| EURCAD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.57123 |
1.57240Sell limit |
1.57930 |
1.56500 |
+0.10R |
1:1.07 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks
+0.10R
Analysis Price
1.57123
Entry Point
1.57240
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.57930
Conservative Target
1.56500
Risk:Reward
1:1.07
Optimal Target
1.56000
Stop Loss Distance
69.0 pips
Target Distance
74.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.57909
1.58208
1.58628
Support:
1.56935
1.56500
1.56000
Rationale
Clean lower highs and 80% retail long, with BoC hike bets near 80% and firm oil backing the CAD leg; the stop sits above the 1.57909 Oct 22 high. EUR flash PMIs at 03:15-03:30 NY are the main risk.
|
| GBPAUD |
Bullish
|
Low
|
1.90936 |
1.90800Buy limit |
1.90250 |
1.91453 |
+0.10R |
1:1.19 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
+0.10R
Analysis Price
1.90936
Entry Point
1.90800
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.90250
Conservative Target
1.91453
Risk:Reward
1:1.19
Optimal Target
1.92288
Stop Loss Distance
55.0 pips
Target Distance
65.3 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.91148
1.91453
1.92288
Support:
1.90612
1.90302
1.89388
Rationale
A mild uptrend holding the 1.903 double low; buy the dip with the stop under 1.90302, targeting the 1.91453 range top. Confidence is low because hawkish RBA support for AUD and the UK retail sales and PMIs both land this morning.
|
| XAUUSD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
4030.14 |
4040.00Sell limit |
4080.00 |
3995.98 |
+0.10R |
1:1.10 |
Not filled |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks
+0.10R
Analysis Price
4030.14
Entry Point
4040.00
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
4080.00
Conservative Target
3995.98
Risk:Reward
1:1.10
Optimal Target
3950.00
Stop Loss Distance
40.0 pts
Target Distance
44.0 pts
Key Levels
Resistance:
4066.46
4120.34
4144.57
Support:
4019.14
3995.98
3950.00
Rationale
Broke below 4066 with expanding ATR, 66% retail long and 10-year yields above 5% weighing; the stop sits above the broken 4066.46 floor. USD flash PMIs and UoM inflation expectations at 09:45-10:00 NY are the event risk.
|
| EURGBP |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.83719 |
0.83755Sell limit |
0.83995 |
0.83500 |
+0.09R |
1:1.06 |
+0.18RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks
+0.09R
Analysis Price
0.83719
Entry Point
0.83755
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.83995
Conservative Target
0.83500
Risk:Reward
1:1.06
Optimal Target
0.83300
Stop Loss Distance
24.0 pips
Target Distance
25.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.83980
0.84286
0.84778
Support:
0.83687
0.83500
0.83300
Rationale
A steady downtrend with 81% retail long, French fiscal strain on the euro and a priced BoE November hike; the stop sits above 0.8398 resistance. RSI 15 plus UK retail sales (02:00 NY) and the flash PMIs raise bounce risk, so confidence is medium.
|
| EURJPY |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
175.848 |
176.000Sell limit |
176.680 |
175.000 |
+0.09R |
1:1.47 |
+0.62RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks
+0.09R
Analysis Price
175.848
Entry Point
176.000
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
176.680
Conservative Target
175.000
Risk:Reward
1:1.47
Optimal Target
175.000
Stop Loss Distance
68.0 pips
Target Distance
100.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
176.212
176.604
177.965
Support:
175.540
175.000
Rationale
Broke its two-week floor with the euro weak and the yen bid on December BoJ hike talk and intervention warnings; the stop sits above 176.604 resistance. 175.00 is the last level given, so the optimal target equals the conservative one.
|
| EURUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.12196 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.12196
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.12693
1.13000
1.13801
Support:
1.11885
1.11612
1.11130
Rationale
Lower highs persist, but the dollar slid to a three-week low and price has held a tight 1.121-1.124 band for four sessions. Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURGBP, EURCAD and EURJPY.
|
| GBPUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.34015 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.34015
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.34188
1.35061
1.35678
Support:
1.33547
1.32953
1.32040
Rationale
Bullish breakout with 68% retail short and a priced BoE November hike, but the first level reaching 1:1 is 1.35061, over 1.4 ATR away, too far for one session. Long-GBP is carried by EURGBP and GBPAUD.
|
| USDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
156.736 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
156.736
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
157.520
158.056
158.520
Support:
156.678
156.375
155.229
Rationale
The news backs the drop (December BoJ hike talk, intervention threat), but the only target reaching 1:1 is 155.229, about 1.5 ATR away, leaving no edge over baseline. Long-JPY is carried by EURJPY.
|
| USDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.82033 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.82033
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.82463
0.82635
0.82820
Support:
0.81913
0.81830
0.80671
Rationale
Lower highs favour sellers, but with the stop beyond 0.82463 no support reaches 1:1 before 0.80671, more than 2 ATR away.
|
| AUDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.70189 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.70189
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.70363
0.70428
0.70775
Support:
0.69937
0.69705
0.69326
Rationale
Neutral bias: stalling under the 0.70428 cap with flat RSI and balanced retail, after risk-off on Oct 22 offset hawkish RBA support.
|
| USDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.40051 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.40051
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.40490
1.40814
1.41318
Support:
1.40000
1.39905
1.37620
Rationale
Six-day slide backed by BoC hike bets and oil, but price sits on the 1.40/1.39905 support and the next level, 1.3762, is nearly 4 ATR away, so no 1:1 target exists. Long-CAD is carried by EURCAD.
|
| NZDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.56832 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.56832
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.56872
0.57099
0.57486
Support:
0.56674
0.56458
0.55806
Rationale
Neutral bias: Oct 22 reversed from 0.57099 back under the 0.56872 pivot, with 69% retail long and no momentum confirmation.
|
| EURCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.92036 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.92036
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.92465
0.92683
0.92895
Support:
0.91950
0.91500
Rationale
Bearish staircase, but RSI 27.6 is oversold and the only 1:1 target, 0.915, gives no edge over baseline. Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURGBP, EURCAD and EURJPY.
|
| EURAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.59849 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.59849
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.60514
1.60928
1.61276
Support:
1.59545
1.59000
Rationale
Repeated holds at 1.5955-1.5960 form a possible double bottom and the 1:1 target 1.59 offers no edge. Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURGBP, EURCAD and EURJPY.
|
| EURNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.97425 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.97425
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.97560
1.97874
1.98717
Support:
1.96725
1.95740
1.95361
Rationale
Downtrend intact, but the stop must clear 1.97874 and the 1.96725 target barely reaches 1:1. Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURGBP, EURCAD and EURJPY.
|
| GBPJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
210.047 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
210.047
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
210.097
211.275
211.985
Support:
209.466
208.358
207.300
Rationale
Neutral bias: firm sterling against a bid yen leaves the pair mid-range after the 2.5-yen Oct 22 drop to 209.466.
|
| GBPCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.09936 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.09936
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.10054
1.10459
1.10702
Support:
1.09704
1.09586
1.08892
Rationale
Neutral bias: mid-range between 1.0960 and 1.1070 with MACD flat at zero and balanced retail.
|
| GBPCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.87681 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.87681
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.87855
1.88443
1.89067
Support:
1.87417
1.87321
1.86514
Rationale
Neutral bias: both legs are firm on BoE and BoC hike expectations, and the pair sits mid-range above the 1.87321 floor.
|
| GBPNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
2.35812 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
2.35812
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.35832
2.36667
Support:
2.35427
2.34534
2.32432
Rationale
Retail 76% short favours upside, but a 0.5 ATR stop sits inside daily noise and the only target is the 2.36667 ceiling rejected four times. Long-GBP is carried by EURGBP and GBPAUD.
|
| AUDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
110.010 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
110.010
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
110.641
111.128
111.305
Support:
109.643
109.190
108.631
Rationale
Neutral bias: rejected the 111.305 range top, and the 1:1 target 109.19 sits about 1 ATR below with no edge over baseline.
|
| CADJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
111.920 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
111.920
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
112.586
112.689
112.921
Support:
111.639
111.237
110.756
Rationale
Neutral bias: a firm loonie against a bid yen, with a double top at 112.689 and 66% retail long.
|
| NZDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
89.067 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
89.067
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
89.612
90.337
90.542
Support:
88.861
88.264
88.116
Rationale
The failed breakout and 76% retail long argue lower, but the 1:1 target 88.2635 is over 1 ATR away, leaving no edge over baseline. Long-JPY is carried by EURJPY.
|
| CHFJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
191.067 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
191.067
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
190.897
191.942
192.148
Support:
190.716
189.172
188.455
Rationale
Neutral bias: both are haven currencies, and price sits just under the 190.8965 pivot with RSI neutral.
|
| AUDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.57578 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.57578
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.57810
0.58054
0.58163
Support:
0.57430
0.57280
0.57043
Rationale
Neutral bias: mid-range between 0.5704 and 0.5856, with soft momentum offset by 62% retail short.
|
| AUDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.98295 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.98295
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.98875
0.99256
0.99581
Support:
0.98125
0.97906
0.97545
Rationale
The lower high at 0.98875 favours sellers, but with the stop above it no support reaches 1:1 before 0.97545, about 1.4 ATR away. Long-CAD is carried by EURCAD.
|
| AUDNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.23503 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.23503
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.23697
1.24367
1.24650
Support:
1.23064
1.22782
1.22692
Rationale
Retail 74% short supports a squeeze, but the 1:1 target 1.24367 is over 1.3 ATR away and momentum has not turned.
|
| NZDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.46615 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.46615
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.46828
0.47062
0.47237
Support:
0.46547
0.46433
0.46334
Rationale
Low-confidence bearish bias, and the 1:1 target 0.46433 offers no edge over baseline inside a 0.4633-0.4724 box.
|
| NZDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.79586 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.79586
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.80000
0.80167
0.80358
Support:
0.79518
0.79468
0.79000
Rationale
78% retail long sits on the 0.7947 floor, but the 1:1 target 0.79 is over 1.2 ATR away and that floor has held three times. Long-CAD is carried by EURCAD.
|
| CADCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58576 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.58576
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58786
0.58866
0.59074
Support:
0.58447
0.58280
0.58116
Rationale
Neutral bias: a narrow 0.5845-0.5880 band with MACD flat, barely one ATR wide.
|