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Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our proprietary AI engine builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Monday, 21 September 2026 Forecast for: Tuesday, 22 September 2026 Plan window: Mon 23:00 – Tue 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

You are viewing an archived forecast

This is the forex forecast generated for 21 September 2026. View current forecast

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The board expresses only two themes: long USD (hawkish Fed hold after last week's hike, confirmed by the USDCAD break to 1.40392 and the USDCHF staircase off 0.8008) and short NZD (kiwi is the clear laggard with EURNZD above 2.0000 and GBPNZD trending). Everything AUD is sidelined because RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY inside the plan window with markets pricing a hike at the 28-29 September meeting, and every yen cross is sidelined because the holiday-thinned Tokyo session plus Friday's BoJ rate check keep official intervention a live risk near 157 — buying yen-cross dips into that is the trade the tape argues against. Gold's 99-point ATR and fresh bearish MACD cross inside 4235-4450 argue the dollar bid is a rate story, not a clean risk-off impulse, so the book stays small and level-driven.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

  • AUD RBA Gov Bullock Speaks at 23:10 NY Mon (High) — all AUD pairs held neutral
  • EUR ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 07:00 NY Tue (Medium) — shallower entries on EUR crosses
  • JPY: Japan bank holiday from 19:00 NY thins Asian liquidity and intervention risk stays live after the BoJ rate check — no short-JPY plans
  • USDCAD acceptance above the 1.40392 cycle high opens the 1.40804 pivot; NZDUSD failure under 0.57385 keeps 0.57034 in play

Best Opportunities

USDCAD Bullish
EURNZD Bullish
NZDCHF Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (237 filled plans), 9% hit the target, 22% hit the stop and 68% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

USDCAD

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.14

Expected result +0.17 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.40270 Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.39800 (47.0 pips)
Conservative Target 1.40804 (53.4 pips)
Optimal Target 1.41289 (101.9 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.40392 1.40804 1.41289
Support: 1.39830 1.39737 1.39153

Rationale

Fresh cycle high at 1.40392 with expanding MACD momentum and retail 73% short, the most one-sided book on the dollar legs. Buy limit 0.14 ATR back, stop under the 1.3983 session low, first target the 1.40804 pivot.

EURNZD

Bullish Medium Confidence
R/R 1:1.31

Expected result +0.16 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 2.00400 Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.99850 (55.0 pips)
Conservative Target 2.01118 (71.8 pips)
Optimal Target 2.02375 (197.5 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.01118 2.01162 2.02375
Support: 2.00292 2.00036 2.00005

Rationale

Cleanest kiwi-short expression: higher lows at 1.99714 and 2.00036 with 2.0000 as floor, MACD above signal and retail 72% short against the trend. Confidence capped at medium because Lagarde speaks at 07:00 NY; stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop just under the 2.00005 pivot.

NZDCHF

Bearish Medium Confidence
R/R 1:1.24

Expected result +0.15 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.47010 Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.47180 (17.0 pips)
Conservative Target 0.46799 (21.1 pips)
Optimal Target 0.45720 (129.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.47168 0.47288 0.47377
Support: 0.46917 0.46799 0.45720

Rationale

Steady lower highs 0.47534 / 0.47377 / 0.47288 with a widening negative MACD histogram and retail 69% long capping bounces. Sell limit under the 0.47168 resistance with the stop just beyond it, first objective the 0.46799 pivot.

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

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Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair Direction Confidence Analysis Price Entry Stop Loss Target Expected result Risk:Reward

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Analysis Price 1.40350
Entry Point 1.40270
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.39800
Conservative Target 1.40804
Risk:Reward 1:1.14
Optimal Target 1.41289
Stop Loss Distance 47.0 pips
Target Distance 53.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.40392 1.40804 1.41289
Support: 1.39830 1.39737 1.39153

Rationale

Fresh cycle high at 1.40392 with expanding MACD momentum and retail 73% short, the most one-sided book on the dollar legs. Buy limit 0.14 ATR back, stop under the 1.3983 session low, first target the 1.40804 pivot.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 2.00549
Entry Point 2.00400
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.99850
Conservative Target 2.01118
Risk:Reward 1:1.31
Optimal Target 2.02375
Stop Loss Distance 55.0 pips
Target Distance 71.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.01118 2.01162 2.02375
Support: 2.00292 2.00036 2.00005

Rationale

Cleanest kiwi-short expression: higher lows at 1.99714 and 2.00036 with 2.0000 as floor, MACD above signal and retail 72% short against the trend. Confidence capped at medium because Lagarde speaks at 07:00 NY; stop is a 0.5 ATR volatility stop just under the 2.00005 pivot.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 0.46965
Entry Point 0.47010
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.47180
Conservative Target 0.46799
Risk:Reward 1:1.24
Optimal Target 0.45720
Stop Loss Distance 17.0 pips
Target Distance 21.1 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.47168 0.47288 0.47377
Support: 0.46917 0.46799 0.45720

Rationale

Steady lower highs 0.47534 / 0.47377 / 0.47288 with a widening negative MACD histogram and retail 69% long capping bounces. Sell limit under the 0.47168 resistance with the stop just beyond it, first objective the 0.46799 pivot.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 1.33661
Entry Point 1.33740
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.34060
Conservative Target 1.33355
Risk:Reward 1:1.20
Optimal Target 1.33221
Stop Loss Distance 32.0 pips
Target Distance 38.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.34002 1.34517 1.35064
Support: 1.33423 1.33355 1.33221

Rationale

Confirmed downtrend with lower highs from 1.36548 and RSI 35, sellers only pausing in the 1.3336-1.3400 coil. Sell limit into the 1.34002 resistance with the stop just beyond it; targets are the 1.33355 base and the 1.33221 pivot.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 0.82116
Entry Point 0.82060
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 0.81730
Conservative Target 0.82390
Risk:Reward 1:1.00
Optimal Target 0.82639
Stop Loss Distance 33.0 pips
Target Distance 33.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.82160 0.82390 0.82639
Support: 0.82063 0.81769 0.81533

Rationale

Month-long staircase from 0.80081 with RSI 61 and MACD above signal, and retail 62% short into the advance. Buy limit at the 0.82063 support with the stop beyond the 0.81769 rising low; 0.8239 then 0.82639 are the objectives.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 2.33750
Entry Point 2.33550
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 2.32850
Conservative Target 2.34250
Risk:Reward 1:1.00
Optimal Target 2.34563
Stop Loss Distance 70.0 pips
Target Distance 70.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.34250 2.34563 2.34897
Support: 2.33509 2.33172 2.32640

Rationale

Unbroken climb from 2.27839 with the 2.3264 dip bought back and retail 65% short leaning against it. The 2.3264 swing is more than 1 ATR away, so a 0.5 ATR volatility stop is used under 2.33172.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.14674
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.14777 1.14978 1.15486
Support: 1.14548 1.13911 1.13774

Rationale

Price is boxed in the 1.1455-1.1496 chop and with a stop beyond 1.14777 no support reaches 1:1 short of 1.13911, 1.7 ATR away. Lagarde speaks at 07:00 NY and the long-USD theme is already carried by USDCAD, USDCHF and GBPUSD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 157.312
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 158.048 159.780 160.395
Support: 156.578 155.874 155.339

Rationale

Technical bias is long but the Japan holiday thins Tokyo liquidity and the BoJ rate check has reactivated intervention fears near 157-160, exactly the zone that has drawn official action before. No dip-buying into that risk.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.71213
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.71294 0.71404 0.71803
Support: 0.71038 0.70837 0.70749

Rationale

RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) inside the plan window, so no directional plan. The 0.7075-0.7141 range and 50/50 retail give no edge anyway.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.57179
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.57271 0.57385 0.57507
Support: 0.57134 0.57060 0.57034

Rationale

Bearish read is intact but with the minimum 0.5 ATR stop above 0.57385 the nearby 0.57134/0.57034 supports do not reach 1:1. The short-NZD theme is expressed through EURNZD, GBPNZD and NZDCHF.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.85798
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.85831 0.85956 0.86067
Support: 0.85720 0.85707 0.85528

Rationale

Three-week 0.8552-0.8608 coil with a flat MACD and the tightest ATR on the board, 21 pips. Lagarde at 07:00 NY adds headline risk to a pair with no directional information.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 180.374
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 180.805 181.552 181.962
Support: 179.848 179.369 178.940

Rationale

Base-building rather than trend with RSI 43, and long-JPY-cross exposure is unattractive with the Japan holiday and live intervention risk after the BoJ rate check. Lagarde at 07:00 NY adds a second reason to stand aside.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.94169
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.94353 0.94536 0.94767
Support: 0.93973 0.93729 0.93073

Rationale

Bullish label but the advance has stalled: MACD slipping under signal and today's 0.94126 is the lowest low in eight sessions. Lagarde speaks at 07:00 NY; no edge above the baseline.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.61028
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.61251 1.61849 1.62275
Support: 1.60906 1.60813 1.60500

Rationale

RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) on the AUD leg inside the window, so the pair takes no directional plan despite the downtrend and 78% retail long.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.60934
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.60969 1.61184 1.61365
Support: 1.60548 1.60249 1.60217

Rationale

Pure 1.6000-1.6118 rotation with a flat MACD and 60% retail long, which the analysis itself calls a no-signal level. Lagarde at 07:00 NY inside a box is not a trade.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 210.198
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 210.768 211.283 211.817
Support: 209.688 209.574 208.247

Rationale

Corrective base under 211.283 with MACD still negative, and the Japan holiday plus intervention risk after the BoJ rate check argue against any short-yen plan this session.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.09782
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.10059 1.10213 1.10667
Support: 1.09745 1.09364 1.09136

Rationale

Failed breakout rather than a trend, with MACD fractionally below signal and 61% retail short offsetting. CHF exposure is already balanced by the USDCHF long and the NZDCHF short.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.87694
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.88038 1.88470 1.89510
Support: 1.87615 1.87341 1.87320

Rationale

RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) on the AUD leg inside the plan window — no directional plan, despite the downtrend and 77% retail long.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.87554
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.87890 1.88522 1.89134
Support: 1.87445 1.87240 1.87127

Rationale

Six sessions of highs within 40 pips around 1.8785 and an essentially flat MACD: the 1.8789 ceiling is the whole story and it has not broken.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 112.001
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 112.312 112.630 112.811
Support: 111.561 111.198 110.765

Rationale

RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) inside the window, and the yen leg carries holiday liquidity plus intervention risk. Two reasons to stay flat.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 112.087
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 112.437 112.930 113.455
Support: 111.895 111.077 110.803

Rationale

Neutral bias with a failed 112.93 test and still-negative MACD; with Japan on holiday and intervention risk live, yen crosses get no plan this session.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 89.934
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 90.229 90.368 91.203
Support: 89.569 89.267 89.023

Rationale

Bearish read is valid but redundant with the short-NZD plans in EURNZD, GBPNZD and NZDCHF, which is the cap. Thin holiday liquidity in Tokyo also makes the yen leg erratic in both directions.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 191.511
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 191.936 192.914 194.839
Support: 190.484 189.136 189.087

Rationale

Volatile corrective bounce inside a 1,100-point September collapse, capped by 192.914, with 61% retail long arguing against chasing. Holiday-thinned yen liquidity and intervention risk keep it flat.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.58490
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58583 0.58714 0.58751
Support: 0.58442 0.58122 0.57938

Rationale

RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) inside the plan window, so the strongest AUD setup on the board — 82% retail short into an uptrend — still takes no directional plan.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.99931
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.99980 1.00000
Support: 0.99586 0.99446 0.98966

Rationale

RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) inside the window; a parity test into a High-impact AUD event is exactly the gap risk the rule excludes.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.24548
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.24684 1.24777 1.25000
Support: 1.24397 1.23927 1.23712

Rationale

RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 23:10 NY (High) inside the window, and RSI 81 means entries here are chasing. The short-NZD theme is carried elsewhere.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.80239
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.80338 0.80401 0.81192
Support: 0.79992 0.79936 0.79803

Rationale

Valid downtrend but redundant with the short-NZD plans in EURNZD, GBPNZD and NZDCHF, and it would double the short-CAD exposure already held via USDCAD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.58513
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58644 0.58805 0.59078
Support: 0.58484 0.57862 0.57725

Rationale

With a minimum-size stop above 0.58644 the only support beyond 0.58484 is 0.57862, further than 2 ATR, so no 1:1 plan exists. Bias is low-confidence range anyway.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 4343.21
Entry Point
Order Type
Stop Loss
Conservative Target
Risk:Reward
Optimal Target
Stop Loss Distance
Target Distance

Key Levels

Resistance: 4399.70 4449.63 4510.94
Support: 4324.83 4311.07 4282.77

Rationale

Neutral bias, ATR near 99 and a fresh bearish MACD cross inside the 4235-4450 box with 55% retail long giving no skew. Directionless volatility is the worst risk-reward on the board.

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$9 average per $100 risked

47 of 72 picks filled, over 24 verified days · target hit 19%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

243 plans over 24 verified days · target hit 9%

24 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 47 picks the honest range around the +$9 runs from −$14 to +$31 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 72 picks published, 47 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 13 of the 47 picks lost the full $100, against 30 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 66% of the Top 3 result, and 24 of the 47 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$15 to +$3, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 243 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 21 Sep 2026)

  • Target hit 9% (22)
  • Stop hit 22% (54)
  • Timed out 69% (167)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 126 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown
29% Win rate 22 of 76 plans closed at target or stop
-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one
+0.08R Timed-out average how those 167 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%
11 of 49 plans

Bearish

41%
11 of 27 plans

Win rate by pair

PairWin ratePlans
GBPJPY
67%
2 / 3
AUDCHF
60%
3 / 5
NZDCAD
50%
2 / 4
EURUSD
33%
1 / 3
CHFJPY
33%
1 / 3
AUDUSD
33%
2 / 6
USDCAD
33%
1 / 3
EURCHF
29%
2 / 7
USDCHF
25%
1 / 4
USDJPY
25%
1 / 4
NZDUSD
25%
1 / 4
EURGBP
0%
0 / 3
GBPCAD
0%
0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit
Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the hourly candles confirm it happened after the order filled. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit
Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the hourly candles say which one came first — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same hour, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out
The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled
Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken
Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

21 Sep 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $76
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held
USDCHF Bullish 0.82180 → 0.82593 Timed out -0.25R
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken
USDCAD Bullish 1.39800 → 1.40139 Not filled
NZDUSD Bearish 0.57270 → 0.57034 Timed out +0.48R
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held
EURCHF Bullish 0.94440 → 0.94743 Stop hit -1.00R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken
GBPAUD Bearish 1.88090 → 1.87548 Not filled
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken
AUDCHF Bullish 0.58540 → 0.58751 Timed out -0.50R
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken
AUDNZD Bullish 1.24410 → 1.25000 Timed out +0.27R
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken
NZDCAD Bearish 0.80090 → 0.79803 Timed out -0.47R
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held
18 Sep 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 6 timed out $100 → $96
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken
USDCHF Bullish 0.82370 → 0.82639 Timed out -0.70R
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held
USDCAD Bullish 1.39870 → 1.40804 Timed out +0.17R
NZDUSD Bearish 0.57335 → 0.57034 Timed out +0.34R
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken
EURCHF Bullish 0.94580 → 0.94790 Stop hit -1.00R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held
EURNZD Bullish 2.00380 → 2.01205 Timed out +0.46R
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range held
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range broken
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken
AUDCHF Bullish 0.58585 → 0.58752 Timed out -0.08R
AUDCAD Bullish 0.99470 → 0.99911 Timed out +0.55R
AUDNZD Bullish 1.24000 → 1.24500 Not filled
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held
17 Sep 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $60
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.14700 → 1.13911 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held
USDCHF Bullish 0.82510 → 0.83000 Stop hit -1.00R
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken
USDCAD Bullish 1.39830 → 1.40804 Timed out +0.18R
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken
EURJPY Bearish 179.260 → 178.135 Not filled
EURCHF Bullish 0.94600 → 0.95000 Timed out +0.22R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range broken
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken
CADJPY Bearish 111.800 → 111.140 Not filled
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken
16 Sep 2026 4 target · 0 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $167
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.15440 → 1.15118 Target hit +1.19R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken
USDCHF Bullish 0.81770 → 0.82069 Target hit +1.22R
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken
USDCAD Neutral Range Range broken
NZDUSD Bearish 0.57740 → 0.57504 Not filled
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken
EURJPY Bearish 179.120 → 178.135 Timed out -0.05R
EURCHF Bullish 0.94400 → 0.94642 Target hit +1.21R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held
EURNZD Bullish 2.00030 → 2.00781 Not filled
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held
GBPCHF Bullish 1.10200 → 1.10620 Timed out +0.72R
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range held
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held
AUDJPY Bearish 110.760 → 110.075 Timed out +0.06R
CADJPY Bearish 111.620 → 110.960 Timed out -0.04R
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held
NZDCAD Bearish 0.80300 → 0.80031 Target hit +1.03R
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held
15 Sep 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $93
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.15570 → 1.15230 Not filled
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken
USDCHF Bullish 0.81660 → 0.81952 Not filled
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken
EURCHF Bullish 0.94340 → 0.94743 Timed out +0.82R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held
EURCAD Bearish 1.60700 → 1.60169 Timed out +0.27R
EURNZD Bullish 1.99600 → 2.00458 Not filled
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range held
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held
AUDJPY Bearish 110.320 → 109.671 Timed out -0.56R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken
NZDJPY Bearish 89.380 → 88.500 Timed out +0.10R
CHFJPY Bearish 189.050 → 187.936 Stop hit -1.00R
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held
NZDCAD Bearish 0.80480 → 0.80067 Not filled
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

  1. Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
  2. Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels across multiple timeframes.
  3. AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
  4. Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

  • Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
  • Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
  • Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
  • Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
  • Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
  • Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 16%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

  • Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
  • Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
  • Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
  • Adjust position size based on expected volatility
  • Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
  • Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

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