Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our proprietary AI engine builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Wednesday, 09 September 2026 Forecast for: Thursday, 10 September 2026 Plan window: Wed 23:00 – Thu 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-09-09

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Three themes carry the board: long JPY (BoJ hike for 18 September is essentially fully priced and Tokyo has been buying yen, so the steep cross downtrends have the macro tape with them), long AUD against extreme 78-86% retail short books, and long CAD with crude pressing $100. The whole EUR complex is set neutral into the ECB decision, statement and press conference (08:15/08:45 NY): the 25bp hike is priced, the tone is not, and a technical plan sitting in front of it is gap risk rather than edge. US PPI at 08:30 NY is the other gap point and caps confidence on USD legs and gold.

Volatility Forecast

High

Key Events to Monitor

EUR: ECB Main Refinancing Rate and Monetary Policy Statement at 08:15 NY, press conference at 08:45 NY — hike near-fully priced, guidance is the risk
USD: PPI m/m and Core PPI m/m at 08:30 NY, Unemployment Claims at 08:30 NY
JPY: BoJ 18 September hike priced around 80-100% and past yen-buying intervention by Tokyo — bounces in yen crosses stay sellable, but ATR 0.9-1.5 means they are fast
Commodity/technical triggers: Brent near $100 underpins CAD; AUDUSD 0.72378 and AUDNZD 1.23698 breakout tests, USDJPY 153.973 rally cap

Best Opportunities

USDJPY Bearish

AUDUSD Bullish

NZDJPY Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (185 filled plans), 9% hit the target, 21% hit the stop and 70% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

USDJPY

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.15

Expected result +0.15 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 153.800 Sell limit

Stop Loss 154.550 (75.0 pips)

Conservative Target 152.940 (86.0 pips)

Optimal Target 152.000 (180.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 153.973 154.430 156.286

Support: 152.940 152.887 152.000

Rationale

Every session closes near its low with MACD still widening, and the macro agrees: a BoJ hike on 18 September is priced and Tokyo has intervened on the yen-buying side. Stop sits above 153.973/154.43, the reclaim level; US PPI at 08:30 NY is the bounce risk.

Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

AUDUSD

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.21

Expected result +0.12 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.72138 Buy limit

Stop Loss 0.71940 (19.8 pips)

Conservative Target 0.72378 (24.0 pips)

Optimal Target 0.72500 (36.2 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.72378 0.72500 0.73000

Support: 0.72098 0.71979 0.71535

Rationale

Fresh cycle high at 0.72378 with higher lows intact and retail 78% short, the cleanest contrarian continuation in the set. Stop is beyond the 0.71979 impulse level; entry kept shallow because closes have held the top of the range.

Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

NZDJPY

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.55

Expected result +0.15 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 89.760 Sell limit

Stop Loss 90.250 (49.0 pips)

Conservative Target 89.000 (76.0 pips)

Optimal Target 88.500 (126.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 90.149 90.683 90.883

Support: 89.562 89.000 88.500

Rationale

Weakest yen cross with a widening -0.56 histogram and the most crowded book in the set at 86% retail long, aligned with BoJ-hike pricing. Stop above the 90.149 cap; 89.00 is the first target that clears the stop distance.

Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. It is available now, and a 7-day pass lets you try it before subscribing. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward
USDJPY	Bearish	High	153.604	153.800Sell limit	154.550	152.940	+0.15R	1:1.15
Forecast Details Confidence High Analysis Price 153.604 Entry Point 153.800 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 154.550 Conservative Target 152.940 Risk:Reward 1:1.15 Optimal Target 152.000 Stop Loss Distance 75.0 pips Target Distance 86.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 153.973 154.430 156.286 Support: 152.940 152.887 152.000 Rationale Every session closes near its low with MACD still widening, and the macro agrees: a BoJ hike on 18 September is priced and Tokyo has intervened on the yen-buying side. Stop sits above 153.973/154.43, the reclaim level; US PPI at 08:30 NY is the bounce risk. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Bearish	High	89.626	89.760Sell limit	90.250	89.000	+0.15R	1:1.55
Forecast Details Confidence High Analysis Price 89.626 Entry Point 89.760 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 90.250 Conservative Target 89.000 Risk:Reward 1:1.55 Optimal Target 88.500 Stop Loss Distance 49.0 pips Target Distance 76.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 90.149 90.683 90.883 Support: 89.562 89.000 88.500 Rationale Weakest yen cross with a widening -0.56 histogram and the most crowded book in the set at 86% retail long, aligned with BoJ-hike pricing. Stop above the 90.149 cap; 89.00 is the first target that clears the stop distance. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Bearish	Medium	208.156	208.390Sell limit	209.180	207.398	+0.13R	1:1.26
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 208.156 Entry Point 208.390 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 209.180 Conservative Target 207.398 Risk:Reward 1:1.26 Optimal Target 206.000 Stop Loss Distance 79.0 pips Target Distance 99.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 208.466 209.098 211.221 Support: 207.398 207.103 206.000 Rationale MACD -1.60 under a -0.66 signal with six lower highs and retail 74% long, and the BoJ-hike pricing in the news flow supports the yen side. Stop above 208.466/209.098; ATR 1.54 means bounces are violent, hence medium confidence. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Bullish	Medium	1.23601	1.23511Buy limit	1.23160	1.24000	+0.13R	1:1.39
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 1.23601 Entry Point 1.23511 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.23160 Conservative Target 1.24000 Risk:Reward 1:1.39 Optimal Target 1.24500 Stop Loss Distance 35.1 pips Target Distance 48.9 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.23698 1.24000 1.24500 Support: 1.23212 1.22699 1.22139 Rationale Momentum confirmed by a widening MACD histogram with retail 83% short after a 300-pip run; it expresses long AUD and short NZD in one trade. RSI 78.5 argues against chasing, so entry is a pullback toward the 1.23212 support and confidence stays medium. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Bullish	High	0.72197	0.72138Buy limit	0.71940	0.72378	+0.12R	1:1.21
Forecast Details Confidence High Analysis Price 0.72197 Entry Point 0.72138 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.71940 Conservative Target 0.72378 Risk:Reward 1:1.21 Optimal Target 0.72500 Stop Loss Distance 19.8 pips Target Distance 24.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.72378 0.72500 0.73000 Support: 0.72098 0.71979 0.71535 Rationale Fresh cycle high at 0.72378 with higher lows intact and retail 78% short, the cleanest contrarian continuation in the set. Stop is beyond the 0.71979 impulse level; entry kept shallow because closes have held the top of the range. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Bearish	Medium	1.38066	1.38160Sell limit	1.38520	1.37652	+0.11R	1:1.41
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 1.38066 Entry Point 1.38160 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.38520 Conservative Target 1.37652 Risk:Reward 1:1.41 Optimal Target 1.37321 Stop Loss Distance 36.0 pips Target Distance 50.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.38206 1.38722 1.39398 Support: 1.37652 1.37596 1.37321 Rationale Lower highs from 1.39398/1.38722 and retail 66% long, with crude near $100 underpinning CAD per the news flow. Sell into 1.38206; US PPI at 08:30 NY is the gap risk on the USD leg. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Bearish	Medium	0.80585	0.80660Sell limit	0.80920	0.80370	+0.11R	1:1.12
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 0.80585 Entry Point 0.80660 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.80920 Conservative Target 0.80370 Risk:Reward 1:1.12 Optimal Target 0.79936 Stop Loss Distance 26.0 pips Target Distance 29.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.80820 0.81192 0.81407 Support: 0.80536 0.80370 0.79936 Rationale Accelerating decline that broke the September low, retail 84% long, and CAD is underpinned by crude near $100 per the news flow. Stop above the 0.8082 lower high; no scheduled NZD or CAD event in the window. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Bullish	Medium	1.09716	1.09642Buy limit	1.09330	1.09986	+0.08R	1:1.10
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 1.09716 Entry Point 1.09642 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.09330 Conservative Target 1.09986 Risk:Reward 1:1.10 Optimal Target 1.10096 Stop Loss Distance 31.2 pips Target Distance 34.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.09828 1.09986 1.10096 Support: 1.09364 1.09136 1.08961 Rationale Nine sessions pressing the upper half of 1.0896-1.1008 with 1.09364 defended and retail 69% short. Stop just under that defended shelf; no scheduled GBP or CHF event in the window. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.58469	0.58390Buy limit	0.58228	0.58570	+0.08R	1:1.11
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 0.58469 Entry Point 0.58390 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.58228 Conservative Target 0.58570 Risk:Reward 1:1.11 Optimal Target 0.59000 Stop Loss Distance 16.2 pips Target Distance 18.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.58570 0.58600 0.59000 Support: 0.58261 0.58049 0.57938 Rationale Seven sessions consolidating at the top of the range under 0.5857 with retail 86% short, the most extreme crowd in the set. Volatility stop at 0.5 ATR just under the 0.58261 shelf, since deeper support is too far to risk. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.16341	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.16341 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.16411 1.16540 1.17114 Support: 1.16072 1.15765 1.15662 Rationale Boxed 1.1577-1.1654 with a low-confidence bias, and the ECB decision plus press conference and US PPI both land inside the window. No edge worth taking in front of that. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.35483	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.35483 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.35581 1.35680 1.36756 Support: 1.35303 1.35056 1.34745 Rationale Bias is neutral and the last four candles compress between 1.3521 and 1.3568. US PPI at 08:30 NY is the only likely range-breaker. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.80987	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.80987 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.81081 0.81201 0.81462 Support: 0.80674 0.80545 0.80345 Rationale Four sessions opening and closing near 0.8095 with RSI 52.5 is balance, not a trade. US PPI is the only scheduled catalyst. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.58352	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.58352 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58638 0.58725 0.59056 Support: 0.58301 0.58214 0.58020 Rationale Bearish bias respected but redundant: the short-NZD theme is already carried by NZDJPY, NZDCAD and long AUDNZD. Keeping it flat avoids a fourth NZD bet plus USD PPI exposure. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Neutral	Low	0.85884	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.85884 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.85950 0.86078 0.86515 Support: 0.85810 0.85707 0.85537 Rationale ATR of just 0.00196 into an ECB decision and press conference is the wrong risk profile for a grind-higher long. Neutral until the statement is out. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	178.724	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 178.724 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 178.986 179.476 181.478 Support: 178.070 177.856 177.000 Rationale Downtrend is intact but the ECB decision and Lagarde press conference sit inside the window on the EUR leg. Redundant anyway with the long-JPY plans in USDJPY, GBPJPY and NZDJPY. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Neutral	Low	0.94248	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.94248 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.94353 0.94500 0.94750 Support: 0.93974 0.93729 0.93537 Rationale Staircase of higher lows and 79% retail short, but a 0.0032 ATR cross into an ECB rate decision is pure gap risk. Short-CHF exposure is already taken in AUDCHF and GBPCHF. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.61175	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.61175 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.61335 1.62029 1.62523 Support: 1.60831 1.60813 1.60000 Rationale Redundant with the long-AUD plans in AUDUSD, AUDNZD and AUDCHF, and the EUR leg faces the ECB decision at 08:15 NY. Neutral rather than a fourth AUD bet. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.60587	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.60587 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.60723 1.60922 1.61365 Support: 1.60471 1.60170 1.60076 Rationale Rotating inside 1.6008-1.6098 with no directional close, and the ECB event dominates the EUR leg. Long-CAD theme is already expressed in USDCAD and NZDCAD. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Neutral	Low	1.99427	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.99427 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.99486 1.99743 2.00000 Support: 1.98370 1.97977 1.97570 Rationale Breakout momentum is real but it is a fourth short-NZD expression and the ECB press conference lands mid-window. Neutral by exposure and event risk. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.87645	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.87645 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.87884 1.88087 1.88516 Support: 1.87332 1.87320 1.87000 Rationale Redundant with the long-AUD plans in AUDUSD, AUDNZD and AUDCHF, and the last three candles have compressed into a base-building shelf. Neutral. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.87005	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.87005 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.87178 1.87293 1.88049 Support: 1.86493 1.86347 1.86074 Rationale Low-confidence bias inside a tight 1.86074-1.87293 band with alternating closes near 1.8700. The long-CAD theme is already carried by USDCAD and NZDCAD. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.31983	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 2.31983 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.32203 2.32544 2.34732 Support: 2.31027 2.30459 2.29693 Rationale Purely technical long with no positioning edge (49/51), and it would be a fourth short-NZD bet alongside AUDNZD, NZDJPY and NZDCAD. Neutral by book exposure. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Neutral	Low	110.898	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 110.898 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 111.152 111.508 112.630 Support: 110.764 110.642 110.278 Rationale A short here fights the long-AUD theme while duplicating the long-JPY theme already held in USDJPY, GBPJPY and NZDJPY. Wednesday's inside day on the 110.764 pivot adds nothing. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	111.271	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 111.271 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 111.695 112.016 112.962 Support: 111.035 110.833 110.773 Rationale Trend is intact but the yen slots are used by USDJPY, GBPJPY and NZDJPY, and shorting CAD contradicts the oil-supported long-CAD plans. Neutral. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	189.539	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 189.539 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 190.208 190.807 192.914 Support: 189.291 189.087 188.000 Rationale RSI 20.55 is the most oversold reading on the board and ATR 1.46 makes a snapback fast, with no support far enough for a clean 1:1 from a valid stop. Long-JPY exposure is already at cap. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.99660	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.99660 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.99786 0.99911 1.00000 Support: 0.99404 0.99174 0.99014 Rationale Clean setup but it is a fourth long-AUD bet and it shorts CAD against the USDCAD and NZDCAD plans with crude near $100. Neutral by exposure. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.47247	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.47247 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.47432 0.47586 0.47736 Support: 0.47100 0.47037 0.46799 Rationale Retail 53/47 gives no positioning edge and the short-NZD theme is already full via AUDNZD, NZDJPY and NZDCAD. Neutral. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58661	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.58661 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58805 0.58841 0.59000 Support: 0.58497 0.58374 0.58111 Rationale Low-confidence bias, neutral 48/52 retail and a 0.00298 ATR base under resistance — no edge. Short-CHF exposure already held in AUDCHF and GBPCHF. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	4401.64	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 4401.64 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4434.15 4443.22 4449.63 Support: 4341.27 4324.83 4282.78 Rationale RSI 50.7 with a fresh bearish MACD cross inside a 4282-4511 swing zone is directionless at a 103-dollar ATR. US PPI at 08:30 NY is straight gap risk on a coin-flip chart. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$22 average per $100 risked

30 of 48 picks filled, over 16 verified days · target hit 23%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

190 plans over 16 verified days · target hit 9%

16 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 30 picks the honest range around the +$22 runs from −$4 to +$48 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 48 picks published, 30 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 6 of the 30 picks lost the full $100, against 22 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 43% of the Top 3 result, and 23 of the 30 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$15 to +$5, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 190 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 9 Sep 2026)

Target hit 9% (17)
Stop hit 21% (39)
Timed out 71% (134)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 109 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

30% Win rate 17 of 56 plans closed at target or stop

-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.06R Timed-out average how those 134 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

24%

9 of 38 plans

Bearish

44%

8 of 18 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
AUDCHF	75%	3 / 4
GBPJPY	67%	2 / 3
AUDUSD	50%	2 / 4
EURCHF	33%	1 / 3
USDCAD	33%	1 / 3
NZDUSD	25%	1 / 4

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the hourly candles confirm it happened after the order filled. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the hourly candles say which one came first — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same hour, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

9 Sep 2026 1 target · 0 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $137

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Bearish	154.300 → 152.950	Not filled	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Bullish	0.72120 → 0.72480	Timed out	+0.23R
USDCAD	Bearish	1.38040 → 1.37690	Timed out	-0.16R
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bullish	0.85800 → 0.86060	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.94000 → 0.94260	Target hit	+1.53R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Bearish	1.86790 → 1.86370	Timed out	-0.66R
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	90.450 → 89.720	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Bearish	190.650 → 189.100	Not filled	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58320 → 0.58560	Timed out	+0.92R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.23180 → 1.23960	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80900 → 0.80530	Not filled	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

8 Sep 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $90

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Bearish	154.550 → 153.000	Not filled	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Bullish	0.72118 → 0.72500	Timed out	+0.22R
USDCAD	Bearish	1.38243 → 1.37652	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bullish	0.85827 → 0.85982	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.61117 → 1.60500	Timed out	+0.15R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Bearish	1.87145 → 1.86347	Not filled	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	90.770 → 90.000	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Bearish	190.860 → 189.500	Not filled	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58391 → 0.58800	Timed out	+0.23R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

7 Sep 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $99

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Bearish	1.35300 → 1.34896	Timed out	-0.31R
USDJPY	Bearish	156.550 → 155.330	Not filled	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Bullish	0.71930 → 0.72142	Not filled	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bullish	0.85870 → 0.86078	Timed out	-0.31R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.93990 → 0.94162	Timed out	+0.59R
EURAUD	Bearish	1.61355 → 1.61000	Not filled	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Bearish	211.600 → 210.734	Not filled	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	92.100 → 91.669	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.22300 → 1.22647	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

4 Sep 2026 3 target · 1 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $150

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bullish	0.85890 → 0.86080	Timed out	+0.19R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.93815 → 0.94210	Not filled	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.61560 → 1.61000	Timed out	+0.73R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Bearish	211.150 → 209.970	Target hit	+1.03R
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Bearish	1.88000 → 1.87050	Timed out	+0.62R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	91.800 → 91.040	Timed out	-0.18R
CHFJPY	Bearish	193.300 → 192.120	Target hit	+1.48R
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58085 → 0.58340	Target hit	+1.13R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.81200 → 0.80900	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

3 Sep 2026 3 target · 2 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $125

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Bearish	158.900 → 158.026	Target hit	+1.17R
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Bullish	0.71540 → 0.72082	Not filled	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.58560 → 0.58214	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.94130 → 0.94353	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Bearish	214.300 → 212.931	Target hit	+1.37R
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bearish	1.88450 → 1.87500	Timed out	+1.04R
GBPCAD	Bearish	1.86850 → 1.86347	Not filled	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	92.950 → 92.379	Target hit	+1.06R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58200 → 0.58600	Timed out	-0.15R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.81110 → 0.80689	Timed out	+0.07R
CADCHF	Bullish	0.58650 → 0.59000	Timed out	-0.33R
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels across multiple timeframes.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: a high-impact release on either currency of a pair is weighed as gap risk when the plans are written, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 15%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

Forex Sentiment AI Trade Panel for MT5

The AI daily plan on your chart: entry, stop and two targets per pair, with the track record verified against real candles — published win or lose. Plus the multi-factor signals, orders prefilled from the plan with automatic lot sizing, and close-only account protection. It is available now, and a 7-day pass lets you try it before subscribing.

Discover the panel

Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

USDJPY

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AUDUSD

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