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Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Thursday, 22 October 2026 Forecast for: Friday, 23 October 2026 Plan window: Thu 23:00 – Fri 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

You are viewing an archived forecast

This is the forex forecast generated for 22 October 2026. View current forecast

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Today's plans lean against the euro, which sits near cycle lows against sterling and the Canadian dollar amid French fiscal strain and heavy retail buying. They also favour the yen after its Oct 22 breakout on December BoJ hike talk and intervention warnings, and stay short gold after its break below 4066. Sterling and the Canadian dollar, backed by Bank of England and Bank of Canada hike expectations, are the firm side of the euro trades.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

  • GBP Retail Sales m/m at 02:00 NY, then GBP Flash PMIs at 04:30 NY
  • EUR French and German Flash PMIs at 03:15-03:30 NY
  • USD Flash PMIs at 09:45 NY and revised UoM inflation expectations at 10:00 NY
  • JPY: intervention risk and December BoJ hike talk after the Oct 22 yen breakout, ahead of next week's Fed, ECB and BoJ meetings

Best Opportunities

EURCAD Bearish
XAUUSD Bearish
EURJPY Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (363 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 23% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

EURCAD

Bearish Medium Confidence
R/R 1:1.07

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.57240 Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.57930 (69.0 pips)
Conservative Target 1.56500 (74.0 pips)
Optimal Target 1.56000 (124.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.57909 1.58208 1.58628
Support: 1.56935 1.56500 1.56000

Rationale

Clean lower highs and 80% retail long, with BoC hike bets near 80% and firm oil backing the CAD leg; the stop sits above the 1.57909 Oct 22 high. EUR flash PMIs at 03:15-03:30 NY are the main risk.

XAUUSD

Bearish Medium Confidence
R/R 1:1.10

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 4040.00 Sell limit
Stop Loss 4080.00 (40.0 pts)
Conservative Target 3995.98 (44.0 pts)
Optimal Target 3950.00 (90.0 pts)

Key Levels

Resistance: 4066.46 4120.34 4144.57
Support: 4019.14 3995.98 3950.00

Rationale

Broke below 4066 with expanding ATR, 66% retail long and 10-year yields above 5% weighing; the stop sits above the broken 4066.46 floor. USD flash PMIs and UoM inflation expectations at 09:45-10:00 NY are the event risk.

EURJPY

Bearish Medium Confidence
R/R 1:1.47

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 176.000 Sell limit
Stop Loss 176.680 (68.0 pips)
Conservative Target 175.000 (100.0 pips)
Optimal Target 175.000 (100.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 176.212 176.604 177.965
Support: 175.540 175.000

Rationale

Broke its two-week floor with the euro weak and the yen bid on December BoJ hike talk and intervention warnings; the stop sits above 176.604 resistance. 175.00 is the last level given, so the optimal target equals the conservative one.

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

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Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair Direction Confidence Analysis Price Entry Stop Loss Target Expected result Risk:Reward Result

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R
Analysis Price 1.57123
Entry Point 1.57240
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.57930
Conservative Target 1.56500
Risk:Reward 1:1.07
Optimal Target 1.56000
Stop Loss Distance 69.0 pips
Target Distance 74.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.57909 1.58208 1.58628
Support: 1.56935 1.56500 1.56000

Rationale

Clean lower highs and 80% retail long, with BoC hike bets near 80% and firm oil backing the CAD leg; the stop sits above the 1.57909 Oct 22 high. EUR flash PMIs at 03:15-03:30 NY are the main risk.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R
Analysis Price 1.90936
Entry Point 1.90800
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.90250
Conservative Target 1.91453
Risk:Reward 1:1.19
Optimal Target 1.92288
Stop Loss Distance 55.0 pips
Target Distance 65.3 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.91148 1.91453 1.92288
Support: 1.90612 1.90302 1.89388

Rationale

A mild uptrend holding the 1.903 double low; buy the dip with the stop under 1.90302, targeting the 1.91453 range top. Confidence is low because hawkish RBA support for AUD and the UK retail sales and PMIs both land this morning.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R
Analysis Price 4030.14
Entry Point 4040.00
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 4080.00
Conservative Target 3995.98
Risk:Reward 1:1.10
Optimal Target 3950.00
Stop Loss Distance 40.0 pts
Target Distance 44.0 pts

Key Levels

Resistance: 4066.46 4120.34 4144.57
Support: 4019.14 3995.98 3950.00

Rationale

Broke below 4066 with expanding ATR, 66% retail long and 10-year yields above 5% weighing; the stop sits above the broken 4066.46 floor. USD flash PMIs and UoM inflation expectations at 09:45-10:00 NY are the event risk.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R
Analysis Price 0.83719
Entry Point 0.83755
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.83995
Conservative Target 0.83500
Risk:Reward 1:1.06
Optimal Target 0.83300
Stop Loss Distance 24.0 pips
Target Distance 25.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.83980 0.84286 0.84778
Support: 0.83687 0.83500 0.83300

Rationale

A steady downtrend with 81% retail long, French fiscal strain on the euro and a priced BoE November hike; the stop sits above 0.8398 resistance. RSI 15 plus UK retail sales (02:00 NY) and the flash PMIs raise bounce risk, so confidence is medium.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R
Analysis Price 175.848
Entry Point 176.000
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 176.680
Conservative Target 175.000
Risk:Reward 1:1.47
Optimal Target 175.000
Stop Loss Distance 68.0 pips
Target Distance 100.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 176.212 176.604 177.965
Support: 175.540 175.000

Rationale

Broke its two-week floor with the euro weak and the yen bid on December BoJ hike talk and intervention warnings; the stop sits above 176.604 resistance. 175.00 is the last level given, so the optimal target equals the conservative one.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.12196
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.12693 1.13000 1.13801
Support: 1.11885 1.11612 1.11130

Rationale

Lower highs persist, but the dollar slid to a three-week low and price has held a tight 1.121-1.124 band for four sessions. Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURGBP, EURCAD and EURJPY.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.34015
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.34188 1.35061 1.35678
Support: 1.33547 1.32953 1.32040

Rationale

Bullish breakout with 68% retail short and a priced BoE November hike, but the first level reaching 1:1 is 1.35061, over 1.4 ATR away, too far for one session. Long-GBP is carried by EURGBP and GBPAUD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 156.736
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 157.520 158.056 158.520
Support: 156.678 156.375 155.229

Rationale

The news backs the drop (December BoJ hike talk, intervention threat), but the only target reaching 1:1 is 155.229, about 1.5 ATR away, leaving no edge over baseline. Long-JPY is carried by EURJPY.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.82033
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.82463 0.82635 0.82820
Support: 0.81913 0.81830 0.80671

Rationale

Lower highs favour sellers, but with the stop beyond 0.82463 no support reaches 1:1 before 0.80671, more than 2 ATR away.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.70189
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.70363 0.70428 0.70775
Support: 0.69937 0.69705 0.69326

Rationale

Neutral bias: stalling under the 0.70428 cap with flat RSI and balanced retail, after risk-off on Oct 22 offset hawkish RBA support.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.40051
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.40490 1.40814 1.41318
Support: 1.40000 1.39905 1.37620

Rationale

Six-day slide backed by BoC hike bets and oil, but price sits on the 1.40/1.39905 support and the next level, 1.3762, is nearly 4 ATR away, so no 1:1 target exists. Long-CAD is carried by EURCAD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.56832
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.56872 0.57099 0.57486
Support: 0.56674 0.56458 0.55806

Rationale

Neutral bias: Oct 22 reversed from 0.57099 back under the 0.56872 pivot, with 69% retail long and no momentum confirmation.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.92036
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.92465 0.92683 0.92895
Support: 0.91950 0.91500

Rationale

Bearish staircase, but RSI 27.6 is oversold and the only 1:1 target, 0.915, gives no edge over baseline. Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURGBP, EURCAD and EURJPY.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.59849
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.60514 1.60928 1.61276
Support: 1.59545 1.59000

Rationale

Repeated holds at 1.5955-1.5960 form a possible double bottom and the 1:1 target 1.59 offers no edge. Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURGBP, EURCAD and EURJPY.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.97425
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.97560 1.97874 1.98717
Support: 1.96725 1.95740 1.95361

Rationale

Downtrend intact, but the stop must clear 1.97874 and the 1.96725 target barely reaches 1:1. Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURGBP, EURCAD and EURJPY.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 210.047
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 210.097 211.275 211.985
Support: 209.466 208.358 207.300

Rationale

Neutral bias: firm sterling against a bid yen leaves the pair mid-range after the 2.5-yen Oct 22 drop to 209.466.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.09936
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.10054 1.10459 1.10702
Support: 1.09704 1.09586 1.08892

Rationale

Neutral bias: mid-range between 1.0960 and 1.1070 with MACD flat at zero and balanced retail.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.87681
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.87855 1.88443 1.89067
Support: 1.87417 1.87321 1.86514

Rationale

Neutral bias: both legs are firm on BoE and BoC hike expectations, and the pair sits mid-range above the 1.87321 floor.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 2.35812
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.35832 2.36667
Support: 2.35427 2.34534 2.32432

Rationale

Retail 76% short favours upside, but a 0.5 ATR stop sits inside daily noise and the only target is the 2.36667 ceiling rejected four times. Long-GBP is carried by EURGBP and GBPAUD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 110.010
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 110.641 111.128 111.305
Support: 109.643 109.190 108.631

Rationale

Neutral bias: rejected the 111.305 range top, and the 1:1 target 109.19 sits about 1 ATR below with no edge over baseline.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 111.920
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 112.586 112.689 112.921
Support: 111.639 111.237 110.756

Rationale

Neutral bias: a firm loonie against a bid yen, with a double top at 112.689 and 66% retail long.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 89.067
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 89.612 90.337 90.542
Support: 88.861 88.264 88.116

Rationale

The failed breakout and 76% retail long argue lower, but the 1:1 target 88.2635 is over 1 ATR away, leaving no edge over baseline. Long-JPY is carried by EURJPY.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 191.067
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 190.897 191.942 192.148
Support: 190.716 189.172 188.455

Rationale

Neutral bias: both are haven currencies, and price sits just under the 190.8965 pivot with RSI neutral.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.57578
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.57810 0.58054 0.58163
Support: 0.57430 0.57280 0.57043

Rationale

Neutral bias: mid-range between 0.5704 and 0.5856, with soft momentum offset by 62% retail short.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.98295
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.98875 0.99256 0.99581
Support: 0.98125 0.97906 0.97545

Rationale

The lower high at 0.98875 favours sellers, but with the stop above it no support reaches 1:1 before 0.97545, about 1.4 ATR away. Long-CAD is carried by EURCAD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.23503
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.23697 1.24367 1.24650
Support: 1.23064 1.22782 1.22692

Rationale

Retail 74% short supports a squeeze, but the 1:1 target 1.24367 is over 1.3 ATR away and momentum has not turned.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.46615
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.46828 0.47062 0.47237
Support: 0.46547 0.46433 0.46334

Rationale

Low-confidence bearish bias, and the 1:1 target 0.46433 offers no edge over baseline inside a 0.4633-0.4724 box.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.79586
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.80000 0.80167 0.80358
Support: 0.79518 0.79468 0.79000

Rationale

78% retail long sits on the 0.7947 floor, but the 1:1 target 0.79 is over 1.2 ATR away and that floor has held three times. Long-CAD is carried by EURCAD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.58576
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58786 0.58866 0.59074
Support: 0.58447 0.58280 0.58116

Rationale

Neutral bias: a narrow 0.5845-0.5880 band with MACD flat, barely one ATR wide.

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$8 average per $100 risked

98 of 142 picks filled, over 48 verified days · target hit 16%

Every plan on the board

−$5 average per $100 risked

371 plans over 48 verified days · target hit 11%

48 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 98 picks the honest range around the +$8 runs from −$8 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 142 picks published, 98 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 24 of the 98 picks lost the full $100, against 58 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 39% of the Top 3 result, and 27 of the 98 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$13 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 371 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 23 Oct 2026)

  • Target hit 11% (39)
  • Stop hit 24% (89)
  • Timed out 65% (243)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 168 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown
30% Win rate 39 of 128 plans closed at target or stop
-0.05R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one
+0.09R Timed-out average how those 243 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

19%
14 of 72 plans

Bearish

45%
25 of 56 plans

Win rate by pair

PairWin ratePlans
EURJPY
75%
3 / 4
GBPJPY
75%
3 / 4
NZDJPY
60%
3 / 5
NZDCAD
50%
2 / 4
AUDCHF
43%
3 / 7
AUDUSD
43%
3 / 7
EURGBP
40%
2 / 5
EURNZD
40%
2 / 5
EURUSD
40%
2 / 5
NZDUSD
40%
2 / 5
USDCAD
40%
2 / 5
EURCAD
33%
1 / 3
XAUUSD
33%
1 / 3
GBPUSD
33%
1 / 3
CHFJPY
33%
1 / 3
EURCHF
30%
3 / 10
USDCHF
25%
1 / 4
USDJPY
25%
1 / 4
GBPAUD
17%
1 / 6
AUDJPY
14%
1 / 7
GBPCHF
0%
0 / 3
GBPNZD
0%
0 / 4
NZDCHF
0%
0 / 5
GBPCAD
0%
0 / 7
AUDCAD
0%
0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit
Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit
Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out
The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled
Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken
Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

23 Oct 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $93
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Bearish 0.83755 → 0.83500 Timed out +0.18R
EURJPY Bearish 176.000 → 175.000 Timed out +0.62R
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Bearish 1.57240 → 1.56500 Not filled –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90800 → 1.91453 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Bearish 4040.00 → 3995.98 Not filled –
22 Oct 2026 2 target · 3 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $87
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bearish 1.40570 → 1.39905 Not filled –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Bearish 0.83900 → 0.83713 Target hit +1.25R
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Bearish 0.92640 → 0.92302 Not filled –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Bearish 1.57850 → 1.57403 Target hit +1.12R
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Bullish 1.10310 → 1.10633 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bullish 110.950 → 111.645 Stop hit -1.00R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Bullish 0.57840 → 0.58163 Stop hit -1.00R
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
21 Oct 2026 1 target · 0 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $155
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Bearish 0.82620 → 0.82272 Timed out +0.68R
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bearish 1.40710 → 1.39905 Timed out +0.41R
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bearish 0.92790 → 0.92228 Not filled –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Bearish 1.58030 → 1.57403 Timed out +0.67R
EURNZD Bearish 1.97840 → 1.97223 Target hit +1.16R
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Bullish 191.500 → 192.148 Timed out +0.64R
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Bearish 0.98680 → 0.98389 Timed out -0.28R
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Bearish 4142.00 → 4073.47 Not filled –
20 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $148
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bearish 1.41160 → 1.40701 Not filled –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84310 → 0.83979 Not filled –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bearish 0.92760 → 0.92228 Timed out +0.42R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Bearish 1.58270 → 1.57727 Not filled –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Bullish 210.800 → 212.000 Timed out +1.16R
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Bullish 191.620 → 192.478 Timed out +0.41R
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Bullish 1.23180 → 1.23697 Timed out +0.10R
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Bearish 0.79950 → 0.79518 Timed out +0.31R
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
19 Oct 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $57
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Bullish 1.33270 → 1.33999 Timed out -0.41R
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69750 → 0.69326 Timed out -0.11R
USDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bearish 0.92550 → 0.92000 Timed out -0.35R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.91240 → 1.92142 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35370 → 2.36179 Stop hit -1.00R
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CHFJPY Bullish 191.450 → 192.478 Timed out +0.44R
AUDCHF Bearish 0.57460 → 0.57043 Timed out -0.62R
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

  1. Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
  2. Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
  3. AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
  4. Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

  • Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
  • Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
  • Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
  • Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
  • Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
  • Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 17%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

  • Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
  • Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
  • Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
  • Adjust position size based on expected volatility
  • Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
  • Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

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