| AUDNZD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.21264 |
1.21150Buy limit |
1.20880 |
1.22174 |
46%
|
1:3.79 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.21264
Entry Point
1.21150
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.20880
Conservative Target
1.22174
Risk:Reward
1:3.79
Optimal Target
1.22573
Expected Value
+1.20R
Stop Loss Distance
27.0 pips
Target Distance
102.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.21383
1.22174
1.22573
Support:
1.21063
1.20729
1.20528
Rationale
Clean breakout with RSI 62 and 84% of retail fighting it short; buy limit above the 1.21063 support with stop beyond it. Both AUD GDP and the RBNZ decision land overnight, so the target is deliberately the far 1.2217 level and probability is kept honest.
|
| EURCHF |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.94100 |
0.94040Buy limit |
0.93860 |
0.94500 |
55%
|
1:2.56 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.94100
Entry Point
0.94040
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.93860
Conservative Target
0.94500
Risk:Reward
1:2.56
Optimal Target
0.94800
Expected Value
+0.96R
Stop Loss Distance
18.0 pips
Target Distance
46.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.94113
0.94182
0.94500
Support:
0.93940
0.93677
0.93073
Rationale
Price is testing the 0.9411-0.9418 ceiling after a run of higher lows, with an extreme 88% short retail book. Buy limit on a shallow pullback, stop below the 0.9394 support; a close over 0.9420 accelerates to 0.9450.
|
| AUDCAD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.99363 |
0.99250Buy limit |
0.98970 |
0.99786 |
52%
|
1:1.91 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.99363
Entry Point
0.99250
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.98970
Conservative Target
0.99786
Risk:Reward
1:1.91
Optimal Target
1.00000
Expected Value
+0.51R
Stop Loss Distance
28.0 pips
Target Distance
53.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.99454
0.99786
1.00000
Support:
0.99022
0.98722
0.98198
Rationale
Impulsive rally from 0.9780 with an expanding MACD and 79% of retail short; buy limit into the 0.9905-0.9930 dip band with stop under the 0.99022 support. Both AUD GDP and the BOC decision hit this pair, so confidence is capped at medium.
|
| CADCHF |
Bullish
|
Low
|
0.58390 |
0.58340Buy limit |
0.58180 |
0.58644 |
52%
|
1:1.90 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.58390
Entry Point
0.58340
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.58180
Conservative Target
0.58644
Risk:Reward
1:1.90
Optimal Target
0.58800
Expected Value
+0.51R
Stop Loss Distance
16.0 pips
Target Distance
30.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58451
0.58644
0.58800
Support:
0.58297
0.58111
0.57862
Rationale
Higher lows since 0.5771 with RSI near 60 pointing at the 0.5864 swing high; buy limit with stop beyond the 0.58297 support. BOC rate statement at 09:45 NY is direct gap risk, hence low confidence.
|
| XAUUSD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
4328.59 |
4350.00Sell limit |
4410.00 |
4250.00 |
55%
|
1:1.67 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
4328.59
Entry Point
4350.00
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
4410.00
Conservative Target
4250.00
Risk:Reward
1:1.67
Optimal Target
4200.00
Expected Value
+0.47R
Stop Loss Distance
60.0 pts
Target Distance
100.0 pts
Key Levels
Resistance:
4382.27
4461.55
4472.16
Support:
4322.98
4311.07
4250.00
Rationale
Three-day breakdown from 4697 with a bearish MACD cross and 59% of retail still long the dip; sell limit into the 4350-4382 rally zone with stop above the 4382 resistance. ATR above 100 means the nearer levels do not pay, so the target is the 4250 shelf.
|
| AUDCHF |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.58026 |
0.57970Buy limit |
0.57760 |
0.58300 |
57%
|
1:1.57 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.58026
Entry Point
0.57970
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.57760
Conservative Target
0.58300
Risk:Reward
1:1.57
Optimal Target
0.58500
Expected Value
+0.46R
Stop Loss Distance
21.0 pips
Target Distance
33.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58163
0.58300
0.58500
Support:
0.57804
0.57667
0.57290
Rationale
Cycle highs with RSI 66, rising MACD and an extreme 95% short retail book; buy limit on a shallow dip with stop beyond the 0.57804 support. Australian GDP at 21:30 NY is the event risk on the AUD leg.
|
| AUDJPY |
Bullish
|
High
|
114.509 |
114.400Buy limit |
114.020 |
114.960 |
58%
|
1:1.47 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
114.509
Entry Point
114.400
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
114.020
Conservative Target
114.960
Risk:Reward
1:1.47
Optimal Target
115.500
Expected Value
+0.43R
Stop Loss Distance
38.0 pips
Target Distance
56.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
114.680
114.960
115.500
Support:
114.180
113.750
113.100
Rationale
Strong uptrend with RSI 62, expanding MACD and an extreme 88% short retail book; buy limit into the shallow 114.40 dip with stop under the 114.18 support. Australian GDP at 21:30 NY is the catalyst.
|
| CHFJPY |
Bearish
|
Low
|
197.326 |
197.500Sell limit |
198.100 |
196.500 |
52%
|
1:1.67 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
197.326
Entry Point
197.500
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
198.100
Conservative Target
196.500
Risk:Reward
1:1.67
Optimal Target
195.470
Expected Value
+0.39R
Stop Loss Distance
60.0 pips
Target Distance
100.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
197.970
198.780
199.080
Support:
197.072
196.500
195.470
Rationale
Lower highs from 199.08 with RSI below 50 keep pressure on 197.07; sell limit on a bounce with a volatility stop of roughly 0.55 ATR under the 197.97 resistance. A close back over 198.30 would cancel the setup.
|
| AUDUSD |
Bullish
|
High
|
0.71485 |
0.71420Buy limit |
0.71150 |
0.71807 |
55%
|
1:1.43 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.71485
Entry Point
0.71420
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.71150
Conservative Target
0.71807
Risk:Reward
1:1.43
Optimal Target
0.72082
Expected Value
+0.34R
Stop Loss Distance
27.0 pips
Target Distance
38.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.71807
0.72082
0.72500
Support:
0.71388
0.71090
0.70668
Rationale
Rising structure with 87% of retail short is a strong contrarian tailwind; buy limit just under yesterday's 0.71388 low with the stop beyond it. Australian GDP at 21:30 NY is a gap risk that can set the day's direction before London.
|
| GBPAUD |
Bearish
|
High
|
1.89085 |
1.89250Sell limit |
1.89760 |
1.88561 |
57%
|
1:1.35 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
1.89085
Entry Point
1.89250
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.89760
Conservative Target
1.88561
Risk:Reward
1:1.35
Optimal Target
1.88069
Expected Value
+0.34R
Stop Loss Distance
51.0 pips
Target Distance
68.9 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.89713
1.90331
1.91238
Support:
1.88787
1.88561
1.88069
Rationale
Persistent downtrend with RSI 36 and a deepening MACD against 78% retail longs; sell limit on the bounce with stop above yesterday's 1.89713 high. Australian GDP at 21:30 NY is the trigger risk.
|
| EURAUD |
Bearish
|
High
|
1.62178 |
1.62300Sell limit |
1.62680 |
1.61822 |
58%
|
1:1.26 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
1.62178
Entry Point
1.62300
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.62680
Conservative Target
1.61822
Risk:Reward
1:1.26
Optimal Target
1.61571
Expected Value
+0.31R
Stop Loss Distance
38.0 pips
Target Distance
47.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.62434
1.63133
1.63383
Support:
1.61822
1.61571
1.61000
Rationale
Clear lower highs, RSI 40 and a widening negative MACD while 84% of retail is long into the fall; sell limit into the 1.6240 rally zone with stop above it. Australian GDP at 21:30 NY is the key catalyst for the AUD leg.
|
| GBPCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.09679 |
1.09600Buy limit |
1.09330 |
1.09954 |
55%
|
1:1.31 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.09679
Entry Point
1.09600
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.09330
Conservative Target
1.09954
Risk:Reward
1:1.31
Optimal Target
1.10112
Expected Value
+0.27R
Stop Loss Distance
27.0 pips
Target Distance
35.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.09954
1.10112
1.10500
Support:
1.09500
1.09136
1.08495
Rationale
Recovery from 1.0843 intact with RSI 58 and a heavily short retail book; buy limit at 1.0960 with the stop beyond the 1.0950 support. The 1.0995-1.1011 zone is the decisive test.
|
| GBPJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
216.464 |
216.300Buy limit |
215.700 |
217.060 |
55%
|
1:1.27 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
216.464
Entry Point
216.300
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
215.700
Conservative Target
217.060
Risk:Reward
1:1.27
Optimal Target
217.470
Expected Value
+0.25R
Stop Loss Distance
60.0 pips
Target Distance
76.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
217.060
217.470
218.010
Support:
216.090
215.200
214.840
Rationale
Higher-timeframe uptrend pausing in the 216.0-217.5 box with MACD still positive and 86% of retail short; buy limit at the 216.30 dip that has been bought all week. Stop sits under the 216.09 support.
|
| GBPUSD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.35133 |
1.35250Sell limit |
1.35660 |
1.34743 |
55%
|
1:1.24 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.35133
Entry Point
1.35250
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.35660
Conservative Target
1.34743
Risk:Reward
1:1.24
Optimal Target
1.34344
Expected Value
+0.23R
Stop Loss Distance
41.0 pips
Target Distance
50.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.35581
1.35654
1.36026
Support:
1.35060
1.34743
1.34344
Rationale
Sequence of lower highs from 1.3676 with MACD below signal favours selling shallow rallies; sell limit inside yesterday's range with stop above the 1.3558 resistance. ADP at 08:15 NY is the main intraday risk.
|
| CADJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
115.236 |
115.140Buy limit |
114.790 |
115.588 |
53%
|
1:1.28 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
115.236
Entry Point
115.140
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
114.790
Conservative Target
115.588
Risk:Reward
1:1.28
Optimal Target
116.024
Expected Value
+0.21R
Stop Loss Distance
35.0 pips
Target Distance
44.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
115.366
115.588
116.024
Support:
115.078
114.796
114.602
Rationale
Grinding uptrend with positive MACD and 71% retail short; buy limit at the 115.08 support shelf with stop just beneath it. The BOC decision at 09:45 NY is a direct CAD risk, so size and confidence are moderated.
|
| USDCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.81164 |
0.81090Buy limit |
0.80800 |
0.81436 |
55%
|
1:1.19 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.81164
Entry Point
0.81090
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.80800
Conservative Target
0.81436
Risk:Reward
1:1.19
Optimal Target
0.82069
Expected Value
+0.20R
Stop Loss Distance
29.0 pips
Target Distance
34.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.81248
0.81436
0.82069
Support:
0.80836
0.80687
0.80255
Rationale
Uptrend off the 0.7950 low with RSI 55 and positive momentum, retail 56% short adds a mild tailwind. Buy limit into the 0.8109 dip zone with the stop beneath the 0.80836 support.
|
| NZDUSD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
0.58937 |
0.59000Sell limit |
0.59320 |
0.58601 |
52%
|
1:1.25 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.58937
Entry Point
0.59000
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.59320
Conservative Target
0.58601
Risk:Reward
1:1.25
Optimal Target
0.58214
Expected Value
+0.17R
Stop Loss Distance
32.0 pips
Target Distance
39.9 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.59073
0.59289
0.59880
Support:
0.58874
0.58601
0.58214
Rationale
Failure at 0.5988 and a negative MACD histogram keep 0.5887/0.5860 in play; sell limit under the 0.59289 resistance. The RBNZ decision and press conference (22:00-23:00 NY) can override the technical picture in either direction.
|
| EURJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
185.660 |
185.520Buy limit |
185.100 |
185.990 |
55%
|
1:1.12 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
185.660
Entry Point
185.520
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
185.100
Conservative Target
185.990
Risk:Reward
1:1.12
Optimal Target
187.470
Expected Value
+0.17R
Stop Loss Distance
42.0 pips
Target Distance
47.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
185.990
186.040
187.470
Support:
185.350
184.920
184.340
Rationale
Uptrend consolidating below 186.00 with an expanding MACD histogram and 82% of retail short; buy limit into the 185.35-185.52 dip zone. Stop sits beyond the 185.35 support.
|
| USDJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
160.220 |
160.080Buy limit |
159.620 |
160.600 |
54%
|
1:1.13 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
160.220
Entry Point
160.080
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
159.620
Conservative Target
160.600
Risk:Reward
1:1.13
Optimal Target
161.930
Expected Value
+0.15R
Stop Loss Distance
46.0 pips
Target Distance
52.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
160.270
160.600
161.930
Support:
159.640
159.290
158.600
Rationale
Price is pressing the top of the 158.6-160.3 range with an improving MACD histogram; buy limit on a shallow dip with the stop just under the 159.64 support. A break of 160.27 opens 160.60 then 161.93.
|
| EURGBP |
Bullish
|
Low
|
0.85724 |
0.85670Buy limit |
0.85540 |
0.85831 |
50%
|
1:1.24 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.85724
Entry Point
0.85670
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.85540
Conservative Target
0.85831
Risk:Reward
1:1.24
Optimal Target
0.86515
Expected Value
+0.12R
Stop Loss Distance
13.0 pips
Target Distance
16.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.85831
0.85851
0.86515
Support:
0.85600
0.85444
0.85318
Rationale
Tight 0.8540-0.8585 coil with marginally positive momentum and 65% of retail short; buy limit at the 0.8560 range floor with a volatility stop below it. Low conviction until an edge of the box breaks.
|
| GBPNZD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
2.29300 |
2.29550Sell limit |
2.30250 |
2.28839 |
55%
|
1:1.02 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
2.29300
Entry Point
2.29550
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
2.30250
Conservative Target
2.28839
Risk:Reward
1:1.02
Optimal Target
2.27940
Expected Value
+0.11R
Stop Loss Distance
70.0 pips
Target Distance
71.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.29759
2.29907
2.31071
Support:
2.29129
2.28839
2.27940
Rationale
Price sits at the top of the 2.2794-2.2990 range with 78% of retail long - a solid contrarian fade with stop above 2.2991. An RBNZ hike at 22:00 NY would reinforce the downside but is also the main gap risk.
|
| NZDCAD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
0.81927 |
0.82020Sell limit |
0.82290 |
0.81726 |
52%
|
1:1.09 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.81927
Entry Point
0.82020
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.82290
Conservative Target
0.81726
Risk:Reward
1:1.09
Optimal Target
0.81431
Expected Value
+0.09R
Stop Loss Distance
27.0 pips
Target Distance
29.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.82097
0.82121
0.82320
Support:
0.81726
0.81649
0.81431
Rationale
Rolling over from 0.8276 with MACD crossing down and 65% of retail long into the decline; sell limit below the 0.82121 resistance. Both RBNZ and BOC decisions fall inside the window, so confidence stays low.
|
| EURUSD |
Bullish
|
Low
|
1.15903 |
1.15800Buy limit |
1.15420 |
1.16206 |
52%
|
1:1.07 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.15903
Entry Point
1.15800
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.15420
Conservative Target
1.16206
Risk:Reward
1:1.07
Optimal Target
1.16595
Expected Value
+0.08R
Stop Loss Distance
38.0 pips
Target Distance
40.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.16206
1.16595
1.17114
Support:
1.15765
1.15442
1.15048
Rationale
Range regime: buy limit at the 1.1577 box floor, which has held twice in the last three sessions, with the stop under 1.1544. Only a range trade - RSI near 50 and a negative MACD histogram cap upside at 1.1620.
|
| EURNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.96646 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.96646
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.96873
1.97321
1.97569
Support:
1.95972
1.95750
1.95157
Rationale
Sell limit at the 1.96873 range top with 66% of retail long; a delivered RBNZ hike would pressure the pair toward 1.9597. No momentum edge, so this is a range fade in front of a high-impact event.
|
| USDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.39008 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.39008
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.39116
1.39584
1.40240
Support:
1.38453
1.38000
1.37565
Rationale
Range fade only: sell limit at the 1.3912 ceiling that has capped every rally this week, stop above 1.3958. BOC rate statement and press conference (09:45/10:30 NY) is genuine gap risk, hence low confidence.
|
| EURCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.61106 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.61106
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.61362
1.61864
1.62431
Support:
1.60754
1.60456
1.60076
Rationale
Range fade: sell limit under the 1.61362 resistance in the flat 1.6045-1.6186 box, with the mildly crowded 58% long book tilting risk lower. BOC at 09:45 NY keeps confidence low.
|
| GBPCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.87806 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.87806
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.88049
1.88243
1.88522
Support:
1.87632
1.87445
1.87127
Rationale
Rejection from 1.8913 leaves price mid-range with neutral momentum; sell limit under the 1.88243 cap targeting the 1.8744 range floor. BOC at 09:45 NY can break the range either way, so confidence stays low.
|
| NZDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
94.412 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
94.412
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
94.710
95.120
95.270
Support:
94.240
93.850
93.320
Rationale
Momentum has faded after the 95.24 high, so trade the 94.24-95.12 range: buy limit at the lower edge with stop below 94.24. RBNZ at 22:00 NY is the dominant driver and keeps confidence low.
|
| NZDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.47839 |
— |
— |
— |
—
|
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.47839
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
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Stop Loss Distance
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Target Distance
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Key Levels
Resistance:
0.47939
0.48002
0.48175
Support:
0.47712
0.47408
0.47269
Rationale
Two weeks of compression between 0.4771 and 0.4800 with flat MACD; buy limit at the range floor with 70% of retail short as a mild contrarian tilt. RBNZ at 22:00 NY is the break catalyst.
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