Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Tuesday, 15 September 2026 Forecast for: Wednesday, 16 September 2026 Plan window: Tue 23:00 – Wed 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-09-15

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The board expresses four themes: long USD into a Fed hike to 4.00% that is fully priced (EURUSD, NZDUSD, USDCHF), short CHF through the trending crosses (USDCHF, EURCHF, GBPCHF), short NZD as the clear G10 laggard (NZDUSD, NZDCAD, EURNZD) and long JPY on the crosses ahead of the 18 September BoJ (EURJPY, CADJPY, AUDJPY). Everything else is either redundant with those four or sits directly in front of the FOMC and UK CPI gap risk, so it is left neutral. The session is front-loaded with event risk: UK CPI in the London open, US retail sales mid-morning and the Fed decision two hours before the window closes.

Volatility Forecast

High

Key Events to Monitor

USD Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Statement and Projections at 14:00 NY, press conference 14:30 NY — a 25bp hike to 4.00% is priced, so the dots and guidance carry the move, and it lands two hours before t
GBP CPI y/y at 02:00 NY (forecast 3.1% vs 2.9% previous) — direct gap risk on GBPCHF, GBPJPY and EURGBP
USD Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales at 08:30 NY, the last data check on the dollar before the Fed
JPY: BoJ decision on 18 September with hike bets and official intervention talk keeping every yen cross two-sided, which is why the long-yen theme is expressed on crosses and not USDJPY

Best Opportunities

USDCHF Bullish

EURNZD Bullish

NZDCAD Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (213 filled plans), 8% hit the target, 23% hit the stop and 69% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

USDCHF

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.22

Expected result +0.16 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.81770 Buy limit

Stop Loss 0.81525 (24.5 pips)

Conservative Target 0.82069 (29.9 pips)

Optimal Target 0.82500 (73.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.81990 0.82069 0.82500

Support: 0.81668 0.81533 0.81243

Rationale

Unbroken ladder of higher lows into the 0.82069 pivot with retail 63% short, a contrarian tailwind to the trend; 0.5 ATR volatility stop sits under the 0.81533 higher low. Cleanest long-USD expression into the FOMC hike.

Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

EURNZD

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.30

Expected result +0.13 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 2.00030 Buy limit

Stop Loss 1.99451 (57.9 pips)

Conservative Target 2.00781 (75.1 pips)

Optimal Target 2.01205 (117.5 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.00458 2.00781 2.01205

Support: 2.00005 1.99220 1.98684

Rationale

Fresh cycle high at 2.00781 and a close above the 2.00005 pivot, with retail 70% short fuelling rather than blocking the move. Entry buys back to the pivot; 0.5 ATR volatility stop because 1.9922 is too far to risk.

Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail

NZDCAD

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.03

Expected result +0.13 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.80300 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.80562 (26.2 pips)

Conservative Target 0.80031 (26.9 pips)

Optimal Target 0.79936 (36.4 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.80374 0.80699 0.80859

Support: 0.80067 0.80031 0.79936

Rationale

Unbroken sequence of lower highs with RSI 33.5 and retail 82% long, the most crowded book in the set, which undermines the 0.79936 floor. Stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop above the 0.80374 lower high; supports are clustered so the targets sit close together.

Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
USDCHF	Bullish	High	0.81851	0.81770Buy limit	0.81525	0.82069	+0.16R	1:1.22	+1.22RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.16R Analysis Price 0.81851 Entry Point 0.81770 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.81525 Conservative Target 0.82069 Risk:Reward 1:1.22 Optimal Target 0.82500 Stop Loss Distance 24.5 pips Target Distance 29.9 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.81990 0.82069 0.82500 Support: 0.81668 0.81533 0.81243 Rationale Unbroken ladder of higher lows into the 0.82069 pivot with retail 63% short, a contrarian tailwind to the trend; 0.5 ATR volatility stop sits under the 0.81533 higher low. Cleanest long-USD expression into the FOMC hike. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Bearish	Medium	178.974	179.120Sell limit	179.850	178.135	+0.14R	1:1.35	-0.05RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.14R Analysis Price 178.974 Entry Point 179.120 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 179.850 Conservative Target 178.135 Risk:Reward 1:1.35 Optimal Target 177.856 Stop Loss Distance 73.0 pips Target Distance 98.5 pips Key Levels Resistance: 179.117 179.540 181.138 Support: 178.135 177.856 177.850 Rationale Pinned in the 177.85-179.54 box and the entry sells the top of it with retail 67% long; 0.6 ATR volatility stop sits above 179.54. BoJ hike bets and intervention talk into the 18 September meeting back the long-yen side. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Bullish	High	0.94469	0.94400Buy limit	0.94200	0.94642	+0.14R	1:1.21	+1.21RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.14R Analysis Price 0.94469 Entry Point 0.94400 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.94200 Conservative Target 0.94642 Risk:Reward 1:1.21 Optimal Target 0.94743 Stop Loss Distance 20.0 pips Target Distance 24.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.94642 0.94743 0.95000 Support: 0.94244 0.94222 0.93973 Rationale Relentless shallow uptrend holding 0.94222 with retail 75% short, the most one-sided book in the CHF crosses. Stop sits just under the 0.94222 higher low, 0.58 ATR away. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Bearish	Medium	0.57623	0.57740Sell limit	0.57966	0.57504	+0.13R	1:1.04	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R Analysis Price 0.57623 Entry Point 0.57740 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.57966 Conservative Target 0.57504 Risk:Reward 1:1.04 Optimal Target 0.56723 Stop Loss Distance 22.6 pips Target Distance 23.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.57819 0.58135 0.58633 Support: 0.57504 0.56723 0.56264 Rationale Weakest structure in the majors with every rally failing lower and retail 73% long against it; 0.5 ATR stop sits above the 0.57819 lower high. A deeper limit is needed because only then does 0.57504 pay 1:1, and a hawkish Fed supports the dollar leg. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Bullish	High	2.00217	2.00030Buy limit	1.99451	2.00781	+0.13R	1:1.30	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R Analysis Price 2.00217 Entry Point 2.00030 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.99451 Conservative Target 2.00781 Risk:Reward 1:1.30 Optimal Target 2.01205 Stop Loss Distance 57.9 pips Target Distance 75.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 2.00458 2.00781 2.01205 Support: 2.00005 1.99220 1.98684 Rationale Fresh cycle high at 2.00781 and a close above the 2.00005 pivot, with retail 70% short fuelling rather than blocking the move. Entry buys back to the pivot; 0.5 ATR volatility stop because 1.9922 is too far to risk. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Bearish	High	0.80210	0.80300Sell limit	0.80562	0.80031	+0.13R	1:1.03	+1.03RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.13R Analysis Price 0.80210 Entry Point 0.80300 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.80562 Conservative Target 0.80031 Risk:Reward 1:1.03 Optimal Target 0.79936 Stop Loss Distance 26.2 pips Target Distance 26.9 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.80374 0.80699 0.80859 Support: 0.80067 0.80031 0.79936 Rationale Unbroken sequence of lower highs with RSI 33.5 and retail 82% long, the most crowded book in the set, which undermines the 0.79936 floor. Stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop above the 0.80374 lower high; supports are clustered so the targets sit close together. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Bullish	Medium	1.10308	1.10200Buy limit	1.09900	1.10620	+0.12R	1:1.40	+0.72RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R Analysis Price 1.10308 Entry Point 1.10200 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.09900 Conservative Target 1.10620 Risk:Reward 1:1.40 Optimal Target 1.11000 Stop Loss Distance 30.0 pips Target Distance 42.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.10620 1.11000 1.11500 Support: 1.10044 1.09799 1.09364 Rationale Breakout above the three-week 1.0998 ceiling held twice, with retail 73% short supporting continuation; 0.6 ATR volatility stop sits below the 1.10044 base. A CPI forecast above the previous print tilts the sterling leg higher, though it is gap risk at 02:00 NY. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Bearish	Medium	110.633	110.760Sell limit	111.320	110.075	+0.12R	1:1.22	+0.06RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R Analysis Price 110.633 Entry Point 110.760 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 111.320 Conservative Target 110.075 Risk:Reward 1:1.22 Optimal Target 109.671 Stop Loss Distance 56.0 pips Target Distance 68.5 pips Key Levels Resistance: 110.765 111.262 111.508 Support: 110.075 109.671 109.235 Rationale Corrective bounce into the 110.765/111.262 supply with RSI 35.9 and retail 70% long against the entire slide; stop sits above the 111.262 pivot, 0.67 ATR out. BoJ hike bets into the 18 September meeting support the yen leg. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Bearish	Medium	111.484	111.620Sell limit	112.160	110.960	+0.12R	1:1.22	-0.04RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R Analysis Price 111.484 Entry Point 111.620 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 112.160 Conservative Target 110.960 Risk:Reward 1:1.22 Optimal Target 110.605 Stop Loss Distance 54.0 pips Target Distance 66.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 111.748 112.016 112.962 Support: 110.960 110.605 110.549 Rationale Bounce running into a downtrend with RSI 35.1 and retail 71% long; 0.6 ATR stop sits above the 112.016 cap. CAD has been the weakest G10 leg for five sessions, which compounds the yen-strength theme. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Bearish	Medium	1.15362	1.15440Sell limit	1.15710	1.15118	+0.11R	1:1.19	+1.19RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R Analysis Price 1.15362 Entry Point 1.15440 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.15710 Conservative Target 1.15118 Risk:Reward 1:1.19 Optimal Target 1.13911 Stop Loss Distance 27.0 pips Target Distance 32.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.15520 1.15809 1.15962 Support: 1.15229 1.15118 1.13911 Rationale Chain of lower highs with RSI 40.8 and no bounce appetite; volatility stop 0.59 ATR sits above the 1.1552 pivot since that level is too close to the entry. Long-USD expression into a Fed hike already priced at 4.00%, so FOMC at 14:00 NY caps confidence. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.34758	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.34758 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.35046 1.35064 1.35631 Support: 1.34643 1.34344 1.33423 Rationale GBP CPI at 02:00 NY and FOMC at 14:00 NY make a slow 56-pip grind two-sided. Redundant with the long-USD plans in EURUSD and NZDUSD. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	155.128	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 155.128 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 155.238 156.286 156.752 Support: 154.212 153.240 152.940 Rationale Fed hike at 14:00 NY pushes the pair up while BoJ hike bets and official intervention talk into the 18 September meeting push it down. Long-JPY exposure is carried by EURJPY, CADJPY and AUDJPY. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.71317	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.71317 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.71414 0.71715 0.71803 Support: 0.71214 0.71081 0.70668 Rationale Coiled between 0.71081 and 0.71876 with RSI 48 and no contrarian read at 47/53. FOMC at 14:00 NY is the only thing likely to resolve it. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Neutral	Low	1.39163	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.39163 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.39293 1.39398 1.39584 Support: 1.38973 1.38649 1.38261 Rationale Bullish bias intact but price is testing the 1.39293/1.39398 resistance cluster into the FOMC. USD exposure is already at the cap via EURUSD, NZDUSD and USDCHF. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Neutral	Low	0.85636	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.85636 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.85670 0.85831 0.86039 Support: 0.85526 0.85475 0.85318 Rationale Four weeks inside a 55-pip band with a 20-pip ATR and flat MACD; no level pays 1:1. GBP CPI at 02:00 NY is pure gap risk on a compressed range. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.61779	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.61779 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.62086 1.62275 1.62523 Support: 1.61571 1.61138 1.60885 Rationale Three closes clustered at 1.617-1.618 with MACD marginally positive against a below-midline RSI; only crowded 70% retail longs argue for the short. Range behaviour, no edge worth a plan. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.60552	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.60552 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.60854 1.60922 1.61184 Support: 1.60302 1.60169 1.60052 Rationale Locked in a 110-pip band for three weeks with RSI 45 and a flat MACD; the analyst's own confidence is low. No opposing level offers 1:1 from a sane stop. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	209.053	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 209.053 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 209.229 210.734 211.817 Support: 208.250 207.455 207.297 Rationale Bearish structure intact but GBP CPI at 02:00 NY is a direct gap risk on the sterling leg. Long-JPY exposure is already carried by EURJPY, CADJPY and AUDJPY. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.88954	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.88954 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.89453 1.89713 1.91910 Support: 1.88714 1.88561 1.88069 Rationale RSI under the midline against a positive MACD histogram — the signals disagree, which is why the bias is range. GBP CPI at 02:00 NY adds gap risk to a pair with no edge. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.87524	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.87524 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.87860 1.88522 1.89134 Support: 1.87198 1.87127 1.86420 Rationale Three heavily overlapping candles inside 1.8607-1.8786 with retail split 48/52 and RSI 48.5. Nothing to trade until a close outside the range. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.33777	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 2.33777 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.34563 2.34732 2.35412 Support: 2.33507 2.33172 2.32418 Rationale Neutral by the concentration rule: the short NZD theme is already carried by NZDUSD, EURNZD, NZDCAD. Impulse intact but RSI 71.3 argues for pauses. Redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDUSD, NZDCAD and EURNZD, which already carry this theme. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Neutral	Low	89.415	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 89.415 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 89.438 89.994 90.883 Support: 89.023 88.962 88.500 Rationale RSI 25.2 is deeply oversold and 82% retail longs make squeeze risk real on any yen-positive headline. Redundant with both the short-NZD and the long-JPY books already on. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	189.531	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 189.531 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 189.970 190.145 190.807 Support: 188.749 187.936 187.841 Rationale Trend lower but RSI 29.5 after an eleven-yen drop leaves the bounce room. Redundant with EURJPY, CADJPY and AUDJPY, which express the long-yen theme more cleanly. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58344	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58344 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58442 0.58583 0.58596 Support: 0.58169 0.58122 0.57938 Rationale Nine sessions inside a 47-pip lid and the MACD histogram has turned fractionally negative; only extreme 79% retail shorts support the bias. CHF exposure is already at the cap via USDCHF, EURCHF and GBPCHF. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.99232	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.99232 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.99257 0.99454 0.99786 Support: 0.98966 0.98938 0.98198 Rationale Trapped between 0.9892 and 0.9991 since late August with RSI 52 — pure range. The 60% retail short is exactly on the threshold where the contrarian read starts, so no edge. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Low	1.23753	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.23753 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.23773 1.23900 1.24500 Support: 1.23466 1.23013 1.22781 Rationale RSI 76.5 is genuinely overbought into a fresh high, a poor place for a fresh limit long. Redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDUSD, NZDCAD and EURNZD. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.47174	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.47174 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.47254 0.47534 0.47586 Support: 0.47097 0.47046 0.46799 Rationale Lower highs intact but this is the one long-CHF plan in a book already short CHF three times, so it would simply net off. NZD exposure is also at the cap. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58814	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58814 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58909 0.59041 0.59250 Support: 0.58741 0.58646 0.58538 Rationale Advance is decelerating on a 30-pip ATR with retail 52% short giving no signal. CHF exposure is already at the cap via USDCHF, EURCHF and GBPCHF. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	4293.79	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 4293.79 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4317.48 4355.42 4402.89 Support: 4261.43 4253.83 4200.00 Rationale Momentum is rolled over, but an ATR above 100 into the FOMC decision, projections and press conference from 14:00 NY means levels get overshot in both directions. USD exposure is also already at the cap. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$5 average per $100 risked

78 of 117 picks filled, over 39 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

325 plans over 39 verified days · target hit 10%

39 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 78 picks the honest range around the +$5 runs from −$12 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 117 picks published, 78 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 20 of the 78 picks lost the full $100, against 45 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 69% of the Top 3 result, and 26 of the 78 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$14 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 325 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 12 Oct 2026)

Target hit 10% (34)
Stop hit 24% (78)
Timed out 66% (213)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 158 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

30% Win rate 34 of 112 plans closed at target or stop

-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.09R Timed-out average how those 213 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%

14 of 65 plans

Bearish

43%

20 of 47 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
EURJPY	67%	2 / 3
NZDJPY	67%	2 / 3
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDUSD	43%	3 / 7
EURUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
USDCAD	40%	2 / 5
XAUUSD	33%	1 / 3
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	30%	3 / 10
EURGBP	25%	1 / 4
GBPAUD	25%	1 / 4
EURNZD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
AUDJPY	20%	1 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 6
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 4
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 3
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

12 Oct 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $185

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12070 → 1.11612	Target hit	+1.12R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42470 → 1.42980	Timed out	+0.85R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56170 → 0.55930	Target hit	+1.09R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84680 → 0.84474	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.60480 → 1.60000	Timed out	+0.36R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35680 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24300 → 1.24650	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

9 Oct 2026 1 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $84

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12210 → 1.11612	Timed out	+0.61R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83060 → 0.83464	Timed out	-0.23R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84790 → 0.84613	Target hit	+1.04R
EURJPY	Bearish	177.250 → 176.516	Timed out	-0.04R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.90000 → 1.90693	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35920 → 2.36646	Timed out	-0.18R
AUDJPY	Bearish	110.000 → 109.233	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46650 → 0.46357	Timed out	+0.35R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4147.00 → 4066.46	Stop hit	-1.00R

8 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 7 timed out $100 → $125

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12100 → 1.11612	Timed out	-0.08R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83200 → 0.83615	Timed out	-0.21R
AUDUSD	Bearish	0.69710 → 0.69426	Timed out	+0.45R
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93360 → 0.92951	Timed out	+0.35R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59730 → 1.59058	Timed out	+0.82R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24270 → 1.24650	Timed out	-0.18R
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46690 → 0.46515	Timed out	+0.61R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

7 Oct 2026 1 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $106

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84862 → 0.84547	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Bearish	178.280 → 177.029	Target hit	+1.12R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88480 → 1.89118	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35780 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.080 → 88.329	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80000 → 0.79711	Not filled	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

6 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $49

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12290 → 1.11612	Timed out	-0.50R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42500 → 1.42931	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56080 → 0.55798	Timed out	-0.67R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84890 → 0.84547	Timed out	+0.35R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93290 → 0.93018	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88400 → 1.88934	Not filled	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35880 → 2.36646	Timed out	+0.25R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46580 → 0.46330	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 16%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

USDCHF

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EURNZD

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