| EURJPY |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
175.829 |
175.960Sell limit |
176.550 |
175.094 |
+0.09R |
1:1.47 |
-0.43RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks
+0.09R
Analysis Price
175.829
Entry Point
175.960
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
176.550
Conservative Target
175.094
Risk:Reward
1:1.47
Optimal Target
174.500
Stop Loss Distance
59.0 pips
Target Distance
86.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
176.238
176.600
177.965
Support:
175.591
175.094
174.500
Rationale
Short below the broken 176.3 range floor: the euro was Tuesday's weakest major and Japan's finance minister warned of decisive FX action, with a 0.5 ATR stop above 176.238 resistance. The FOMC at 14:00 NY can jolt yen crosses late in the window, so confidence stays medium.
|
| EURCHF |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.92251 |
0.92310Sell limit |
0.92650 |
0.91950 |
+0.09R |
1:1.06 |
-0.29RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks
+0.09R
Analysis Price
0.92251
Entry Point
0.92310
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.92650
Conservative Target
0.91950
Risk:Reward
1:1.06
Optimal Target
0.91500
Stop Loss Distance
34.0 pips
Target Distance
36.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.92620
0.92870
0.93345
Support:
0.91950
0.91500
Rationale
Downtrend toward the 0.9195 double bottom with 71% retail long and the euro weakest on French gloom before Thursday's ECB decision; stop above 0.9262 resistance. The close on the day's low and a franc softened by risk-on argue for a shallow entry and medium confidence.
|
| EURUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.11300 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.11300
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.11780
1.12270
1.12693
Support:
1.11130
1.11000
1.10500
Rationale
Neutral: the FOMC Statement and Fed Funds Rate at 14:00 NY fall inside the window. The downtrend toward 1.1113 is intact, but the short-euro theme is carried by EURJPY and EURCHF.
|
| GBPUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.33057 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.33057
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.33110
1.33490
1.34188
Support:
1.32960
1.32620
1.32040
Rationale
Neutral: the UK Annual Budget at 08:30 NY and the FOMC at 14:00 NY are both inside the window. Price sits on 1.3296 support with a 50/50 retail split and no edge.
|
| USDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
157.978 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
157.978
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
158.056
158.521
158.992
Support:
157.536
156.678
156.080
Rationale
Neutral: the FOMC Statement at 14:00 NY is inside the window. Price is boxed under the 158.056 pivot while Japan's finance minister warns of decisive FX action, a poor spot to buy.
|
| USDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.82885 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.82885
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.83000
0.83480
0.83822
Support:
0.82600
0.82272
0.81913
Rationale
Neutral: the FOMC Statement at 14:00 NY is inside the window. The rebound from the 0.8191 double bottom still has to clear the 0.8300 handle.
|
| AUDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.70257 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.70257
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.70400
0.70775
0.71291
Support:
0.70221
0.70040
0.69700
Rationale
Neutral: Australian CPI at 20:30 NY tonight and the FOMC at 14:00 NY are inside the window. The flat 0.7040 ceiling stays the trigger once the releases pass.
|
| USDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.40481 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.40481
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.40550
1.41340
1.42000
Support:
1.40040
1.39679
1.37620
Rationale
Neutral: the BoC rate decision at 09:45 NY and the FOMC at 14:00 NY are inside the window. The downtrend below 1.4134 is intact, but gap risk outweighs it.
|
| NZDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.56831 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.56831
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.56872
0.57099
0.57486
Support:
0.56670
0.56460
0.56100
Rationale
Neutral: the RBNZ Official Cash Rate at 21:00 NY tonight and the FOMC at 14:00 NY are inside the window. Price is stuck in the 0.5667-0.5710 range anyway.
|
| EURGBP |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.83649 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.83649
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.83770
0.84020
0.84290
Support:
0.83594
0.83500
0.83300
Rationale
Neutral: the UK Annual Budget at 08:30 NY is inside the window. RSI 17 and 85% retail long keep the trend bearish, but the short-euro theme goes through EURCHF and EURJPY.
|
| EURAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.58418 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.58418
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.59410
1.59770
1.60510
Support:
1.58299
1.58000
1.57500
Rationale
Neutral: Australian CPI at 20:30 NY tonight is inside the window. The downtrend with 84% retail long is intact, but the short-euro theme is carried by EURCHF and EURJPY.
|
| EURCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.56348 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.56348
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.56660
1.57490
1.58060
Support:
1.56068
1.56000
1.55500
Rationale
Neutral: the BoC rate decision at 09:45 NY is inside the window. RSI 19.6 and 81% retail long keep the bias bearish, but the short-euro theme goes through EURCHF and EURJPY.
|
| EURNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.95846 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.95846
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.96298
1.96866
1.97560
Support:
1.95740
1.95400
1.95058
Rationale
Neutral: the RBNZ rate decision at 21:00 NY tonight is inside the window. The downtrend toward 1.9506 is intact but gap risk outweighs it.
|
| GBPJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
210.200 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
210.200
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
210.490
211.275
211.985
Support:
209.831
209.116
208.276
Rationale
Neutral: the UK Annual Budget at 08:30 NY is inside the window. Small candles between 209.6 and 210.5 show no direction anyway.
|
| GBPCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.10284 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.10284
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.10459
1.10666
1.11044
Support:
1.10200
1.09700
1.09635
Rationale
Neutral: the UK Annual Budget at 08:30 NY is inside the window. Price oscillates in the 1.0960-1.1070 band without pressure.
|
| GBPAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.89387 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.89387
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.89500
1.89702
1.90500
Support:
1.89388
1.89140
1.88899
Rationale
Neutral: Australian CPI at 20:30 NY tonight and the UK Budget at 08:30 NY are inside the window. The lower-high sequence sits on the 1.8890 range floor.
|
| GBPCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.86912 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.86912
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.87120
1.87780
1.88476
Support:
1.86514
1.86065
1.85500
Rationale
Neutral: the UK Budget at 08:30 NY and the BoC rate decision at 09:45 NY are inside the window. The range breakdown below 1.8730 is intact but untradeable today.
|
| GBPNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
2.34130 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
2.34130
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.34826
2.35160
2.35981
Support:
2.33550
2.33000
2.32432
Rationale
Neutral: the RBNZ rate decision at 21:00 NY tonight and the UK Budget at 08:30 NY are inside the window. The test of 2.3355 support waits for the events.
|
| AUDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
110.991 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
110.991
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
111.128
111.305
112.616
Support:
110.767
110.358
109.485
Rationale
Neutral: Australian CPI at 20:30 NY tonight is inside the window. Price sits under the 111.128-111.305 resistance in a range.
|
| CADJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
112.458 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
112.458
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
112.586
112.689
112.921
Support:
112.317
111.725
111.483
Rationale
Neutral: the BoC rate decision at 09:45 NY is inside the window. The uptrend faces the 112.689 double top and gap risk outweighs it.
|
| NZDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
89.780 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
89.780
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
90.035
90.337
90.542
Support:
89.353
88.959
88.695
Rationale
Neutral: the RBNZ rate decision at 21:00 NY tonight is inside the window. Price stalled at 90.035 with 72% retail long.
|
| CHFJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
190.600 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
190.600
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
190.897
191.309
192.148
Support:
190.171
189.962
189.172
Rationale
Neutral: no High-impact release, but the analysis shows a weak bounce under the 190.8965 pivot with RSI 47 and no directional edge. The long-yen theme is already carried by the EURJPY short.
|
| AUDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58232 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.58232
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58328
0.58464
0.58571
Support:
0.58095
0.57914
0.57739
Rationale
Neutral: Australian CPI at 20:30 NY tonight is inside the window. The uptrend toward 0.58464 with 78% retail short is intact but gap risk outweighs it.
|
| AUDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.98693 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.98693
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.98875
0.99256
0.99581
Support:
0.98389
0.98128
0.97906
Rationale
Neutral: Australian CPI at 20:30 NY tonight and the BoC rate decision at 09:45 NY are inside the window. Price is boxed between 0.9811 and 0.9888.
|
| AUDNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.23624 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.23624
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.23707
1.24367
1.24650
Support:
1.23565
1.23220
1.23053
Rationale
Neutral: Australian CPI at 20:30 NY tonight and the RBNZ rate decision at 21:00 NY are inside the window. The base under 1.2370 waits for both events.
|
| NZDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.47104 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.47104
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.47237
0.47371
0.47528
Support:
0.46979
0.46889
0.46679
Rationale
Neutral: the RBNZ rate decision at 21:00 NY tonight is inside the window. The test of 0.47237 resistance waits for the decision.
|
| NZDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.79832 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.79832
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.80184
0.80322
0.80518
Support:
0.79815
0.79506
0.79470
Rationale
Neutral: the RBNZ rate decision at 21:00 NY tonight and the BoC decision at 09:45 NY are inside the window. The pair is flat in its 0.7947-0.8032 range.
|
| CADCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.59003 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.59003
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.59074
0.59129
0.59500
Support:
0.58937
0.58447
0.58280
Rationale
Neutral: the BoC rate decision at 09:45 NY is inside the window. The breakout above 0.5880 is intact but gap risk outweighs it.
|
| XAUUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
4063.27 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
4063.27
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
4073.00
4105.00
4144.60
Support:
4029.80
3989.28
3975.71
Rationale
Neutral: the FOMC Statement at 14:00 NY is inside the window and USD events count for gold. Price is retesting the broken 4066-4073 floor from below with ATR near 74.
|