Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Monday, 02 November 2026 Forecast for: Tuesday, 03 November 2026 Plan window: Tue 00:00 – Tue 21:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-11-02

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Today's plans express three themes: buying sterling ahead of Thursday's Bank of England decision, selling the New Zealand dollar after a surprise contraction in China's factories, and buying the Swiss franc, which keeps gaining against most currencies. All US dollar pairs, gold and Australian dollar pairs stay neutral, because Tuesday's US midterm elections and the RBA rate decision both fall inside the session. Japan's finance minister warned on Monday against disorderly currency moves, so the plans do not buy pullbacks in yen crosses: the only yen plan sells NZDJPY, the side that warning supports.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

AUD: RBA Cash Rate decision, Rate Statement and Monetary Policy Statement at 22:30 NY Monday (hike to 4.85% forecast), press conference at 23:30 NY
CHF CPI m/m at 02:30 NY, a risk for the franc-strength plans in NZDCHF and CADCHF
USD: Congressional Elections through Tuesday plus JOLTS at 10:00 NY; CAD: BOC Gov Macklem speaks at 11:00 NY
JPY: Japanese bank holiday thins Asian liquidity after Monday's official warning against disorderly yen moves

Best Opportunities

GBPNZD Bullish

NZDCHF Bearish

EURGBP Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (400 filled plans), 11% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

GBPNZD

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.43

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 2.38500 Buy limit

Stop Loss 2.37450 (105.0 pips)

Conservative Target 2.40000 (150.0 pips)

Optimal Target 2.41000 (250.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.39000 2.40000

Support: 2.37499 2.36667 2.35427

Rationale

The breakout trend has retail 80% short, sterling is bid ahead of Thursday's BoE, and NZD is weak after the China factory contraction headline. The entry is shallow because Monday closed on its high; the stop sits below 2.37499 and the target is the 2.40 round number.

Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail

NZDCHF

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.32

Expected result +0.11 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.46050 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.46240 (19.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.45800 (25.0 pips)

Optimal Target 0.45600 (45.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.46146 0.46497 0.46828

Support: 0.45928 0.45800 0.45600

Rationale

This is the most crowded long book (84% retail long) in a five-session slide, with NZD hit by the China factory contraction headline and CHF bid across the board. The stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop beyond 0.46146; CHF CPI at 02:30 NY is the main risk.

Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

EURGBP

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.52

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.83490 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.83670 (18.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.83217 (27.3 pips)

Optimal Target 0.83000 (49.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.83646 0.83806 0.84019

Support: 0.83217 0.83000

Rationale

Lower highs persist with retail 79% long, and sterling is supported ahead of Thursday's BoE decision, so the plan sells Monday's bounce below 0.83646 resistance with the stop above it. RSI 22 is stretched, so the first target is only the 0.83217 low.

Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
NZDCHF	Bearish	Medium	0.45997	0.46050Sell limit	0.46240	0.45800	+0.11R	1:1.32	+0.05RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R Analysis Price 0.45997 Entry Point 0.46050 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.46240 Conservative Target 0.45800 Risk:Reward 1:1.32 Optimal Target 0.45600 Stop Loss Distance 19.0 pips Target Distance 25.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.46146 0.46497 0.46828 Support: 0.45928 0.45800 0.45600 Rationale This is the most crowded long book (84% retail long) in a five-session slide, with NZD hit by the China factory contraction headline and CHF bid across the board. The stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop beyond 0.46146; CHF CPI at 02:30 NY is the main risk. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Bullish	High	2.38634	2.38500Buy limit	2.37450	2.40000	+0.10R	1:1.43	+0.58RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 2.38634 Entry Point 2.38500 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 2.37450 Conservative Target 2.40000 Risk:Reward 1:1.43 Optimal Target 2.41000 Stop Loss Distance 105.0 pips Target Distance 150.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 2.39000 2.40000 Support: 2.37499 2.36667 2.35427 Rationale The breakout trend has retail 80% short, sterling is bid ahead of Thursday's BoE, and NZD is weak after the China factory contraction headline. The entry is shallow because Monday closed on its high; the stop sits below 2.37499 and the target is the 2.40 round number. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Bearish	Medium	0.83452	0.83490Sell limit	0.83670	0.83217	+0.09R	1:1.52	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 0.83452 Entry Point 0.83490 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.83670 Conservative Target 0.83217 Risk:Reward 1:1.52 Optimal Target 0.83000 Stop Loss Distance 18.0 pips Target Distance 27.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.83646 0.83806 0.84019 Support: 0.83217 0.83000 Rationale Lower highs persist with retail 79% long, and sterling is supported ahead of Thursday's BoE decision, so the plan sells Monday's bounce below 0.83646 resistance with the stop above it. RSI 22 is stretched, so the first target is only the 0.83217 low. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Bearish	Low	0.58543	0.58600Sell limit	0.58790	0.58280	+0.09R	1:1.68	-0.04RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 0.58543 Entry Point 0.58600 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.58790 Conservative Target 0.58280 Risk:Reward 1:1.68 Optimal Target 0.58116 Stop Loss Distance 19.0 pips Target Distance 32.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.58636 0.58866 0.59299 Support: 0.58447 0.58280 0.58116 Rationale This is a low-confidence bet on franc strength: Monday's drop hit the 0.58447 pivot with retail 68% long, and oil easing on Iran deal reports weighs on CAD. The stop is a volatility stop above 0.58636; CHF CPI (02:30 NY) and Macklem (11:00 NY) cap confidence. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Bearish	Medium	88.725	88.820Sell limit	89.190	88.338	+0.08R	1:1.30	-0.55RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 88.725 Entry Point 88.820 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 89.190 Conservative Target 88.338 Risk:Reward 1:1.30 Optimal Target 88.264 Stop Loss Distance 37.0 pips Target Distance 48.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 89.073 89.620 90.035 Support: 88.338 88.264 88.118 Rationale This sells NZD on the yen side that Monday's official intervention warning supports, with retail 77% long below the 89.073 pivot. The stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop beyond 89.073; Japan's holiday thins Asian liquidity. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.11868	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.11868 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.12370 1.12693 Support: 1.11612 1.11130 1.11047 Rationale US Congressional Elections (High impact, 10:16 NY) fall inside the session, so there is no directional plan. Technically the pair is still boxed between 1.1105 and 1.1269 with a mild bearish tilt. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.34052	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.34052 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.34188 1.34481 1.35678 Support: 1.33673 1.33025 1.32723 Rationale US Congressional Elections (High impact, 10:16 NY) take the dollar off the table despite the bullish higher-low chain. The long-GBP theme is carried by GBPNZD and EURGBP. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	157.946	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 157.946 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 158.056 158.346 158.950 Support: 157.536 157.404 156.962 Rationale US Congressional Elections (High impact) fall inside the window, and Japan's renewed warning against disorderly moves adds two-way gap risk near 158. Neutral technicals give no edge either way. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.81882	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.81882 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.81910 0.82550 0.83128 Support: 0.81759 0.81500 0.80671 Rationale The break of 0.8191 is bearish, but US Congressional Elections (High impact, 10:16 NY) rule out a directional plan. The CHF-long theme is carried by NZDCHF and CADCHF. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.69968	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.69968 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.70129 0.70400 0.70678 Support: 0.69510 0.69326 0.68941 Rationale The RBA rate decision (22:30 NY Monday) and US Congressional Elections (High impact, Tuesday) are both inside the window. No directional plan. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Neutral	Low	1.39873	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.39873 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.40142 1.40680 1.41320 Support: 1.39679 1.39413 1.37620 Rationale US Congressional Elections (High impact, 10:16 NY) take this pair off the table despite the bearish lower-low sequence. Macklem speaks at 11:00 NY on the CAD side. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.56174	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.56174 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.56262 0.56512 0.56872 Support: 0.56064 0.55772 0.55649 Rationale US Congressional Elections (High impact, 10:16 NY) rule out a directional plan. The short-NZD theme is carried by GBPNZD, NZDCHF and NZDJPY. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	176.690	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 176.690 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 177.253 177.965 178.336 Support: 176.516 175.596 175.094 Rationale The technical bias is neutral in the 175.07-177.25 base. Monday's official warning on disorderly yen moves argues against buying yen-cross dips on a thin Japanese holiday. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Neutral	Low	0.91599	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.91599 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.91829 0.92155 0.92500 Support: 0.91554 0.91500 0.91000 Rationale The downtrend is intact, but with a 0.5 ATR stop no support reaches 1:1 before 0.91, about 1.5 ATR away, and CHF CPI is due at 02:30 NY. The CHF-long theme is carried by NZDCHF and CADCHF. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.59882	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.59882 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.60238 1.60930 1.62660 Support: 1.59545 1.58470 1.57767 Rationale The RBA rate decision and Monetary Policy Statement (High impact, 22:30 NY Monday) fall inside the window. Neutral technicals in a volatile regime as well. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.56466	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.56466 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.57008 1.57493 1.58208 Support: 1.56064 1.55521 1.55000 Rationale The bias is bearish, but Monday's strong rebound and oil easing on Iran deal reports undercut CAD, with Macklem at 11:00 NY. The edge is too thin to spend a plan on. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Neutral	Low	1.99144	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.99144 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.99544 2.00309 2.01110 Support: 1.97778 1.95740 1.95402 Rationale This is redundant with the short-NZD plans in GBPNZD, NZDCHF and NZDJPY. A stop under 1.97778 needs a full ATR to make barely 1:1. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	211.728	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 211.728 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 211.985 212.107 213.000 Support: 210.285 209.566 209.116 Rationale Japan's finance minister warned on Monday against disorderly yen moves, so buying this dip means fighting official warnings during a thin Japanese holiday. The long-GBP theme is carried by GBPNZD and EURGBP. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.09763	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.09763 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.10054 1.10588 1.10702 Support: 1.09635 1.09586 1.09110 Rationale Two of the strongest currencies face off at the 1.0959 range floor, with neutral technicals. CHF CPI at 02:30 NY adds noise. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.91588	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.91588 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.91889 1.92288 1.93000 Support: 1.91113 1.90080 1.89388 Rationale The RBA rate decision (High impact, 22:30 NY Monday) is inside the window, so there is no directional plan. The long-GBP theme is carried by GBPNZD and EURGBP. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.87492	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.87492 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.87855 1.88476 1.89067 Support: 1.87417 1.86855 1.86068 Rationale The technical bias is neutral, with RSI on the midline inside the 1.8607-1.8926 range. Macklem speaks at 11:00 NY. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Neutral	Low	110.513	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 110.513 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 110.641 111.128 111.561 Support: 110.198 109.643 109.485 Rationale The RBA rate decision (High impact, 22:30 NY Monday) falls inside the window, and the yen faces two-way intervention risk. No plan. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	112.925	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 112.925 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 112.921 113.118 113.500 Support: 112.418 112.129 111.483 Rationale Monday's official warning on disorderly yen moves argues against buying yen-cross dips, and oil easing on Iran deal reports weighs on CAD. Macklem at 11:00 NY adds event risk. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	192.894	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 192.894 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 193.069 194.000 196.692 Support: 192.148 190.825 189.912 Rationale Buying this breakout means selling the yen into Monday's official warning against disorderly moves, with CHF CPI at 02:30 NY. The CHF-long theme is carried by NZDCHF and CADCHF. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.57292	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.57292 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.57560 0.57810 0.58163 Support: 0.57094 0.57043 0.56665 Rationale The RBA rate decision (High impact, 22:30 NY Monday) and CHF CPI fall inside the window. No directional plan. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.97863	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.97863 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.98011 0.98396 0.98833 Support: 0.97802 0.97500 Rationale The RBA rate decision and Monetary Policy Statement (High impact, 22:30 NY Monday) take AUD off the table despite the bearish break. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Low	1.24556	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.24556 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.24650 1.25219 1.25558 Support: 1.24453 1.24046 1.23565 Rationale The RBA rate decision (High impact, 22:30 NY Monday) is inside the window, so there is no directional plan. The short-NZD theme is carried by GBPNZD, NZDCHF and NZDJPY. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.78569	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.78569 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.78865 0.79470 0.80034 Support: 0.78383 0.78000 Rationale This is redundant with the short-NZD plans in GBPNZD, NZDCHF and NZDJPY. Oil easing on Iran deal reports and Macklem at 11:00 NY also cloud the CAD leg. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	3944.97	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 3944.97 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 3970.34 4026.42 4082.77 Support: 3880.00 3870.09 3800.00 Rationale US Congressional Elections (High impact, 10:16 NY) count for gold, so there is no directional plan despite the downtrend from 4217. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$6 average per $100 risked

115 of 162 picks filled, over 55 verified days · target hit 16%

Every plan on the board

−$5 average per $100 risked

413 plans over 55 verified days · target hit 11%

55 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 115 picks the honest range around the +$6 runs from −$8 to +$20 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 162 picks published, 115 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 27 of the 115 picks lost the full $100, against 66 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 42% of the Top 3 result, and 31 of the 115 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$12 to +$3, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 413 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 3 Nov 2026)

Target hit 11% (45)
Stop hit 24% (98)
Timed out 65% (270)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 172 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

31% Win rate 45 of 143 plans closed at target or stop

-0.05R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.09R Timed-out average how those 270 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

19%

15 of 77 plans

Bearish

45%

30 of 66 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
EURAUD	67%	2 / 3
EURJPY	60%	3 / 5
NZDCAD	60%	3 / 5
NZDJPY	60%	3 / 5
EURGBP	50%	3 / 6
EURCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDCHF	43%	3 / 7
GBPUSD	40%	2 / 5
EURNZD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
AUDUSD	38%	3 / 8
EURCHF	36%	4 / 11
EURUSD	33%	2 / 6
USDCAD	33%	2 / 6
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
XAUUSD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	20%	1 / 5
GBPAUD	17%	1 / 6
AUDJPY	13%	1 / 8
AUDNZD	0%	0 / 3
GBPCHF	0%	0 / 3
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 4
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 7
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

3 Nov 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $101

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.83490 → 0.83217	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.38500 → 2.40000	Timed out	+0.58R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.820 → 88.338	Timed out	-0.55R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46050 → 0.45800	Timed out	+0.05R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Bearish	0.58600 → 0.58280	Timed out	-0.04R
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

2 Nov 2026 2 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $87

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.11705 → 1.11130	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPUSD	Bullish	1.33825 → 1.34188	Target hit	+1.02R
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Bullish	0.70240 → 0.70678	Stop hit	-1.00R
USDCAD	Bearish	1.39800 → 1.39413	Timed out	-0.34R
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Bearish	176.050 → 175.398	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURCHF	Bearish	0.92075 → 0.91829	Target hit	+1.09R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.795 → 88.338	Timed out	+0.23R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24780 → 1.25558	Timed out	-0.54R
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.78690 → 0.78383	Timed out	+0.36R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

30 Oct 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $179

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Bullish	0.70210 → 0.70678	Timed out	+0.55R
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.83610 → 0.83447	Target hit	+1.09R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.56470 → 1.55530	Target hit	+2.19R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.37500 → 2.39000	Timed out	+0.29R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24700 → 1.25558	Timed out	+0.24R
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.78800 → 0.78383	Timed out	+0.40R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4027.00 → 3975.71	Not filled	–

29 Oct 2026 1 target · 2 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $62

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Bullish	111.240 → 112.000	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.830 → 88.264	Timed out	-0.22R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58365 → 0.58825	Timed out	-0.81R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.25360 → 1.26020	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.78735 → 0.78413	Target hit	+1.07R
CADCHF	Bullish	0.59150 → 0.59500	Timed out	-0.31R
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

28 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $64

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Bearish	175.960 → 175.094	Timed out	-0.43R
EURCHF	Bearish	0.92310 → 0.91950	Timed out	-0.29R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 17%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

GBPNZD

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NZDCHF

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EURGBP

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