| AUDNZD |
Bullish
|
High
|
1.25438 |
1.25360Buy limit |
1.24900 |
1.26020 |
+0.13R |
1:1.43 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
1.25438
Entry Point
1.25360
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.24900
Conservative Target
1.26020
Risk:Reward
1:1.43
Optimal Target
1.26500
Stop Loss Distance
46.0 pips
Target Distance
66.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.26020
1.26500
Support:
1.24943
1.24046
1.23565
Rationale
The breakout above 1.24943 comes from policy divergence, the RBNZ's surprise hold against hot Australian CPI, and 76% of retail traders are short against it. Buy a shallow dip with the stop under the old 1.24943 high, targeting a retest of 1.2602.
|
| NZDJPY |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
88.751 |
88.830Sell limit |
89.220 |
88.264 |
+0.11R |
1:1.45 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
88.751
Entry Point
88.830
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
89.220
Conservative Target
88.264
Risk:Reward
1:1.45
Optimal Target
88.116
Stop Loss Distance
39.0 pips
Target Distance
56.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
89.073
89.620
90.337
Support:
88.695
88.264
88.116
Rationale
The RBNZ's surprise hold wiped out the October rally, and 76% of retail traders are long, a crowded position on the wrong side. A BoJ expected to sound hawkish into Friday favours the yen, so sell a bounce below 89.073 with the stop above it.
|
| AUDCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.58407 |
0.58365Buy limit |
0.58050 |
0.58825 |
+0.11R |
1:1.46 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.58407
Entry Point
0.58365
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.58050
Conservative Target
0.58825
Risk:Reward
1:1.46
Optimal Target
0.58825
Stop Loss Distance
31.5 pips
Target Distance
46.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58464
0.58571
0.58825
Support:
0.58095
0.57875
0.57739
Rationale
Higher lows up to the best close of the month, with 80% of retail traders short and hot Australian CPI firming RBA hike bets. The stop sits under 0.58095 support, and 0.58825 is the first level that pays at least 1:1.
|
| NZDCAD |
Bearish
|
High
|
0.78669 |
0.78735Sell limit |
0.79035 |
0.78413 |
+0.11R |
1:1.07 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.78669
Entry Point
0.78735
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.79035
Conservative Target
0.78413
Risk:Reward
1:1.07
Optimal Target
0.78000
Stop Loss Distance
30.0 pips
Target Distance
32.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.79000
0.79470
0.79851
Support:
0.78413
0.78000
Rationale
The break below the 0.7947 range floor reflects the RBNZ's surprise hold against the Bank of Canada's hike, and 83% of retail traders are long. Sell a bounce with the stop above 0.7900, targeting the 0.78413 low first and then the 0.7800 handle.
|
| AUDJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
111.330 |
111.240Buy limit |
110.800 |
112.000 |
+0.10R |
1:1.73 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
111.330
Entry Point
111.240
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
110.800
Conservative Target
112.000
Risk:Reward
1:1.73
Optimal Target
112.616
Stop Loss Distance
44.0 pips
Target Distance
76.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
111.496
112.000
112.616
Support:
110.864
110.767
110.358
Rationale
Higher lows since Oct 15 and a close above 111.305, backed by RBA hike bets after hot Australian CPI; stop under the 110.864 low, target 112.0. Confidence is held at medium because the BoJ decides Friday and US data at 08:30 NY can swing yen crosses.
|
| CADCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.59188 |
0.59150Buy limit |
0.58870 |
0.59500 |
+0.10R |
1:1.25 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.59188
Entry Point
0.59150
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.58870
Conservative Target
0.59500
Risk:Reward
1:1.25
Optimal Target
0.59500
Stop Loss Distance
28.0 pips
Target Distance
35.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.59206
0.59500
Support:
0.58902
0.58559
0.58447
Rationale
Four straight new highs and the Bank of Canada's first hike since 2023 support the trend. The close sat near the 0.59206 high, so the entry is shallow, with the stop under 0.58902 support and the target at 0.5950.
|
| EURUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.11496 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.11496
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.11776
1.12266
1.12693
Support:
1.11130
1.11000
1.10550
Rationale
Event rule: USD Advance GDP and Core PCE at 08:30 NY and the ECB decision at 09:15 NY are both High impact. The bearish technical read is set aside for the day.
|
| GBPUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.33196 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.33196
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.33488
1.33873
1.34188
Support:
1.32723
1.32040
1.31826
Rationale
Event rule: USD Advance GDP and Core PCE at 08:30 NY. The pair is also range-bound with balanced retail positioning, so there is no edge either way.
|
| USDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
157.864 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
157.864
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
158.056
158.346
158.521
Support:
157.655
157.536
156.678
Rationale
Event rule: USD Advance GDP and Core PCE at 08:30 NY. The range-bound pair also faces the BoJ meeting that concludes Friday.
|
| USDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.82820 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.82820
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.83128
0.83512
0.83822
Support:
0.82752
0.82598
0.82272
Rationale
Event rule: USD Advance GDP and Core PCE at 08:30 NY. The neutral range read offers no edge anyway.
|
| AUDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.70523 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.70523
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.70646
0.70775
0.71291
Support:
0.70221
0.70094
0.69923
Rationale
Event rule: USD Advance GDP and Core PCE at 08:30 NY. The long-AUD theme is traded through AUDNZD, AUDCHF and AUDJPY instead.
|
| USDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.39948 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.39948
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.40506
1.40680
1.41085
Support:
1.39884
1.39679
1.39000
Rationale
Event rule: USD Advance GDP and Core PCE at 08:30 NY. The long-CAD theme after the BoC hike is traded through NZDCAD and CADCHF.
|
| NZDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.56221 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.56221
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.56262
0.56846
0.57099
Support:
0.56104
0.55806
0.55649
Rationale
Event rule: USD Advance GDP and Core PCE at 08:30 NY. The short-NZD theme is traded through AUDNZD, NZDCAD and NZDJPY.
|
| EURGBP |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.83709 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.83709
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.83806
0.84019
0.84286
Support:
0.83550
0.83500
0.83300
Rationale
Event rule: ECB rate decision at 09:15 NY and press conference at 09:45 NY. The pair is also deeply oversold at RSI 21.
|
| EURJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
176.008 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
176.008
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
176.429
177.134
177.965
Support:
175.398
175.094
Rationale
Event rule: ECB rate decision at 09:15 NY and press conference at 09:45 NY. The bearish read is set aside for the day.
|
| EURCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.92342 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.92342
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.92500
0.92617
0.92895
Support:
0.92228
0.92119
0.91950
Rationale
Event rule: ECB rate decision at 09:15 NY and press conference at 09:45 NY. The downtrend read is set aside for the day.
|
| EURAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.58100 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.58100
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.58442
1.59414
1.60049
Support:
1.57767
1.57500
1.57000
Rationale
Event rule: ECB rate decision at 09:15 NY and press conference at 09:45 NY. The long-AUD theme is traded through AUDNZD, AUDCHF and AUDJPY.
|
| EURCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.56017 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.56017
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.56648
1.57162
1.57493
Support:
1.56064
1.56000
Rationale
Event rule: ECB rate decision at 09:15 NY and press conference at 09:45 NY. The pair is also extremely oversold at RSI 18.6.
|
| EURNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.98315 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.98315
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.99160
1.99388
2.00309
Support:
1.97874
1.96446
1.95740
Rationale
Event rule: ECB rate decision at 09:15 NY and press conference at 09:45 NY. The short-NZD theme is traded through AUDNZD, NZDCAD and NZDJPY.
|
| GBPJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
210.262 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
210.262
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
210.648
211.275
211.985
Support:
209.566
209.116
208.276
Rationale
Four narrow sessions are coiling between 209.57 and 210.65, with neutral RSI and retail positioning, so there is no directional edge. The BoJ meeting into Friday and UK budget uncertainty add two-way risk.
|
| GBPCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.10312 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.10312
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.10471
1.10666
1.11044
Support:
1.10149
1.09704
1.09635
Rationale
The range has repeatedly failed at 1.10471, with only a mild drift and neutral retail positioning. There is no edge above the baseline.
|
| GBPAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.88869 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.88869
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.89402
1.89500
1.90328
Support:
1.88899
1.88662
1.88552
Rationale
The bias is bearish, but the listed supports at 1.88662 and 1.88552 are too close to pay 1:1 against a stop above 1.895. The long-AUD theme is already carried by AUDNZD, AUDCHF and AUDJPY.
|
| GBPCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.86380 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.86380
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.87120
1.87490
1.87855
Support:
1.86514
1.86392
1.86065
Rationale
Price already sits below 1.86514 and 1.86392, and 1.86065 is the only listed support left, too close to reach 1:1 against a stop above 1.8712. The long-CAD theme is carried by NZDCAD and CADCHF.
|
| GBPNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
2.36917 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
2.36917
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.38157
2.39000
Support:
2.36667
2.35427
2.34534
Rationale
The range breakout after the RBNZ's surprise hold is valid, but this is redundant with the short-NZD plans in AUDNZD, NZDCAD and NZDJPY. The UK budget also adds GBP headline risk.
|
| CADJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
112.818 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
112.818
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
112.921
113.500
115.419
Support:
112.317
112.129
111.483
Rationale
The uptrend and the BoC hike are constructive, but this is redundant with long CAD in NZDCAD and CADCHF and short JPY in AUDJPY. With the BoJ meeting into Friday, yen-cross longs are limited to one plan.
|
| CHFJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
190.609 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
190.609
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
190.897
191.309
192.148
Support:
190.171
189.862
189.172
Rationale
Four sessions of consolidation between 189.86 and 190.84, with flat momentum and a weak retail lean. There is no edge above the baseline.
|
| AUDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.98683 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.98683
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.98833
0.99095
0.99256
Support:
0.98668
0.98389
0.98128
Rationale
Hot Australian CPI and the BoC hike leave both legs supported by hawkish central banks, and the pair is stuck in its 0.9811-0.9910 range. AUD and CAD strength is better expressed in AUDNZD and NZDCAD.
|
| NZDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.46562 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.46562
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.46828
0.47116
0.47263
Support:
0.46505
0.46433
0.46262
Rationale
The bearish lean after the RBNZ's surprise hold is redundant with the short-NZD plans in AUDNZD, NZDCAD and NZDJPY. Its 1:1 target at 0.46262 also offers the thinnest edge of the NZD pairs.
|
| XAUUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
4054.79 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
4054.79
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
4082.77
4105.02
4144.57
Support:
4066.46
4024.75
3975.71
Rationale
Event rule: USD Advance GDP and Core PCE at 08:30 NY apply to gold. The low-confidence retest of 4066 from below is set aside.
|