Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Sunday, 25 October 2026 Forecast for: Monday, 26 October 2026 Plan window: Sun 23:00 – Mon 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-10-25

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Today's plans follow three themes: a weak euro, a Canadian dollar firmed by expectations of a Bank of Canada hike on Wednesday, and a yen that has turned higher since the 22 October rally, with official intervention warnings in the background. Gold's first close below 4000 adds a fourth idea: selling XAUUSD on pullbacks. Monday's calendar is empty, but it opens a week of Fed, BoC, ECB and BoJ decisions, so most crosses that repeat these themes are left neutral.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

CAD: Bank of Canada decision on Wednesday with a hike largely expected, underpinning CAD in EURCAD, USDCAD and CADCHF
JPY: intervention risk after July's joint US-Japan action and October warnings from Tokyo; BoJ decides Friday
EURAUD and EURCAD tests of the 1.5904 and 1.5646 lows as French fiscal strain limits the ECB ahead of Thursday
XAUUSD: 3976 low and 3950 below the sub-4000 close; Fed decides Wednesday with a tightening bias

Best Opportunities

EURCAD Bearish

USDJPY Bearish

XAUUSD Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (371 filled plans), 11% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

EURCAD

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.72

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.57150 Sell limit

Stop Loss 1.57550 (40.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.56460 (69.0 pips)

Optimal Target 1.56000 (115.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.57162 1.57909 1.58628

Support: 1.56460 1.56000 1.55500

Rationale

An unbroken staircase lower with an expanding MACD and 83% of retail long, while an expected BoC hike on Wednesday keeps CAD bid. Sell at 1.5716 resistance with a 0.54-ATR stop, targeting Friday's 1.5646 low.

Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail

USDJPY

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.35

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 157.050 Sell limit

Stop Loss 157.550 (50.0 pips)

Conservative Target 156.375 (67.5 pips)

Optimal Target 156.080 (97.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 157.163 158.056 158.521

Support: 156.678 156.375 156.080

Rationale

Sell a retest under the 157.16 breakdown level: momentum has turned, 66% of retail is long, and Tokyo's October intervention warnings plus Friday's BoJ meeting favour the yen side. The stop sits beyond 157.16 at 0.5 ATR.

Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

XAUUSD

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.51

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 4009.00 Sell limit

Stop Loss 4048.00 (39.0 pts)

Conservative Target 3950.00 (59.0 pts)

Optimal Target 3900.00 (109.0 pts)

Key Levels

Resistance: 4034.25 4066.46 4120.34

Support: 3995.98 3975.71 3950.00

Rationale

Sell a pullback under 4034 resistance, with the stop just beyond it at 0.5 ATR, after the sub-4000 close and a widening MACD with 64% of retail long. Middle East tensions could support gold, so confidence is medium.

Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
EURCAD	Bearish	High	1.57072	1.57150Sell limit	1.57550	1.56460	+0.10R	1:1.72	+1.11RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 1.57072 Entry Point 1.57150 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.57550 Conservative Target 1.56460 Risk:Reward 1:1.72 Optimal Target 1.56000 Stop Loss Distance 40.0 pips Target Distance 69.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.57162 1.57909 1.58628 Support: 1.56460 1.56000 1.55500 Rationale An unbroken staircase lower with an expanding MACD and 83% of retail long, while an expected BoC hike on Wednesday keeps CAD bid. Sell at 1.5716 resistance with a 0.54-ATR stop, targeting Friday's 1.5646 low. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Bearish	Medium	156.914	157.050Sell limit	157.550	156.375	+0.09R	1:1.35	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 156.914 Entry Point 157.050 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 157.550 Conservative Target 156.375 Risk:Reward 1:1.35 Optimal Target 156.080 Stop Loss Distance 50.0 pips Target Distance 67.5 pips Key Levels Resistance: 157.163 158.056 158.521 Support: 156.678 156.375 156.080 Rationale Sell a retest under the 157.16 breakdown level: momentum has turned, 66% of retail is long, and Tokyo's October intervention warnings plus Friday's BoJ meeting favour the yen side. The stop sits beyond 157.16 at 0.5 ATR. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Bearish	Medium	1.40105	1.40200Sell limit	1.40550	1.39679	+0.09R	1:1.49	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 1.40105 Entry Point 1.40200 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.40550 Conservative Target 1.39679 Risk:Reward 1:1.49 Optimal Target 1.37620 Stop Loss Distance 35.0 pips Target Distance 52.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.40490 1.40814 1.41318 Support: 1.39905 1.39679 1.37620 Rationale Sell a bounce under 1.4049 resistance, targeting Friday's 1.3968 low. Six lower closes in seven sessions, plus markets leaning toward a BoC hike on Wednesday, back CAD strength. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Bearish	Medium	175.923	176.100Sell limit	176.700	175.094	+0.09R	1:1.68	+0.04RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 175.923 Entry Point 176.100 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 176.700 Conservative Target 175.094 Risk:Reward 1:1.68 Optimal Target 174.000 Stop Loss Distance 60.0 pips Target Distance 100.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 176.214 177.965 178.336 Support: 175.094 174.000 Rationale Sell under 176.21 resistance with the stop just beyond it at 0.5 ATR, targeting Friday's 175.09 low. This expresses both the weak-euro and the firmer-yen themes while intervention risk keeps the yen supported. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Bearish	Medium	3998.52	4009.00Sell limit	4048.00	3950.00	+0.09R	1:1.51	-0.11RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 3998.52 Entry Point 4009.00 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 4048.00 Conservative Target 3950.00 Risk:Reward 1:1.51 Optimal Target 3900.00 Stop Loss Distance 39.0 pts Target Distance 59.0 pts Key Levels Resistance: 4034.25 4066.46 4120.34 Support: 3995.98 3975.71 3950.00 Rationale Sell a pullback under 4034 resistance, with the stop just beyond it at 0.5 ATR, after the sub-4000 close and a widening MACD with 64% of retail long. Middle East tensions could support gold, so confidence is medium. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Bearish	Medium	190.209	190.380Sell limit	190.980	189.172	+0.08R	1:2.01	+0.08RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 190.209 Entry Point 190.380 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 190.980 Conservative Target 189.172 Risk:Reward 1:2.01 Optimal Target 188.455 Stop Loss Distance 60.0 pips Target Distance 120.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 190.897 191.309 192.148 Support: 189.172 188.455 187.614 Rationale Sell a pullback under 190.90 resistance, with the stop just beyond it at 0.5 ATR, after the plateau unwound and Friday closed on its low with 65% of retail long. The 189.17 target is a full ATR away, so the probability is modest. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Bullish	Medium	1.33727	1.33640Buy limit	1.33280	1.34188	+0.07R	1:1.52	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.07R Analysis Price 1.33727 Entry Point 1.33640 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.33280 Conservative Target 1.34188 Risk:Reward 1:1.52 Optimal Target 1.35061 Stop Loss Distance 36.0 pips Target Distance 54.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.34188 1.35061 1.35678 Support: 1.33547 1.32953 1.32040 Rationale Buy the pullback toward the 1.3355 breakout support with a 0.5-ATR stop under it, targeting the 1.3419 high, helped by retail being 62% short. Confidence is capped at medium because the Fed's tightening bias ahead of Wednesday could lift the dollar. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Bearish	High	1.59319	1.59440Sell limit	1.60120	1.58500	+0.07R	1:1.38	+0.25RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.07R Analysis Price 1.59319 Entry Point 1.59440 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.60120 Conservative Target 1.58500 Risk:Reward 1:1.38 Optimal Target 1.58000 Stop Loss Distance 68.0 pips Target Distance 94.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.60049 1.60514 1.61276 Support: 1.59035 1.58500 1.58000 Rationale The decline is gathering pace, with a new cycle low at 1.5904 and 79% of retail long. Sell a pullback with the stop beyond 1.6005 resistance, targeting 1.5850. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.58885	0.58830Buy limit	0.58650	0.59074	+0.07R	1:1.36	+1.13RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.07R Analysis Price 0.58885 Entry Point 0.58830 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.58650 Conservative Target 0.59074 Risk:Reward 1:1.36 Optimal Target 0.59500 Stop Loss Distance 18.0 pips Target Distance 24.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.59007 0.59074 0.59500 Support: 0.58747 0.58484 0.58280 Rationale Buy the pullback after Friday's break of the 0.5887 September highs, with the stop just beyond 0.5875 support at 0.5 ATR. Expected BoC hike pricing supports CAD. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.12114	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.12114 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.12265 1.12693 1.13801 Support: 1.11845 1.11612 1.11130 Rationale Momentum is fading inside the 1.1113-1.1269 box, and the Fed's tightening bias ahead of Wednesday leans against selling the dollar leg. Short-EUR risk is already carried by EURCAD, EURAUD and EURJPY. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.82495	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.82495 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.82635 0.82820 0.83512 Support: 0.82272 0.82175 0.81910 Rationale The bias is neutral: a double bottom at 0.8191 faces a still-negative MACD, with 55/45 retail positioning. Price is mid-range, so there is no edge. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.70371	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.70371 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.70392 0.70775 0.71291 Support: 0.70221 0.70041 0.69705 Rationale Four pushes have stalled at 0.7036-0.7039, so a target needs a breakout. The Fed's tightening bias argues against adding another short-USD plan on top of USDJPY, USDCAD and GBPUSD, and long AUD is carried by EURAUD. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.57061	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.57061 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.57099 0.57486 0.59052 Support: 0.56728 0.56458 0.55806 Rationale Closes are compressed under 0.5710 and 66% of retail is long, which drags on the upside. Short-USD exposure is already carried by USDJPY, USDCAD and GBPUSD. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Neutral	Low	0.83840	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.83840 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.83948 0.84286 0.84778 Support: 0.83614 0.83500 Rationale This duplicates the short-EUR plans in EURCAD, EURAUD and EURJPY. With RSI at 18.9, a bounce toward 0.8395 is a real risk to any short entry. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Neutral	Low	0.92491	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.92491 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.92425 0.92869 0.93345 Support: 0.92228 0.91950 0.91500 Rationale Friday's rebound has already lifted price above the 0.92425 resistance, which leaves no tight level to sell against. Short EUR is carried by EURCAD, EURAUD and EURJPY. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Neutral	Low	1.96487	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.96487 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.96866 1.97608 1.98121 Support: 1.95740 1.95361 1.95058 Rationale The setup is similar to EURAUD, which carries the theme on cleaner momentum. With the RBNZ meeting this week, the NZD leg adds risk. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	209.834	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 209.834 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 210.097 210.485 211.275 Support: 209.559 209.116 208.276 Rationale The bias is neutral, with price sitting on the 209.56 pivot inside the 208.2-212.0 range. Long yen is carried by USDJPY, EURJPY and CHFJPY. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.10318	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.10318 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.10459 1.10666 1.11044 Support: 1.09762 1.09600 1.09110 Rationale There is no directional momentum inside the 1.0960-1.1070 range, and the MACD is flat. No edge. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.90026	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.90026 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.90448 1.91148 1.92288 Support: 1.89947 1.89388 1.88899 Rationale RSI is at 50 and the MACD is near zero after Friday's slip under the band floor. Positioning is balanced, so there is no edge. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.87342	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.87342 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.87695 1.88133 1.88476 Support: 1.87117 1.86848 1.86514 Rationale Redundant with the long-CAD plans in EURCAD, USDCAD and CADCHF. The 1.8685 breakdown is also unconfirmed on a closing basis. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.34369	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 2.34369 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.34826 2.35981 2.36657 Support: 2.34437 2.34109 2.32432 Rationale Price is sitting on the 2.3444 range floor with no confirmed break. With RBNZ risk this week, there is no edge. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Neutral	Low	110.421	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 110.421 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 110.445 110.641 111.128 Support: 109.643 109.233 108.667 Rationale The pair is chopping inside the 108.6-111.3 band with 51/49 retail and offsetting indicators. Long yen is carried elsewhere. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	112.004	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 112.004 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 112.258 112.689 112.921 Support: 111.483 111.237 110.756 Rationale Both legs are favoured themes (a firm CAD before the BoC and a firm yen), so they cancel out. The inside candle shows no follow-through. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Neutral	Low	89.532	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 89.532 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 89.509 90.337 90.542 Support: 88.959 88.695 88.264 Rationale The failed breakout and 76% retail long favour the downside, but the protecting stop beyond 90.34 sits about 1 ATR away for a thin edge. Long yen is already carried by USDJPY, EURJPY and CHFJPY. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58053	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58053 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58163 0.58464 0.58571 Support: 0.57875 0.57455 0.57280 Rationale This is a range with a flat MACD, and the 0.5846 target needs a 0.58163 breakout first, so the edge is thin. Short CHF is carried by CHFJPY and CADCHF. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.98588	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.98588 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.98833 0.99256 0.99581 Support: 0.98389 0.98135 0.97906 Rationale Price is mid-box between 0.9811 and 0.9888 after six sessions with no follow-through. No edge. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Low	1.23329	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.23329 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.23707 1.24367 1.24650 Support: 1.23053 1.22782 1.22692 Rationale The bias is low-confidence inside a range capped at 1.2372, and the RBNZ meeting this week clouds the NZD leg. No edge. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.47071	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.47071 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.47062 0.47237 0.47371 Support: 0.46979 0.46679 0.46505 Rationale Price is pressing the 0.4706 range top on a low-confidence bias, after repeated rejections there. No edge. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.79935	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.79935 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.80200 0.80322 0.80518 Support: 0.79815 0.79518 0.79472 Rationale The bias is low-confidence in a 0.7947-0.8032 range. Long CAD is carried by EURCAD, USDCAD and CADCHF. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$7 average per $100 risked

101 of 145 picks filled, over 49 verified days · target hit 16%

Every plan on the board

−$5 average per $100 risked

380 plans over 49 verified days · target hit 10%

49 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 101 picks the honest range around the +$7 runs from −$8 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 145 picks published, 101 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 25 of the 101 picks lost the full $100, against 59 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 39% of the Top 3 result, and 27 of the 101 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$13 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 380 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 26 Oct 2026)

Target hit 10% (39)
Stop hit 24% (92)
Timed out 66% (249)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 168 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

30% Win rate 39 of 131 plans closed at target or stop

-0.05R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.10R Timed-out average how those 249 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

19%

14 of 73 plans

Bearish

43%

25 of 58 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
EURJPY	75%	3 / 4
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
NZDJPY	60%	3 / 5
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDCHF	43%	3 / 7
AUDUSD	43%	3 / 7
EURGBP	40%	2 / 5
EURNZD	40%	2 / 5
EURUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
USDCAD	33%	2 / 6
EURCAD	33%	1 / 3
XAUUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	30%	3 / 10
GBPUSD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	20%	1 / 5
GBPAUD	17%	1 / 6
AUDJPY	14%	1 / 7
GBPCHF	0%	0 / 3
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 4
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 7
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

26 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 6 timed out $100 → $94

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Bullish	1.33640 → 1.34188	Stop hit	-1.00R
USDJPY	Bearish	157.050 → 156.375	Stop hit	-1.00R
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bearish	1.40200 → 1.39679	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Bearish	176.100 → 175.094	Timed out	+0.04R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.59440 → 1.58500	Timed out	+0.25R
EURCAD	Bearish	1.57150 → 1.56460	Timed out	+1.11R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Bearish	190.380 → 189.172	Timed out	+0.08R
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Bullish	0.58830 → 0.59074	Timed out	+1.13R
XAUUSD	Bearish	4009.00 → 3950.00	Timed out	-0.11R

23 Oct 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $93

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.83755 → 0.83500	Timed out	+0.18R
EURJPY	Bearish	176.000 → 175.000	Timed out	+0.62R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.57240 → 1.56500	Not filled	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.90800 → 1.91453	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4040.00 → 3995.98	Not filled	–

22 Oct 2026 2 target · 3 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $87

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bearish	1.40570 → 1.39905	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.83900 → 0.83713	Target hit	+1.25R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.92640 → 0.92302	Not filled	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.57850 → 1.57403	Target hit	+1.12R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Bullish	1.10310 → 1.10633	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Bullish	110.950 → 111.645	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.57840 → 0.58163	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

21 Oct 2026 1 target · 0 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $155

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Bearish	0.82620 → 0.82272	Timed out	+0.68R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bearish	1.40710 → 1.39905	Timed out	+0.41R
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.92790 → 0.92228	Not filled	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.58030 → 1.57403	Timed out	+0.67R
EURNZD	Bearish	1.97840 → 1.97223	Target hit	+1.16R
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Bullish	191.500 → 192.148	Timed out	+0.64R
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Bearish	0.98680 → 0.98389	Timed out	-0.28R
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4142.00 → 4073.47	Not filled	–

20 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $148

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bearish	1.41160 → 1.40701	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84310 → 0.83979	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.92760 → 0.92228	Timed out	+0.42R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.58270 → 1.57727	Not filled	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Bullish	210.800 → 212.000	Timed out	+1.16R
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Bullish	191.620 → 192.478	Timed out	+0.41R
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.23180 → 1.23697	Timed out	+0.10R
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.79950 → 0.79518	Timed out	+0.31R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 17%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

EURCAD

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USDJPY

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XAUUSD

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