Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Wednesday, 21 October 2026 Forecast for: Thursday, 22 October 2026 Plan window: Wed 23:00 – Thu 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-10-21

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Today's plans follow three themes: a weak euro, hit by unrest in France and Europe's energy shock; a firm pound, after hot UK inflation all but locked in a November Bank of England hike; and a firmer Canadian dollar, with oil near $100. The Australian dollar's rebound is traded against the franc and the yen. Only one yen plan is open, because Tokyo has warned against further yen weakness just below 159 and both the Bank of Japan and the Fed meet next week.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

USD Unemployment Claims at 08:30 NY (medium impact)
GBP: follow-through after the hot September CPI, with a 5 November BoE hike almost fully priced
JPY: official warnings against yen weakness below 159; BoJ and Fed decisions due next week
EURGBP test of 0.83713 support; oil swings near $100 steering CAD

Best Opportunities

EURGBP Bearish

USDCAD Bearish

EURCHF Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (357 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

EURGBP

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.25

Expected result +0.12 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.83900 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.84050 (15.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.83713 (18.7 pips)

Optimal Target 0.83500 (40.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.83980 0.84286 0.84503

Support: 0.83713 0.83500

Rationale

A steady downtrend with 80% of retail long, plus a hot UK CPI that firmed November BoE hike bets while French unrest weighs on the euro. Close on the low with RSI 17, so the entry is shallow, under 0.8398, and the stop is volatility-sized.

Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail

USDCAD

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:2.02

Expected result +0.11 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.40570 Sell limit

Stop Loss 1.40900 (33.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.39905 (66.5 pips)

Optimal Target 1.37620 (295.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.40814 1.41085 1.41318

Support: 1.40379 1.40318 1.39905

Rationale

Five lower closes from the 1.43 ceiling and a falling MACD, with oil near $100 supporting CAD and the dollar soft. Sell a pullback below 1.40814 resistance and target the 1.39905 pivot; the 08:30 NY claims data is only medium impact.

Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

EURCHF

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.21

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.92640 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.92920 (28.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.92302 (33.8 pips)

Optimal Target 0.92228 (41.2 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.92756 0.92895 0.93172

Support: 0.92597 0.92465 0.92302

Rationale

Lower highs and lower lows since 1 October, 70% of retail long, and the euro under pressure from French fiscal and political stress. Sell a pullback toward 0.92756, with the stop above 0.92895.

Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
EURGBP	Bearish	High	0.83865	0.83900Sell limit	0.84050	0.83713	+0.12R	1:1.25	+1.25RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R Analysis Price 0.83865 Entry Point 0.83900 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.84050 Conservative Target 0.83713 Risk:Reward 1:1.25 Optimal Target 0.83500 Stop Loss Distance 15.0 pips Target Distance 18.7 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.83980 0.84286 0.84503 Support: 0.83713 0.83500 Rationale A steady downtrend with 80% of retail long, plus a hot UK CPI that firmed November BoE hike bets while French unrest weighs on the euro. Close on the low with RSI 17, so the entry is shallow, under 0.8398, and the stop is volatility-sized. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Bearish	Medium	1.40479	1.40570Sell limit	1.40900	1.39905	+0.11R	1:2.02	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R Analysis Price 1.40479 Entry Point 1.40570 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.40900 Conservative Target 1.39905 Risk:Reward 1:2.02 Optimal Target 1.37620 Stop Loss Distance 33.0 pips Target Distance 66.5 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.40814 1.41085 1.41318 Support: 1.40379 1.40318 1.39905 Rationale Five lower closes from the 1.43 ceiling and a falling MACD, with oil near $100 supporting CAD and the dollar soft. Sell a pullback below 1.40814 resistance and target the 1.39905 pivot; the 08:30 NY claims data is only medium impact. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Bearish	Medium	1.57747	1.57850Sell limit	1.58250	1.57403	+0.10R	1:1.12	+1.12RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 1.57747 Entry Point 1.57850 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.58250 Conservative Target 1.57403 Risk:Reward 1:1.12 Optimal Target 1.57000 Stop Loss Distance 40.0 pips Target Distance 44.7 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.58061 1.58208 1.58628 Support: 1.57575 1.57403 1.57000 Rationale The downtrend sped up after the 19 October gap, 78% of retail is long, and oil near $100 supports CAD. RSI 28 is oversold, so the stop sits just above 1.58208 and the target is the 1.57403 low. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Bullish	Low	111.068	110.950Buy limit	110.500	111.645	+0.10R	1:1.54	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 111.068 Entry Point 110.950 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 110.500 Conservative Target 111.645 Risk:Reward 1:1.54 Optimal Target 112.616 Stop Loss Distance 45.0 pips Target Distance 69.5 pips Key Levels Resistance: 111.259 111.645 112.616 Support: 110.767 110.616 110.356 Rationale A breakout above the 111.128 October cap with 65% of retail short, and the only short-JPY plan open. Confidence is low because of official warnings against yen weakness and next week's BoJ meeting. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Bearish	High	0.92583	0.92640Sell limit	0.92920	0.92302	+0.09R	1:1.21	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 0.92583 Entry Point 0.92640 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.92920 Conservative Target 0.92302 Risk:Reward 1:1.21 Optimal Target 0.92228 Stop Loss Distance 28.0 pips Target Distance 33.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.92756 0.92895 0.93172 Support: 0.92597 0.92465 0.92302 Rationale Lower highs and lower lows since 1 October, 70% of retail long, and the euro under pressure from French fiscal and political stress. Sell a pullback toward 0.92756, with the stop above 0.92895. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Bullish	Medium	1.10395	1.10310Buy limit	1.10010	1.10633	+0.09R	1:1.08	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 1.10395 Entry Point 1.10310 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.10010 Conservative Target 1.10633 Risk:Reward 1:1.08 Optimal Target 1.11044 Stop Loss Distance 30.0 pips Target Distance 32.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.10633 1.10702 1.11044 Support: 1.10214 1.09786 1.09600 Rationale Three higher closes, 61% of retail short, and the pound firm after the hot CPI sealed November BoE hike bets. Buy a pullback toward 1.10214 for a retest of the 1.10633 cap; the stop is volatility-sized. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.57901	0.57840Buy limit	0.57590	0.58163	+0.08R	1:1.29	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 0.57901 Entry Point 0.57840 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.57590 Conservative Target 0.58163 Risk:Reward 1:1.29 Optimal Target 0.58464 Stop Loss Distance 25.0 pips Target Distance 32.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.58054 0.58163 0.58464 Support: 0.57875 0.57621 0.57480 Rationale The 15 October plunge is almost fully retraced with 73% of retail short, a contrarian tailwind. Buy a dip below 0.57875 with the stop under 0.57621, targeting the 0.58163 pivot. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.56894	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.56894 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.57041 0.57486 0.59052 Support: 0.56713 0.56520 0.56104 Rationale The uptrend is intact, but a stop beyond 0.56713 only buys about 1:1 into the 0.57041 high, which is no better than a coin flip. USD-short exposure is kept low on purpose. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.35390	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 2.35390 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.35832 2.36202 2.36657 Support: 2.34829 2.34534 2.34420 Rationale Lower highs and a fading MACD weaken the case despite 73% of retail short, and the first target barely pays 1:1. Long GBP is already in EURGBP and GBPCHF. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Low	1.23452	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.23452 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.23697 1.24367 1.24650 Support: 1.23054 1.22782 1.22692 Rationale Retail is 75% short, but the MACD is below its signal and the first target barely pays 1:1. Long AUD is already in AUDCHF and AUDJPY. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.46894	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.46894 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.47010 0.47237 0.47371 Support: 0.46758 0.46679 0.46433 Rationale The climb is intact, but a 0.5 ATR stop only buys about 1:1 into 0.4701, with no edge over baseline. Short-CHF exposure is already in GBPCHF and AUDCHF. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.12309	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.12309 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.12606 1.12693 1.13367 Support: 1.12044 1.11819 1.11525 Rationale The short-EUR theme already runs through EURGBP, EURCAD and EURCHF. The dollar is also soft, near a three-week low, which takes away the cleanest edge here. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	158.136	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 158.136 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 158.390 158.601 158.948 Support: 157.839 157.536 156.948 Rationale The pair has ranged between 156.4 and 159.0 for a month with flat momentum and split retail. Official warnings below 159 and next week's BoJ and Fed meetings leave no clean side. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.82436	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.82436 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.82635 0.82699 0.83050 Support: 0.82355 0.82220 0.82175 Rationale The bearish tilt is low confidence inside a 0.8222-0.82699 range, and retail is exactly 50/50. CHF is already traded in EURCHF, GBPCHF and AUDCHF. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	177.599	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 177.599 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 177.832 177.965 178.336 Support: 177.280 177.134 176.516 Rationale Three sessions have squeezed into a 177.1-177.9 band and the signals cancel out. Euro weakness and yen intervention risk pull in opposite directions. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.59900	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.59900 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.60512 1.60928 1.61276 Support: 1.59611 1.59545 1.59000 Rationale Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURGBP, EURCAD and EURCHF. Price is also right on the 1.59545 low, so there is little room to the first target. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Neutral	Low	1.97411	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.97411 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.97560 1.97878 1.98121 Support: 1.96956 1.95740 1.95361 Rationale Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURGBP, EURCAD and EURCHF. RSI 28.7 is already oversold and retail gives no contrarian signal. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.90665	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.90665 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.91059 1.91412 1.92142 Support: 1.90302 1.90080 1.89388 Rationale Price sits mid-range after the 15 October spike faded, and price action does not confirm the mild upward lean. Both legs are firm, so there is no edge. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.88096	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.88096 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.88443 1.89052 1.89256 Support: 1.87948 1.87321 1.87117 Rationale Choppy rotation around 1.88 inside the 1.873-1.893 range, with a flat MACD. GBP strength and oil-backed CAD offset each other. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	112.586	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 112.586 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 112.689 112.921 115.419 Support: 112.235 111.676 111.237 Rationale Short-JPY exposure is capped at AUDJPY given intervention warnings and the yen bid after the JGB auction. Long CAD is carried by USDCAD and EURCAD. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	191.827	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 191.827 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 191.944 192.148 192.478 Support: 191.444 191.166 190.784 Rationale Four sessions squeezed between 191.17 and 192.15 with no retail edge. The yen leg carries intervention and BoJ risk, so there is no trade before a breakout. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.98654	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.98654 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.98791 0.98875 0.99256 Support: 0.98415 0.98389 0.98113 Rationale Retail is 75% short, but a long here would fight the oil-backed long-CAD theme in USDCAD and EURCAD. The MACD is also still negative. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.79906	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.79906 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.80145 0.80200 0.80358 Support: 0.79815 0.79752 0.79518 Rationale Pinned in a month-long 0.7947-0.8052 corridor around 0.8000, with no momentum and only a weak retail lean. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58691	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58691 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58782 0.58866 0.59074 Support: 0.58557 0.58472 0.58280 Rationale Price sits at the top of the 0.5787-0.5887 range with no breakout conviction and no retail signal. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	4136.63	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 4136.63 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4155.43 4198.90 4217.17 Support: 4105.02 4073.47 4066.46 Rationale The bearish tilt is low confidence and selling pressure is easing. The dollar near a three-week low and 10-year yields above 5% pull gold in opposite directions. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Neutral	Low	89.958	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 89.958 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 90.212 90.542 91.000 Support: 89.669 89.172 88.959 Rationale 69% of retail is long, a headwind, and short-JPY exposure is limited to AUDJPY because of official intervention warnings. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.70238	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.70238 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.70359 0.70450 0.70775 Support: 0.70221 0.69923 0.69705 Rationale News flow shows the rebound stalling at the 100-day average as sellers return, and the first target that pays 1:1 is up at 0.70775. The long-AUD theme goes through AUDCHF and AUDJPY. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	211.769	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 211.769 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 211.983 213.000 217.467 Support: 211.369 210.750 209.559 Rationale Long GBP is carried by EURGBP and GBPCHF, and short-JPY exposure is limited to AUDJPY because of the official warnings against yen weakness. The first target that pays 1:1 is 213. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.33917	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.33917 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.34091 1.35061 1.35678 Support: 1.33641 1.32953 1.32618 Rationale The bias is bullish after the hot UK CPI, but the first target that pays 1:1 is 1.35061, a 1.7 ATR run in one session. The long-GBP theme goes through EURGBP and GBPCHF instead. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$8 average per $100 risked

98 of 142 picks filled, over 48 verified days · target hit 16%

Every plan on the board

−$5 average per $100 risked

371 plans over 48 verified days · target hit 11%

48 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 98 picks the honest range around the +$8 runs from −$8 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 142 picks published, 98 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 24 of the 98 picks lost the full $100, against 58 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 39% of the Top 3 result, and 27 of the 98 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$13 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 371 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 23 Oct 2026)

Target hit 11% (39)
Stop hit 24% (89)
Timed out 65% (243)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 168 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

30% Win rate 39 of 128 plans closed at target or stop

-0.05R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.09R Timed-out average how those 243 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

19%

14 of 72 plans

Bearish

45%

25 of 56 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
EURJPY	75%	3 / 4
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
NZDJPY	60%	3 / 5
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDCHF	43%	3 / 7
AUDUSD	43%	3 / 7
EURGBP	40%	2 / 5
EURNZD	40%	2 / 5
EURUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
USDCAD	40%	2 / 5
EURCAD	33%	1 / 3
XAUUSD	33%	1 / 3
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	30%	3 / 10
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
GBPAUD	17%	1 / 6
AUDJPY	14%	1 / 7
GBPCHF	0%	0 / 3
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 4
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 7
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

23 Oct 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $93

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.83755 → 0.83500	Timed out	+0.18R
EURJPY	Bearish	176.000 → 175.000	Timed out	+0.62R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.57240 → 1.56500	Not filled	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.90800 → 1.91453	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4040.00 → 3995.98	Not filled	–

22 Oct 2026 2 target · 3 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $87

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bearish	1.40570 → 1.39905	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.83900 → 0.83713	Target hit	+1.25R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.92640 → 0.92302	Not filled	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.57850 → 1.57403	Target hit	+1.12R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Bullish	1.10310 → 1.10633	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Bullish	110.950 → 111.645	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.57840 → 0.58163	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

21 Oct 2026 1 target · 0 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $155

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Bearish	0.82620 → 0.82272	Timed out	+0.68R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bearish	1.40710 → 1.39905	Timed out	+0.41R
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.92790 → 0.92228	Not filled	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.58030 → 1.57403	Timed out	+0.67R
EURNZD	Bearish	1.97840 → 1.97223	Target hit	+1.16R
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Bullish	191.500 → 192.148	Timed out	+0.64R
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Bearish	0.98680 → 0.98389	Timed out	-0.28R
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4142.00 → 4073.47	Not filled	–

20 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $148

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bearish	1.41160 → 1.40701	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84310 → 0.83979	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.92760 → 0.92228	Timed out	+0.42R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.58270 → 1.57727	Not filled	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Bullish	210.800 → 212.000	Timed out	+1.16R
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Bullish	191.620 → 192.478	Timed out	+0.41R
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.23180 → 1.23697	Timed out	+0.10R
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.79950 → 0.79518	Timed out	+0.31R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

19 Oct 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $57

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Bullish	1.33270 → 1.33999	Timed out	-0.41R
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Bearish	0.69750 → 0.69326	Timed out	-0.11R
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.92550 → 0.92000	Timed out	-0.35R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.91240 → 1.92142	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35370 → 2.36179	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Bullish	191.450 → 192.478	Timed out	+0.44R
AUDCHF	Bearish	0.57460 → 0.57043	Timed out	-0.62R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 17%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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The AI plan of the day on your chart: entry, stop and two targets for every market our AI reads as directional. The Trade Panel runs the whole account from one chart — five-factor signals, orders prefilled from the plan with automatic lot sizing, close-only account protection. The new Chart Panel sits beside each chart you trade: retail positioning, our signal and the AI plan for that market, levels drawn on the chart, stop and target you can drag. Available now: one license, both panels.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

EURGBP

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USDCAD

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