Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Tuesday, 10 November 2026 Forecast for: Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Plan window: Wed 00:00 – Wed 21:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-11-10

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The US dollar starts Wednesday firm after a hotter US CPI print and Fed talk of a bigger December hike, while the Australian dollar is the weakest major after a four-year low in consumer sentiment and a less hawkish RBA. Today's plans express a firm dollar, a weak Australian dollar (AUDUSD, GBPAUD, AUDJPY), a soft Canadian dollar (USDCAD, GBPCAD, CADJPY) and a firmer yen against commodity currencies, but avoid buying USDJPY near 160 after Japan's heavy yen-buying. US and Canadian bank holidays should thin New York liquidity, so entries are shallow pullbacks and targets sit at nearby levels.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

EUR: ECB President Lagarde speaks at 04:45 NY (medium impact)
USD and CAD bank holidays plus a French holiday: thin New York liquidity, US bond market closed
JPY: intervention risk as USDJPY presses 158.99 below 160 after record official yen-buying; BoJ summary flags a possible December hike
USD: December Fed hike pricing after the CPI beat and Governor Waller's half-point talk; AUDUSD test of 0.6844 support

Best Opportunities

AUDUSD Bearish

GBPAUD Bullish

USDCAD Bullish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (438 filled plans), 11% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 64% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

AUDUSD

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.01

Expected result +0.11 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.68740 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.69040 (30.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.68437 (30.3 pips)

Optimal Target 0.68000 (74.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.69310 0.69898 0.70245

Support: 0.68437 0.68000

Rationale

Downtrend with a fresh 0.6844 low, 67% retail long and AUD the weakest major after four-year-low consumer sentiment, a less hawkish RBA and hot US CPI. Volatility stop of 0.54 ATR because 0.6931 resistance is over 1 ATR away; target Tuesday's 0.6844 low, then 0.6800.

Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

GBPAUD

Bullish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.05

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.94270 Buy limit

Stop Loss 1.93600 (67.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.94974 (70.4 pips)

Optimal Target 1.95279 (100.9 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.94974 1.95279 1.96000

Support: 1.93734 1.92268 1.91705

Rationale

Cleanest short-AUD cross: uptrend holding 1.9373 for three sessions with 77% retail short while weak Australian surveys hit AUD. Stop below 1.9373, targets Tuesday's 1.9497 high then 1.9528; RSI near overbought keeps confidence at medium.

Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail

USDCAD

Bullish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.02

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.41830 Buy limit

Stop Loss 1.41280 (55.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.42392 (56.2 pips)

Optimal Target 1.42994 (116.4 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.42097 1.42392 1.42994

Support: 1.41049 1.40772 1.40057

Rationale

Uptrend with 79% of retail short and the dollar bid on the CPI beat and Fed hike talk; buy a shallow dip toward 1.4239, then 1.4299. 1.4105 support is over 1 ATR away so a 0.78 ATR volatility stop is used, and US/Canadian holidays keep confidence at medium.

Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
AUDUSD	Bearish	High	0.68664	0.68740Sell limit	0.69040	0.68437	+0.11R	1:1.01	+1.01RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R Analysis Price 0.68664 Entry Point 0.68740 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.69040 Conservative Target 0.68437 Risk:Reward 1:1.01 Optimal Target 0.68000 Stop Loss Distance 30.0 pips Target Distance 30.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.69310 0.69898 0.70245 Support: 0.68437 0.68000 Rationale Downtrend with a fresh 0.6844 low, 67% retail long and AUD the weakest major after four-year-low consumer sentiment, a less hawkish RBA and hot US CPI. Volatility stop of 0.54 ATR because 0.6931 resistance is over 1 ATR away; target Tuesday's 0.6844 low, then 0.6800. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Bullish	Medium	1.41896	1.41830Buy limit	1.41280	1.42392	+0.09R	1:1.02	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 1.41896 Entry Point 1.41830 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.41280 Conservative Target 1.42392 Risk:Reward 1:1.02 Optimal Target 1.42994 Stop Loss Distance 55.0 pips Target Distance 56.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.42097 1.42392 1.42994 Support: 1.41049 1.40772 1.40057 Rationale Uptrend with 79% of retail short and the dollar bid on the CPI beat and Fed hike talk; buy a shallow dip toward 1.4239, then 1.4299. 1.4105 support is over 1 ATR away so a 0.78 ATR volatility stop is used, and US/Canadian holidays keep confidence at medium. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Bullish	Medium	1.94399	1.94270Buy limit	1.93600	1.94974	+0.09R	1:1.05	-0.67RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 1.94399 Entry Point 1.94270 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.93600 Conservative Target 1.94974 Risk:Reward 1:1.05 Optimal Target 1.95279 Stop Loss Distance 67.0 pips Target Distance 70.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.94974 1.95279 1.96000 Support: 1.93734 1.92268 1.91705 Rationale Cleanest short-AUD cross: uptrend holding 1.9373 for three sessions with 77% retail short while weak Australian surveys hit AUD. Stop below 1.9373, targets Tuesday's 1.9497 high then 1.9528; RSI near overbought keeps confidence at medium. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Bearish	Medium	108.978	109.075Sell limit	109.600	108.234	+0.09R	1:1.60	-0.78RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 108.978 Entry Point 109.075 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 109.600 Conservative Target 108.234 Risk:Reward 1:1.60 Optimal Target 108.234 Stop Loss Distance 52.5 pips Target Distance 84.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 109.533 110.641 111.128 Support: 108.667 108.234 Rationale Range breakdown with bounces capped at 109.41-109.47, AUD the weakest major and the yen underpinned by intervention risk and BoJ December-hike signals. Stop above 109.53, target the 108.23 low, the last level given (both targets coincide). Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Bullish	Medium	1.89397	1.89300Buy limit	1.88820	1.89827	+0.08R	1:1.10	-0.27RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 1.89397 Entry Point 1.89300 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.88820 Conservative Target 1.89827 Risk:Reward 1:1.10 Optimal Target 1.89963 Stop Loss Distance 48.0 pips Target Distance 52.7 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.89827 1.89963 1.90500 Support: 1.89090 1.88449 1.87948 Rationale Breakout above the October highs with 72% retail short; buy the dip toward 1.8909 with the stop below it, targeting 1.8983 then 1.8996. The Canadian holiday may thin trade, so confidence is medium. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Bearish	Low	111.856	111.930Sell limit	112.340	111.483	+0.08R	1:1.09	-0.59RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 111.856 Entry Point 111.930 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 112.340 Conservative Target 111.483 Risk:Reward 1:1.09 Optimal Target 110.720 Stop Loss Distance 41.0 pips Target Distance 44.7 pips Key Levels Resistance: 112.038 112.586 112.921 Support: 111.630 111.483 110.720 Rationale Rollover from 113.66 with 68% retail long, and the yen supported by intervention risk as USDJPY nears 160. 0.6 ATR volatility stop above 112.04; low confidence because the Canadian holiday may keep the range narrow. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.11691	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.11691 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.12240 1.12510 1.12730 Support: 1.11450 1.11310 1.11047 Rationale Bearish box bias and 76% retail long, but the 1:1 target at the 1.1105 floor shows no edge over baseline after Tuesday's 100-pip drop, and Lagarde speaks at 04:45 NY. Long-USD exposure is already carried by AUDUSD and USDCAD. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.33482	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.33482 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.34188 1.34438 1.35030 Support: 1.33121 1.32723 1.32040 Rationale Directionless 100-pip daily swings with a 55/45 retail split give no edge. Long-USD exposure is already carried by AUDUSD and USDCAD. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	158.711	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 158.711 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 158.992 159.777 160.392 Support: 158.025 157.864 157.256 Rationale Technicals lean long, but price is pressing 158.99 just under the 160 area that has drawn intervention, after record yen-buying was disclosed and the BoJ flagged a possible December hike. Not buying the dip into intervention risk. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.82499	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.82499 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.82678 0.83128 0.83822 Support: 0.82272 0.82175 0.81913 Rationale Neutral bias and flat 49/51 retail; 0.8268 resistance sits right overhead and the next level fails the edge test. Long-USD exposure is already carried by AUDUSD and USDCAD. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.56045	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.56045 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.56262 0.56492 0.56578 Support: 0.55861 0.55649 0.55271 Rationale Lower highs and 73% retail long, but the kiwi held up best in Tuesday's dollar rally and the edge to 0.5565 is thin. Redundant with the long-USD plans in AUDUSD and USDCAD. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Neutral	Low	0.83675	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.83675 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.83724 0.83806 0.84019 Support: 0.83391 0.83306 0.83220 Rationale 78% retail long at the top of the base favours a short, but the first 1:1 target at 0.8339 is beyond a full daily range after four rising closes. Lagarde at 04:45 NY adds EUR event risk; no edge over baseline. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	177.263	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 177.263 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 177.713 177.965 178.475 Support: 176.977 176.516 176.220 Rationale Neutral range bias, Tuesday doji and a 52/48 retail split: no edge in either direction. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Neutral	Low	0.92143	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.92143 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.92197 0.92500 0.92617 Support: 0.91843 0.91299 0.91227 Rationale Downtrend bias, but CHF was among the weakest majors on Tuesday and the two-day bounce is intact, with Lagarde at 04:45 NY adding EUR risk. Edge not above baseline. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.62663	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.62663 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.62589 1.62900 1.63350 Support: 1.61832 1.61575 1.60807 Rationale Uptrend driven by AUD weakness, but short-AUD exposure is already carried by AUDUSD, GBPAUD and AUDJPY. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.58478	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.58478 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.58793 1.59612 1.60193 Support: 1.58072 1.57209 1.56578 Rationale Uptrend, but the 1.5879 high is too close for a 1:1 target and the next level is about 1.5 ATR away. Short-CAD exposure is already carried by USDCAD, GBPCAD and CADJPY. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Neutral	Low	1.99290	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.99290 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.99388 2.00640 2.01124 Support: 1.98945 1.98566 1.97778 Rationale Stalled advance with neutral bias and balanced retail: no edge. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	211.850	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 211.850 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 211.985 212.646 213.767 Support: 211.436 211.179 210.285 Rationale Bullish bias, but buying yen weakness runs into intervention risk after record yen-buying. GBP exposure is already carried by GBPAUD and GBPCAD. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.10121	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.10121 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.10300 1.10588 1.10702 Support: 1.09946 1.09635 1.09393 Rationale Mid-range in a month-long 1.0920-1.1070 box with flat momentum: no edge. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.38173	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 2.38173 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.38157 2.38839 2.40452 Support: 2.38057 2.37196 2.36516 Rationale Neutral bias at the 2.3806 base after a 214-pip drop: no edge. GBP exposure is already carried by GBPAUD and GBPCAD. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Neutral	Low	88.947	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 88.947 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 89.073 89.224 89.393 Support: 88.683 88.264 88.118 Rationale 73% retail long and lower highs, but the first 1:1 target at 88.26 is nearly 1 ATR away. Long-JPY exposure is already carried by AUDJPY and CADJPY. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	192.380	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 192.380 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 192.478 193.330 194.330 Support: 192.006 190.825 189.912 Rationale Bullish bias, but CHF was among the weakest majors on Tuesday and yen downside faces intervention risk; not buying the dip into it. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.56647	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.56647 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.56792 0.57414 0.57810 Support: 0.56665 0.56522 0.56050 Rationale Downtrend, but the only 1:1 target is the 0.5605 low, over 1.2 ATR away. Short-AUD exposure is already carried by AUDUSD, GBPAUD and AUDJPY. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.97428	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.97428 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.97872 0.98005 0.98396 Support: 0.97198 0.97058 0.96488 Rationale Both legs are weak, leaving little drift. Redundant with the short-AUD plans in AUDUSD, GBPAUD and AUDJPY. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Low	1.22518	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.22518 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.22692 1.22862 1.23707 Support: 1.22319 1.22000 1.19479 Rationale The break below 1.2269 is valid, but short-AUD exposure is capped by the plans in AUDUSD, GBPAUD and AUDJPY. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.46235	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.46235 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.46497 0.46828 0.47250 Support: 0.45988 0.45503 0.45312 Rationale Bearish bias, but NZD held up best and CHF slid on Tuesday, so the tape fights the short; edge below baseline. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.79520	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.79520 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.79724 0.80034 0.80184 Support: 0.79277 0.78916 0.78383 Rationale Bullish turn at the 0.7950 former range floor, but the first 1:1 target sits about 1 ATR away. Short-CAD exposure is already carried by USDCAD, GBPCAD and CADJPY. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58143	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58143 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58234 0.58362 0.58633 Support: 0.58116 0.58018 0.57895 Rationale Bearish, but the only 1:1 target, the 0.5790 low, shows no edge over baseline. CAD exposure is capped by USDCAD, GBPCAD and CADJPY. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	4034.63	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 4034.63 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4082.77 4148.53 4198.90 Support: 4013.91 3975.71 3870.09 Rationale Violent two-way swings (ATR 88) after a 110-dollar reversal on rising yields and a firm dollar; neutral bias with no clean level-based edge. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$7 average per $100 risked

127 of 177 picks filled, over 60 verified days · target hit 16%

Every plan on the board

−$5 average per $100 risked

427 plans over 60 verified days · target hit 11%

60 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 127 picks the honest range around the +$7 runs from −$6 to +$21 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 177 picks published, 127 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 28 of the 127 picks lost the full $100, against 73 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 31% of the Top 3 result, and 29 of the 127 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$11 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 427 plans of the board ended (20 Aug – 11 Nov 2026)

Target hit 11% (45)
Stop hit 24% (101)
Timed out 66% (281)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 176 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

31% Win rate 45 of 146 plans closed at target or stop

-0.05R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.09R Timed-out average how those 281 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

20%

14 of 70 plans

Bearish

41%

31 of 76 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
EURAUD	75%	3 / 4
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
NZDCAD	60%	3 / 5
EURNZD	50%	3 / 6
EURJPY	50%	2 / 4
EURCAD	50%	2 / 4
EURCHF	45%	5 / 11
EURGBP	43%	3 / 7
NZDJPY	43%	3 / 7
AUDCHF	43%	3 / 7
GBPUSD	40%	2 / 5
AUDUSD	38%	3 / 8
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURUSD	29%	2 / 7
GBPAUD	29%	2 / 7
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
NZDUSD	20%	1 / 5
USDJPY	20%	1 / 5
USDCAD	20%	1 / 5
AUDJPY	14%	1 / 7
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 5
AUDNZD	0%	0 / 3
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 4
XAUUSD	0%	0 / 4
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 4
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 7

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

11 Nov 2026 1 target · 0 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $74

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Bearish	0.68740 → 0.68437	Target hit	+1.01R
USDCAD	Bullish	1.41830 → 1.42392	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.94270 → 1.94974	Timed out	-0.67R
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.89300 → 1.89827	Timed out	-0.27R
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Bearish	109.075 → 108.234	Timed out	-0.78R
CADJPY	Bearish	111.930 → 111.483	Timed out	-0.59R
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

10 Nov 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $72

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.83520 → 0.83306	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bullish	1.58360 → 1.59463	Timed out	+0.07R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.94000 → 1.94715	Not filled	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Bearish	109.480 → 108.667	Not filled	–
CADJPY	Bearish	111.980 → 111.483	Timed out	+0.16R
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Bearish	0.56800 → 0.56078	Not filled	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Bearish	0.58100 → 0.57811	Timed out	-0.34R
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

9 Nov 2026 0 target · 5 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $28

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.11550 → 1.11089	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.55670 → 0.55271	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.94330 → 1.95279	Timed out	-0.49R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.240 → 87.540	Stop hit	-1.00R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Bearish	0.56430 → 0.56050	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.45670 → 0.45312	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Bearish	0.58140 → 0.57872	Timed out	+0.42R
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

6 Nov 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $174

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.83470 → 0.83217	Timed out	+0.03R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.91580 → 0.91000	Timed out	+0.50R
EURAUD	Bullish	1.61900 → 1.62660	Target hit	+1.27R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.00350 → 2.01499	Not filled	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.94150 → 1.95000	Target hit	+1.31R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.40250 → 2.42000	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Bearish	0.56520 → 0.56000	Timed out	+0.60R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

5 Nov 2026 2 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $151

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bearish	0.81750 → 0.81280	Timed out	+0.08R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.91800 → 0.91480	Target hit	+1.23R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Bullish	1.99600 → 2.00310	Target hit	+1.06R
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24480 → 1.24920	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.45970 → 0.45520	Timed out	+1.17R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 18%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

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AUDUSD

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