| EURGBP |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.83492 |
0.83520Sell limit |
0.83670 |
0.83306 |
+0.10R |
1:1.43 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.83492
Entry Point
0.83520
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.83670
Conservative Target
0.83306
Risk:Reward
1:1.43
Optimal Target
0.83220
Stop Loss Distance
15.0 pips
Target Distance
21.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.83538
0.83646
0.84019
Support:
0.83306
0.83220
0.83000
Rationale
Selling near the top of the 0.8322-0.8364 shelf with 78% retail long; stop above 0.8365 and every recent session has traded down to about 0.8331. Oversold RSI 28 keeps the target at the shelf rather than below it.
|
| AUDCHF |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.56725 |
0.56800Sell limit |
0.57090 |
0.56078 |
+0.10R |
1:2.49 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.56725
Entry Point
0.56800
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.57090
Conservative Target
0.56078
Risk:Reward
1:2.49
Optimal Target
0.56000
Stop Loss Distance
29.0 pips
Target Distance
72.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.56792
0.57442
0.57810
Support:
0.56665
0.56078
0.56000
Rationale
Lower highs and lower lows, an expanding negative MACD and 65% retail long; sell above the 0.5679 cap with a 0.5 ATR volatility stop because 0.5744 is more than 1 ATR away. The target at Friday's 0.5608 low is far, so the probability is modest.
|
| CADCHF |
Bearish
|
High
|
0.58037 |
0.58100Sell limit |
0.58300 |
0.57811 |
+0.10R |
1:1.44 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.58037
Entry Point
0.58100
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.58300
Conservative Target
0.57811
Risk:Reward
1:1.44
Optimal Target
0.57630
Stop Loss Distance
20.0 pips
Target Distance
28.9 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58239
0.58362
0.58636
Support:
0.58018
0.57895
0.57811
Rationale
Six lower highs, MACD below zero and 78% retail long, with CAD weighed by oil's slide on Iran deal reports; stop above 0.5824 resistance. The target is 0.5781, then the 0.5763 extension from the analysis.
|
| EURCAD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.58446 |
1.58360Buy limit |
1.57900 |
1.59463 |
+0.09R |
1:2.40 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.58446
Entry Point
1.58360
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.57900
Conservative Target
1.59463
Risk:Reward
1:2.40
Optimal Target
1.60193
Stop Loss Distance
46.0 pips
Target Distance
110.3 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.58521
1.59463
1.60193
Support:
1.58000
1.57488
1.57209
Rationale
Six higher closes and CAD the weakest currency after oil slid on Iran deal reports; shallow entry after Monday's close near the high, stop below 1.5800. The first 1:1 level is the 1.5946 mid-October high, so the probability is modest.
|
| GBPAUD |
Bullish
|
High
|
1.94167 |
1.94000Buy limit |
1.93370 |
1.94715 |
+0.09R |
1:1.13 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
1.94167
Entry Point
1.94000
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.93370
Conservative Target
1.94715
Risk:Reward
1:1.13
Optimal Target
1.95279
Stop Loss Distance
63.0 pips
Target Distance
71.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.94715
1.95279
1.96000
Support:
1.93734
1.91705
1.90080
Rationale
Six higher lows, accelerating MACD and 79% retail short back the GBP leadership; limit at 1.9400 with a 0.5 ATR stop below 1.9373 support. Monday's inside day is a pause under 1.9472 and the 1.9528 high.
|
| AUDJPY |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
109.355 |
109.480Sell limit |
110.080 |
108.667 |
+0.09R |
1:1.36 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
109.355
Entry Point
109.480
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
110.080
Conservative Target
108.667
Risk:Reward
1:1.36
Optimal Target
108.234
Stop Loss Distance
60.0 pips
Target Distance
81.3 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
109.533
110.000
110.641
Support:
108.667
108.234
108.000
Rationale
October range breakdown with lower lows and 62% retail long; sell the retest under 109.53 with a stop above 110.00. A BoJ Summary that leans toward a hike would help, but Monday's risk-on AUD bounce keeps confidence medium.
|
| CADJPY |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
111.886 |
111.980Sell limit |
112.340 |
111.483 |
+0.09R |
1:1.38 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
111.886
Entry Point
111.980
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
112.340
Conservative Target
111.483
Risk:Reward
1:1.38
Optimal Target
110.720
Stop Loss Distance
36.0 pips
Target Distance
49.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
112.274
112.586
112.921
Support:
111.630
111.483
110.720
Rationale
Three lower closes from 113.66, 71% retail long and CAD weighed by oil's slide on Iran deal reports; stop above 112.27 resistance. A hawkish BoJ Summary at the Tokyo open would add yen support.
|
| EURUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.12232 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.12232
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.12711
1.13000
Support:
1.11612
1.11310
1.11047
Rationale
High-impact USD CPI and Core CPI at 08:30 NY fall inside the window, so no directional plan. Price also sits mid-range between 1.1161 and 1.1271 with no edge.
|
| GBPUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.34423 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.34423
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.35030
1.35678
1.36755
Support:
1.34000
1.33413
1.32723
Rationale
High-impact USD CPI and Core CPI at 08:30 NY fall inside the window, so no directional plan. The long-GBP view is carried by GBPAUD and EURGBP instead.
|
| USDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
157.958 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
157.958
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
158.056
158.581
158.765
Support:
157.536
157.256
156.962
Rationale
High-impact USD CPI and Core CPI at 08:30 NY fall inside the window, so no directional plan. The 157.26-158.77 box and intervention-sensitive highs add no edge.
|
| USDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.81935 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.81935
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.82265
0.82635
0.83128
Support:
0.81913
0.81740
0.81272
Rationale
High-impact USD CPI and Core CPI at 08:30 NY fall inside the window, so no directional plan. The long-CHF view is expressed through CADCHF and AUDCHF.
|
| AUDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.69231 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.69231
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.69421
0.69898
0.70245
Support:
0.69037
0.68941
0.68543
Rationale
High-impact USD CPI and Core CPI at 08:30 NY fall inside the window, so no directional plan. Short-AUD exposure is held via GBPAUD, AUDJPY and AUDCHF.
|
| USDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.41179 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.41179
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.41373
1.42000
1.42968
Support:
1.40772
1.40235
1.39679
Rationale
High-impact USD CPI and Core CPI at 08:30 NY fall inside the window, so no directional plan. Short-CAD exposure is held via EURCAD, CADJPY and CADCHF.
|
| NZDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.56341 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.56341
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.56367
0.56578
0.56872
Support:
0.55795
0.55539
0.55271
Rationale
High-impact USD CPI and Core CPI at 08:30 NY fall inside the window, so no directional plan. Monday's NZD-led rebound left price at 0.5637 resistance with no edge.
|
| EURJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
177.279 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
177.279
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
177.965
178.475
179.309
Support:
176.516
176.154
175.081
Rationale
Neutral range mid-band with split retail, and the BoJ Summary of Opinions at the Tokyo open adds yen headline risk. No edge to trade.
|
| EURCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.91958 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.91958
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.92075
0.92500
0.93345
Support:
0.91749
0.91299
0.91227
Rationale
Monday's 0.9123-0.9208 bullish reversal undercuts a short at 0.92, whose 1:1.1 to 0.9175 is no better than baseline. The long-CHF view is carried by CADCHF and AUDCHF.
|
| EURAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.62114 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.62114
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.62272
1.62589
1.62868
Support:
1.61658
1.60807
1.59900
Rationale
Redundant with the short-AUD plans in GBPAUD, AUDJPY and AUDCHF. A long from 1.6195 only reaches 1:1.1 at 1.6259.
|
| EURNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.99207 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.99207
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.99388
2.00309
2.01110
Support:
1.99082
1.98566
1.97778
Rationale
NZD was Monday's strongest major and the pair closed on its 1.9908 low, which fights the uptrend read. A long to 2.0031 shows no edge over baseline.
|
| GBPJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
212.328 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
212.328
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
212.458
213.037
213.767
Support:
211.179
210.696
209.566
Rationale
The BoJ Summary of Opinions at the Tokyo open may hint at a hike, so no buying of yen-cross dips into it. The long-GBP view is carried by GBPAUD and EURGBP.
|
| GBPCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.10139 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.10139
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.10279
1.10588
1.10702
Support:
1.09635
1.09393
1.09200
Rationale
Month-long 1.0920-1.1070 range with flat momentum and balanced retail. No directional edge.
|
| GBPCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.89772 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.89772
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.89827
1.90000
Support:
1.89052
1.88449
1.87948
Rationale
Bullish, but no mapped resistance beyond 1.9000 reaches 1:1 against a stop under 1.8905, so there is no valid plan. GBP and CAD views are carried by GBPAUD, EURCAD, CADJPY and CADCHF.
|
| GBPNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
2.38591 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
2.38591
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.40452
2.41787
Support:
2.38389
2.37196
2.35427
Rationale
Monday's largest down day of the rally came with NZD leading the majors, so a long to 2.4045 has no edge over baseline. Redundant with the long-GBP plan in GBPAUD.
|
| NZDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
88.992 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
88.992
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
89.073
89.393
90.035
Support:
88.695
88.264
87.904
Rationale
Monday's sharp NZD-led rebound and a first 1:1 target at 88.26, about 1 ATR away, leave no clear edge. Redundant with the short-AUD/long-JPY plan in AUDJPY.
|
| CHFJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
192.784 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
192.784
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
193.551
194.330
Support:
192.259
191.800
189.912
Rationale
Uptrend pause, but the BoJ Summary of Opinions at the Tokyo open could hint at a hike, so no buying of yen-cross dips. Long CHF is already held via CADCHF and AUDCHF.
|
| AUDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.97739 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.97739
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.97831
0.98005
0.98833
Support:
0.97058
0.96836
0.96488
Rationale
A short AUDCAD is long CAD, which conflicts with the short-CAD plans after oil's slide, and 61% retail short trims the trend. No plan.
|
| AUDNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.22880 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.22880
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.23707
1.24367
1.24650
Support:
1.22782
1.22692
1.22000
Rationale
The only 1:1 target, 1.2200, lies beyond the 1.2269-1.2278 October floor, where a double bottom is possible. NZD strength is real, but there is no clean ratio.
|
| NZDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.46162 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.46162
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.46168
0.46430
0.46828
Support:
0.45915
0.45503
0.45312
Rationale
Monday's engulfing 0.4551-0.4617 rally fights the bearish read. Redundant with the short-AUD/long-CHF plan in AUDCHF.
|
| NZDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.79540 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.79540
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.79558
0.80034
0.80322
Support:
0.79506
0.78916
0.78383
Rationale
Sitting on the 0.7951-0.7956 pivot with neutral momentum and balanced retail, and CAD exposure is already at three plans. No edge.
|
| XAUUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
4142.23 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
4142.23
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
4148.53
4198.90
4226.97
Support:
4110.89
4066.46
4029.10
Rationale
High-impact USD CPI at 08:30 NY counts for gold, so no directional plan. Price is also testing the 4148.5 cap with wide 85-point swings.
|