Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our proprietary AI engine builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Wednesday, 23 September 2026 Forecast for: Thursday, 24 September 2026 Plan window: Wed 23:00 – Thu 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-09-23

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The US dollar is holding at two-month highs after the Fed's September rate hike and further hawkish comments from officials. Today's plans express two themes: long USD (short GBPUSD and gold, long USDCAD) and short NZD (long EURNZD, short NZDJPY).

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

AUD Employment Change and Unemployment Rate at 21:30 NY (Wed evening): no plans on AUD pairs
CHF SNB Policy Rate and Monetary Policy Assessment at 03:30 NY, press conference at 04:00 NY: a hold at 0% is expected, so the inflation forecast and currency language matter most
USD Unemployment Claims and CAD Retail Sales at 08:30 NY
USDCAD test of the 1.41289 pivot after higher lows every session since 8 September

Best Opportunities

USDCAD Bullish

GBPUSD Bearish

XAUUSD Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (249 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 23% hit the stop and 67% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

USDCAD

Bullish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.18

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.41000 Buy limit

Stop Loss 1.40575 (42.5 pips)

Conservative Target 1.41500 (50.0 pips)

Optimal Target 1.42432 (143.2 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.41289 1.41500 1.42432

Support: 1.40610 1.40249 1.39971

Rationale

The higher-low staircase is intact, retail is 77% short and falling oil weighs on CAD. The stop sits under 1.4061 support, and the entry is shallow because of the close on the high and the 08:30 NY CAD Retail Sales and US Claims releases.

Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

GBPUSD

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.26

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.32480 Sell limit

Stop Loss 1.32860 (38.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.32000 (48.0 pips)

Optimal Target 1.31500 (98.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.33214 1.34002 1.34517

Support: 1.32236 1.32000 1.31500

Rationale

The breakdown from the 1.33214-1.34063 box is accelerating, retail is 70% long and the UK services PMI missed while the Fed stays hawkish. Wednesday closed near its low, so the entry is shallow, and the 0.6 ATR volatility stop is used because 1.33214 is more than 1 ATR away.

Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail

XAUUSD

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.33

Expected result +0.08 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 4300.00 Sell limit

Stop Loss 4375.00 (75.0 pts)

Conservative Target 4200.00 (100.0 pts)

Optimal Target 4020.00 (280.0 pts)

Key Levels

Resistance: 4369.84 4399.70 4449.63

Support: 4282.78 4234.84 4200.00

Rationale

The lower-high sequence below 4399.7 is intact, the dollar is firm after the Fed hike and hopes for US-Iran diplomacy ease the safe-haven bid. The stop sits beyond 4369.835 resistance, and US Claims at 08:30 NY is the event to watch.

Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward
USDCAD	Bullish	Medium	1.41041	1.41000Buy limit	1.40575	1.41500	+0.10R	1:1.18
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 1.41041 Entry Point 1.41000 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.40575 Conservative Target 1.41500 Risk:Reward 1:1.18 Optimal Target 1.42432 Stop Loss Distance 42.5 pips Target Distance 50.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.41289 1.41500 1.42432 Support: 1.40610 1.40249 1.39971 Rationale The higher-low staircase is intact, retail is 77% short and falling oil weighs on CAD. The stop sits under 1.4061 support, and the entry is shallow because of the close on the high and the 08:30 NY CAD Retail Sales and US Claims releases. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Bearish	Medium	1.32425	1.32480Sell limit	1.32860	1.32000	+0.09R	1:1.26
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 1.32425 Entry Point 1.32480 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.32860 Conservative Target 1.32000 Risk:Reward 1:1.26 Optimal Target 1.31500 Stop Loss Distance 38.0 pips Target Distance 48.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.33214 1.34002 1.34517 Support: 1.32236 1.32000 1.31500 Rationale The breakdown from the 1.33214-1.34063 box is accelerating, retail is 70% long and the UK services PMI missed while the Fed stays hawkish. Wednesday closed near its low, so the entry is shallow, and the 0.6 ATR volatility stop is used because 1.33214 is more than 1 ATR away. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Bullish	Medium	2.00581	2.00450Buy limit	1.99870	2.01162	+0.09R	1:1.23
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 2.00581 Entry Point 2.00450 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.99870 Conservative Target 2.01162 Risk:Reward 1:1.23 Optimal Target 2.01372 Stop Loss Distance 58.0 pips Target Distance 71.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 2.01162 2.01372 2.02375 Support: 2.00005 1.99403 1.98961 Rationale The uptrend keeps buying dips above 2.0000, retail is 68% short, and the Eurozone PMI beat keeps an ECB hike in play. The stop sits just under 2.00005 at 0.5 ATR, and Australian jobs data overnight can swing the kiwi. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Bearish	Medium	89.810	89.900Sell limit	90.300	89.267	+0.09R	1:1.58
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 89.810 Entry Point 89.900 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 90.300 Conservative Target 89.267 Risk:Reward 1:1.58 Optimal Target 88.962 Stop Loss Distance 40.0 pips Target Distance 63.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 90.262 90.545 91.268 Support: 89.655 89.267 88.962 Rationale This is the weakest yen cross, with the bounce stalled below 90.545 and retail 78% long. The stop sits beyond 90.262 resistance at 0.5 ATR, and a strong Australian jobs print tonight is the main risk. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Bearish	Medium	4287.77	4300.00Sell limit	4375.00	4200.00	+0.08R	1:1.33
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Analysis Price 4287.77 Entry Point 4300.00 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 4375.00 Conservative Target 4200.00 Risk:Reward 1:1.33 Optimal Target 4020.00 Stop Loss Distance 75.0 pts Target Distance 100.0 pts Key Levels Resistance: 4369.84 4399.70 4449.63 Support: 4282.78 4234.84 4200.00 Rationale The lower-high sequence below 4399.7 is intact, the dollar is firm after the Fed hike and hopes for US-Iran diplomacy ease the safe-haven bid. The stop sits beyond 4369.835 resistance, and US Claims at 08:30 NY is the event to watch. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.13803	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.13803 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.14357 1.14777 1.15229 Support: 1.13774 1.13700 1.13597 Rationale Redundant with the long-USD plans in GBPUSD, USDCAD and XAUUSD, and a 1:1 target at 1.13597 would need a stop of only 0.5 ATR while RSI sits at 26.6. The Eurozone PMI beat keeps an ECB October hike in play, which argues against selling a close that sits on the lows. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	158.318	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 158.318 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 159.780 160.395 162.773 Support: 158.026 157.339 156.673 Rationale Redundant with the long-USD plans in GBPUSD, USDCAD and XAUUSD. The upside targets sit just below the 160.40 top that the early-September yen surge started from, so headline risk rises as Japan returns from its holiday. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.82490	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.82490 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.82639 0.83000 Support: 0.82020 0.81833 0.81533 Rationale The SNB Policy Rate and Monetary Policy Assessment at 03:30 NY, with the press conference at 04:00, fall inside the window, so there is no directional plan. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.70401	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.70401 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.70779 0.71176 0.71403 Support: 0.70223 0.70000 0.69631 Rationale The AUD Employment Change and Unemployment Rate at 21:30 NY fall inside the window, so there is no directional plan. AUD already fell about 1% ahead of the data. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.56728	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.56728 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.56942 0.57271 0.57507 Support: 0.56723 0.56606 0.56500 Rationale Redundant with the long-USD plans (GBPUSD, USDCAD, XAUUSD) and the short-NZD plans (EURNZD, NZDJPY). Tonight's Australian jobs data can jolt the kiwi in sympathy while RSI is already oversold at 28. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Neutral	Low	0.85949	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.85949 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.86048 0.86078 0.86200 Support: 0.85770 0.85707 0.85527 Rationale The pair is rotating inside the 0.85527-0.86078 box with no momentum and is now near the top edge. Neither a breakout nor a fade offers an edge above the baseline. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	180.176	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 180.176 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 180.827 181.552 183.645 Support: 179.757 179.369 177.853 Rationale The pair is capped inside 179.757-180.827 for three sessions, momentum is stalling and retail positioning is balanced. There is no directional edge. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Neutral	Low	0.93897	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.93897 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.93942 0.94022 0.94353 Support: 0.93804 0.93729 0.93550 Rationale The SNB Policy Rate decision at 03:30 NY and the press conference at 04:00 fall inside the window, so there is no directional plan. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.61620	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.61620 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.61972 1.62275 1.62523 Support: 1.61571 1.61172 1.60813 Rationale The AUD Employment Change and Unemployment Rate at 21:30 NY fall inside the window, so there is no directional plan. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.60493	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.60493 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.60969 1.61184 1.61365 Support: 1.60342 1.60217 1.60006 Rationale The pair has drifted inside the 1.60006-1.61368 corridor since 2 September with no trend. CAD Retail Sales at 08:30 NY adds noise without giving direction. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	209.636	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 209.636 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 210.183 210.898 211.283 Support: 209.574 209.429 207.871 Rationale Sterling weakness is already carried by the GBPUSD short. This low-confidence range setup needs a target 1.3 ATR away, which gives no edge above the baseline. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.09233	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.09233 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.09542 1.09674 1.10059 Support: 1.09136 1.08961 1.08495 Rationale The SNB Policy Rate decision at 03:30 NY and the press conference at 04:00 fall inside the window, so there is no directional plan. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.88116	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.88116 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.88417 1.88908 1.89510 Support: 1.87548 1.87331 1.87000 Rationale The AUD Employment Change and Unemployment Rate at 21:30 NY fall inside the window, so there is no directional plan. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.86730	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.86730 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.87222 1.87890 1.88522 Support: 1.86552 1.86480 1.86074 Rationale The pair is ranging between 1.86074 and 1.8789 with a flat MACD and balanced retail positioning. There is no directional edge ahead of CAD Retail Sales at 08:30 NY. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.33406	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 2.33406 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.33827 2.34815 2.34897 Support: 2.33172 2.32640 2.32450 Rationale Redundant with the short-NZD plans in EURNZD and NZDJPY, and GBP is sliding after the UK PMI miss. The 1:1 target needs 2.34815, just under the lower high, which is not a probability worth the risk. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Neutral	Low	111.495	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 111.495 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 112.144 112.625 113.612 Support: 111.285 111.152 110.765 Rationale The AUD Employment Change and Unemployment Rate at 21:30 NY fall inside the window, so there is no directional plan. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	112.267	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 112.267 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 112.468 112.930 113.455 Support: 111.763 111.077 110.803 Rationale The pair is compressing in a 111.763-112.468 band with only a slow repair, and retail is 63% long. There is no edge on either side. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	191.919	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 191.919 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 192.276 193.705 196.702 Support: 191.686 191.241 190.484 Rationale The SNB Policy Rate decision at 03:30 NY and the press conference at 04:00 fall inside the window, so there is no directional plan. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58080	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.58080 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58211 0.58423 0.58583 Support: 0.57978 0.57938 0.57667 Rationale Both legs have High-impact risk in the window: AUD jobs data at 21:30 NY and the SNB decision at 03:30 NY. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.99290	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.99290 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.99786 0.99911 1.00127 Support: 0.99084 0.98918 0.98198 Rationale The AUD Employment Change and Unemployment Rate at 21:30 NY fall inside the window, so there is no directional plan. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Low	1.24119	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 1.24119 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.24583 1.24910 1.25000 Support: 1.23991 1.23796 1.23419 Rationale The AUD Employment Change and Unemployment Rate at 21:30 NY fall inside the window, so there is no directional plan. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.46802	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.46802 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.47039 0.47196 0.47377 Support: 0.46799 0.46728 0.46500 Rationale The SNB Policy Rate decision at 03:30 NY and the press conference at 04:00 fall inside the window, so there is no directional plan. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.79996	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.79996 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.80401 0.80667 0.81192 Support: 0.79843 0.79803 0.79500 Rationale Redundant with the short-NZD plans in EURNZD and NZDJPY. The 0.798-0.799 floor has held four times, and CAD Retail Sales at 08:30 NY adds two-way risk. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58499	—	—	—	—	—
Forecast Details Confidence Low Analysis Price 0.58499 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58565 0.58644 0.58805 Support: 0.58322 0.58294 0.57862 Rationale The SNB Policy Rate decision at 03:30 NY and the press conference at 04:00 fall inside the window, so there is no directional plan. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$5 average per $100 risked

51 of 78 picks filled, over 26 verified days · target hit 20%

Every plan on the board

−$7 average per $100 risked

254 plans over 26 verified days · target hit 9%

26 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 51 picks the honest range around the +$5 runs from −$18 to +$27 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 78 picks published, 51 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 16 of the 51 picks lost the full $100, against 31 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 100% of the Top 3 result, and 25 of the 51 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$16 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 254 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 23 Sep 2026)

Target hit 9% (24)
Stop hit 23% (59)
Timed out 67% (171)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 131 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

29% Win rate 24 of 83 plans closed at target or stop

-0.07R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.08R Timed-out average how those 171 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%

12 of 54 plans

Bearish

41%

12 of 29 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
GBPJPY	67%	2 / 3
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
USDCAD	50%	2 / 4
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
EURUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
AUDUSD	33%	2 / 6
EURCHF	29%	2 / 7
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
NZDUSD	25%	1 / 4
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 3
EURGBP	0%	0 / 3
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the hourly candles confirm it happened after the order filled. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the hourly candles say which one came first — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same hour, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

23 Sep 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $56

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.14545 → 1.14292	Not filled	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.40540 → 1.41289	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.57340 → 0.56942	Not filled	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93970 → 0.93729	Timed out	+0.38R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Bearish	1.09570 → 1.09136	Not filled	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58350 → 0.58583	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDCAD	Bullish	1.00000 → 1.00500	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24130 → 1.24777	Timed out	-0.16R
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.47055 → 0.46799	Not filled	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Bearish	0.58400 → 0.57862	Timed out	-0.41R
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

22 Sep 2026 2 target · 3 stop · 1 timed out $100 → $88

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Bearish	1.33740 → 1.33355	Target hit	+1.20R
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.82060 → 0.82390	Timed out	-0.05R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.40270 → 1.40804	Target hit	+1.14R
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.00400 → 2.01118	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.33550 → 2.34250	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.47010 → 0.46799	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

21 Sep 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $76

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.82180 → 0.82593	Timed out	-0.25R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.39800 → 1.40139	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.57270 → 0.57034	Timed out	+0.48R
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.94440 → 0.94743	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bearish	1.88090 → 1.87548	Not filled	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58540 → 0.58751	Timed out	-0.50R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24410 → 1.25000	Timed out	+0.27R
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80090 → 0.79803	Timed out	-0.47R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

18 Sep 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 6 timed out $100 → $96

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.82370 → 0.82639	Timed out	-0.70R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.39870 → 1.40804	Timed out	+0.17R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.57335 → 0.57034	Timed out	+0.34R
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.94580 → 0.94790	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.00380 → 2.01205	Timed out	+0.46R
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Bullish	0.58585 → 0.58752	Timed out	-0.08R
AUDCAD	Bullish	0.99470 → 0.99911	Timed out	+0.55R
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24000 → 1.24500	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

17 Sep 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $60

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.14700 → 1.13911	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.82510 → 0.83000	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.39830 → 1.40804	Timed out	+0.18R
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURJPY	Bearish	179.260 → 178.135	Not filled	–
EURCHF	Bullish	0.94600 → 0.95000	Timed out	+0.22R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Bearish	111.800 → 111.140	Not filled	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels across multiple timeframes.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 16%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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The AI plan of the day on your chart: entry, stop and two targets for every market our AI reads as directional. The Trade Panel runs the whole account from one chart — five-factor signals, orders prefilled from the plan with automatic lot sizing, close-only account protection. The new Chart Panel sits beside each chart you trade: retail positioning, our signal and the AI plan for that market, levels drawn on the chart, stop and target you can drag. Available now: one license, both panels.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

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