Free Morning Sentiment Digest: forex sentiment and new articles, in your inbox before the open. Free morning digest, every weekday.
SUBSCRIBE FREE

Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Tuesday, 01 September 2026 Forecast for: Wednesday, 02 September 2026 Plan window: Tue 23:00 – Wed 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

You are viewing an archived forecast

This is the forex forecast generated for 01 September 2026. View current forecast

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The session is framed by three central-bank/data events: Australian GDP and the RBNZ decision overnight, then ADP and the Bank of Canada during the New York morning. Technically the AUD complex remains the cleanest trend (AUDCHF, AUDJPY, AUDNZD, AUDCAD up with extreme retail shorts), yen crosses hold buy-the-dip structure, while gold stays in a sharp breakdown from 4700 toward 4250. EUR and GBP majors are in corrective/range mode against a mildly firmer dollar, so the best risk sits in crosses rather than in EURUSD or USDCAD, both of which face event risk or dead ranges.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

  • AUD GDP q/q at 21:30 NY (Tue) - gap risk for the whole AUD bloc
  • NZD Official Cash Rate + RBNZ statement/press conference at 22:00-23:00 NY (Tue), hike to 2.75% expected
  • USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change at 08:15 NY (Wed)
  • CAD BOC Overnight Rate and press conference at 09:45/10:30 NY (Wed) - USDCAD, CADJPY, AUDCAD, EURCAD

Best Opportunities

AUDCHF Bullish
EURAUD Bearish
AUDJPY Bullish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record so far (338 filled plans), 11% hit the target, 23% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close.

AUDCHF

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.57

Expected result +0.46 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.57970 Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.57760 (21.0 pips)
Conservative Target 0.58300 (33.0 pips)
Optimal Target 0.58500 (53.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58163 0.58300 0.58500
Support: 0.57804 0.57667 0.57290

Rationale

Cycle highs with RSI 66, rising MACD and an extreme 95% short retail book; buy limit on a shallow dip with stop beyond the 0.57804 support. Australian GDP at 21:30 NY is the event risk on the AUD leg.

Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

EURAUD

Bearish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.26

Expected result +0.31 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.62300 Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.62680 (38.0 pips)
Conservative Target 1.61822 (47.8 pips)
Optimal Target 1.61571 (72.9 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.62434 1.63133 1.63383
Support: 1.61822 1.61571 1.61000

Rationale

Clear lower highs, RSI 40 and a widening negative MACD while 84% of retail is long into the fall; sell limit into the 1.6240 rally zone with stop above it. Australian GDP at 21:30 NY is the key catalyst for the AUD leg.

Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail

AUDJPY

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.47

Expected result +0.43 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 114.400 Buy limit
Stop Loss 114.020 (38.0 pips)
Conservative Target 114.960 (56.0 pips)
Optimal Target 115.500 (110.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 114.680 114.960 115.500
Support: 114.180 113.750 113.100

Rationale

Strong uptrend with RSI 62, expanding MACD and an extreme 88% short retail book; buy limit into the shallow 114.40 dip with stop under the 114.18 support. Australian GDP at 21:30 NY is the catalyst.

Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair Direction Confidence Analysis Price Entry Stop Loss Target Expected result Risk:Reward Result

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +1.20R
Analysis Price 1.21264
Entry Point 1.21150
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.20880
Conservative Target 1.22174
Risk:Reward 1:3.79
Optimal Target 1.22573
Stop Loss Distance 27.0 pips
Target Distance 102.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.21383 1.22174 1.22573
Support: 1.21063 1.20729 1.20528

Rationale

Clean breakout with RSI 62 and 84% of retail fighting it short; buy limit above the 1.21063 support with stop beyond it. Both AUD GDP and the RBNZ decision land overnight, so the target is deliberately the far 1.2217 level and probability is kept honest.

Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.96R
Analysis Price 0.94100
Entry Point 0.94040
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.93860
Conservative Target 0.94500
Risk:Reward 1:2.56
Optimal Target 0.94800
Stop Loss Distance 18.0 pips
Target Distance 46.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.94113 0.94182 0.94500
Support: 0.93940 0.93677 0.93073

Rationale

Price is testing the 0.9411-0.9418 ceiling after a run of higher lows, with an extreme 88% short retail book. Buy limit on a shallow pullback, stop below the 0.9394 support; a close over 0.9420 accelerates to 0.9450.

Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.51R
Analysis Price 0.99363
Entry Point 0.99250
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.98970
Conservative Target 0.99786
Risk:Reward 1:1.91
Optimal Target 1.00000
Stop Loss Distance 28.0 pips
Target Distance 53.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.99454 0.99786 1.00000
Support: 0.99022 0.98722 0.98198

Rationale

Impulsive rally from 0.9780 with an expanding MACD and 79% of retail short; buy limit into the 0.9905-0.9930 dip band with stop under the 0.99022 support. Both AUD GDP and the BOC decision hit this pair, so confidence is capped at medium.

Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.51R
Analysis Price 0.58390
Entry Point 0.58340
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.58180
Conservative Target 0.58644
Risk:Reward 1:1.90
Optimal Target 0.58800
Stop Loss Distance 16.0 pips
Target Distance 30.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58451 0.58644 0.58800
Support: 0.58297 0.58111 0.57862

Rationale

Higher lows since 0.5771 with RSI near 60 pointing at the 0.5864 swing high; buy limit with stop beyond the 0.58297 support. BOC rate statement at 09:45 NY is direct gap risk, hence low confidence.

Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.47R
Analysis Price 4328.59
Entry Point 4350.00
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 4410.00
Conservative Target 4250.00
Risk:Reward 1:1.67
Optimal Target 4200.00
Stop Loss Distance 60.0 pts
Target Distance 100.0 pts

Key Levels

Resistance: 4382.27 4461.55 4472.16
Support: 4322.98 4311.07 4250.00

Rationale

Three-day breakdown from 4697 with a bearish MACD cross and 59% of retail still long the dip; sell limit into the 4350-4382 rally zone with stop above the 4382 resistance. ATR above 100 means the nearer levels do not pay, so the target is the 4250 shelf.

Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.46R
Analysis Price 0.58026
Entry Point 0.57970
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.57760
Conservative Target 0.58300
Risk:Reward 1:1.57
Optimal Target 0.58500
Stop Loss Distance 21.0 pips
Target Distance 33.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58163 0.58300 0.58500
Support: 0.57804 0.57667 0.57290

Rationale

Cycle highs with RSI 66, rising MACD and an extreme 95% short retail book; buy limit on a shallow dip with stop beyond the 0.57804 support. Australian GDP at 21:30 NY is the event risk on the AUD leg.

Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.43R
Analysis Price 114.509
Entry Point 114.400
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 114.020
Conservative Target 114.960
Risk:Reward 1:1.47
Optimal Target 115.500
Stop Loss Distance 38.0 pips
Target Distance 56.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 114.680 114.960 115.500
Support: 114.180 113.750 113.100

Rationale

Strong uptrend with RSI 62, expanding MACD and an extreme 88% short retail book; buy limit into the shallow 114.40 dip with stop under the 114.18 support. Australian GDP at 21:30 NY is the catalyst.

Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.39R
Analysis Price 197.326
Entry Point 197.500
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 198.100
Conservative Target 196.500
Risk:Reward 1:1.67
Optimal Target 195.470
Stop Loss Distance 60.0 pips
Target Distance 100.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 197.970 198.780 199.080
Support: 197.072 196.500 195.470

Rationale

Lower highs from 199.08 with RSI below 50 keep pressure on 197.07; sell limit on a bounce with a volatility stop of roughly 0.55 ATR under the 197.97 resistance. A close back over 198.30 would cancel the setup.

Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.34R
Analysis Price 0.71485
Entry Point 0.71420
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.71150
Conservative Target 0.71807
Risk:Reward 1:1.43
Optimal Target 0.72082
Stop Loss Distance 27.0 pips
Target Distance 38.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.71807 0.72082 0.72500
Support: 0.71388 0.71090 0.70668

Rationale

Rising structure with 87% of retail short is a strong contrarian tailwind; buy limit just under yesterday's 0.71388 low with the stop beyond it. Australian GDP at 21:30 NY is a gap risk that can set the day's direction before London.

Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.34R
Analysis Price 1.89085
Entry Point 1.89250
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.89760
Conservative Target 1.88561
Risk:Reward 1:1.35
Optimal Target 1.88069
Stop Loss Distance 51.0 pips
Target Distance 68.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.89713 1.90331 1.91238
Support: 1.88787 1.88561 1.88069

Rationale

Persistent downtrend with RSI 36 and a deepening MACD against 78% retail longs; sell limit on the bounce with stop above yesterday's 1.89713 high. Australian GDP at 21:30 NY is the trigger risk.

Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.31R
Analysis Price 1.62178
Entry Point 1.62300
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.62680
Conservative Target 1.61822
Risk:Reward 1:1.26
Optimal Target 1.61571
Stop Loss Distance 38.0 pips
Target Distance 47.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.62434 1.63133 1.63383
Support: 1.61822 1.61571 1.61000

Rationale

Clear lower highs, RSI 40 and a widening negative MACD while 84% of retail is long into the fall; sell limit into the 1.6240 rally zone with stop above it. Australian GDP at 21:30 NY is the key catalyst for the AUD leg.

Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.27R
Analysis Price 1.09679
Entry Point 1.09600
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.09330
Conservative Target 1.09954
Risk:Reward 1:1.31
Optimal Target 1.10112
Stop Loss Distance 27.0 pips
Target Distance 35.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.09954 1.10112 1.10500
Support: 1.09500 1.09136 1.08495

Rationale

Recovery from 1.0843 intact with RSI 58 and a heavily short retail book; buy limit at 1.0960 with the stop beyond the 1.0950 support. The 1.0995-1.1011 zone is the decisive test.

Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.25R
Analysis Price 216.464
Entry Point 216.300
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 215.700
Conservative Target 217.060
Risk:Reward 1:1.27
Optimal Target 217.470
Stop Loss Distance 60.0 pips
Target Distance 76.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 217.060 217.470 218.010
Support: 216.090 215.200 214.840

Rationale

Higher-timeframe uptrend pausing in the 216.0-217.5 box with MACD still positive and 86% of retail short; buy limit at the 216.30 dip that has been bought all week. Stop sits under the 216.09 support.

Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.23R
Analysis Price 1.35133
Entry Point 1.35250
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.35660
Conservative Target 1.34743
Risk:Reward 1:1.24
Optimal Target 1.34344
Stop Loss Distance 41.0 pips
Target Distance 50.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.35581 1.35654 1.36026
Support: 1.35060 1.34743 1.34344

Rationale

Sequence of lower highs from 1.3676 with MACD below signal favours selling shallow rallies; sell limit inside yesterday's range with stop above the 1.3558 resistance. ADP at 08:15 NY is the main intraday risk.

Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.21R
Analysis Price 115.236
Entry Point 115.140
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 114.790
Conservative Target 115.588
Risk:Reward 1:1.28
Optimal Target 116.024
Stop Loss Distance 35.0 pips
Target Distance 44.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 115.366 115.588 116.024
Support: 115.078 114.796 114.602

Rationale

Grinding uptrend with positive MACD and 71% retail short; buy limit at the 115.08 support shelf with stop just beneath it. The BOC decision at 09:45 NY is a direct CAD risk, so size and confidence are moderated.

Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.20R
Analysis Price 0.81164
Entry Point 0.81090
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.80800
Conservative Target 0.81436
Risk:Reward 1:1.19
Optimal Target 0.82069
Stop Loss Distance 29.0 pips
Target Distance 34.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.81248 0.81436 0.82069
Support: 0.80836 0.80687 0.80255

Rationale

Uptrend off the 0.7950 low with RSI 55 and positive momentum, retail 56% short adds a mild tailwind. Buy limit into the 0.8109 dip zone with the stop beneath the 0.80836 support.

Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.17R
Analysis Price 0.58937
Entry Point 0.59000
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.59320
Conservative Target 0.58601
Risk:Reward 1:1.25
Optimal Target 0.58214
Stop Loss Distance 32.0 pips
Target Distance 39.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.59073 0.59289 0.59880
Support: 0.58874 0.58601 0.58214

Rationale

Failure at 0.5988 and a negative MACD histogram keep 0.5887/0.5860 in play; sell limit under the 0.59289 resistance. The RBNZ decision and press conference (22:00-23:00 NY) can override the technical picture in either direction.

Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.17R
Analysis Price 185.660
Entry Point 185.520
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 185.100
Conservative Target 185.990
Risk:Reward 1:1.12
Optimal Target 187.470
Stop Loss Distance 42.0 pips
Target Distance 47.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 185.990 186.040 187.470
Support: 185.350 184.920 184.340

Rationale

Uptrend consolidating below 186.00 with an expanding MACD histogram and 82% of retail short; buy limit into the 185.35-185.52 dip zone. Stop sits beyond the 185.35 support.

Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.15R
Analysis Price 160.220
Entry Point 160.080
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 159.620
Conservative Target 160.600
Risk:Reward 1:1.13
Optimal Target 161.930
Stop Loss Distance 46.0 pips
Target Distance 52.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 160.270 160.600 161.930
Support: 159.640 159.290 158.600

Rationale

Price is pressing the top of the 158.6-160.3 range with an improving MACD histogram; buy limit on a shallow dip with the stop just under the 159.64 support. A break of 160.27 opens 160.60 then 161.93.

Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R
Analysis Price 0.85724
Entry Point 0.85670
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.85540
Conservative Target 0.85831
Risk:Reward 1:1.24
Optimal Target 0.86515
Stop Loss Distance 13.0 pips
Target Distance 16.1 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.85831 0.85851 0.86515
Support: 0.85600 0.85444 0.85318

Rationale

Tight 0.8540-0.8585 coil with marginally positive momentum and 65% of retail short; buy limit at the 0.8560 range floor with a volatility stop below it. Low conviction until an edge of the box breaks.

Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R
Analysis Price 2.29300
Entry Point 2.29550
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 2.30250
Conservative Target 2.28839
Risk:Reward 1:1.02
Optimal Target 2.27940
Stop Loss Distance 70.0 pips
Target Distance 71.1 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.29759 2.29907 2.31071
Support: 2.29129 2.28839 2.27940

Rationale

Price sits at the top of the 2.2794-2.2990 range with 78% of retail long - a solid contrarian fade with stop above 2.2991. An RBNZ hike at 22:00 NY would reinforce the downside but is also the main gap risk.

Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R
Analysis Price 0.81927
Entry Point 0.82020
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.82290
Conservative Target 0.81726
Risk:Reward 1:1.09
Optimal Target 0.81431
Stop Loss Distance 27.0 pips
Target Distance 29.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.82097 0.82121 0.82320
Support: 0.81726 0.81649 0.81431

Rationale

Rolling over from 0.8276 with MACD crossing down and 65% of retail long into the decline; sell limit below the 0.82121 resistance. Both RBNZ and BOC decisions fall inside the window, so confidence stays low.

Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R
Analysis Price 1.15903
Entry Point 1.15800
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.15420
Conservative Target 1.16206
Risk:Reward 1:1.07
Optimal Target 1.16595
Stop Loss Distance 38.0 pips
Target Distance 40.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.16206 1.16595 1.17114
Support: 1.15765 1.15442 1.15048

Rationale

Range regime: buy limit at the 1.1577 box floor, which has held twice in the last three sessions, with the stop under 1.1544. Only a range trade - RSI near 50 and a negative MACD histogram cap upside at 1.1620.

Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.96646
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.96873 1.97321 1.97569
Support: 1.95972 1.95750 1.95157

Rationale

Sell limit at the 1.96873 range top with 66% of retail long; a delivered RBNZ hike would pressure the pair toward 1.9597. No momentum edge, so this is a range fade in front of a high-impact event.

Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.39008
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.39116 1.39584 1.40240
Support: 1.38453 1.38000 1.37565

Rationale

Range fade only: sell limit at the 1.3912 ceiling that has capped every rally this week, stop above 1.3958. BOC rate statement and press conference (09:45/10:30 NY) is genuine gap risk, hence low confidence.

Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.61106
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.61362 1.61864 1.62431
Support: 1.60754 1.60456 1.60076

Rationale

Range fade: sell limit under the 1.61362 resistance in the flat 1.6045-1.6186 box, with the mildly crowded 58% long book tilting risk lower. BOC at 09:45 NY keeps confidence low.

Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 1.87806
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.88049 1.88243 1.88522
Support: 1.87632 1.87445 1.87127

Rationale

Rejection from 1.8913 leaves price mid-range with neutral momentum; sell limit under the 1.88243 cap targeting the 1.8744 range floor. BOC at 09:45 NY can break the range either way, so confidence stays low.

Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 94.412
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 94.710 95.120 95.270
Support: 94.240 93.850 93.320

Rationale

Momentum has faded after the 95.24 high, so trade the 94.24-95.12 range: buy limit at the lower edge with stop below 94.24. RBNZ at 22:00 NY is the dominant driver and keeps confidence low.

Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Expected result R = what the plan risks —
Analysis Price 0.47839
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.47939 0.48002 0.48175
Support: 0.47712 0.47408 0.47269

Rationale

Two weeks of compression between 0.4771 and 0.4800 with flat MACD; buy limit at the range floor with 70% of retail short as a mild contrarian tilt. RBNZ at 22:00 NY is the break catalyst.

Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$6 average per $100 risked

84 of 123 picks filled, over 41 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

338 plans over 41 verified days · target hit 11%

41 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 84 picks the honest range around the +$6 runs from −$10 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 123 picks published, 84 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 21 of the 84 picks lost the full $100, against 49 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 58% of the Top 3 result, and 27 of the 84 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$13 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 338 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 14 Oct 2026)

  • Target hit 11% (36)
  • Stop hit 23% (79)
  • Timed out 66% (223)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 159 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown
31% Win rate 36 of 115 plans closed at target or stop
-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one
+0.08R Timed-out average how those 223 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

21%
14 of 66 plans

Bearish

45%
22 of 49 plans

Win rate by pair

PairWin ratePlans
EURJPY
75%
3 / 4
NZDJPY
75%
3 / 4
GBPJPY
75%
3 / 4
AUDCHF
50%
3 / 6
NZDCAD
50%
2 / 4
AUDUSD
43%
3 / 7
EURUSD
40%
2 / 5
NZDUSD
40%
2 / 5
USDCAD
40%
2 / 5
XAUUSD
33%
1 / 3
GBPUSD
33%
1 / 3
CHFJPY
33%
1 / 3
EURCHF
30%
3 / 10
EURGBP
25%
1 / 4
GBPAUD
25%
1 / 4
EURNZD
25%
1 / 4
USDCHF
25%
1 / 4
USDJPY
25%
1 / 4
AUDJPY
20%
1 / 5
GBPCAD
0%
0 / 7
NZDCHF
0%
0 / 4
AUDCAD
0%
0 / 3
GBPNZD
0%
0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit
Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit
Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out
The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled
Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken
Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

14 Oct 2026 2 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $137
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84525 → 0.84378 Timed out -0.30R
EURJPY Bearish 177.500 → 176.516 Target hit +1.54R
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59330 → 1.58963 Not filled –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88350 → 1.88971 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Bullish 2.36000 → 2.36667 Timed out -0.10R
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.980 → 88.389 Target hit +1.69R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
13 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 8 timed out $100 → $91
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.11680 → 1.11000 Timed out -0.55R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83410 → 0.83822 Timed out -0.35R
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84500 → 0.84250 Timed out +0.01R
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Bearish 1.60430 → 1.60000 Timed out +0.18R
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.720 → 88.244 Timed out -0.38R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46680 → 0.46433 Timed out -0.31R
NZDCAD Bearish 0.79860 → 0.79581 Timed out +0.28R
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Bearish 4183.00 → 4110.89 Timed out +0.38R
12 Oct 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $185
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12070 → 1.11612 Target hit +1.12R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.42470 → 1.42980 Timed out +0.85R
NZDUSD Bearish 0.56170 → 0.55930 Target hit +1.09R
EURGBP Bearish 0.84680 → 0.84474 Not filled –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Bearish 1.60480 → 1.60000 Timed out +0.36R
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35680 → 2.36646 Not filled –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Bullish 1.24300 → 1.24650 Not filled –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
9 Oct 2026 1 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $84
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12210 → 1.11612 Timed out +0.61R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83060 → 0.83464 Timed out -0.23R
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84790 → 0.84613 Target hit +1.04R
EURJPY Bearish 177.250 → 176.516 Timed out -0.04R
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90000 → 1.90693 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35920 → 2.36646 Timed out -0.18R
AUDJPY Bearish 110.000 → 109.233 Stop hit -1.00R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46650 → 0.46357 Timed out +0.35R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Bearish 4147.00 → 4066.46 Stop hit -1.00R
8 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 7 timed out $100 → $125
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12100 → 1.11612 Timed out -0.08R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83200 → 0.83615 Timed out -0.21R
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69710 → 0.69426 Timed out +0.45R
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93360 → 0.92951 Timed out +0.35R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59730 → 1.59058 Timed out +0.82R
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Bullish 1.24270 → 1.24650 Timed out -0.18R
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46690 → 0.46515 Timed out +0.61R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

  1. Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
  2. Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
  3. AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
  4. Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

  • Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
  • Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
  • Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
  • Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
  • Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it: probability × reward/risk − (1 − probability). Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. Only plans with a positive expected result are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
  • Target odds: the model's chance of reaching the conservative target before the stop, once the order fills. These plans were written under the two-outcome model, where the no-edge baseline is 1/(1+RR) — 50% at 1:1, 33% at 1:2 — never 50% flat. The figure is not shown next to each plan: a farther target is worth more but is reached less often, so on its own it says nothing about whether a plan is worth taking. It is already accounted for in the expected result
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

  • Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
  • Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
  • Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
  • Adjust position size based on expected volatility
  • Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
  • Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

Forex Sentiment AI Trade Panel for MT5 — now with the Chart Panel

The AI plan of the day on your chart: entry, stop and two targets for every market our AI reads as directional. The Trade Panel runs the whole account from one chart — five-factor signals, orders prefilled from the plan with automatic lot sizing, close-only account protection. The new Chart Panel sits beside each chart you trade: retail positioning, our signal and the AI plan for that market, levels drawn on the chart, stop and target you can drag. Available now: one license, both panels.

Discover the panel

Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the articleForex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the articleForex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article
ForexSentiment App
ForexSentiment Forex Sentiment & AI Signals
App Store Google Play