| USDCAD |
Bullish
|
High
|
1.40350 |
1.40270Buy limit |
1.39800 |
1.40804 |
+0.17R |
1:1.14 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
1.40350
Entry Point
1.40270
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.39800
Conservative Target
1.40804
Risk:Reward
1:1.14
Optimal Target
1.41289
Stop Loss Distance
47.0 pips
Target Distance
53.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.40392
1.40804
1.41289
Support:
1.39830
1.39737
1.39153
Rationale
Fresh cycle high at 1.40392 with expanding MACD momentum and retail 73% short, the most one-sided book on the dollar legs. Buy limit 0.14 ATR back, stop under the 1.3983 session low, first target the 1.40804 pivot.
|
| EURNZD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
2.00549 |
2.00400Buy limit |
1.99850 |
2.01118 |
+0.16R |
1:1.31 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
2.00549
Entry Point
2.00400
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.99850
Conservative Target
2.01118
Risk:Reward
1:1.31
Optimal Target
2.02375
Stop Loss Distance
55.0 pips
Target Distance
71.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.01118
2.01162
2.02375
Support:
2.00292
2.00036
2.00005
Rationale
Cleanest kiwi-short expression: higher lows at 1.99714 and 2.00036 with 2.0000 as floor, MACD above signal and retail 72% short against the trend. Confidence capped at medium because Lagarde speaks at 07:00 NY; stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop just under the 2.00005 pivot.
|
| NZDCHF |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.46965 |
0.47010Sell limit |
0.47180 |
0.46799 |
+0.15R |
1:1.24 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.46965
Entry Point
0.47010
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.47180
Conservative Target
0.46799
Risk:Reward
1:1.24
Optimal Target
0.45720
Stop Loss Distance
17.0 pips
Target Distance
21.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.47168
0.47288
0.47377
Support:
0.46917
0.46799
0.45720
Rationale
Steady lower highs 0.47534 / 0.47377 / 0.47288 with a widening negative MACD histogram and retail 69% long capping bounces. Sell limit under the 0.47168 resistance with the stop just beyond it, first objective the 0.46799 pivot.
|
| GBPUSD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.33661 |
1.33740Sell limit |
1.34060 |
1.33355 |
+0.12R |
1:1.20 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.33661
Entry Point
1.33740
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.34060
Conservative Target
1.33355
Risk:Reward
1:1.20
Optimal Target
1.33221
Stop Loss Distance
32.0 pips
Target Distance
38.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.34002
1.34517
1.35064
Support:
1.33423
1.33355
1.33221
Rationale
Confirmed downtrend with lower highs from 1.36548 and RSI 35, sellers only pausing in the 1.3336-1.3400 coil. Sell limit into the 1.34002 resistance with the stop just beyond it; targets are the 1.33355 base and the 1.33221 pivot.
|
| USDCHF |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
0.82116 |
0.82060Buy limit |
0.81730 |
0.82390 |
+0.12R |
1:1.00 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.82116
Entry Point
0.82060
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
0.81730
Conservative Target
0.82390
Risk:Reward
1:1.00
Optimal Target
0.82639
Stop Loss Distance
33.0 pips
Target Distance
33.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.82160
0.82390
0.82639
Support:
0.82063
0.81769
0.81533
Rationale
Month-long staircase from 0.80081 with RSI 61 and MACD above signal, and retail 62% short into the advance. Buy limit at the 0.82063 support with the stop beyond the 0.81769 rising low; 0.8239 then 0.82639 are the objectives.
|
| GBPNZD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
2.33750 |
2.33550Buy limit |
2.32850 |
2.34250 |
+0.12R |
1:1.00 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
2.33750
Entry Point
2.33550
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
2.32850
Conservative Target
2.34250
Risk:Reward
1:1.00
Optimal Target
2.34563
Stop Loss Distance
70.0 pips
Target Distance
70.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.34250
2.34563
2.34897
Support:
2.33509
2.33172
2.32640
Rationale
Unbroken climb from 2.27839 with the 2.3264 dip bought back and retail 65% short leaning against it. The 2.3264 swing is more than 1 ATR away, so a 0.5 ATR volatility stop is used under 2.33172.
|
| EURUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.14674 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.14674
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.14777
1.14978
1.15486
Support:
1.14548
1.13911
1.13774
Rationale
Price is boxed in the 1.1455-1.1496 chop and with a stop beyond 1.14777 no support reaches 1:1 short of 1.13911, 1.7 ATR away. Lagarde speaks at 07:00 NY and the long-USD theme is already carried by USDCAD, USDCHF and GBPUSD.
|
| USDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
157.312 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
157.312
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
158.048
159.780
160.395
Support:
156.578
155.874
155.339
Rationale
Technical bias is long but the Japan holiday thins Tokyo liquidity and the BoJ rate check has reactivated intervention fears near 157-160, exactly the zone that has drawn official action before. No dip-buying into that risk.
|
| AUDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.71213 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.71213
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.71294
0.71404
0.71803
Support:
0.71038
0.70837
0.70749
Rationale
RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) inside the plan window, so no directional plan. The 0.7075-0.7141 range and 50/50 retail give no edge anyway.
|
| NZDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.57179 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.57179
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.57271
0.57385
0.57507
Support:
0.57134
0.57060
0.57034
Rationale
Bearish read is intact but with the minimum 0.5 ATR stop above 0.57385 the nearby 0.57134/0.57034 supports do not reach 1:1. The short-NZD theme is expressed through EURNZD, GBPNZD and NZDCHF.
|
| EURGBP |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.85798 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.85798
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.85831
0.85956
0.86067
Support:
0.85720
0.85707
0.85528
Rationale
Three-week 0.8552-0.8608 coil with a flat MACD and the tightest ATR on the board, 21 pips. Lagarde at 07:00 NY adds headline risk to a pair with no directional information.
|
| EURJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
180.374 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
180.374
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
180.805
181.552
181.962
Support:
179.848
179.369
178.940
Rationale
Base-building rather than trend with RSI 43, and long-JPY-cross exposure is unattractive with the Japan holiday and live intervention risk after the BoJ rate check. Lagarde at 07:00 NY adds a second reason to stand aside.
|
| EURCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.94169 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.94169
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.94353
0.94536
0.94767
Support:
0.93973
0.93729
0.93073
Rationale
Bullish label but the advance has stalled: MACD slipping under signal and today's 0.94126 is the lowest low in eight sessions. Lagarde speaks at 07:00 NY; no edge above the baseline.
|
| EURAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.61028 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.61028
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.61251
1.61849
1.62275
Support:
1.60906
1.60813
1.60500
Rationale
RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) on the AUD leg inside the window, so the pair takes no directional plan despite the downtrend and 78% retail long.
|
| EURCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.60934 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.60934
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.60969
1.61184
1.61365
Support:
1.60548
1.60249
1.60217
Rationale
Pure 1.6000-1.6118 rotation with a flat MACD and 60% retail long, which the analysis itself calls a no-signal level. Lagarde at 07:00 NY inside a box is not a trade.
|
| GBPJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
210.198 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
210.198
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
210.768
211.283
211.817
Support:
209.688
209.574
208.247
Rationale
Corrective base under 211.283 with MACD still negative, and the Japan holiday plus intervention risk after the BoJ rate check argue against any short-yen plan this session.
|
| GBPCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.09782 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.09782
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.10059
1.10213
1.10667
Support:
1.09745
1.09364
1.09136
Rationale
Failed breakout rather than a trend, with MACD fractionally below signal and 61% retail short offsetting. CHF exposure is already balanced by the USDCHF long and the NZDCHF short.
|
| GBPAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.87694 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.87694
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.88038
1.88470
1.89510
Support:
1.87615
1.87341
1.87320
Rationale
RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) on the AUD leg inside the plan window — no directional plan, despite the downtrend and 77% retail long.
|
| GBPCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.87554 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.87554
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.87890
1.88522
1.89134
Support:
1.87445
1.87240
1.87127
Rationale
Six sessions of highs within 40 pips around 1.8785 and an essentially flat MACD: the 1.8789 ceiling is the whole story and it has not broken.
|
| AUDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
112.001 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
112.001
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
112.312
112.630
112.811
Support:
111.561
111.198
110.765
Rationale
RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) inside the window, and the yen leg carries holiday liquidity plus intervention risk. Two reasons to stay flat.
|
| CADJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
112.087 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
112.087
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
112.437
112.930
113.455
Support:
111.895
111.077
110.803
Rationale
Neutral bias with a failed 112.93 test and still-negative MACD; with Japan on holiday and intervention risk live, yen crosses get no plan this session.
|
| NZDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
89.934 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
89.934
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
90.229
90.368
91.203
Support:
89.569
89.267
89.023
Rationale
Bearish read is valid but redundant with the short-NZD plans in EURNZD, GBPNZD and NZDCHF, which is the cap. Thin holiday liquidity in Tokyo also makes the yen leg erratic in both directions.
|
| CHFJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
191.511 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
191.511
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
191.936
192.914
194.839
Support:
190.484
189.136
189.087
Rationale
Volatile corrective bounce inside a 1,100-point September collapse, capped by 192.914, with 61% retail long arguing against chasing. Holiday-thinned yen liquidity and intervention risk keep it flat.
|
| AUDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58490 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.58490
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58583
0.58714
0.58751
Support:
0.58442
0.58122
0.57938
Rationale
RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) inside the plan window, so the strongest AUD setup on the board — 82% retail short into an uptrend — still takes no directional plan.
|
| AUDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.99931 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.99931
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.99980
1.00000
Support:
0.99586
0.99446
0.98966
Rationale
RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) inside the window; a parity test into a High-impact AUD event is exactly the gap risk the rule excludes.
|
| AUDNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.24548 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.24548
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.24684
1.24777
1.25000
Support:
1.24397
1.23927
1.23712
Rationale
RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) inside the window, and RSI 81 means entries here are chasing. The short-NZD theme is carried elsewhere.
|
| NZDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.80239 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.80239
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.80338
0.80401
0.81192
Support:
0.79992
0.79936
0.79803
Rationale
Valid downtrend but redundant with the short-NZD plans in EURNZD, GBPNZD and NZDCHF, and it would double the short-CAD exposure already held via USDCAD.
|
| CADCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58513 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.58513
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58644
0.58805
0.59078
Support:
0.58484
0.57862
0.57725
Rationale
With a minimum-size stop above 0.58644 the only support beyond 0.58484 is 0.57862, further than 2 ATR, so no 1:1 plan exists. Bias is low-confidence range anyway.
|
| XAUUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
4343.21 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
4343.21
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
4399.70
4449.63
4510.94
Support:
4324.83
4311.07
4282.77
Rationale
Neutral bias, ATR near 99 and a fresh bearish MACD cross inside the 4235-4450 box with 55% retail long giving no skew. Directionless volatility is the worst risk-reward on the board.
|