| EURUSD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.11451 |
1.11550Sell limit |
1.11900 |
1.11089 |
+0.11R |
1:1.32 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks
+0.11R
Analysis Price
1.11451
Entry Point
1.11550
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.11900
Conservative Target
1.11089
Risk:Reward
1:1.32
Optimal Target
1.10500
Stop Loss Distance
35.0 pips
Target Distance
46.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.11854
1.12347
1.12729
Support:
1.11089
1.10500
Rationale
Friday closed at its session low inside the 1.1105-1.1273 range, with retail 75% long and the dollar ending the week strong. The plan sells a pullback below 1.1185, stops out above that level and targets the range floor.
|
| GBPAUD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.94429 |
1.94330Buy limit |
1.93690 |
1.95279 |
+0.11R |
1:1.48 |
-0.49RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks
+0.11R
Analysis Price
1.94429
Entry Point
1.94330
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.93690
Conservative Target
1.95279
Risk:Reward
1:1.48
Optimal Target
1.96000
Stop Loss Distance
64.0 pips
Target Distance
94.9 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.95279
1.96000
Support:
1.93786
1.92288
1.91705
Rationale
The pair has risen six sessions in a row with retail 73% short, so the plan buys a shallow pullback with a 0.5 ATR stop below Friday's 1.9379 low. Bailey at 12:25 NY (medium impact) and RSI near 70 call for a shallow entry and medium confidence.
|
| NZDCHF |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.45622 |
0.45670Sell limit |
0.45940 |
0.45312 |
+0.11R |
1:1.33 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks
+0.11R
Analysis Price
0.45622
Entry Point
0.45670
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.45940
Conservative Target
0.45312
Risk:Reward
1:1.33
Optimal Target
0.45000
Stop Loss Distance
27.0 pips
Target Distance
35.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.45515
0.45692
0.46097
Support:
0.45312
0.45000
Rationale
The plan sells just under 0.4569 resistance in a lower-high downtrend with retail 81% long. The next resistance at 0.4610 is more than 1 ATR away, so it uses a 0.7 ATR volatility stop.
|
| AUDCHF |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.56352 |
0.56430Sell limit |
0.56720 |
0.56050 |
+0.10R |
1:1.31 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks
+0.10R
Analysis Price
0.56352
Entry Point
0.56430
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.56720
Conservative Target
0.56050
Risk:Reward
1:1.31
Optimal Target
0.55500
Stop Loss Distance
29.0 pips
Target Distance
38.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.56679
0.57043
0.57442
Support:
0.56050
0.55500
Rationale
The pair has made a lower low in each of the last five sessions, so the plan sells a pullback with a stop above Friday's 0.5668 high. RSI near oversold keeps confidence at medium.
|
| NZDUSD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.55619 |
0.55670Sell limit |
0.56030 |
0.55271 |
+0.09R |
1:1.11 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks
+0.09R
Analysis Price
0.55619
Entry Point
0.55670
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.56030
Conservative Target
0.55271
Risk:Reward
1:1.11
Optimal Target
0.55000
Stop Loss Distance
36.0 pips
Target Distance
39.9 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.55649
0.55988
0.56262
Support:
0.55271
0.55000
Rationale
The plan sells a retest of the broken 0.5565 October low, stops out above Friday's 0.5599 high, and has retail 82% long against a strong dollar. Confidence is medium, not high, because the NZD's firmer open has no known cause.
|
| NZDJPY |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
88.126 |
88.240Sell limit |
88.800 |
87.540 |
+0.09R |
1:1.25 |
-1.00RStop hit |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks
+0.09R
Analysis Price
88.126
Entry Point
88.240
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
88.800
Conservative Target
87.540
Risk:Reward
1:1.25
Optimal Target
87.000
Stop Loss Distance
56.0 pips
Target Distance
70.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
88.101
88.320
89.073
Support:
87.540
87.000
Rationale
The plan sells above the broken 88.10 floor with retail 82% long, and the yen is supported by low risk appetite and Japan's intervention warnings. Resistance at 89.07 is more than 1 ATR away, so it uses a 0.7 ATR volatility stop.
|
| CADCHF |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.58088 |
0.58140Sell limit |
0.58390 |
0.57872 |
+0.08R |
1:1.07 |
+0.42RTimed out |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks
+0.08R
Analysis Price
0.58088
Entry Point
0.58140
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.58390
Conservative Target
0.57872
Risk:Reward
1:1.07
Optimal Target
0.57625
Stop Loss Distance
25.0 pips
Target Distance
26.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58362
0.58636
0.58786
Support:
0.58018
0.57872
0.57625
Rationale
The pair has six lower highs in a row and retail is 75% long, so the plan sells a pullback with a stop above Friday's 0.5836 high. The target is 0.5787, below the 0.5802 pivot, while CAD stays weak after USDCAD's turn higher.
|
| GBPUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.33573 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.33573
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.34188
1.35030
1.35678
Support:
1.33424
1.32723
1.32040
Rationale
Momentum is flat, with RSI on the midline and retail split 51/49, while the strong dollar argues against the higher-low structure. BoE Governor Bailey speaks at 12:25 NY, which adds headline risk.
|
| USDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
158.444 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
158.444
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
158.765
158.992
159.777
Support:
158.025
157.536
157.256
Rationale
The charts lean long, but price is pushing into 158.5-159, where Finance Minister Katayama has repeatedly warned against excessive yen weakness. Buying a dip into intervention risk is not worth it.
|
| USDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.82026 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.82026
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.82202
0.82635
0.83128
Support:
0.81913
0.81460
0.81272
Rationale
The short bias fights the dollar's strong weekly close. The long-CHF theme is already in the NZDCHF, AUDCHF and CADCHF plans.
|
| AUDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.68701 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.68701
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.68941
0.69421
0.69898
Support:
0.68543
0.68000
Rationale
The bearish setup holds, but 0.6854 is too close for a 1:1 target and 0.6800 is 1.5 ATR away. The short-AUD and long-USD themes are already in AUDCHF, GBPAUD, NZDUSD and EURUSD.
|
| USDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.41224 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.41224
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.41373
1.42392
1.42968
Support:
1.40680
1.40057
1.39679
Rationale
The breakout long needs a stop under 1.4068, and the first level giving 1:1 is 1.4239, almost 2 ATR away. The odds of reaching it are no better than the no-edge baseline.
|
| EURGBP |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.83439 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.83439
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.83519
0.83635
0.84019
Support:
0.83217
0.83000
Rationale
The short bias runs into the 0.8322 floor with RSI oversold at 25 and the MACD histogram turning positive, so a target at the floor has no edge. Bailey speaks at 12:25 NY.
|
| EURJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
176.588 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
176.588
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
177.162
177.965
178.475
Support:
176.516
176.154
175.081
Rationale
Price is mid-range between 175.08 and 178.48 and momentum has no direction. Yen pairs also carry intervention headline risk.
|
| EURCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.91418 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.91418
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.91631
0.92018
0.92155
Support:
0.91268
0.91000
Rationale
The bearish setup holds but repeats the long-CHF plans in NZDCHF, AUDCHF and CADCHF. A 1:1 target would also need an entry at the edge of the allowed band.
|
| EURAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.62227 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.62227
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.62589
1.62868
1.63350
Support:
1.61658
1.60807
1.59937
Rationale
The uptrend is intact but repeats the short-AUD plans in AUDCHF and GBPAUD. AUD and NZD exposure is deliberately capped.
|
| EURCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.57383 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.57383
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.57488
1.57909
1.58628
Support:
1.56784
1.56578
1.55521
Rationale
The short bias goes against five straight higher closes and a CAD that has weakened since USDCAD turned up. There is no clear edge.
|
| EURNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
2.00385 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
2.00385
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.01110
2.01499
2.01716
Support:
2.00214
1.99388
1.98989
Rationale
The long setup holds but repeats the short-NZD plans in NZDUSD, NZDCHF and NZDJPY.
|
| GBPJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
211.641 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
211.641
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
211.985
212.458
213.767
Support:
211.179
210.696
209.566
Rationale
A long here is a bet on yen weakness against repeated official intervention warnings, and momentum is cooling. Bailey speaks at 12:25 NY.
|
| GBPCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.09563 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.09563
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.09668
1.09916
1.10274
Support:
1.09393
1.09110
1.08947
Rationale
The pair is ranging near the 1.0939 floor, retail is balanced and the analysis is neutral. Bailey's speech adds GBP headline risk.
|
| GBPCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.88619 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.88619
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.88759
1.89067
Support:
1.87948
1.87417
1.86514
Rationale
No level offers 1:1: the 1.8907 range top is closer than the stop needed below 1.8795 support.
|
| GBPNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
2.40153 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
2.40153
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.41787
2.42500
Support:
2.40018
2.38464
2.38157
Rationale
This repeats the short-NZD plans in NZDUSD, NZDCHF and NZDJPY. RSI is overbought at 73.8 and Bailey speaks at 12:25 NY.
|
| AUDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
108.852 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
108.852
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
109.157
109.533
110.641
Support:
108.667
108.234
Rationale
The breakdown holds but repeats the short-AUD plans in AUDCHF and GBPAUD. There is also no level below 108.23 to aim for if the move extends.
|
| CADJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
112.203 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
112.203
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
112.586
112.921
113.659
Support:
111.932
111.483
110.720
Rationale
The analysis is neutral: RSI is on the midline and a 65% retail long crowd offsets the leftover upside momentum.
|
| CHFJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
193.164 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range held |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
193.164
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
193.551
194.330
195.000
Support:
192.479
192.148
190.825
Rationale
A long here bets on yen weakness against official intervention warnings. CHF strength is already in the CHF-cross plans.
|
| AUDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.97013 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.97013
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.97058
0.97296
0.98005
Support:
0.96488
0.96000
Rationale
This repeats the short-AUD plans in AUDCHF and GBPAUD, and Friday's 50-pip lower wick shows buyers stepping in.
|
| AUDNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.23522 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
1.23522
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.24367
1.24650
1.24925
Support:
1.23565
1.23053
1.22782
Rationale
The analysis is neutral inside the October range, and the NZD's firm open has pushed price below the 1.2357 pivot.
|
| NZDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.78542 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
0.78542
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.78446
0.78916
0.79510
Support:
0.78074
0.77766
Rationale
This repeats the short-NZD plans in NZDUSD, NZDCHF and NZDJPY, and Friday's long lower wick shows buyers stepping in.
|
| XAUUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
4068.16 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Range broken |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks
—
Analysis Price
4068.16
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
4082.77
4147.03
4198.90
Support:
4029.10
3975.71
3870.09
Rationale
Gold is in a volatile regime: highs keep falling while the rebound holds, retail is balanced and the analysis is neutral.
|