Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Monday, 14 September 2026 Forecast for: Tuesday, 15 September 2026 Plan window: Mon 23:00 – Tue 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-09-14

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The board expresses four themes: long JPY (BOJ hike expectations and intervention talk keep every yen cross offered, with RSI 22-34 against 70-82% retail longs), short CHF (USDCHF, EURCHF and CHFJPY all grinding the franc lower against heavy retail shorts), short NZD (the clear laggard, expressed in NZDJPY, EURNZD and NZDCAD) and a mild long USD/long CAD tilt as the dollar carries a Fed-hike premium into the FOMC that opens 15 September and firmer crude supports the loonie. Everything else is held neutral to avoid stacking the same trade under different names, and the two-sided event risk (FOMC day one, BOJ later in the week, UK labour data) argues for restraint rather than a full book. Risk appetite is low and gold's 400-dollar correction with ATR near 105 confirms a defensive, fast tape.

Volatility Forecast

High

Key Events to Monitor

GBP Claimant Count Change at 02:00 NY (High) plus Average Earnings 3m/y — gap risk on every sterling pair
FOMC two-day meeting opens 15 September (decision 16th): dollar holds a hike premium through the window
JPY: BOJ hike bets and intervention talk keep yen crosses heavy — NZDJPY through 89.023 opens the 88 handle
China August activity data early in the Asian session — first risk event for AUD and NZD

Best Opportunities

CHFJPY Bearish

EURCHF Bullish

EURNZD Bullish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (205 filled plans), 9% hit the target, 22% hit the stop and 69% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

CHFJPY

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.24

Expected result +0.12 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 189.050 Sell limit

Stop Loss 189.950 (90.0 pips)

Conservative Target 187.936 (111.4 pips)

Optimal Target 187.000 (205.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 189.425 190.145 190.807

Support: 187.936 187.841 187.000

Rationale

Ten yen lost since 20 August with MACD still diverging lower, and Monday's bounce to 189.425 reads as relief inside the trend. It pairs the board's weakest currency with the yen, which BOJ hike bets and intervention talk keep bid; retail 77% long is the contrarian kicker.

Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail

EURCHF

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:2.12

Expected result +0.11 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.94340 Buy limit

Stop Loss 0.94150 (19.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.94743 (40.3 pips)

Optimal Target 0.95000 (66.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.94743 0.95000

Support: 0.94244 0.93973 0.93729

Rationale

Methodical higher lows at 0.93729 and 0.93973 with RSI 61 and MACD over signal, and retail is 76% short — the strongest contrarian backing on the board. Monday's inside-day fade to 0.94388 offers the pullback entry above the 0.94244 shelf.

Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail

EURNZD

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.32

Expected result +0.11 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.99600 Buy limit

Stop Loss 1.98950 (65.0 pips)

Conservative Target 2.00458 (85.8 pips)

Optimal Target 2.01205 (160.5 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.00458 2.01205 2.02375

Support: 1.99220 1.98961 1.98371

Rationale

Clean ladder of higher lows at 1.9757, 1.9837 and 1.9922 with MACD widening and RSI 65.9 not yet extreme, against 66% retail shorts. Kiwi is the board's laggard, which is the theme this expresses most cleanly.

Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
CHFJPY	Bearish	High	188.827	189.050Sell limit	189.950	187.936	+0.12R	1:1.24	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R Analysis Price 188.827 Entry Point 189.050 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 189.950 Conservative Target 187.936 Risk:Reward 1:1.24 Optimal Target 187.000 Stop Loss Distance 90.0 pips Target Distance 111.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 189.425 190.145 190.807 Support: 187.936 187.841 187.000 Rationale Ten yen lost since 20 August with MACD still diverging lower, and Monday's bounce to 189.425 reads as relief inside the trend. It pairs the board's weakest currency with the yen, which BOJ hike bets and intervention talk keep bid; retail 77% long is the contrarian kicker. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Bullish	High	0.94394	0.94340Buy limit	0.94150	0.94743	+0.11R	1:2.12	+0.82RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R Analysis Price 0.94394 Entry Point 0.94340 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.94150 Conservative Target 0.94743 Risk:Reward 1:2.12 Optimal Target 0.95000 Stop Loss Distance 19.0 pips Target Distance 40.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.94743 0.95000 Support: 0.94244 0.93973 0.93729 Rationale Methodical higher lows at 0.93729 and 0.93973 with RSI 61 and MACD over signal, and retail is 76% short — the strongest contrarian backing on the board. Monday's inside-day fade to 0.94388 offers the pullback entry above the 0.94244 shelf. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Bullish	High	1.99775	1.99600Buy limit	1.98950	2.00458	+0.11R	1:1.32	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R Analysis Price 1.99775 Entry Point 1.99600 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.98950 Conservative Target 2.00458 Risk:Reward 1:1.32 Optimal Target 2.01205 Stop Loss Distance 65.0 pips Target Distance 85.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 2.00458 2.01205 2.02375 Support: 1.99220 1.98961 1.98371 Rationale Clean ladder of higher lows at 1.9757, 1.9837 and 1.9922 with MACD widening and RSI 65.9 not yet extreme, against 66% retail shorts. Kiwi is the board's laggard, which is the theme this expresses most cleanly. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Bearish	Medium	0.80375	0.80480Sell limit	0.80760	0.80067	+0.11R	1:1.47	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R Analysis Price 0.80375 Entry Point 0.80480 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.80760 Conservative Target 0.80067 Risk:Reward 1:1.47 Optimal Target 0.79936 Stop Loss Distance 28.0 pips Target Distance 41.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.80698 0.80859 0.81192 Support: 0.80067 0.79936 0.79500 Rationale Unbroken chain of lower highs from 0.82762 with the MACD histogram still widening and 79% of retail long against it. Firmer crude adds a fundamental tailwind to the CAD leg. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Bearish	Medium	1.15498	1.15570Sell limit	1.15860	1.15230	+0.10R	1:1.17	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 1.15498 Entry Point 1.15570 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.15860 Conservative Target 1.15230 Risk:Reward 1:1.17 Optimal Target 1.15118 Stop Loss Distance 29.0 pips Target Distance 34.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.15809 1.15999 1.16411 Support: 1.15230 1.15118 1.13911 Rationale Monday sliced the 1.1570-1.1580 shelf and printed the lowest low of the sample with RSI 42.7 and MACD below signal. The dollar carries a hike premium into the FOMC that opens 15 September, so rallies into 1.1581 stay sellable. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.81737	0.81660Buy limit	0.81400	0.81952	+0.09R	1:1.12	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 0.81737 Entry Point 0.81660 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.81400 Conservative Target 0.81952 Risk:Reward 1:1.12 Optimal Target 0.82069 Stop Loss Distance 26.0 pips Target Distance 29.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.81952 0.82069 Support: 0.81532 0.81243 0.80674 Rationale Higher lows since 0.79497 and the strongest two-day advance of the series with RSI 62 leave room to 0.82069, and the franc is soft across the board. Support sits closer than 0.5 ATR, so the stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop under 0.81532. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Bearish	Low	1.60554	1.60700Sell limit	1.61000	1.60169	+0.09R	1:1.77	+0.27RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 1.60554 Entry Point 1.60700 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.61000 Conservative Target 1.60169 Risk:Reward 1:1.77 Optimal Target 1.60052 Stop Loss Distance 30.0 pips Target Distance 53.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.60922 1.61184 1.61365 Support: 1.60471 1.60169 1.60052 Rationale Rallies keep failing under 1.60922 inside the 1.6001-1.6118 range while retail sits 65% long on the wrong side. Firmer crude on Mideast tension gives CAD a modest fundamental prop. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Bearish	Medium	110.151	110.320Sell limit	110.850	109.671	+0.09R	1:1.22	-0.56RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 110.151 Entry Point 110.320 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 110.850 Conservative Target 109.671 Risk:Reward 1:1.22 Optimal Target 109.235 Stop Loss Distance 53.0 pips Target Distance 64.9 pips Key Levels Resistance: 110.332 110.765 111.508 Support: 109.671 109.235 108.500 Rationale Lower highs every session since 1 September with the MACD histogram at its widest, and 73% retail longs still buying the dip. China activity data early in Asia is the main two-way risk on the Aussie leg. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Bearish	Medium	89.256	89.380Sell limit	90.050	88.500	+0.08R	1:1.31	+0.10RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 89.256 Entry Point 89.380 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 90.050 Conservative Target 88.500 Risk:Reward 1:1.31 Optimal Target 88.000 Stop Loss Distance 67.0 pips Target Distance 88.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 89.415 89.994 90.239 Support: 89.023 88.500 88.000 Rationale Weakest chart on the board, with MACD showing no deceleration and 82% retail longs positioned against it while BOJ hike expectations underpin the yen. RSI 22 keeps confidence at medium — the base is extended, so the stop sits above 89.994. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.35016	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.35016 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.35064 1.35375 1.35631 Support: 1.34744 1.34640 1.34344 Rationale Cable is range-bound between 1.3464 and 1.3568 with retail an exact 50/50 and no contrarian edge. High-impact Claimant Count at 02:00 NY sits directly in front of any technical plan. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	154.327	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 154.327 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 155.002 156.286 158.210 Support: 153.240 152.940 152.887 Rationale Technicals are bearish, but the news flow shows USD/JPY at a one-week high with longs building while the FOMC opens 15 September and BOJ hike bets support the yen — a genuinely two-sided event tape. The long-JPY theme is carried by AUDJPY, NZDJPY and CHFJPY instead. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.71376	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.71376 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.71676 0.71803 0.72082 Support: 0.71214 0.71081 0.70668 Rationale RSI dead on the midline inside the 0.7108-0.7238 range and retail 44% long gives no edge. China activity data early in Asia is the session's first risk event for the Aussie. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Neutral	Low	1.39021	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.39021 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.39398 1.39584 1.40804 Support: 1.38649 1.38261 1.37624 Rationale The uptrend is intact but crude's surge on Mideast tension supports CAD, and the long-CAD theme is already expressed short NZDCAD and short EURCAD. Price closed just under the 1.39398 pivot with no confirmed break. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.57821	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.57821 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58190 0.58351 0.58633 Support: 0.57621 0.57571 0.56723 Rationale The trend is down but 0.57621 and 0.57571 sit under 1:1 against any stop beyond 0.5819, and the next pivot 0.56723 is over 2 ATR away. Redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDJPY, EURNZD and NZDCAD. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Neutral	Low	0.85560	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.85560 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.85788 0.85831 0.86039 Support: 0.85529 0.85475 0.85318 Rationale ATR of 20 pips leaves no room between the 0.85788 pivot and the 0.85475 support for a clean ratio. High-impact UK Claimant Count at 02:00 NY is gap risk on a thin-range cross. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	178.254	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 178.254 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 178.673 179.540 181.478 Support: 177.856 177.850 177.000 Rationale RSI 26.5 into the 177.85-177.89 double low leaves the first support under 1:1 against a volatility stop. Redundant with the long-JPY plans in CHFJPY, NZDJPY and AUDJPY. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.61838	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.61838 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.62264 1.62275 1.62523 Support: 1.61699 1.61571 1.60813 Rationale The 1.6081-1.6228 band holds, and the first support sits only about 0.5R from any entry that respects the 1.62275 pivot. No level reaches 1:1 short of 1.60813. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	208.395	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 208.395 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 208.911 210.734 211.817 Support: 207.455 207.297 207.103 Rationale Bearish structure, but the High-impact Claimant Count at 02:00 NY makes sterling the wrong leg for a yen trade today. The long-JPY theme is already carried by three cleaner crosses. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.10358	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.10358 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.10553 1.11000 Support: 1.10105 1.09799 1.09364 Rationale The breakout is genuine and retail is 76% short, but this is redundant with the short-CHF plans in EURCHF, USDCHF and CHFJPY. UK labour data at 02:00 NY adds gap risk to the sterling leg. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.89148	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.89148 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.89510 1.89713 1.91910 Support: 1.88713 1.88561 1.88069 Rationale RSI back at neutral with MACD still negative — the two signals conflict and the 1.89713 pivot is undecided. High-impact UK data plus China releases hit both legs in the same session. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.87688	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.87688 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.87852 1.88522 1.89134 Support: 1.87445 1.87157 1.86420 Rationale A double top at 1.87844/1.87852 with RSI 50.2 is as neutral as this dataset gets. UK Claimant Count at 02:00 NY would decide it, not the chart. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.33511	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 2.33511 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.34030 2.34732 2.35412 Support: 2.33172 2.32418 2.31554 Rationale Momentum is still accelerating, but this is redundant with the short-NZD plans in EURNZD, NZDJPY and NZDCAD. RSI 69.9 plus the High-impact UK jobs print at 02:00 NY argue for standing aside here. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	111.017	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 111.017 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 111.370 111.748 112.016 Support: 110.803 110.605 110.549 Rationale The downtrend is intact but the crude surge behind the current risk-off tape supports CAD, which fights the short side here. Redundant with the long-JPY plans in CHFJPY, NZDJPY and AUDJPY. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58335	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58335 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58570 0.58596 0.58800 Support: 0.58148 0.58122 0.57938 Rationale The MACD histogram is flat at 0.00004 and the 0.5812-0.5860 band has been tested five times without resolving. Redundant with the short-CHF plans in EURCHF, USDCHF and CHFJPY. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.99225	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.99225 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.99257 0.99454 0.99786 Support: 0.98966 0.98938 0.98198 Rationale Oscillating between 0.9892 and 0.9991 with RSI at the midline and no extreme in retail. China data on the Aussie leg and firm crude on the CAD leg cancel out. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Low	1.23439	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.23439 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.23656 1.23773 1.24000 Support: 1.23014 1.22781 1.21508 Rationale Trend and 78% retail shorts favour upside, but RSI 74.4 is genuinely overbought into the 1.23773 high. Redundant with the short-NZD plans already held in EURNZD, NZDJPY and NZDCAD. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.47254	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.47254 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.47534 0.47586 0.47736 Support: 0.47097 0.47037 0.46799 Rationale The 0.47093/0.47096/0.47100 triple base has survived three tests and ATR of 30 pips leaves no clean ratio above it. Both legs are already expressed elsewhere on the board. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58802	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58802 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58805 0.58925 0.59041 Support: 0.58646 0.58538 0.58497 Rationale Price closed right on the 0.58805 pivot with a shrinking MACD histogram and retail split 50/50. Any long is redundant with the short-CHF plans already held. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	4299.21	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 4299.21 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4355.42 4402.89 4449.63 Support: 4282.77 4253.83 4020.65 Rationale Momentum has rolled over below the broken 4282.77 pivot, but Mideast-driven oil and low risk appetite keep a haven bid under gold ahead of the FOMC that opens 15 September. With ATR near 105 and no level between 4253.83 and 4020.65, the honest call is flat. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$5 average per $100 risked

78 of 117 picks filled, over 39 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

325 plans over 39 verified days · target hit 10%

39 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 78 picks the honest range around the +$5 runs from −$12 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 117 picks published, 78 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 20 of the 78 picks lost the full $100, against 45 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 69% of the Top 3 result, and 26 of the 78 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$14 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 325 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 12 Oct 2026)

Target hit 10% (34)
Stop hit 24% (78)
Timed out 66% (213)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 158 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

30% Win rate 34 of 112 plans closed at target or stop

-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.09R Timed-out average how those 213 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%

14 of 65 plans

Bearish

43%

20 of 47 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
EURJPY	67%	2 / 3
NZDJPY	67%	2 / 3
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDUSD	43%	3 / 7
EURUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
USDCAD	40%	2 / 5
XAUUSD	33%	1 / 3
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	30%	3 / 10
EURGBP	25%	1 / 4
GBPAUD	25%	1 / 4
EURNZD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
AUDJPY	20%	1 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 6
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 4
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 3
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

12 Oct 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $185

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12070 → 1.11612	Target hit	+1.12R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42470 → 1.42980	Timed out	+0.85R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56170 → 0.55930	Target hit	+1.09R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84680 → 0.84474	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.60480 → 1.60000	Timed out	+0.36R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35680 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24300 → 1.24650	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

9 Oct 2026 1 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $84

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12210 → 1.11612	Timed out	+0.61R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83060 → 0.83464	Timed out	-0.23R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84790 → 0.84613	Target hit	+1.04R
EURJPY	Bearish	177.250 → 176.516	Timed out	-0.04R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.90000 → 1.90693	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35920 → 2.36646	Timed out	-0.18R
AUDJPY	Bearish	110.000 → 109.233	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46650 → 0.46357	Timed out	+0.35R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4147.00 → 4066.46	Stop hit	-1.00R

8 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 7 timed out $100 → $125

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12100 → 1.11612	Timed out	-0.08R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83200 → 0.83615	Timed out	-0.21R
AUDUSD	Bearish	0.69710 → 0.69426	Timed out	+0.45R
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93360 → 0.92951	Timed out	+0.35R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59730 → 1.59058	Timed out	+0.82R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24270 → 1.24650	Timed out	-0.18R
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46690 → 0.46515	Timed out	+0.61R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

7 Oct 2026 1 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $106

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84862 → 0.84547	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Bearish	178.280 → 177.029	Target hit	+1.12R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88480 → 1.89118	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35780 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.080 → 88.329	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80000 → 0.79711	Not filled	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

6 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $49

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12290 → 1.11612	Timed out	-0.50R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42500 → 1.42931	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56080 → 0.55798	Timed out	-0.67R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84890 → 0.84547	Timed out	+0.35R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93290 → 0.93018	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88400 → 1.88934	Not filled	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35880 → 2.36646	Timed out	+0.25R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46580 → 0.46330	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 16%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

CHFJPY

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