| AUDUSD |
Bullish
|
Low
|
0.70280 |
0.70240Buy limit |
0.69975 |
0.70678 |
+0.09R |
1:1.65 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.70280
Entry Point
0.70240
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.69975
Conservative Target
0.70678
Risk:Reward
1:1.65
Optimal Target
0.70775
Stop Loss Distance
26.5 pips
Target Distance
43.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.70429
0.70678
0.70775
Support:
0.70221
0.70137
0.70000
Rationale
Lows keep stepping up above 0.70, retail is 62% short and RBA hike expectations may lift the Aussie into tonight's decision. Low confidence: firm US yields and ISM at 10:00 NY, stop below 0.70.
|
| EURJPY |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
175.916 |
176.050Sell limit |
176.650 |
175.398 |
+0.09R |
1:1.09 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
175.916
Entry Point
176.050
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
176.650
Conservative Target
175.398
Risk:Reward
1:1.09
Optimal Target
175.068
Stop Loss Distance
60.0 pips
Target Distance
65.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
176.583
177.965
178.336
Support:
175.398
175.068
Rationale
Euro weakness and a yen underpinned by Tokyo's repeated intervention warnings favour selling a bounce inside the 175.07-176.58 box. Stop above 176.583, target the 175.398 floor.
|
| EURCHF |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.92019 |
0.92075Sell limit |
0.92300 |
0.91829 |
+0.09R |
1:1.09 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.92019
Entry Point
0.92075
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.92300
Conservative Target
0.91829
Risk:Reward
1:1.09
Optimal Target
0.91500
Stop Loss Distance
22.5 pips
Target Distance
24.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.92155
0.92387
0.92617
Support:
0.91950
0.91829
Rationale
Lower highs from 0.92617 to 0.92155 and retail 75% long keep the downtrend intact. Stop 0.5 ATR above 0.92155, target a retest of the 0.91829 low.
|
| NZDJPY |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
88.707 |
88.795Sell limit |
89.170 |
88.338 |
+0.09R |
1:1.22 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
88.707
Entry Point
88.795
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
89.170
Conservative Target
88.338
Risk:Reward
1:1.22
Optimal Target
88.118
Stop Loss Distance
37.5 pips
Target Distance
45.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
88.956
89.073
90.035
Support:
88.695
88.338
88.118
Rationale
The RBNZ's hold against hike pricing drove the Oct 28 collapse, and intervention warnings support the yen, so sell the bounce with retail 76% long. Stop above 89.073, target the 88.338 low.
|
| AUDNZD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.24872 |
1.24780Buy limit |
1.24320 |
1.25558 |
+0.09R |
1:1.69 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.24872
Entry Point
1.24780
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.24320
Conservative Target
1.25558
Risk:Reward
1:1.69
Optimal Target
1.26020
Stop Loss Distance
46.0 pips
Target Distance
77.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.24968
1.25558
1.26020
Support:
1.24355
1.24046
1.23565
Rationale
An RBA hike is widely expected tonight against the RBNZ's surprise hold, and retail is 70% short; the plan closes before the 22:30 NY decision. Buy the retracement above 1.24355, target 1.25558.
|
| GBPUSD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.33913 |
1.33825Buy limit |
1.33470 |
1.34188 |
+0.08R |
1:1.02 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.33913
Entry Point
1.33825
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.33470
Conservative Target
1.34188
Risk:Reward
1:1.02
Optimal Target
1.34335
Stop Loss Distance
35.5 pips
Target Distance
36.3 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.34188
1.34335
1.35678
Support:
1.33673
1.33025
1.32723
Rationale
Higher low at 1.32723 and a positive MACD, with an expected BoE hike on Thursday supporting sterling. Stop 0.5 ATR below 1.33673, target 1.34188; ISM at 10:00 NY keeps it medium.
|
| USDCAD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.39712 |
1.39800Sell limit |
1.40175 |
1.39413 |
+0.08R |
1:1.03 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.39712
Entry Point
1.39800
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.40175
Conservative Target
1.39413
Risk:Reward
1:1.03
Optimal Target
1.39000
Stop Loss Distance
37.5 pips
Target Distance
38.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.39914
1.40142
1.40680
Support:
1.39413
1.39000
1.37620
Rationale
The Bank of Canada's hike and an accelerating negative MACD keep the lower-high sequence in charge. Stop above 1.40142, target the 1.39413 low; ISM at 10:00 NY caps confidence.
|
| NZDCAD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.78629 |
0.78690Sell limit |
0.78955 |
0.78383 |
+0.08R |
1:1.16 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.78629
Entry Point
0.78690
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.78955
Conservative Target
0.78383
Risk:Reward
1:1.16
Optimal Target
0.78000
Stop Loss Distance
26.5 pips
Target Distance
30.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.78865
0.79470
0.80034
Support:
0.78498
0.78383
0.78000
Rationale
Policy divergence after the Bank of Canada's hike and the RBNZ's hold backs the breakdown, with retail 81% long. Stop above 0.78865, target the 0.78383 low.
|
| EURUSD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
1.11613 |
1.11705Sell limit |
1.12190 |
1.11130 |
+0.07R |
1:1.19 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.11613
Entry Point
1.11705
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.12190
Conservative Target
1.11130
Risk:Reward
1:1.19
Optimal Target
1.11047
Stop Loss Distance
48.5 pips
Target Distance
57.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.12147
1.12693
Support:
1.11612
1.11130
1.11047
Rationale
Lower highs under 1.12147, retail 77% long and Fed officials leaning toward further hikes favour the short. Low confidence with ISM Manufacturing at 10:00 NY; target the 1.1113 floor.
|
| USDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
157.609 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
157.609
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
158.056
158.346
158.992
Support:
156.962
156.678
156.080
Rationale
Range with flat MACD and RSI on the midline, and Tokyo's intervention warnings cap the upside. No edge in either direction.
|
| USDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.82444 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.82444
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.82635
0.83128
0.83822
Support:
0.82272
0.82175
0.81913
Rationale
Sideways above the 0.8191 base with momentum fading and balanced retail. No edge.
|
| NZDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.56281 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.56281
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.56512
0.56872
0.57099
Support:
0.56187
0.56064
0.55795
Rationale
Short-NZD view is already carried by NZDJPY, NZDCAD and AUDNZD. Redundant, and ISM at 10:00 NY adds dollar noise.
|
| EURGBP |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.83348 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.83348
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.83646
0.83806
0.84019
Support:
0.83217
0.83000
Rationale
0.83217 sits closer than a stop above 0.83646, and 0.8300 needs a full-range day from RSI 17. The short-EUR theme is carried by EURJPY, EURCHF and EURUSD.
|
| EURAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.58813 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.58813
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.59633
1.60049
1.62272
Support:
1.58470
1.57767
Rationale
1.5847 does not pay 1:1 against a stop above 1.59633 and 1.57767 is a 1.2 ATR stretch. Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURJPY, EURCHF, EURUSD.
|
| EURCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.55930 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.55930
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.56565
1.56657
1.57493
Support:
1.55521
1.55000
Rationale
Lower wicks at the 1.5552 shelf and RSI 22 leave only 1.5500 as a 1:1 target, too far for one session. Short EUR is already carried by EURJPY, EURCHF, EURUSD.
|
| EURNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.98315 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.98315
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.99160
1.99388
2.00309
Support:
1.97778
1.95740
1.95402
Rationale
Momentum reset after the Oct 28 squeeze, with chop between 1.9778 and 1.9914 and neutral retail. No edge.
|
| GBPJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
211.058 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
211.058
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
211.275
211.985
Support:
210.285
209.566
209.116
Rationale
The technical long would sell the yen into repeated Tokyo intervention warnings and softer equities. Stand aside; GBP is expressed via GBPUSD.
|
| GBPCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.10405 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.10405
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.10471
1.10702
1.11044
Support:
1.10149
1.09847
1.09635
Rationale
Compressed range inside 1.0985-1.1070 with no trend energy. No edge.
|
| GBPAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.90541 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.90541
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.91148
1.91889
1.92288
Support:
1.90080
1.89388
1.88572
Rationale
Range-bound with both the BoE and RBA expected to hike this week. No edge.
|
| GBPCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.87083 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.87083
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.87494
1.87855
1.88476
Support:
1.86666
1.86514
1.86071
Rationale
An expected BoE hike on Thursday fights the soft technical tone, and direction probability is only 55%. No edge.
|
| GBPNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
2.37934 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
2.37934
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.38157
2.39000
Support:
2.37196
2.36516
2.35427
Rationale
Breakout intact, but the short-NZD theme is already carried by NZDJPY, NZDCAD and AUDNZD. Redundant.
|
| AUDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
110.765 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
110.765
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
111.128
111.561
112.616
Support:
110.767
110.198
109.485
Rationale
Sitting on the 110.767 pivot with directionless momentum and balanced retail. No edge.
|
| CADJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
112.820 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
112.820
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
112.921
113.105
Support:
112.418
112.129
111.483
Rationale
A long would sell the yen under intervention warnings, and 113.105 offers barely 1:1 without an edge. CAD strength is carried by USDCAD and NZDCAD.
|
| CHFJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
191.190 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
191.190
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
192.148
192.478
Support:
190.527
189.912
189.172
Rationale
Range between 189.19 and 192.148 after a rejection under the top. No edge.
|
| AUDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.57942 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.57942
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58163
0.58522
0.58571
Support:
0.57875
0.57560
0.57430
Rationale
Rotating inside 0.5704-0.5852 with MACD on zero. No edge.
|
| AUDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.98185 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.98185
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.98833
0.99095
0.99256
Support:
0.98128
0.98011
0.97906
Rationale
Narrow range with hawkish RBA and BoC pulling both ways. No edge.
|
| NZDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.46401 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.46401
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.46656
0.46828
0.47250
Support:
0.46433
0.46334
0.46146
Rationale
Short-NZD view is already carried by NZDJPY, NZDCAD and AUDNZD. Redundant.
|
| CADCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.59013 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.59013
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.59074
0.59299
Support:
0.58693
0.58447
0.58280
Rationale
0.59299 gives only about 1.1:1 a full ATR away, no better than the baseline. CAD strength is carried by USDCAD and NZDCAD.
|
| XAUUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
3899.60 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
3899.60
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
3975.71
4005.28
4082.77
Support:
3870.09
3850.00
3800.00
Rationale
Fed hike fears drive the slide, but 3870 and 3850 do not pay 1:1 against a stop above 3975.71, and 3800 is a 1.4 ATR stretch from RSI 29.8. ISM at 10:00 NY adds gap risk.
|