support. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Bearish	Medium	0.79802	0.79860Sell limit	0.80110	0.79581	+0.07R	1:1.12
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 0.79802 Entry Point 0.79860 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.80110 Conservative Target 0.79581 Risk:Reward 1:1.12 Optimal Target 0.79504 Stop Loss Distance 25.0 pips Target Distance 27.9 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.80071 0.80200 0.80394 Support: 0.79728 0.79581 0.79504 Rationale October has stayed in the lower half of the range, highs failed at 0.80161 and 0.802, and 75% of retail is long, while oil's rebound favours the loonie. Stop above 0.80071, targets 0.79581 then 0.79504. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.83456	0.83410Buy limit	0.83030	0.83822	+0.06R	1:1.08
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 0.83456 Entry Point 0.83410 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.83030 Conservative Target 0.83822 Risk:Reward 1:1.08 Optimal Target 0.84000 Stop Loss Distance 38.0 pips Target Distance 41.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.83482 0.83615 0.83822 Support: 0.82904 0.82272 0.81830 Rationale Uptrend closed on its 0.83482 high as the franc was Monday's weakest major, with 69% retail short; buy a shallow dip. Support 0.82904 is a full ATR away, so a 0.75 ATR volatility stop is used, targeting the 0.83822 Oct 1 high then 0.8400. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.32100	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.32100 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.32613 1.32853 1.33110 Support: 1.32040 1.31826 1.31500 Rationale Three-week 1.3181-1.3311 box with no directional bias. The long-USD theme is already carried by EURUSD, USDCHF and XAUUSD. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	158.600	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 158.600 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 159.036 159.777 160.392 Support: 158.025 157.521 156.678 Rationale The bullish targets at 159.036 and 159.777 sit in the 159-160 zone where Japan, with US help, intervened this summer, and officials remain on alert. No dip-buying into intervention risk as Tokyo returns from holiday. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.69600	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.69600 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.69898 0.69952 0.70267 Support: 0.69549 0.69326 0.69037 Rationale Bearish read intact below 0.6990, but redundant with the long-USD plans in EURUSD, USDCHF and XAUUSD. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Neutral	Low	1.42801	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.42801 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.42931 1.43000 1.43500 Support: 1.42397 1.41960 1.41543 Rationale Redundant with the long-USD plans, and with 1.4293/1.4300 overhead only 1.4350 gives 1:1, which needs a breakout from eight sessions of compression with RSI overbought. Oil's rebound also supports the loonie. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.55885	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.55885 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.56188 0.56440 0.56872 Support: 0.55806 0.55500 Rationale Redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDJPY, NZDCHF and NZDCAD and the long-USD plans. The 0.558 floor has held three times and 0.5550 is the only target below. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	176.977	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 176.977 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 177.562 177.868 178.336 Support: 176.516 176.212 176.000 Rationale Bearish tilt, but redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURUSD, EURGBP and EURAUD. The long-yen theme is carried by NZDJPY. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Neutral	Low	0.93124	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.93124 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.93154 0.93490 0.93701 Support: 0.93018 0.92757 0.92597 Rationale Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURUSD, EURGBP and EURAUD. The franc's broad weakness on Monday also works against the short. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.59342	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.59342 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.59877 1.60193 1.60671 Support: 1.59285 1.59058 1.58500 Rationale Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURUSD, EURGBP and EURAUD. Only 1.5850 would give 1:1 above a stop over 1.59877. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Neutral	Low	1.99675	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.99675 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.99983 2.00399 2.01110 Support: 1.99388 1.99205 1.95740 Rationale Month-long range with a flat RSI near 50. Euro and kiwi weakness offset each other here. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	209.507	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 209.507 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 210.097 210.890 211.275 Support: 209.197 208.193 207.866 Rationale Range-bound with no trend. Buying yen crosses is off the table with intervention risk, and the long-yen theme is carried by NZDJPY. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.10242	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.10242 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.10314 1.10459 1.10662 Support: 1.09785 1.09614 1.09110 Rationale Mid-range inside 1.0889-1.1104 with no directional momentum. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.89799	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.89799 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.89941 1.90311 1.90693 Support: 1.89388 1.89244 1.88552 Rationale Contracting wedge between 1.8924 and lower highs near 1.8994; no edge until it breaks. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.88631	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.88631 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.88971 1.89153 1.89256 Support: 1.88487 1.87948 1.87437 Rationale Ascending triangle is intact, but a stop beyond the 1.87948 rising low leaves only about 1.1:1 to the 1.8926 cap. Oil's rebound supports the loonie, so the edge is too thin. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.36373	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 2.36373 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.36525 2.36646 2.37000 Support: 2.35537 2.35392 2.34420 Rationale Redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDJPY, NZDCHF and NZDCAD. RSI is near 71 with momentum stalling, and 2.3700 offers only about 1.1:1. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Neutral	Low	110.384	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 110.384 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 110.641 111.441 112.616 Support: 110.193 109.643 109.233 Rationale Stuck under 110.6-110.641 with RSI below 50. Yen-cross longs are avoided given intervention risk. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	111.069	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 111.069 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 111.297 111.514 112.586 Support: 110.798 110.522 110.375 Rationale Mid-range between 110.15 and 111.514 with a bounce that lacks conviction. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	190.043	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 190.043 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 190.742 190.944 192.478 Support: 190.015 189.163 188.455 Rationale Mixed momentum inside 189.24-190.944; no edge either way. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58084	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.58084 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58163 0.58571 0.58825 Support: 0.57875 0.57739 0.57280 Rationale Pinned in a tight 0.5774-0.5816 box with no momentum. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.99384	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.99384 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.99581 0.99756 1.00125 Support: 0.99319 0.98962 0.98389 Rationale Low-confidence bullish lean with no momentum; a stop beyond 0.98962 leaves only about 1:1 to 0.99756. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Low	1.24540	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.24540 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.24650 1.24774 1.24906 Support: 1.24046 1.23565 1.22827 Rationale The short-NZD theme is already carried by NZDJPY, NZDCHF and NZDCAD. A stop beyond 1.24046 also leaves 1.24906 at barely 1:1. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58445	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.58445 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58465 0.58636 0.58866 Support: 0.58280 0.58018 0.57872 Rationale Mid-band between 0.57872 and 0.5864 with RSI on the midline. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$5 average per $100 risked

78 of 117 picks filled, over 39 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

325 plans over 39 verified days · target hit 10%

39 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 78 picks the honest range around the +$5 runs from −$12 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 117 picks published, 78 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 20 of the 78 picks lost the full $100, against 45 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 69% of the Top 3 result, and 26 of the 78 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$14 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 325 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 12 Oct 2026)

Target hit 10% (34)
Stop hit 24% (78)
Timed out 66% (213)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 158 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

30% Win rate 34 of 112 plans closed at target or stop

-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.09R Timed-out average how those 213 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%

14 of 65 plans

Bearish

43%

20 of 47 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
EURJPY	67%	2 / 3
NZDJPY	67%	2 / 3
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDUSD	43%	3 / 7
EURUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
USDCAD	40%	2 / 5
XAUUSD	33%	1 / 3
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	30%	3 / 10
EURGBP	25%	1 / 4
GBPAUD	25%	1 / 4
EURNZD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
AUDJPY	20%	1 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 6
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 4
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 3
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

12 Oct 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $185

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12070 → 1.11612	Target hit	+1.12R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42470 → 1.42980	Timed out	+0.85R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56170 → 0.55930	Target hit	+1.09R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84680 → 0.84474	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.60480 → 1.60000	Timed out	+0.36R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35680 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24300 → 1.24650	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

9 Oct 2026 1 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $84

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12210 → 1.11612	Timed out	+0.61R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83060 → 0.83464	Timed out	-0.23R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84790 → 0.84613	Target hit	+1.04R
EURJPY	Bearish	177.250 → 176.516	Timed out	-0.04R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.90000 → 1.90693	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35920 → 2.36646	Timed out	-0.18R
AUDJPY	Bearish	110.000 → 109.233	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46650 → 0.46357	Timed out	+0.35R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4147.00 → 4066.46	Stop hit	-1.00R

8 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 7 timed out $100 → $125

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12100 → 1.11612	Timed out	-0.08R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83200 → 0.83615	Timed out	-0.21R
AUDUSD	Bearish	0.69710 → 0.69426	Timed out	+0.45R
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93360 → 0.92951	Timed out	+0.35R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59730 → 1.59058	Timed out	+0.82R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24270 → 1.24650	Timed out	-0.18R
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46690 → 0.46515	Timed out	+0.61R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

7 Oct 2026 1 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $106

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84862 → 0.84547	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Bearish	178.280 → 177.029	Target hit	+1.12R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88480 → 1.89118	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35780 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.080 → 88.329	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80000 → 0.79711	Not filled	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

6 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $49

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12290 → 1.11612	Timed out	-0.50R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42500 → 1.42931	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56080 → 0.55798	Timed out	-0.67R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84890 → 0.84547	Timed out	+0.35R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93290 → 0.93018	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88400 → 1.88934	Not filled	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35880 → 2.36646	Timed out	+0.25R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46580 → 0.46330	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 17%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

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