Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Monday, 21 September 2026 Forecast for: Tuesday, 22 September 2026 Plan window: Mon 23:00 – Tue 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-09-21

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The board expresses only two themes: long USD (hawkish Fed hold after last week's hike, confirmed by the USDCAD break to 1.40392 and the USDCHF staircase off 0.8008) and short NZD (kiwi is the clear laggard with EURNZD above 2.0000 and GBPNZD trending). Everything AUD is sidelined because RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY inside the plan window with markets pricing a hike at the 28-29 September meeting, and every yen cross is sidelined because the holiday-thinned Tokyo session plus Friday's BoJ rate check keep official intervention a live risk near 157 — buying yen-cross dips into that is the trade the tape argues against. Gold's 99-point ATR and fresh bearish MACD cross inside 4235-4450 argue the dollar bid is a rate story, not a clean risk-off impulse, so the book stays small and level-driven.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

AUD RBA Gov Bullock Speaks at 23:10 NY Mon (High) — all AUD pairs held neutral
EUR ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 07:00 NY Tue (Medium) — shallower entries on EUR crosses
JPY: Japan bank holiday from 19:00 NY thins Asian liquidity and intervention risk stays live after the BoJ rate check — no short-JPY plans
USDCAD acceptance above the 1.40392 cycle high opens the 1.40804 pivot; NZDUSD failure under 0.57385 keeps 0.57034 in play

Best Opportunities

USDCAD Bullish

EURNZD Bullish

NZDCHF Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (237 filled plans), 9% hit the target, 22% hit the stop and 68% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

USDCAD

Bullish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.14

Expected result +0.17 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.40270 Buy limit

Stop Loss 1.39800 (47.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.40804 (53.4 pips)

Optimal Target 1.41289 (101.9 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.40392 1.40804 1.41289

Support: 1.39830 1.39737 1.39153

Rationale

Fresh cycle high at 1.40392 with expanding MACD momentum and retail 73% short, the most one-sided book on the dollar legs. Buy limit 0.14 ATR back, stop under the 1.3983 session low, first target the 1.40804 pivot.

Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

EURNZD

Bullish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.31

Expected result +0.16 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 2.00400 Buy limit

Stop Loss 1.99850 (55.0 pips)

Conservative Target 2.01118 (71.8 pips)

Optimal Target 2.02375 (197.5 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.01118 2.01162 2.02375

Support: 2.00292 2.00036 2.00005

Rationale

Cleanest kiwi-short expression: higher lows at 1.99714 and 2.00036 with 2.0000 as floor, MACD above signal and retail 72% short against the trend. Confidence capped at medium because Lagarde speaks at 07:00 NY; stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop just under the 2.00005 pivot.

Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail

NZDCHF

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.24

Expected result +0.15 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.47010 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.47180 (17.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.46799 (21.1 pips)

Optimal Target 0.45720 (129.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.47168 0.47288 0.47377

Support: 0.46917 0.46799 0.45720

Rationale

Steady lower highs 0.47534 / 0.47377 / 0.47288 with a widening negative MACD histogram and retail 69% long capping bounces. Sell limit under the 0.47168 resistance with the stop just beyond it, first objective the 0.46799 pivot.

Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
USDCAD	Bullish	High	1.40350	1.40270Buy limit	1.39800	1.40804	+0.17R	1:1.14	+1.14RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.17R Analysis Price 1.40350 Entry Point 1.40270 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.39800 Conservative Target 1.40804 Risk:Reward 1:1.14 Optimal Target 1.41289 Stop Loss Distance 47.0 pips Target Distance 53.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.40392 1.40804 1.41289 Support: 1.39830 1.39737 1.39153 Rationale Fresh cycle high at 1.40392 with expanding MACD momentum and retail 73% short, the most one-sided book on the dollar legs. Buy limit 0.14 ATR back, stop under the 1.3983 session low, first target the 1.40804 pivot. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Bullish	Medium	2.00549	2.00400Buy limit	1.99850	2.01118	+0.16R	1:1.31	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.16R Analysis Price 2.00549 Entry Point 2.00400 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.99850 Conservative Target 2.01118 Risk:Reward 1:1.31 Optimal Target 2.02375 Stop Loss Distance 55.0 pips Target Distance 71.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 2.01118 2.01162 2.02375 Support: 2.00292 2.00036 2.00005 Rationale Cleanest kiwi-short expression: higher lows at 1.99714 and 2.00036 with 2.0000 as floor, MACD above signal and retail 72% short against the trend. Confidence capped at medium because Lagarde speaks at 07:00 NY; stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop just under the 2.00005 pivot. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Bearish	Medium	0.46965	0.47010Sell limit	0.47180	0.46799	+0.15R	1:1.24	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.15R Analysis Price 0.46965 Entry Point 0.47010 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.47180 Conservative Target 0.46799 Risk:Reward 1:1.24 Optimal Target 0.45720 Stop Loss Distance 17.0 pips Target Distance 21.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.47168 0.47288 0.47377 Support: 0.46917 0.46799 0.45720 Rationale Steady lower highs 0.47534 / 0.47377 / 0.47288 with a widening negative MACD histogram and retail 69% long capping bounces. Sell limit under the 0.47168 resistance with the stop just beyond it, first objective the 0.46799 pivot. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Bearish	Medium	1.33661	1.33740Sell limit	1.34060	1.33355	+0.12R	1:1.20	+1.20RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R Analysis Price 1.33661 Entry Point 1.33740 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.34060 Conservative Target 1.33355 Risk:Reward 1:1.20 Optimal Target 1.33221 Stop Loss Distance 32.0 pips Target Distance 38.5 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.34002 1.34517 1.35064 Support: 1.33423 1.33355 1.33221 Rationale Confirmed downtrend with lower highs from 1.36548 and RSI 35, sellers only pausing in the 1.3336-1.3400 coil. Sell limit into the 1.34002 resistance with the stop just beyond it; targets are the 1.33355 base and the 1.33221 pivot. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.82116	0.82060Buy limit	0.81730	0.82390	+0.12R	1:1.00	-0.05RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R Analysis Price 0.82116 Entry Point 0.82060 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.81730 Conservative Target 0.82390 Risk:Reward 1:1.00 Optimal Target 0.82639 Stop Loss Distance 33.0 pips Target Distance 33.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.82160 0.82390 0.82639 Support: 0.82063 0.81769 0.81533 Rationale Month-long staircase from 0.80081 with RSI 61 and MACD above signal, and retail 62% short into the advance. Buy limit at the 0.82063 support with the stop beyond the 0.81769 rising low; 0.8239 then 0.82639 are the objectives. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Bullish	Medium	2.33750	2.33550Buy limit	2.32850	2.34250	+0.12R	1:1.00	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R Analysis Price 2.33750 Entry Point 2.33550 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 2.32850 Conservative Target 2.34250 Risk:Reward 1:1.00 Optimal Target 2.34563 Stop Loss Distance 70.0 pips Target Distance 70.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 2.34250 2.34563 2.34897 Support: 2.33509 2.33172 2.32640 Rationale Unbroken climb from 2.27839 with the 2.3264 dip bought back and retail 65% short leaning against it. The 2.3264 swing is more than 1 ATR away, so a 0.5 ATR volatility stop is used under 2.33172. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.14674	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.14674 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.14777 1.14978 1.15486 Support: 1.14548 1.13911 1.13774 Rationale Price is boxed in the 1.1455-1.1496 chop and with a stop beyond 1.14777 no support reaches 1:1 short of 1.13911, 1.7 ATR away. Lagarde speaks at 07:00 NY and the long-USD theme is already carried by USDCAD, USDCHF and GBPUSD. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	157.312	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 157.312 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 158.048 159.780 160.395 Support: 156.578 155.874 155.339 Rationale Technical bias is long but the Japan holiday thins Tokyo liquidity and the BoJ rate check has reactivated intervention fears near 157-160, exactly the zone that has drawn official action before. No dip-buying into that risk. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.71213	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.71213 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.71294 0.71404 0.71803 Support: 0.71038 0.70837 0.70749 Rationale RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) inside the plan window, so no directional plan. The 0.7075-0.7141 range and 50/50 retail give no edge anyway. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.57179	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.57179 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.57271 0.57385 0.57507 Support: 0.57134 0.57060 0.57034 Rationale Bearish read is intact but with the minimum 0.5 ATR stop above 0.57385 the nearby 0.57134/0.57034 supports do not reach 1:1. The short-NZD theme is expressed through EURNZD, GBPNZD and NZDCHF. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Neutral	Low	0.85798	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.85798 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.85831 0.85956 0.86067 Support: 0.85720 0.85707 0.85528 Rationale Three-week 0.8552-0.8608 coil with a flat MACD and the tightest ATR on the board, 21 pips. Lagarde at 07:00 NY adds headline risk to a pair with no directional information. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	180.374	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 180.374 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 180.805 181.552 181.962 Support: 179.848 179.369 178.940 Rationale Base-building rather than trend with RSI 43, and long-JPY-cross exposure is unattractive with the Japan holiday and live intervention risk after the BoJ rate check. Lagarde at 07:00 NY adds a second reason to stand aside. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Neutral	Low	0.94169	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.94169 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.94353 0.94536 0.94767 Support: 0.93973 0.93729 0.93073 Rationale Bullish label but the advance has stalled: MACD slipping under signal and today's 0.94126 is the lowest low in eight sessions. Lagarde speaks at 07:00 NY; no edge above the baseline. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.61028	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.61028 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.61251 1.61849 1.62275 Support: 1.60906 1.60813 1.60500 Rationale RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) on the AUD leg inside the window, so the pair takes no directional plan despite the downtrend and 78% retail long. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.60934	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.60934 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.60969 1.61184 1.61365 Support: 1.60548 1.60249 1.60217 Rationale Pure 1.6000-1.6118 rotation with a flat MACD and 60% retail long, which the analysis itself calls a no-signal level. Lagarde at 07:00 NY inside a box is not a trade. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	210.198	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 210.198 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 210.768 211.283 211.817 Support: 209.688 209.574 208.247 Rationale Corrective base under 211.283 with MACD still negative, and the Japan holiday plus intervention risk after the BoJ rate check argue against any short-yen plan this session. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.09782	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.09782 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.10059 1.10213 1.10667 Support: 1.09745 1.09364 1.09136 Rationale Failed breakout rather than a trend, with MACD fractionally below signal and 61% retail short offsetting. CHF exposure is already balanced by the USDCHF long and the NZDCHF short. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.87694	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.87694 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.88038 1.88470 1.89510 Support: 1.87615 1.87341 1.87320 Rationale RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) on the AUD leg inside the plan window — no directional plan, despite the downtrend and 77% retail long. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.87554	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.87554 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.87890 1.88522 1.89134 Support: 1.87445 1.87240 1.87127 Rationale Six sessions of highs within 40 pips around 1.8785 and an essentially flat MACD: the 1.8789 ceiling is the whole story and it has not broken. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Neutral	Low	112.001	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 112.001 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 112.312 112.630 112.811 Support: 111.561 111.198 110.765 Rationale RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) inside the window, and the yen leg carries holiday liquidity plus intervention risk. Two reasons to stay flat. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	112.087	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 112.087 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 112.437 112.930 113.455 Support: 111.895 111.077 110.803 Rationale Neutral bias with a failed 112.93 test and still-negative MACD; with Japan on holiday and intervention risk live, yen crosses get no plan this session. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Neutral	Low	89.934	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 89.934 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 90.229 90.368 91.203 Support: 89.569 89.267 89.023 Rationale Bearish read is valid but redundant with the short-NZD plans in EURNZD, GBPNZD and NZDCHF, which is the cap. Thin holiday liquidity in Tokyo also makes the yen leg erratic in both directions. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	191.511	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 191.511 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 191.936 192.914 194.839 Support: 190.484 189.136 189.087 Rationale Volatile corrective bounce inside a 1,100-point September collapse, capped by 192.914, with 61% retail long arguing against chasing. Holiday-thinned yen liquidity and intervention risk keep it flat. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58490	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58490 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58583 0.58714 0.58751 Support: 0.58442 0.58122 0.57938 Rationale RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) inside the plan window, so the strongest AUD setup on the board — 82% retail short into an uptrend — still takes no directional plan. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.99931	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.99931 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.99980 1.00000 Support: 0.99586 0.99446 0.98966 Rationale RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) inside the window; a parity test into a High-impact AUD event is exactly the gap risk the rule excludes. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Low	1.24548	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.24548 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.24684 1.24777 1.25000 Support: 1.24397 1.23927 1.23712 Rationale RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) inside the window, and RSI 81 means entries here are chasing. The short-NZD theme is carried elsewhere. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.80239	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.80239 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.80338 0.80401 0.81192 Support: 0.79992 0.79936 0.79803 Rationale Valid downtrend but redundant with the short-NZD plans in EURNZD, GBPNZD and NZDCHF, and it would double the short-CAD exposure already held via USDCAD. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58513	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58513 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58644 0.58805 0.59078 Support: 0.58484 0.57862 0.57725 Rationale With a minimum-size stop above 0.58644 the only support beyond 0.58484 is 0.57862, further than 2 ATR, so no 1:1 plan exists. Bias is low-confidence range anyway. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	4343.21	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 4343.21 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4399.70 4449.63 4510.94 Support: 4324.83 4311.07 4282.77 Rationale Neutral bias, ATR near 99 and a fresh bearish MACD cross inside the 4235-4450 box with 55% retail long giving no skew. Directionless volatility is the worst risk-reward on the board. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$5 average per $100 risked

78 of 117 picks filled, over 39 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

325 plans over 39 verified days · target hit 10%

39 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 78 picks the honest range around the +$5 runs from −$12 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 117 picks published, 78 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 20 of the 78 picks lost the full $100, against 45 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 69% of the Top 3 result, and 26 of the 78 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$14 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 325 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 12 Oct 2026)

Target hit 10% (34)
Stop hit 24% (78)
Timed out 66% (213)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 158 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

30% Win rate 34 of 112 plans closed at target or stop

-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.09R Timed-out average how those 213 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%

14 of 65 plans

Bearish

43%

20 of 47 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
EURJPY	67%	2 / 3
NZDJPY	67%	2 / 3
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDUSD	43%	3 / 7
EURUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
USDCAD	40%	2 / 5
XAUUSD	33%	1 / 3
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	30%	3 / 10
EURGBP	25%	1 / 4
GBPAUD	25%	1 / 4
EURNZD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
AUDJPY	20%	1 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 6
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 4
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 3
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

12 Oct 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $185

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12070 → 1.11612	Target hit	+1.12R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42470 → 1.42980	Timed out	+0.85R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56170 → 0.55930	Target hit	+1.09R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84680 → 0.84474	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.60480 → 1.60000	Timed out	+0.36R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35680 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24300 → 1.24650	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

9 Oct 2026 1 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $84

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12210 → 1.11612	Timed out	+0.61R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83060 → 0.83464	Timed out	-0.23R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84790 → 0.84613	Target hit	+1.04R
EURJPY	Bearish	177.250 → 176.516	Timed out	-0.04R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.90000 → 1.90693	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35920 → 2.36646	Timed out	-0.18R
AUDJPY	Bearish	110.000 → 109.233	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46650 → 0.46357	Timed out	+0.35R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4147.00 → 4066.46	Stop hit	-1.00R

8 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 7 timed out $100 → $125

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12100 → 1.11612	Timed out	-0.08R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83200 → 0.83615	Timed out	-0.21R
AUDUSD	Bearish	0.69710 → 0.69426	Timed out	+0.45R
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93360 → 0.92951	Timed out	+0.35R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59730 → 1.59058	Timed out	+0.82R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24270 → 1.24650	Timed out	-0.18R
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46690 → 0.46515	Timed out	+0.61R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

7 Oct 2026 1 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $106

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84862 → 0.84547	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Bearish	178.280 → 177.029	Target hit	+1.12R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88480 → 1.89118	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35780 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.080 → 88.329	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80000 → 0.79711	Not filled	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

6 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $49

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12290 → 1.11612	Timed out	-0.50R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42500 → 1.42931	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56080 → 0.55798	Timed out	-0.67R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84890 → 0.84547	Timed out	+0.35R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93290 → 0.93018	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88400 → 1.88934	Not filled	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35880 → 2.36646	Timed out	+0.25R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46580 → 0.46330	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 16%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

USDCAD

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EURNZD

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NZDCHF

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