Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our proprietary AI engine builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Thursday, 10 September 2026 Forecast for: Friday, 11 September 2026 Plan window: Thu 23:00 – Fri 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-09-10

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The board expresses four themes: long JPY across the crosses (BoJ hike for 18 September is close to fully priced after this week's Reuters poll and DBS/Natixis commentary, and every yen pair is broken down with retail 67-84% long), short NZD (kiwi is the weakest antipodean leg), long CAD on crude near $100, and short CHF against EUR/AUD where retail is 78-80% offside. US CPI at 08:30 NY is the session's pivot: a hot print revives Fed-hike pricing and dollar strength, so USD-leg plans are kept few, shallow and lower-confidence, and gold is left neutral in its 4282-4450 two-way range. Sterling carries its own gap risk with GDP forecast at 0.0%, which is why the GBP expressions are on the short side.

Volatility Forecast

High

Key Events to Monitor

GBP GDP m/m at 02:00 NY (HIGH, forecast 0.0% vs 0.3% prior) — gap risk on all sterling pairs
USD CPI and Core CPI at 08:30 NY (HIGH) — the day's dominant catalyst for USD pairs and gold
CHF SNB Chairman Schlegel at 05:15 NY and EUR Lagarde at 10:00 NY, plus Prelim UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 10:00 NY
JPY: BoJ 18 September hike near-fully priced per the news flow; yen strength is the tape's dominant trend, USDJPY pivot at 154.669

Best Opportunities

NZDCAD Bearish

CHFJPY Bearish

EURCHF Bullish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (190 filled plans), 9% hit the target, 21% hit the stop and 71% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

NZDCAD

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.14

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.80300 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.80620 (32.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.79936 (36.4 pips)

Optimal Target 0.79500 (80.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.80585 0.80859 0.81192

Support: 0.80104 0.79936 0.79500

Rationale

Relentless decline from 0.82762 with the histogram still intensifying and the most extreme book on the board at 86% retail long, while crude near $100 backs the CAD leg. Stop beyond the 0.80585 resistance, target below the 0.80104 low just broken.

Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

CHFJPY

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.13

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 190.200 Sell limit

Stop Loss 190.950 (75.0 pips)

Conservative Target 189.351 (84.9 pips)

Optimal Target 189.087 (111.3 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 190.251 190.807 192.121

Support: 189.351 189.087 188.000

Rationale

MACD at -1.99 with the histogram still widening and 79% of retail trapped long, into a yen bid by near-certain BoJ hike pricing. Sell limit just above the 190.251 cap with the stop beyond 190.807.

Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail

EURCHF

Bullish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.37

Expected result +0.11 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.94330 Buy limit

Stop Loss 0.94060 (27.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.94700 (37.0 pips)

Optimal Target 0.95000 (67.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.94455 0.94700 0.95000

Support: 0.94100 0.93973 0.93729

Rationale

Orderly stair-step uptrend into a new swing high at 0.94455 with 80% of retail short, the most lopsided book on the board. Stop beyond the 0.941 support; SNB Schlegel at 05:15 NY is the event risk on the CHF leg.

Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. It is available now, and a 7-day pass lets you try it before subscribing. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
USDJPY	Bearish	Medium	154.396	154.700Sell limit	155.350	153.281	+0.16R	1:2.18	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.16R Analysis Price 154.396 Entry Point 154.700 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 155.350 Conservative Target 153.281 Risk:Reward 1:2.18 Optimal Target 152.887 Stop Loss Distance 65.0 pips Target Distance 141.9 pips Key Levels Resistance: 154.669 155.299 156.752 Support: 153.281 152.887 152.000 Rationale Downtrend from 160.395 intact with MACD still deepening, retail 74% long, and the news flow pricing a BoJ hike on 18 September as near certain. Sell limit just above the 154.669 pivot; confidence capped at medium because a hot US CPI at 08:30 NY is the obvious upside risk. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Bearish	High	89.570	89.780Sell limit	90.300	89.000	+0.12R	1:1.50	+0.82RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R Analysis Price 89.570 Entry Point 89.780 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 90.300 Conservative Target 89.000 Risk:Reward 1:1.50 Optimal Target 88.500 Stop Loss Distance 52.0 pips Target Distance 78.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 89.990 90.239 90.883 Support: 89.334 89.000 88.500 Rationale Weakest chart in the yen bloc with no close above its open since 4 September and an extreme 84% retail long book, plus BoJ hike pricing for 18 September. Stop is a ~0.6 ATR volatility stop placed above the 90.239 pivot. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.94399	0.94330Buy limit	0.94060	0.94700	+0.11R	1:1.37	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R Analysis Price 0.94399 Entry Point 0.94330 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.94060 Conservative Target 0.94700 Risk:Reward 1:1.37 Optimal Target 0.95000 Stop Loss Distance 27.0 pips Target Distance 37.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.94455 0.94700 0.95000 Support: 0.94100 0.93973 0.93729 Rationale Orderly stair-step uptrend into a new swing high at 0.94455 with 80% of retail short, the most lopsided book on the board. Stop beyond the 0.941 support; SNB Schlegel at 05:15 NY is the event risk on the CHF leg. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.58245	0.58175Buy limit	0.58005	0.58518	+0.11R	1:2.02	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R Analysis Price 0.58245 Entry Point 0.58175 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.58005 Conservative Target 0.58518 Risk:Reward 1:2.02 Optimal Target 0.58570 Stop Loss Distance 17.0 pips Target Distance 34.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.58518 0.58570 0.58800 Support: 0.58122 0.57938 0.57785 Rationale Eight sessions holding above 0.58049 with RSI 61.6 and 78% of retail short into the climb. Volatility stop of ~0.5 ATR since the 0.57938 support is further than the ratio justifies; target sits at the range top so probability is kept modest. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Bullish	Low	0.85929	0.85900Buy limit	0.85790	0.86078	+0.09R	1:1.61	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 0.85929 Entry Point 0.85900 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.85790 Conservative Target 0.86078 Risk:Reward 1:1.61 Optimal Target 0.86515 Stop Loss Distance 11.0 pips Target Distance 17.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.85999 0.86078 0.86515 Support: 0.85838 0.85707 0.85475 Rationale Low-volatility uptrend with a rising base and 63% retail short, and GBP GDP forecast at 0.0% at 02:00 NY leans the same way. Stop sits under the 0.85707 shelf; tiny ATR means the 0.86078 cap must give way for the plan to work. Entry and stop rebuilt on the analysis levels (0.859 / 0.8579): the original plan was not reachable in the session. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Bearish	Medium	1.86891	1.87040Sell limit	1.87410	1.86580	+0.09R	1:1.24	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 1.86891 Entry Point 1.87040 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.87410 Conservative Target 1.86580 Risk:Reward 1:1.24 Optimal Target 1.86347 Stop Loss Distance 37.0 pips Target Distance 46.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.87195 1.88049 1.88522 Support: 1.86580 1.86347 1.86074 Rationale Lower highs capped near 1.8720 with 68% retail long, weak GBP GDP forecast at 02:00 NY and crude near $100 supporting the loonie. Volatility stop of ~0.5 ATR used because the next resistance at 1.88049 is over an ATR away. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Bearish	High	189.885	190.200Sell limit	190.950	189.351	+0.09R	1:1.13	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 189.885 Entry Point 190.200 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 190.950 Conservative Target 189.351 Risk:Reward 1:1.13 Optimal Target 189.087 Stop Loss Distance 75.0 pips Target Distance 84.9 pips Key Levels Resistance: 190.251 190.807 192.121 Support: 189.351 189.087 188.000 Rationale MACD at -1.99 with the histogram still widening and 79% of retail trapped long, into a yen bid by near-certain BoJ hike pricing. Sell limit just above the 190.251 cap with the stop beyond 190.807. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Bullish	Medium	1.23448	1.23320Buy limit	1.23020	1.23697	+0.09R	1:1.26	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 1.23448 Entry Point 1.23320 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.23020 Conservative Target 1.23697 Risk:Reward 1:1.26 Optimal Target 1.24000 Stop Loss Distance 30.0 pips Target Distance 37.7 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.23697 1.24000 1.24500 Support: 1.23212 1.22699 1.21508 Rationale Expanding MACD and a tight 1.23212 floor over the last two sessions, with 79% of retail short feeding the advance. Confidence held at medium because RSI 75.9 is the most overbought reading on the board. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Bearish	High	0.80184	0.80300Sell limit	0.80620	0.79936	+0.09R	1:1.14	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 0.80184 Entry Point 0.80300 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.80620 Conservative Target 0.79936 Risk:Reward 1:1.14 Optimal Target 0.79500 Stop Loss Distance 32.0 pips Target Distance 36.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.80585 0.80859 0.81192 Support: 0.80104 0.79936 0.79500 Rationale Relentless decline from 0.82762 with the histogram still intensifying and the most extreme book on the board at 86% retail long, while crude near $100 backs the CAD leg. Stop beyond the 0.80585 resistance, target below the 0.80104 low just broken. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Bearish	Low	1.35105	1.35230Sell limit	1.35640	1.34744	+0.06R	1:1.19	-0.08RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.06R Analysis Price 1.35105 Entry Point 1.35230 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.35640 Conservative Target 1.34744 Risk:Reward 1:1.19 Optimal Target 1.34344 Stop Loss Distance 41.0 pips Target Distance 48.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.35602 1.35681 1.36756 Support: 1.34912 1.34744 1.34344 Rationale Lower highs since 1.36756 and a 10 September sell-off to 1.34912, with GBP GDP forecast at 0.0% at 02:00 NY arguing the same way. Stop sits above the 1.35602 resistance; confidence kept low because US CPI can whipsaw the pair after 08:30 NY. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Medium	1.09869	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.09869 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.10059 1.10080 1.10112 Support: 1.09606 1.09364 1.09136 Rationale Neutral by the concentration rule: the short CHF theme is already carried by EURCHF, CHFJPY, AUDCHF. Since the 19 August drop to 1.08431 the cross has recovered into a 1.0896-1.1008 band and is now pressing the top of it, closing 10 September at 1.09869 after three consecutive higher lows at 1.09443, 1.09473 and 1.09606. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.16076	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.16076 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.16411 1.16541 1.17114 Support: 1.15920 1.15765 1.15662 Rationale Range between 1.15662 and 1.16411 with RSI on the midline and a balanced 42/58 book gives no edge. High-impact US CPI at 08:30 NY is two-way gap risk on a purely technical range. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.81304	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.81304 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.81462 0.81567 0.82069 Support: 0.80842 0.80674 0.80545 Rationale Higher-low recovery is intact but 0.81567 has already rejected once, and a long here would be a USD bet straight into CPI. Short-CHF theme already carried by EURCHF, AUDCHF and CHFJPY. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.71596	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.71596 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.71803 0.72082 0.72378 Support: 0.71553 0.71214 0.70668 Rationale The outside-down day closing on its 0.71553 low argues against buying the dip in front of an 08:30 NY CPI print. The long-AUD theme is already expressed through AUDNZD and AUDCHF. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Neutral	Low	1.38270	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.38270 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.38395 1.39398 1.39584 Support: 1.38000 1.37624 1.37321 Rationale A month of chop between 1.3732 and 1.3940 with the last four sessions compressed, and CPI adds gap risk to a range trade. Long-CAD theme already carried by NZDCAD and GBPCAD. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.58014	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58014 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58389 0.58567 0.58633 Support: 0.57932 0.57621 0.56723 Rationale Downtrend and 70% retail longs are genuine, but this is a USD-leg trade into CPI. Redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDCAD, NZDJPY and AUDNZD. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	179.254	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 179.254 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 179.481 180.528 181.962 Support: 178.423 177.856 176.500 Rationale RSI 28.6 with a corrective bounce underway makes this the least clean yen expression. Redundant with the long-JPY plans in USDJPY, CHFJPY and NZDJPY. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.62162	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.62162 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.62523 1.63133 1.63383 Support: 1.61571 1.61069 1.60813 Rationale A 120-pip engulfing bar fighting a still-negative MACD is an unresolved tape and the bias is neutral. No edge worth a directional plan. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.60607	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.60607 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.60738 1.60922 1.61365 Support: 1.60471 1.60294 1.60052 Rationale Heavy but not falling: a tight 1.60006-1.60977 shelf with levels too close for a clean 1:1. Long-CAD theme already expressed through NZDCAD and GBPCAD. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Neutral	Low	2.00294	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 2.00294 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.01205 2.02375 Support: 2.00005 1.98684 1.97706 Rationale Trend and 73% retail shorts are supportive, but RSI 71.9 with expanded ATR means sharp pullbacks. Redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDCAD, AUDNZD and NZDJPY. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	208.614	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 208.614 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 208.889 209.098 211.247 Support: 207.768 207.103 206.000 Rationale Bearish structure is intact but GBP GDP at 02:00 NY sits directly in front of the entry. Long-JPY theme already carried by USDJPY, CHFJPY and NZDJPY. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.88745	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.88745 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.88810 1.89176 1.89713 Support: 1.88069 1.87578 1.87320 Rationale Price and momentum openly conflict after the violent 1.87578-1.8881 rally closing near the highs. GBP GDP at 02:00 NY makes a low-confidence trend trade unattractive. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.33044	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 2.33044 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.33206 2.34732 2.35412 Support: 2.31428 2.30317 2.29628 Rationale Trend and momentum align but RSI 69.9 and GBP GDP risk at 02:00 NY sit against a long here. Redundant with the short-NZD book in NZDCAD, AUDNZD and NZDJPY. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Neutral	Low	110.539	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 110.539 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 111.015 111.508 112.630 Support: 110.231 109.235 108.500 Rationale Downtrend with 67% retail long is valid but this is the fourth yen expression. Redundant with the long-JPY plans in USDJPY, CHFJPY and NZDJPY, and it would also add a fourth AUD leg. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	111.667	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 111.667 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 111.908 112.016 113.045 Support: 111.052 110.803 110.000 Rationale Short CADJPY fights the long-CAD theme carried by NZDCAD and GBPCAD while duplicating the yen trade. Oil near $100 supports the CAD leg against this short. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.99023	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.99023 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.99257 0.99454 0.99786 Support: 0.98918 0.98198 0.98052 Rationale Bias is neutral: the uptrend has stalled and the 10 September candle swept the whole range to close on its lower edge. Long AUD and long CAD themes are already expressed elsewhere and conflict inside this cross. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.47141	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.47141 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.47392 0.47586 0.47736 Support: 0.47094 0.47037 0.46799 Rationale Fresh roll-over is real but this would be a long-CHF plan against the EURCHF/AUDCHF book, and Schlegel speaks at 05:15 NY. Short-NZD theme already carried by NZDCAD, NZDJPY and AUDNZD. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58756	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58756 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58805 0.58910 0.59000 Support: 0.58538 0.58497 0.58374 Rationale Compression between 0.58374 and 0.58910 with repeated failures at 0.58805-0.58841 and a balanced retail book. Short-CHF exposure is already at capacity via EURCHF, AUDCHF and CHFJPY. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	4316.92	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 4316.92 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4382.27 4434.70 4449.63 Support: 4311.07 4282.77 4200.00 Rationale Volatile two-way trade between 4282.78 and 4510.95 with ATR above 100, and US CPI at 08:30 NY is precisely the print that can jump straight through a 4311 support. Honest neutral rather than a momentum short into the release. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$13 average per $100 risked

34 of 54 picks filled, over 18 verified days · target hit 21%

Every plan on the board

−$7 average per $100 risked

205 plans over 18 verified days · target hit 9%

18 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 34 picks the honest range around the +$13 runs from −$13 to +$39 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 54 picks published, 34 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 9 of the 34 picks lost the full $100, against 23 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 67% of the Top 3 result, and 24 of the 34 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$17 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 205 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 11 Sep 2026)

Target hit 9% (18)
Stop hit 22% (46)
Timed out 69% (141)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 113 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

28% Win rate 18 of 64 plans closed at target or stop

-0.07R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.07R Timed-out average how those 141 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

21%

9 of 42 plans

Bearish

41%

9 of 22 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
GBPJPY	67%	2 / 3
AUDCHF	60%	3 / 5
AUDUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDCAD	33%	1 / 3
USDJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	33%	1 / 3
USDCAD	33%	1 / 3
NZDUSD	25%	1 / 4
EURGBP	0%	0 / 3
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the hourly candles confirm it happened after the order filled. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the hourly candles say which one came first — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same hour, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

11 Sep 2026 0 target · 4 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $46

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Bearish	1.35230 → 1.34744	Timed out	-0.08R
USDJPY	Bearish	154.700 → 153.281	Not filled	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bullish	0.85900 → 0.86078	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.94330 → 0.94700	Not filled	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Bearish	1.87040 → 1.86580	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.780 → 89.000	Timed out	+0.82R
CHFJPY	Bearish	190.200 → 189.351	Not filled	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58175 → 0.58518	Not filled	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.23320 → 1.23697	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80300 → 0.79936	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

10 Sep 2026 1 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $84

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Bearish	153.800 → 152.940	Stop hit	-1.00R
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Bullish	0.72138 → 0.72378	Stop hit	-1.00R
USDCAD	Bearish	1.38160 → 1.37652	Timed out	-0.49R
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Bearish	208.390 → 207.398	Timed out	-0.15R
GBPCHF	Bullish	1.09642 → 1.09986	Timed out	+0.57R
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.760 → 89.000	Timed out	+0.59R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58390 → 0.58570	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.23511 → 1.24000	Timed out	-0.07R
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80660 → 0.80370	Target hit	+1.12R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

9 Sep 2026 1 target · 0 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $137

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Bearish	154.300 → 152.950	Not filled	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Bullish	0.72120 → 0.72480	Timed out	+0.23R
USDCAD	Bearish	1.38040 → 1.37690	Timed out	-0.16R
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bullish	0.85800 → 0.86060	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.94000 → 0.94260	Target hit	+1.53R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Bearish	1.86790 → 1.86370	Timed out	-0.66R
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	90.450 → 89.720	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Bearish	190.650 → 189.100	Not filled	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58320 → 0.58560	Timed out	+0.92R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.23180 → 1.23960	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80900 → 0.80530	Not filled	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

8 Sep 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $90

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Bearish	154.550 → 153.000	Not filled	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Bullish	0.72118 → 0.72500	Timed out	+0.22R
USDCAD	Bearish	1.38243 → 1.37652	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bullish	0.85827 → 0.85982	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.61117 → 1.60500	Timed out	+0.15R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Bearish	1.87145 → 1.86347	Not filled	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	90.770 → 90.000	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Bearish	190.860 → 189.500	Not filled	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58391 → 0.58800	Timed out	+0.23R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

7 Sep 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $99

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Bearish	1.35300 → 1.34896	Timed out	-0.31R
USDJPY	Bearish	156.550 → 155.330	Not filled	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Bullish	0.71930 → 0.72142	Not filled	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bullish	0.85870 → 0.86078	Timed out	-0.31R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.93990 → 0.94162	Timed out	+0.59R
EURAUD	Bearish	1.61355 → 1.61000	Not filled	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Bearish	211.600 → 210.734	Not filled	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	92.100 → 91.669	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.22300 → 1.22647	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels across multiple timeframes.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: a high-impact release on either currency of a pair is weighed as gap risk when the plans are written, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 15%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

Forex Sentiment AI Trade Panel for MT5

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

NZDCAD

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CHFJPY

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