| GBPAUD |
Bullish
|
High
|
1.92579 |
1.92410Buy limit |
1.91840 |
1.93000 |
+0.10R |
1:1.04 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
1.92579
Entry Point
1.92410
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.91840
Conservative Target
1.93000
Risk:Reward
1:1.04
Optimal Target
1.94000
Stop Loss Distance
57.0 pips
Target Distance
59.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.92662
1.93000
1.94000
Support:
1.92288
1.91297
1.90080
Rationale
Breakout above 1.92288 with rising MACD and 61% retail shorts; buy the retest with the stop 0.5 ATR below entry and beyond 1.92288, targeting 1.93 then 1.94. AUD finished at the bottom of the majors after the split RBA hike, which supports the move.
|
| AUDCAD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.97590 |
0.97660Sell limit |
0.97980 |
0.97239 |
+0.10R |
1:1.32 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.97590
Entry Point
0.97660
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.97980
Conservative Target
0.97239
Risk:Reward
1:1.32
Optimal Target
0.97000
Stop Loss Distance
32.0 pips
Target Distance
42.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.97933
0.98277
0.98833
Support:
0.97239
0.97000
0.96500
Rationale
Five lower highs and a widening negative MACD; sell under 0.97933 with the stop above it, aiming at Tuesday's 0.97239 low and then 0.97. AUD slipped after the split RBA vote, while Iran-driven oil headlines are the main risk to the CAD leg.
|
| EURCHF |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.91849 |
0.91910Sell limit |
0.92200 |
0.91554 |
+0.09R |
1:1.23 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.91849
Entry Point
0.91910
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.92200
Conservative Target
0.91554
Risk:Reward
1:1.23
Optimal Target
0.91299
Stop Loss Distance
29.0 pips
Target Distance
35.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.92155
0.92500
0.92683
Support:
0.91554
0.91299
0.91000
Rationale
Sell a pullback under 0.92155, which capped the last two sessions, with the stop above it: the downtrend, 71% retail longs and Tuesday's hotter Swiss CPI favour the franc. The 05:00 NY euro CPI flash is the main risk, hence medium confidence.
|
| AUDCHF |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.57163 |
0.57220Sell limit |
0.57470 |
0.56836 |
+0.09R |
1:1.54 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.57163
Entry Point
0.57220
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.57470
Conservative Target
0.56836
Risk:Reward
1:1.54
Optimal Target
0.56665
Stop Loss Distance
25.0 pips
Target Distance
38.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.57368
0.57560
0.57810
Support:
0.57043
0.56836
0.56665
Rationale
AUD is the weak leg after the split RBA hike and CHF firmed on hotter Swiss CPI; sell under 0.57368 with the stop just above it, targeting Tuesday's 0.56836 low. The long lower wick off that low is the risk, hence medium confidence.
|
| EURCAD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.56812 |
1.56940Sell limit |
1.57560 |
1.55910 |
+0.08R |
1:1.66 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.56812
Entry Point
1.56940
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.57560
Conservative Target
1.55910
Risk:Reward
1:1.66
Optimal Target
1.55521
Stop Loss Distance
62.0 pips
Target Distance
103.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.57008
1.57493
1.58208
Support:
1.55910
1.55521
1.55000
Rationale
Sell the bounce under 1.57008 with the stop above 1.57493, where the Oct 26 sell-off began, targeting the 1.5591 low; lower highs, RSI 34 and 72% retail longs keep the trend bearish. The euro CPI flash at 05:00 NY and Iran-driven oil swings are the risks, hence medium confidence.
|
| NZDCHF |
Bearish
|
High
|
0.45857 |
0.45900Sell limit |
0.46170 |
0.45500 |
+0.08R |
1:1.48 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.45857
Entry Point
0.45900
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.46170
Conservative Target
0.45500
Risk:Reward
1:1.48
Optimal Target
0.45250
Stop Loss Distance
27.0 pips
Target Distance
40.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.46138
0.46497
0.46828
Support:
0.45801
0.45500
Rationale
Lower lows since Oct 27, a widening negative MACD and 82% retail longs, the most crowded book, with the franc firmed by hotter Swiss CPI. Sell under 0.46138 with the stop above it, targeting 0.455, with 0.4525 as a round-number extension.
|
| XAUUSD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
3933.23 |
3945.00Sell limit |
3985.00 |
3895.49 |
+0.07R |
1:1.24 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
3933.23
Entry Point
3945.00
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
3985.00
Conservative Target
3895.49
Risk:Reward
1:1.24
Optimal Target
3870.09
Stop Loss Distance
40.0 pts
Target Distance
49.5 pts
Key Levels
Resistance:
3970.34
4000.00
4082.77
Support:
3895.49
3870.09
3800.00
Rationale
Lower highs and a widening negative MACD; sell below the 3970.34 high with the stop just above it, targeting Tuesday's 3895.49 low then 3870.09. US midterm results overnight and ISM Services at 10:00 NY can whip gold, hence low confidence.
|
| NZDJPY |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
88.690 |
88.800Sell limit |
89.180 |
88.338 |
+0.06R |
1:1.22 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
88.690
Entry Point
88.800
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
89.180
Conservative Target
88.338
Risk:Reward
1:1.22
Optimal Target
88.118
Stop Loss Distance
38.0 pips
Target Distance
46.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
89.121
89.620
90.035
Support:
88.959
88.461
88.338
Rationale
Short NZD against JPY, the side Tokyo's intervention warnings support, rather than chasing yen weakness elsewhere; 74% retail longs and no momentum recovery. Sell under 89.121 with the stop above it, targeting the 88.338 range floor and the 88.118 Oct 28 low.
|
| EURUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.11932 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.11932
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.12066
1.12370
1.12693
Support:
1.11750
1.11612
1.11047
Rationale
Lower highs inside the 1.1105-1.1270 box, but US midterm results overnight plus the euro CPI flash and ISM Services leave two-sided event risk. The short-EUR theme is carried by EURCHF and EURCAD.
|
| GBPUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.34148 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.34148
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.34188
1.34481
1.35678
Support:
1.33962
1.33673
1.32723
Rationale
The uptrend is intact, but a long leans on the 1.3419-1.3448 cap while US midterm results land overnight and the BoE decides on Thursday. The long-GBP view is carried by GBPAUD.
|
| USDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
158.709 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
158.709
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
158.992
159.777
160.392
Support:
158.025
157.748
157.404
Rationale
Momentum points to 158.99, just below the 160 zone where Tokyo and Washington intervened jointly in July, and Japan's finance minister repeated readiness to act this week. Buying yen weakness into official warnings is not a trade worth taking.
|
| USDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.82060 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.82060
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.82169
0.82635
0.83128
Support:
0.81913
0.81830
0.81489
Rationale
Lower highs and hotter Swiss CPI favour the franc, but US midterm results overnight add gap risk to the dollar leg. Redundant with the long-CHF plans in EURCHF, AUDCHF and NZDCHF.
|
| AUDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.69660 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.69660
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.69898
0.70129
0.70678
Support:
0.69617
0.69326
0.68941
Rationale
Price sits on 0.69617 support after a two-day drop that is not yet a trend, and US midterm results land overnight. Redundant with the short-AUD plans in AUDCHF, AUDCAD and GBPAUD.
|
| USDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.40104 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.40104
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.40142
1.40680
1.41318
Support:
1.39679
1.39497
1.39413
Rationale
Price has based at 1.3941-1.3950 for four sessions and closed back above 1.40 on a firmer dollar, with US midterm results and Iran-driven oil swings ahead. Long CAD is carried by AUDCAD and EURCAD.
|
| NZDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.55883 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.55883
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.56262
0.56512
0.56872
Support:
0.56022
0.55795
0.55649
Rationale
Bearish structure and 75% retail longs, but the short-NZD theme is expressed in NZDCHF and NZDJPY without the US midterm gap risk on the dollar leg.
|
| EURGBP |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.83440 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.83440
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.83646
0.83806
0.84019
Support:
0.83300
0.83217
0.83000
Rationale
RSI 20.8 is deeply oversold after a three-day compression, the euro CPI flash lands at 05:00 NY and the BoE meets Thursday. The short-EUR theme is carried by EURCHF and EURCAD.
|
| EURJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
177.643 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
177.643
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
177.965
178.336
179.309
Support:
177.253
176.464
175.068
Rationale
The rally into the 177.965 range top is yen weakness, and Japan's intervention warnings argue against chasing it. MACD is still negative, so a rejection at 177.965 is as likely as a breakout.
|
| EURAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.60686 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.60686
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.61276
1.62272
1.62660
Support:
1.60639
1.59545
1.58552
Rationale
The rebound is a recovery rather than a trend and 1.61276 barely offers 1:1, while a long EUR leg would offset the EURCHF and EURCAD shorts. Short AUD is carried by AUDCHF, AUDCAD and GBPAUD.
|
| EURNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
2.00299 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
2.00299
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.99611
2.00309
2.01110
Support:
1.99388
1.98566
1.97778
Rationale
Higher lows and 66% retail shorts, but price sits in the 1.994-2.004 congestion and a long adds EUR exposure against the EURCHF and EURCAD shorts. Short NZD is carried by NZDCHF and NZDJPY.
|
| GBPJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
212.902 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
212.902
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
213.037
214.000
217.467
Support:
211.985
211.548
210.285
Rationale
The breakout above 211.985 is a short-yen trade while Tokyo warns of intervention near the levels that drew joint action in July. Not chased; long GBP is carried by GBPAUD.
|
| GBPCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.10080 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.10080
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.10216
1.10588
1.10702
Support:
1.09635
1.09393
1.09110
Rationale
Range-bound between 1.0939 and 1.1070 with RSI 50.5 and a flat MACD: no directional edge.
|
| GBPCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.87936 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.87936
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.87930
1.88476
1.89067
Support:
1.87417
1.87013
1.86514
Rationale
Inside the 1.8607-1.8905 October range with MACD below its signal and RSI on the midline: no edge either way.
|
| GBPNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
2.40053 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
2.40053
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.39197
2.40000
2.41000
Support:
2.38057
2.37499
2.36516
Rationale
RSI 70.5 after five straight gains argues against buying at 2.40, and no level beyond 2.41 gives a clean target. Short NZD is carried by NZDCHF and NZDJPY, long GBP by GBPAUD.
|
| AUDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
110.554 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
110.554
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
110.641
111.020
111.305
Support:
109.951
109.485
108.667
Rationale
Mid-range inside 108.63-111.56 with RSI 49 and a flat MACD: no directional edge.
|
| CADJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
113.284 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
113.284
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
113.474
114.000
115.419
Support:
113.118
112.800
112.418
Rationale
A steady uptrend to a new cycle high, but it is a short-yen trade into official intervention warnings. Long CAD is carried by AUDCAD and EURCAD.
|
| CHFJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
193.402 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
193.402
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
193.652
194.000
195.000
Support:
192.486
192.148
190.825
Rationale
The breakout to 193.652 rests on yen weakness that Tokyo is actively warning against. Long CHF is carried by EURCHF, AUDCHF and NZDCHF.
|
| AUDNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.24651 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.24651
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.24367
1.24818
1.25219
Support:
1.24046
1.23928
1.23565
Rationale
The Oct 28 spike has faded onto the 1.24046 pivot with neutral RSI and retail positioning that conflicts with price: no edge.
|
| NZDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.78290 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.78290
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.78865
0.79472
0.80034
Support:
0.78337
0.78000
Rationale
Bearish, but RSI 32.8 is near oversold and 0.78 is the only target below. Redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDCHF and NZDJPY and the long-CAD plans in AUDCAD and EURCAD.
|
| CADCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58575 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.58575
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58636
0.58786
0.59074
Support:
0.58447
0.58377
0.58280
Rationale
A range with flat momentum and only low conviction, and the long-CHF theme is already carried by EURCHF, AUDCHF and NZDCHF.
|