Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Forecast for: Thursday, 12 November 2026 Plan window: Thu 00:00 – Thu 21:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-11-11

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The dollar is broadly bid after a hot US inflation print and hawkish Fed remarks lifted bets on a December rate hike, pushing the euro to an 18-month low. Today's plans express two themes: long USD through short EURUSD and long USDCAD and USDCHF, and short AUD against the yen and franc. Sterling pairs stay neutral ahead of UK GDP, and USDJPY is not chased into the 160 area, where Japanese intervention becomes more likely.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

GBP GDP m/m and Prelim GDP q/q at 02:00 NY (High impact): all sterling pairs held neutral
USD Unemployment Claims at 08:30 NY, with markets now pricing a December Fed hike
EUR ECB President Lagarde speaks at 14:30 NY
JPY: intervention risk as USDJPY tests the 159.94-160.39 resistance zone near 160

Best Opportunities

EURUSD Bearish

USDCAD Bullish

AUDJPY Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (442 filled plans), 11% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 64% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

EURUSD

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.43

Expected result +0.12 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.11030 Sell limit

Stop Loss 1.11400 (37.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.10500 (53.0 pips)

Optimal Target 1.10000 (103.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.11047 1.11310 1.11701

Support: 1.10825 1.10500 1.10000

Rationale

The close broke the 1.1105-1.1113 floor, retail is 80% long and bets on a Fed hike sent the euro to an 18-month low, so sell a retest of 1.1105 with the stop above 1.1131, targeting 1.1050. The entry is shallow because the close sat on the low, and Claims (08:30 NY) and Lagarde (14:30 NY) are medium-impact risks.

Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail

USDCAD

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.42

Expected result +0.12 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.42430 Buy limit

Stop Loss 1.42050 (38.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.42968 (53.8 pips)

Optimal Target 1.43500 (107.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.42968 1.43500

Support: 1.42097 1.41960 1.41373

Rationale

The breakout closed on its high with retail 82% short, Fed-hike bets lift the dollar, and headlines about US-Iran peace talks weigh on oil and the CAD. Buy a shallow dip above 1.4210 support with the stop below it, targeting 1.4297; Claims at 08:30 NY is a medium-impact risk.

Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

AUDJPY

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.35

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 109.330 Sell limit

Stop Loss 109.820 (49.0 pips)

Conservative Target 108.667 (66.3 pips)

Optimal Target 108.234 (109.6 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 109.564 110.198 110.641

Support: 108.878 108.667 108.234

Rationale

The structure is bearish with a widening negative MACD, Australian data is weak, and intervention risk near USDJPY 160 supports the yen. Sell a bounce toward 109.56 resistance with the stop above it, targeting 108.67.

Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward
EURUSD	Bearish	High	1.10956	1.11030Sell limit	1.11400	1.10500	+0.12R	1:1.43
Forecast Details Confidence High Analysis Price 1.10956 Entry Point 1.11030 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.11400 Conservative Target 1.10500 Risk:Reward 1:1.43 Optimal Target 1.10000 Stop Loss Distance 37.0 pips Target Distance 53.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.11047 1.11310 1.11701 Support: 1.10825 1.10500 1.10000 Rationale The close broke the 1.1105-1.1113 floor, retail is 80% long and bets on a Fed hike sent the euro to an 18-month low, so sell a retest of 1.1105 with the stop above 1.1131, targeting 1.1050. The entry is shallow because the close sat on the low, and Claims (08:30 NY) and Lagarde (14:30 NY) are medium-impact risks. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Bullish	High	1.42499	1.42430Buy limit	1.42050	1.42968	+0.12R	1:1.42
Forecast Details Confidence High Analysis Price 1.42499 Entry Point 1.42430 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.42050 Conservative Target 1.42968 Risk:Reward 1:1.42 Optimal Target 1.43500 Stop Loss Distance 38.0 pips Target Distance 53.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.42968 1.43500 Support: 1.42097 1.41960 1.41373 Rationale The breakout closed on its high with retail 82% short, Fed-hike bets lift the dollar, and headlines about US-Iran peace talks weigh on oil and the CAD. Buy a shallow dip above 1.4210 support with the stop below it, targeting 1.4297; Claims at 08:30 NY is a medium-impact risk. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Bearish	Medium	109.237	109.330Sell limit	109.820	108.667	+0.10R	1:1.35
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 109.237 Entry Point 109.330 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 109.820 Conservative Target 108.667 Risk:Reward 1:1.35 Optimal Target 108.234 Stop Loss Distance 49.0 pips Target Distance 66.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 109.564 110.198 110.641 Support: 108.878 108.667 108.234 Rationale The structure is bearish with a widening negative MACD, Australian data is weak, and intervention risk near USDJPY 160 supports the yen. Sell a bounce toward 109.56 resistance with the stop above it, targeting 108.67. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.83219	0.83140Buy limit	0.82820	0.83512	+0.09R	1:1.16
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 0.83219 Entry Point 0.83140 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.82820 Conservative Target 0.83512 Risk:Reward 1:1.16 Optimal Target 0.83822 Stop Loss Distance 32.0 pips Target Distance 37.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.83373 0.83512 0.83822 Support: 0.83128 0.82904 0.82400 Rationale The close above the 0.8313 late-October ceiling, the higher lows and 63% retail short all back the dollar's Fed-driven bid. Buy a retest of 0.8313 with a 0.5-ATR stop below 0.8290, targeting 0.8351. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Bearish	Medium	0.56940	0.57000Sell limit	0.57280	0.56665	+0.08R	1:1.20
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 0.56940 Entry Point 0.57000 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.57280 Conservative Target 0.56665 Risk:Reward 1:1.20 Optimal Target 0.56050 Stop Loss Distance 28.0 pips Target Distance 33.5 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.57117 0.57442 0.58163 Support: 0.57043 0.56665 0.56050 Rationale The bounce stalled in the 0.5704-0.5712 former-support zone with MACD still widening negative, and weak Australian data weighs on the AUD. Sell into that zone with a 0.5-ATR stop above 0.5712, targeting 0.5667. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.32783	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.32783 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.32853 1.33110 1.33556 Support: 1.32665 1.32040 1.31826 Rationale UK GDP (High impact) at 02:00 NY rules out a GBP plan under the event rule. The long-USD theme is carried by EURUSD, USDCAD and USDCHF. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	159.655	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 159.655 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 159.936 160.392 Support: 158.848 158.025 157.536 Rationale The breakout is bullish, but price is pressing the 160 area, where Japanese intervention risk rises, so we do not buy the dip into it. A short has no technical support while price holds above 158.85. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.68423	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.68423 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.68854 0.69309 0.69898 Support: 0.68435 0.68200 0.68000 Rationale The bias is bearish on the 0.6844 floor after weak Australian data, but with the stop above 0.6885 the only target that reaches 1:1 is 0.6800, and there is no level beyond it. Short AUD is carried by AUDJPY and AUDCHF, and long USD by EURUSD, USDCAD and USDCHF. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.55623	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.55623 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.56136 0.56262 0.56578 Support: 0.55608 0.55539 0.55271 Rationale With the stop above 0.5614 resistance, no support within 2 ATR offers 1:1 risk/reward. Long USD is already carried by EURUSD, USDCAD and USDCHF. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Neutral	Low	0.83563	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.83563 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.83724 0.84019 0.84778 Support: 0.83504 0.83306 0.83220 Rationale UK GDP (High impact) at 02:00 NY rules out a GBP plan under the event rule. Lagarde also speaks at 14:30 NY. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	177.144	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 177.144 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 177.713 177.965 178.475 Support: 176.833 176.516 176.154 Rationale Three flat closes mid-range, RSI on the midline and a 50/50 retail split give no edge. The euro's Fed-driven slide and the yen's intervention support pull in opposite directions. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Neutral	Low	0.92336	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.92336 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.92477 0.92869 0.93345 Support: 0.92228 0.92022 0.91227 Rationale This is a low-confidence bounce in a range while the euro sits at an 18-month low against the dollar. Lagarde at 14:30 NY adds event risk without a clear edge. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.62165	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.62165 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.62272 1.62589 1.62903 Support: 1.61658 1.61575 1.60807 Rationale The uptrend favours buying dips near 1.6158-1.6166, but the euro is the weakest major after the Fed repricing, and Lagarde speaks at 14:30 NY. Short AUD is already carried by AUDJPY and AUDCHF. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.58093	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.58093 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.58593 1.58793 1.59612 Support: 1.57843 1.57209 1.56578 Rationale The bias is neutral, with RSI on the midline and MACD still below zero. The rebound has not become a trend, so there is no edge. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Neutral	Low	1.99478	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.99478 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.99388 2.00309 2.01110 Support: 1.98909 1.97778 1.95402 Rationale Price has sat between 1.9891 and 1.9966 for three sessions with drained momentum. There is no edge either way. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	211.994	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 211.994 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 212.646 213.037 213.767 Support: 211.511 211.179 209.566 Rationale UK GDP (High impact) at 02:00 NY rules out a GBP plan under the event rule. USDJPY near 160 also adds yen intervention risk. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.10499	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.10499 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.10675 1.11044 Support: 1.10300 1.09957 1.09635 Rationale UK GDP (High impact) at 02:00 NY rules out a GBP plan under the event rule. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.94062	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.94062 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.94421 1.94974 1.95279 Support: 1.93669 1.91893 1.89995 Rationale UK GDP (High impact) at 02:00 NY rules out a GBP plan under the event rule. Short AUD is carried by AUDJPY and AUDCHF. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.89191	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.89191 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.89594 1.89963 1.90500 Support: 1.88944 1.88449 1.87948 Rationale UK GDP (High impact) at 02:00 NY rules out a GBP plan under the event rule. CAD weakness is expressed through USDCAD. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.38716	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 2.38716 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.38839 2.40452 2.41787 Support: 2.37804 2.35427 2.34534 Rationale UK GDP (High impact) at 02:00 NY rules out a GBP plan under the event rule. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	112.053	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 112.053 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 112.277 112.586 112.921 Support: 111.701 111.630 111.483 Rationale The pair is basing mid-range with neutral momentum and retail 63% long. Headlines about US-Iran peace talks weigh on oil and the CAD while intervention risk supports the yen, but neither gives a clean edge. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Neutral	Low	88.806	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 88.806 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 89.073 89.224 89.393 Support: 88.760 88.695 88.264 Rationale There is a bearish lean, but the pair has stalled in its 88.1-89.4 range. This duplicates the short AUDJPY plan, which already carries the antipodean-versus-yen theme. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	191.850	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 191.850 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 192.148 192.478 193.330 Support: 191.614 190.527 189.912 Rationale Lower highs favour shorts, but the first target that reaches 1:1 (190.53) is more than 1.2 ATR from the entry, so there is no edge over the baseline. Long JPY is carried by AUDJPY. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.97490	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.97490 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.97740 0.97872 0.98277 Support: 0.97395 0.97198 0.96836 Rationale The wedge is tightening, retail is 64% short and the trade only offers about 1:1 to 0.9720. Short AUD is carried by AUDJPY and AUDCHF, and a long-CAD leg would work against the USDCAD plan. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Low	1.23010	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.23010 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.23176 1.23707 1.24367 Support: 1.23053 1.22782 1.22319 Rationale This pairs two weak commodity currencies, so it does not fit today's themes. Price sits right on the 1.2305-1.2318 levels, with no clean entry. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.46289	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.46289 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.46400 0.46828 0.47250 Support: 0.46334 0.46117 0.45312 Rationale The bias is neutral, MACD is flat and price is testing 0.4640 resistance. There is no edge either way. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.79254	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.79254 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.79724 0.80034 0.80184 Support: 0.79197 0.78916 0.78383 Rationale The pair is balanced, with retail split 49/51 and the return to the old 0.7950 floor not yet confirmed. There is no edge. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58407	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.58407 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58519 0.58633 0.58786 Support: 0.58447 0.58280 0.58116 Rationale The bearish lean is weak (54% direction probability), and the target that reaches 1:1 at 0.5812 gives no edge over the baseline. CHF exposure is already carried by USDCHF and AUDCHF. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	3981.69	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 3981.69 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4066.96 4082.77 4148.53 Support: 3975.71 3919.86 3870.09 Rationale Lower highs and a firm dollar argue for lower prices, but gold sits on the 3975.7 swing support with an 88-dollar ATR, so the 3870 target gives little edge. Long USD is already taken by the EURUSD, USDCAD and USDCHF plans. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$7 average per $100 risked

127 of 177 picks filled, over 60 verified days · target hit 16%

Every plan on the board

−$5 average per $100 risked

427 plans over 60 verified days · target hit 11%

60 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 127 picks the honest range around the +$7 runs from −$6 to +$21 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 177 picks published, 127 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 28 of the 127 picks lost the full $100, against 73 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 31% of the Top 3 result, and 29 of the 127 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$11 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 427 plans of the board ended (20 Aug – 11 Nov 2026)

Target hit 11% (45)
Stop hit 24% (101)
Timed out 66% (281)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 176 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

31% Win rate 45 of 146 plans closed at target or stop

-0.05R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.09R Timed-out average how those 281 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

20%

14 of 70 plans

Bearish

41%

31 of 76 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
EURAUD	75%	3 / 4
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
NZDCAD	60%	3 / 5
EURNZD	50%	3 / 6
EURJPY	50%	2 / 4
EURCAD	50%	2 / 4
EURCHF	45%	5 / 11
EURGBP	43%	3 / 7
NZDJPY	43%	3 / 7
AUDCHF	43%	3 / 7
GBPUSD	40%	2 / 5
AUDUSD	38%	3 / 8
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURUSD	29%	2 / 7
GBPAUD	29%	2 / 7
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
NZDUSD	20%	1 / 5
USDJPY	20%	1 / 5
USDCAD	20%	1 / 5
AUDJPY	14%	1 / 7
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 5
AUDNZD	0%	0 / 3
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 4
XAUUSD	0%	0 / 4
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 4
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 7

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

11 Nov 2026 1 target · 0 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $74

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Bearish	0.68740 → 0.68437	Target hit	+1.01R
USDCAD	Bullish	1.41830 → 1.42392	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.94270 → 1.94974	Timed out	-0.67R
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.89300 → 1.89827	Timed out	-0.27R
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Bearish	109.075 → 108.234	Timed out	-0.78R
CADJPY	Bearish	111.930 → 111.483	Timed out	-0.59R
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

10 Nov 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $72

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.83520 → 0.83306	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bullish	1.58360 → 1.59463	Timed out	+0.07R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.94000 → 1.94715	Not filled	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Bearish	109.480 → 108.667	Not filled	–
CADJPY	Bearish	111.980 → 111.483	Timed out	+0.16R
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Bearish	0.56800 → 0.56078	Not filled	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Bearish	0.58100 → 0.57811	Timed out	-0.34R
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

9 Nov 2026 0 target · 5 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $28

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.11550 → 1.11089	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.55670 → 0.55271	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.94330 → 1.95279	Timed out	-0.49R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.240 → 87.540	Stop hit	-1.00R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Bearish	0.56430 → 0.56050	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.45670 → 0.45312	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Bearish	0.58140 → 0.57872	Timed out	+0.42R
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

6 Nov 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $174

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.83470 → 0.83217	Timed out	+0.03R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.91580 → 0.91000	Timed out	+0.50R
EURAUD	Bullish	1.61900 → 1.62660	Target hit	+1.27R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.00350 → 2.01499	Not filled	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.94150 → 1.95000	Target hit	+1.31R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.40250 → 2.42000	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Bearish	0.56520 → 0.56000	Timed out	+0.60R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

5 Nov 2026 2 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $151

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bearish	0.81750 → 0.81280	Timed out	+0.08R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.91800 → 0.91480	Target hit	+1.23R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Bullish	1.99600 → 2.00310	Target hit	+1.06R
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24480 → 1.24920	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.45970 → 0.45520	Timed out	+1.17R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 18%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

EURUSD

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USDCAD

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AUDJPY

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