Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our proprietary AI engine builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Sunday, 13 September 2026 Forecast for: Monday, 14 September 2026 Plan window: Sun 23:00 – Mon 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-09-13

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Four themes carry the board: long JPY (BoJ hike bets for the 17-18 Sep meeting plus suspected official yen-buying keep every cross rebound sellable), short CHF (fresh 11 September breakouts against EUR, GBP and USD with retail 78-82% short), short NZD (the clear laggard, with EURNZD/AUDNZD trending and NZDJPY the weakest cross here) and a modest long AUD. The dollar majors are dead flat with RSI near 50, so EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD and cable stay neutral, and every CAD pair is left flat into the 08:30 NY Canadian CPI block. Exposure is capped at three plans per currency: the remaining yen, franc and kiwi setups are marked neutral as redundant expressions of the same three trades.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

CAD CPI m/m, Median CPI y/y and Trimmed CPI y/y at 08:30 NY (High) - gap risk on all CAD pairs, hence no directional CAD plan
JPY: BoJ meets 17-18 September with a hike largely priced and yen strength reinforced by suspected official intervention - rallies in the crosses remain corrective
USD: market still pricing a possible Fed move this month after the payrolls report; dollar positioning risk builds through Monday, so USD plans are kept net-flat
Technical triggers: USDJPY rejection at 154.609, EURCHF acceptance above 0.94725, EURNZD dip-buying at 1.99 while 1.9757 holds

Best Opportunities

EURCHF Bullish

NZDJPY Bearish

EURNZD Bullish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (205 filled plans), 9% hit the target, 22% hit the stop and 69% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

EURCHF

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.23

Expected result +0.11 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.94630 Buy limit

Stop Loss 0.94330 (30.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.95000 (37.0 pips)

Optimal Target 0.95300 (67.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.94725 0.95000

Support: 0.94352 0.94099 0.93973

Rationale

Friday's breakout cleared the 0.94353 ceiling and closed on the 0.94725 pivot, with an extreme 18/82 short retail book supplying fuel. Shallow 0.20 ATR limit because dips since 3 September have averaged well under half an ATR.

Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail

NZDJPY

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.57

Expected result +0.15 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 89.490 Sell limit

Stop Loss 90.120 (63.0 pips)

Conservative Target 88.500 (99.0 pips)

Optimal Target 88.000 (149.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 89.985 90.239 90.883

Support: 89.227 89.000 88.500

Rationale

Weakest cross on the board, six yen of lower highs with retail an extreme 83% long, and it expresses both the long-JPY and short-NZD themes at once. Stop beyond the 89.985 cap; recent sessions bounced roughly 0.4 yen off the open, so the limit should fill.

Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

EURNZD

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.92

Expected result +0.14 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.99270 Buy limit

Stop Loss 1.98650 (62.0 pips)

Conservative Target 2.00458 (118.8 pips)

Optimal Target 2.01205 (193.5 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.00458 2.01205 2.02375

Support: 1.99024 1.98371 1.97570

Rationale

Clean sequence of higher lows at 1.97036, 1.9757 and 1.98371 into Thursday's 2.00458 print, with Friday's dip to 1.99024 bought and retail 33/67 short into the advance. Stop under the 1.98684 swing low, 0.5 ATR, the minimum allowed.

Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. It is available now, and a 7-day pass lets you try it before subscribing. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward
NZDJPY	Bearish	High	89.280	89.490Sell limit	90.120	88.500	+0.15R	1:1.57
Forecast Details Confidence High Analysis Price 89.280 Entry Point 89.490 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 90.120 Conservative Target 88.500 Risk:Reward 1:1.57 Optimal Target 88.000 Stop Loss Distance 63.0 pips Target Distance 99.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 89.985 90.239 90.883 Support: 89.227 89.000 88.500 Rationale Weakest cross on the board, six yen of lower highs with retail an extreme 83% long, and it expresses both the long-JPY and short-NZD themes at once. Stop beyond the 89.985 cap; recent sessions bounced roughly 0.4 yen off the open, so the limit should fill. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Bullish	High	1.99505	1.99270Buy limit	1.98650	2.00458	+0.14R	1:1.92
Forecast Details Confidence High Analysis Price 1.99505 Entry Point 1.99270 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.98650 Conservative Target 2.00458 Risk:Reward 1:1.92 Optimal Target 2.01205 Stop Loss Distance 62.0 pips Target Distance 118.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 2.00458 2.01205 2.02375 Support: 1.99024 1.98371 1.97570 Rationale Clean sequence of higher lows at 1.97036, 1.9757 and 1.98371 into Thursday's 2.00458 print, with Friday's dip to 1.99024 bought and retail 33/67 short into the advance. Stop under the 1.98684 swing low, 0.5 ATR, the minimum allowed. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Bearish	High	153.588	153.900Sell limit	154.750	152.887	+0.13R	1:1.19
Forecast Details Confidence High Analysis Price 153.588 Entry Point 153.900 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 154.750 Conservative Target 152.887 Risk:Reward 1:1.19 Optimal Target 152.000 Stop Loss Distance 85.0 pips Target Distance 101.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 154.609 154.669 156.286 Support: 153.298 152.940 152.887 Rationale Downtrend from 160.395 intact with 74% of retail long against it, and the macro tape agrees: BoJ hike expectations plus suspected official yen buying keep bounces toward 154.609 as supply. Stop sits just beyond that pivot resistance. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Bullish	High	0.94696	0.94630Buy limit	0.94330	0.95000	+0.11R	1:1.23
Forecast Details Confidence High Analysis Price 0.94696 Entry Point 0.94630 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.94330 Conservative Target 0.95000 Risk:Reward 1:1.23 Optimal Target 0.95300 Stop Loss Distance 30.0 pips Target Distance 37.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.94725 0.95000 Support: 0.94352 0.94099 0.93973 Rationale Friday's breakout cleared the 0.94353 ceiling and closed on the 0.94725 pivot, with an extreme 18/82 short retail book supplying fuel. Shallow 0.20 ATR limit because dips since 3 September have averaged well under half an ATR. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Bullish	Medium	1.23360	1.23270Buy limit	1.22720	1.24000	+0.11R	1:1.33
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 1.23360 Entry Point 1.23270 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.22720 Conservative Target 1.24000 Risk:Reward 1:1.33 Optimal Target 1.24500 Stop Loss Distance 55.0 pips Target Distance 73.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.23773 1.24000 1.24500 Support: 1.23212 1.22789 1.22139 Rationale One of the cleanest trends here with retail 24/76 short throughout the advance, and RSI 73 argues for buying the 1.23212 shelf rather than chasing. Stop under the 1.22789 structural low. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.81645	0.81569Buy limit	0.81180	0.82069	+0.10R	1:1.29
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 0.81645 Entry Point 0.81569 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.81180 Conservative Target 0.82069 Risk:Reward 1:1.29 Optimal Target 0.82400 Stop Loss Distance 38.9 pips Target Distance 50.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.81701 0.82069 Support: 0.81246 0.81099 0.80843 Rationale Friday cleared the 0.81567 September high and closed strong; the limit sits on that breakout retest with the stop under the 0.81246 pivot. One of the three franc-short expressions on the board. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Bearish	High	178.119	178.380Sell limit	179.620	177.000	+0.09R	1:1.11
Forecast Details Confidence High Analysis Price 178.119 Entry Point 178.380 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 179.620 Conservative Target 177.000 Risk:Reward 1:1.11 Optimal Target 176.000 Stop Loss Distance 124.0 pips Target Distance 138.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 179.528 180.224 181.478 Support: 177.944 177.856 177.000 Rationale Eight yen lost since 2 September with every bounce capped below the prior high and 69% of retail still long, and BoJ hike pricing plus intervention-driven yen strength back the direction. Stop just beyond Friday's rejected 179.528 high. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Bullish	Medium	1.10478	1.10404Buy limit	1.10050	1.10800	+0.09R	1:1.12
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 1.10478 Entry Point 1.10404 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.10050 Conservative Target 1.10800 Risk:Reward 1:1.12 Optimal Target 1.11000 Stop Loss Distance 35.4 pips Target Distance 39.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.10800 1.11000 1.11500 Support: 1.09805 1.09606 1.09364 Rationale Friday's 1.10476 took out the month-long 1.1008/1.09986 cap with retail 22/78 short as fuel. The 1.09805 pivot is beyond 1 ATR so a 0.72 ATR volatility stop is used instead. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Bullish	Medium	0.71708	0.71627Buy limit	0.71420	0.71865	+0.08R	1:1.15
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 0.71708 Entry Point 0.71627 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.71420 Conservative Target 0.71865 Risk:Reward 1:1.15 Optimal Target 0.72082 Stop Loss Distance 20.7 pips Target Distance 23.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.71865 0.72082 0.72378 Support: 0.71506 0.71214 0.70668 Rationale Higher lows from 0.70668 hold and retail is 31/69 short, a squeeze-prone book, with Friday stabilising after the 10 September flush. Volatility stop of 0.5 ATR placed under the 0.71506 shelf as the next pivot is too far to risk. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Bearish	Low	4348.45	4363.00Sell limit	4416.00	4302.21	-0.05R	1:1.15
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 4348.45 Entry Point 4363.00 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 4416.00 Conservative Target 4302.21 Risk:Reward 1:1.15 Optimal Target 4282.77 Stop Loss Distance 53.0 pts Target Distance 60.8 pts Key Levels Resistance: 4382.27 4399.87 4449.63 Support: 4324.83 4311.07 4302.21 Rationale Volatile correction under lower highs with ATR near 104 dollars, but the bias is low-confidence and dollar-rate pricing is unsettled after the payrolls report. Treated as a marginal, low-conviction plan rather than a core position. Target moved to 4302.21, the nearest level worth at least 1:1 against the stop. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.15962	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.15962 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.16411 1.16541 1.17114 Support: 1.15731 1.15662 1.15118 Rationale RSI 50.3 in the middle of the 1.1566-1.1654 box with a balanced 47/53 retail book offers no edge. No EUR or USD release in the window, so the range should simply hold. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.35279	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.35279 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.35631 1.35680 1.36756 Support: 1.34857 1.34744 1.34344 Rationale Cable is pinned between 1.34744 and 1.3568 with RSI 50.4 and no momentum, and retail 48/52 adds nothing. Nothing tradable until one of those edges breaks. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Neutral	Low	1.38722	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.38722 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.38829 1.39398 1.39584 Support: 1.38261 1.37997 1.37596 Rationale Flattest of the majors at RSI 49.5 inside 1.3732-1.3940, and the 08:30 NY CAD CPI block is straight gap risk into the upper edge of the range. No edge worth the event. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.58135	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.58135 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58344 0.58633 0.58725 Support: 0.57962 0.57933 0.57621 Rationale Downtrend is real but supports sit only a few pips below price, so no level reaches 1:1 from a valid limit. Redundant with the short-NZD plans already taken in NZDJPY, EURNZD and AUDNZD. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Neutral	Low	0.85760	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.85760 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.85831 0.85999 0.86078 Support: 0.85707 0.85537 0.85475 Rationale Tightest market on the board with a 20-pip ATR and RSI exactly 50.0; the whole fortnight fits in 60 pips. Nothing to trade. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.61728	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.61728 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.62249 1.62523 1.63383 Support: 1.61571 1.61474 1.60813 Rationale Bearish read is intact but the only support reaching 1:1 is 1.60813 with nothing usable beyond it. Also redundant with the long-AUD exposure already in AUDUSD and AUDNZD. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.60870	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.60870 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.60922 1.61167 1.61365 Support: 1.60526 1.60471 1.60085 Rationale MACD glued to signal inside a 1.6000-1.6117 rotation gives no lead, and the 08:30 NY Canadian CPI is a High-impact gap risk on the CAD leg. Neutral by choice. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	207.763	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 207.763 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 208.893 209.098 211.221 Support: 207.382 207.103 206.000 Rationale Bearish structure is sound but redundant: the long-JPY theme is already carried by USDJPY, EURJPY and NZDJPY. Kept flat to respect the yen exposure cap. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.88650	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.88650 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.88818 1.89713 1.91910 Support: 1.88561 1.88202 1.88069 Rationale Weakest directional read of the bearish set at 57% and the levels are bunched right under price. Redundant with the long-AUD plans in AUDUSD and AUDNZD. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.87639	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.87639 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.87752 1.88049 1.88522 Support: 1.87445 1.87127 1.86420 Rationale RSI 49.75 at the top of a 1.8607-1.8775 box gives no lead, and the 08:30 NY Canadian CPI block is High-impact gap risk. Neutral. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.32701	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 2.32701 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.33206 2.34732 2.35412 Support: 2.31601 2.31027 2.30198 Rationale Trend is valid but this is a fourth short-NZD bet; the theme is already expressed in NZDJPY, EURNZD and AUDNZD. Flat to keep kiwi exposure at the cap. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Neutral	Low	110.094	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 110.094 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 110.754 111.015 111.508 Support: 110.066 109.235 108.500 Rationale Downtrend intact with 71% retail long, but the yen book is full with USDJPY, EURJPY and NZDJPY. Kept neutral to avoid a fourth identical trade. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	110.726	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 110.726 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 111.742 112.016 112.962 Support: 110.589 110.000 109.500 Rationale Strong bearish structure, but the plan would sit directly in front of the 08:30 NY Canadian CPI triple release and the yen slots are already filled. Honest neutral. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	188.150	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 188.150 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 190.129 190.251 190.807 Support: 188.007 187.000 186.000 Rationale RSI 20.2 is the most stretched reading here and the analyst flags violent snap-back risk, while the yen slots are already taken. Neutral rather than a fourth crowded short. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58550	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.58550 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58570 0.58594 0.59000 Support: 0.58187 0.58122 0.57938 Rationale Valid breakout with an 19/81 short book, but redundant with the franc-short plans in EURCHF, GBPCHF and USDCHF. Flat to respect the CHF cap. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.99452	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.99452 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.99624 0.99786 0.99911 Support: 0.99014 0.98973 0.98198 Rationale Range under parity with MACD just crossing under signal, and the 08:30 NY Canadian CPI block can gap it either way. Low-confidence bias plus event risk equals neutral. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.47456	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.47456 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.47586 0.47736 0.47939 Support: 0.47408 0.47285 0.47100 Rationale Friday's reversal candle recovered four days of losses but MACD does not confirm, and retail is balanced 51/49. Pivot zone 0.47408-0.47586 is no place for a directional bet. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.80636	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.80636 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.80803 0.80859 0.81192 Support: 0.80536 0.80181 0.80103 Rationale Downtrend is genuine but it carries both a full kiwi book and the 08:30 NY Canadian CPI gap risk. Redundant with NZDJPY, EURNZD and AUDNZD. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58865	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.58865 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58923 0.59000 0.59200 Support: 0.58713 0.58538 0.58412 Rationale Orderly uptrend but a 30-pip ATR leaves no room, the franc slots are filled by EURCHF, GBPCHF and USDCHF, and Canadian CPI at 08:30 NY is High-impact. Neutral. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$13 average per $100 risked

34 of 54 picks filled, over 18 verified days · target hit 21%

Every plan on the board

−$7 average per $100 risked

205 plans over 18 verified days · target hit 9%

18 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 34 picks the honest range around the +$13 runs from −$13 to +$39 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 54 picks published, 34 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 9 of the 34 picks lost the full $100, against 23 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 67% of the Top 3 result, and 24 of the 34 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$17 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 205 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 11 Sep 2026)

Target hit 9% (18)
Stop hit 22% (46)
Timed out 69% (141)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 113 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

28% Win rate 18 of 64 plans closed at target or stop

-0.07R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.07R Timed-out average how those 141 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

21%

9 of 42 plans

Bearish

41%

9 of 22 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
GBPJPY	67%	2 / 3
AUDCHF	60%	3 / 5
AUDUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDCAD	33%	1 / 3
USDJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	33%	1 / 3
USDCAD	33%	1 / 3
NZDUSD	25%	1 / 4
EURGBP	0%	0 / 3
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the hourly candles confirm it happened after the order filled. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the hourly candles say which one came first — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same hour, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

11 Sep 2026 0 target · 4 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $46

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Bearish	1.35230 → 1.34744	Timed out	-0.08R
USDJPY	Bearish	154.700 → 153.281	Not filled	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bullish	0.85900 → 0.86078	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.94330 → 0.94700	Not filled	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Bearish	1.87040 → 1.86580	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.780 → 89.000	Timed out	+0.82R
CHFJPY	Bearish	190.200 → 189.351	Not filled	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58175 → 0.58518	Not filled	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.23320 → 1.23697	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80300 → 0.79936	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

10 Sep 2026 1 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $84

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Bearish	153.800 → 152.940	Stop hit	-1.00R
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Bullish	0.72138 → 0.72378	Stop hit	-1.00R
USDCAD	Bearish	1.38160 → 1.37652	Timed out	-0.49R
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Bearish	208.390 → 207.398	Timed out	-0.15R
GBPCHF	Bullish	1.09642 → 1.09986	Timed out	+0.57R
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.760 → 89.000	Timed out	+0.59R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58390 → 0.58570	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.23511 → 1.24000	Timed out	-0.07R
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80660 → 0.80370	Target hit	+1.12R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

9 Sep 2026 1 target · 0 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $137

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Bearish	154.300 → 152.950	Not filled	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Bullish	0.72120 → 0.72480	Timed out	+0.23R
USDCAD	Bearish	1.38040 → 1.37690	Timed out	-0.16R
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bullish	0.85800 → 0.86060	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.94000 → 0.94260	Target hit	+1.53R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Bearish	1.86790 → 1.86370	Timed out	-0.66R
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	90.450 → 89.720	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Bearish	190.650 → 189.100	Not filled	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58320 → 0.58560	Timed out	+0.92R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.23180 → 1.23960	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80900 → 0.80530	Not filled	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

8 Sep 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $90

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Bearish	154.550 → 153.000	Not filled	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Bullish	0.72118 → 0.72500	Timed out	+0.22R
USDCAD	Bearish	1.38243 → 1.37652	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bullish	0.85827 → 0.85982	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.61117 → 1.60500	Timed out	+0.15R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Bearish	1.87145 → 1.86347	Not filled	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	90.770 → 90.000	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Bearish	190.860 → 189.500	Not filled	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58391 → 0.58800	Timed out	+0.23R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

7 Sep 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $99

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Bearish	1.35300 → 1.34896	Timed out	-0.31R
USDJPY	Bearish	156.550 → 155.330	Not filled	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Bullish	0.71930 → 0.72142	Not filled	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bullish	0.85870 → 0.86078	Timed out	-0.31R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.93990 → 0.94162	Timed out	+0.59R
EURAUD	Bearish	1.61355 → 1.61000	Not filled	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Bearish	211.600 → 210.734	Not filled	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	92.100 → 91.669	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.22300 → 1.22647	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels across multiple timeframes.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: a high-impact release on either currency of a pair is weighed as gap risk when the plans are written, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 16%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

Forex Sentiment AI Trade Panel for MT5

The AI daily plan on your chart: entry, stop and two targets per pair, with the track record verified against real candles — published win or lose. Plus the multi-factor signals, orders prefilled from the plan with automatic lot sizing, and close-only account protection. It is available now, and a 7-day pass lets you try it before subscribing.

Discover the panel

Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

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