Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Thursday, 24 September 2026 Forecast for: Friday, 25 September 2026 Plan window: Thu 23:00 – Fri 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-09-24

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The US dollar stays in charge as traders price a likely Fed rate hike in October and Treasury yields hold at multi-decade highs, so today's plans lean long USD against the euro, the Swiss franc and gold. The New Zealand dollar remains the weakest major, and the plans sell it against the euro, the Canadian dollar and the yen, while the franc is also sold against the euro after the Swiss National Bank held rates at 0%. Sterling pairs are on hold ahead of a speech by Bank of England Governor Bailey, and the plans avoid selling the yen with USDJPY close to the 160 area where Japan has intervened before.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

GBP BOE Gov Bailey Speaks at 05:15 NY (High impact): all sterling pairs on hold
USD Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations at 10:00 NY
JPY: intervention risk as USDJPY approaches the 159.78-160.40 zone after reported rate checks by Japan
USD: Treasury yields at multi-decade highs on October Fed hike bets; China bank holiday thins Asian liquidity

Best Opportunities

NZDJPY Bearish

EURUSD Bearish

USDCHF Bullish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (254 filled plans), 9% hit the target, 23% hit the stop and 67% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

NZDJPY

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.34

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 90.130 Sell limit

Stop Loss 90.600 (47.0 pips)

Conservative Target 89.498 (63.2 pips)

Optimal Target 88.962 (116.8 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 90.093 90.545 91.203

Support: 89.498 88.962

Rationale

The weakest yen cross, with retail 77% long, and yen intervention risk as USDJPY nears 160 makes the short the asymmetric side. Stop above 90.545, target the 89.498 support.

Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

EURUSD

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.32

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.13830 Sell limit

Stop Loss 1.14080 (25.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.13500 (33.0 pips)

Optimal Target 1.13000 (83.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.13993 1.14357 1.14777

Support: 1.13597 1.13500 1.13000

Rationale

Lower highs since 1.1654 and a Treasury-yield surge on October Fed hike bets keep sellers in control, with retail 75% long. Stop above the 1.13993 Sep 24 high at 0.5 ATR; strong euro data, oversold RSI and the 10:00 NY UoM release keep confidence medium.

Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail

USDCHF

Bullish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.08

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.82720 Buy limit

Stop Loss 0.82460 (26.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.83000 (28.0 pips)

Optimal Target 0.83500 (78.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.82966 0.83000 0.83500

Support: 0.82639 0.82289 0.81833

Rationale

Breakout above the 0.82639 box ceiling with retail 71% short, and the SNB hold at 0% against rising Fed hike bets widens the rate gap. Stop sized at 0.5 ATR beyond the 0.82639 support; the 10:00 NY UoM data keeps confidence at medium.

Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	Medium	1.13767	1.13830Sell limit	1.14080	1.13500	+0.10R	1:1.32	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 1.13767 Entry Point 1.13830 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.14080 Conservative Target 1.13500 Risk:Reward 1:1.32 Optimal Target 1.13000 Stop Loss Distance 25.0 pips Target Distance 33.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.13993 1.14357 1.14777 Support: 1.13597 1.13500 1.13000 Rationale Lower highs since 1.1654 and a Treasury-yield surge on October Fed hike bets keep sellers in control, with retail 75% long. Stop above the 1.13993 Sep 24 high at 0.5 ATR; strong euro data, oversold RSI and the 10:00 NY UoM release keep confidence medium. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Bullish	Medium	0.82788	0.82720Buy limit	0.82460	0.83000	+0.10R	1:1.08	+0.49RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 0.82788 Entry Point 0.82720 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.82460 Conservative Target 0.83000 Risk:Reward 1:1.08 Optimal Target 0.83500 Stop Loss Distance 26.0 pips Target Distance 28.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.82966 0.83000 0.83500 Support: 0.82639 0.82289 0.81833 Rationale Breakout above the 0.82639 box ceiling with retail 71% short, and the SNB hold at 0% against rising Fed hike bets widens the rate gap. Stop sized at 0.5 ATR beyond the 0.82639 support; the 10:00 NY UoM data keeps confidence at medium. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Bearish	Medium	90.040	90.130Sell limit	90.600	89.498	+0.10R	1:1.34	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 90.040 Entry Point 90.130 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 90.600 Conservative Target 89.498 Risk:Reward 1:1.34 Optimal Target 88.962 Stop Loss Distance 47.0 pips Target Distance 63.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 90.093 90.545 91.203 Support: 89.498 88.962 Rationale The weakest yen cross, with retail 77% long, and yen intervention risk as USDJPY nears 160 makes the short the asymmetric side. Stop above 90.545, target the 89.498 support. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Bullish	Medium	2.00785	2.00640Buy limit	1.99950	2.01372	+0.08R	1:1.06	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 2.00785 Entry Point 2.00640 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.99950 Conservative Target 2.01372 Risk:Reward 1:1.06 Optimal Target 2.02000 Stop Loss Distance 69.0 pips Target Distance 73.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 2.01232 2.01372 2.02000 Support: 2.00005 1.99403 1.98961 Rationale Uptrend plateau above 2.00 with retail 69% short, and strong German Ifo and euro PMI data back the euro against the weakest currency on the sheet. Target is the 2.01372 ceiling that capped three sessions, hence medium confidence. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Bearish	Medium	0.80067	0.80130Sell limit	0.80435	0.79803	+0.08R	1:1.07	-0.03RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 0.80067 Entry Point 0.80130 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.80435 Conservative Target 0.79803 Risk:Reward 1:1.07 Optimal Target 0.79500 Stop Loss Distance 30.5 pips Target Distance 32.7 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.80203 0.80401 0.80667 Support: 0.79918 0.79803 0.79500 Rationale Downtrend coiling under 0.80203 with 81% of retail long, and the kiwi is the weakest currency on the sheet while firmer oil helps CAD. Stop above 0.80401, target the 0.79803 September low. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Bearish	Medium	4275.11	4288.00Sell limit	4338.00	4234.83	+0.08R	1:1.06	-0.07RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 4275.11 Entry Point 4288.00 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 4338.00 Conservative Target 4234.83 Risk:Reward 1:1.06 Optimal Target 4200.00 Stop Loss Distance 50.0 pts Target Distance 53.2 pts Key Levels Resistance: 4303.35 4369.84 4399.70 Support: 4244.31 4234.83 4200.00 Rationale Lower-high sequence and a fresh bearish MACD cross, with multi-decade-high Treasury yields weighing on gold and retail 66% long. Volatility stop of about 0.5 ATR because 4369.8 is too far; oil and Iran headlines are the upside risk. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Bullish	Low	0.94184	0.94130Buy limit	0.93940	0.94353	+0.07R	1:1.17	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.07R Analysis Price 0.94184 Entry Point 0.94130 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 0.93940 Conservative Target 0.94353 Risk:Reward 1:1.17 Optimal Target 0.94767 Stop Loss Distance 19.0 pips Target Distance 22.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.94353 0.94767 Support: 0.93973 0.93730 0.93073 Rationale Hammer off an exact retest of the 0.9373 September low, with the SNB holding at 0% while an ECB October hike stays in play. MACD is still below signal, so confidence is low. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	158.936	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 158.936 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 159.780 160.395 162.773 Support: 158.026 157.339 156.673 Rationale The structure is bullish, but the 159.78-160.40 zone overhead is where yen intervention risk is back in focus after reported rate checks by Japan. Buying dips into possible official yen buying is fighting the tape, and a short has no edge against rising US yields. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.86791	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.86791 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.87038 1.87854 1.88522 Support: 1.86552 1.86474 1.86074 Rationale BOE Governor Bailey speaks at 05:15 NY (High impact), and the range read offers no trend. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.33276	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 2.33276 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.33828 2.34839 2.35412 Support: 2.33172 2.32545 2.29628 Rationale BOE Governor Bailey speaks at 05:15 NY (High impact), so no plan despite the kiwi weakness; short-NZD is carried by NZDJPY, NZDCAD and EURNZD. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Neutral	Low	111.476	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 111.476 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 111.649 112.312 112.625 Support: 111.152 110.765 109.671 Rationale Flat range read with lower highs, but a short needs a break of 110.76 to reach 1:1. Long-yen exposure is already carried by NZDJPY. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.99125	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.99125 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.99257 0.99786 1.00127 Support: 0.99020 0.98918 0.98198 Rationale Follow-through toward the 0.98918 range floor, but the target barely clears 1:1 at a level that has held before. Long-CAD is expressed in NZDCAD. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	180.811	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 180.811 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 180.857 181.552 183.645 Support: 180.018 179.369 177.853 Rationale Price is at the 180.86 top of its box with no trend, and selling the yen as USDJPY nears 160 risks meeting official intervention. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Low	1.23808	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.23808 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.24102 1.24583 1.24910 Support: 1.23569 1.23013 1.22781 Rationale The uptrend is pausing after three lower closes with MACD under signal, and weak Australian jobs data blunts the AUD leg. Redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDJPY, NZDCAD and EURNZD. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58571	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58571 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58644 0.58805 0.59078 Support: 0.58348 0.58294 0.57862 Rationale Both legs are weakening against the dollar, leaving the cross without a driver inside its 0.5829-0.5908 range. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	210.070	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 210.070 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 210.898 211.283 213.675 Support: 209.574 208.776 207.871 Rationale BOE Governor Bailey speaks at 05:15 NY (High impact), and the pair is chopping inside 208.78-210.90 anyway. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.88423	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.88423 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.88583 1.89234 1.89510 Support: 1.87977 1.87394 1.87331 Rationale BOE Governor Bailey speaks at 05:15 NY (High impact), and price sits mid-range in 1.8733-1.8951. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Neutral	Low	0.86074	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.86074 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.86100 0.86250 Support: 0.85932 0.85769 0.85696 Rationale BOE Governor Bailey speaks at 05:15 NY (High impact), so no plan on the test of the 0.8610 range top. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58073	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58073 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58283 0.58583 0.58825 Support: 0.57910 0.57785 0.56687 Rationale Range-floor setup at 0.5791, but the AUD is weighed by the 4.6% jobless rate and five lower closes. Short-CHF is already carried by USDCHF and EURCHF. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.46910	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.46910 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.47038 0.47196 0.47377 Support: 0.46799 0.46727 0.46500 Rationale The 0.4673 floor has held three sessions and both legs are soft against the dollar. Redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDJPY, NZDCAD and EURNZD. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.62181	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.62181 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.62275 1.62523 1.63383 Support: 1.61646 1.61571 1.60813 Rationale Range-bound with price pressing the 1.6228-1.6252 ceiling and balanced retail; no edge either way. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.32180	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.32180 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.32560 1.33214 1.34002 Support: 1.32047 1.32000 1.31500 Rationale BOE Governor Bailey speaks at 05:15 NY (High impact) inside the window, so no sterling plan despite the bearish trend below 1.3256. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.60794	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.60794 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.61047 1.61365 1.61864 Support: 1.60328 1.60217 1.60006 Rationale Tight 1.6001-1.6137 range with RSI near 50 and a flat MACD; no edge. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.09422	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.09422 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.09674 1.10059 1.10667 Support: 1.09364 1.08961 1.08495 Rationale BOE Governor Bailey speaks at 05:15 NY (High impact), so no plan at the 1.08961 September floor. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	112.454	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 112.454 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 112.591 112.930 113.455 Support: 111.855 111.448 110.803 Rationale Rising lows, but buying a yen cross into intervention risk as USDJPY nears 160 fights the macro tape; the 112.93 cap is also close. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	191.963	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 191.963 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 192.488 193.705 195.569 Support: 191.063 190.484 189.087 Rationale Rebound structure is intact, but buying a yen cross into intervention risk near USDJPY 160 fights the tape, and the SNB hold at 0% weighs on the franc. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.70145	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.70145 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.70240 0.70450 0.70779 Support: 0.70000 0.69631 0.69223 Rationale Bearish trend and a 4.6% Australian jobless rate fit the dollar theme, but a 1:1 target needs a break of the 0.7000 handle. Redundant with the long-USD plans in EURUSD, USDCHF and XAUUSD. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Neutral	Low	1.41376	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.41376 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.41497 1.42432 1.43000 Support: 1.40968 1.40584 1.39971 Rationale Uptrend with retail 81% short, but the next resistance at 1.42432 is about 2 ATR away, so no target reaches 1:1 within range. RSI 71 and firmer oil also argue against chasing. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.56658	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.56658 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.56862 0.57271 0.57487 Support: 0.56500 0.56000 Rationale Strong downtrend, but 0.565 sits short of 1:1 from a pullback entry and 0.5600 is a stretch for one session. Redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDJPY, NZDCAD and EURNZD and the long-USD plans. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$5 average per $100 risked

78 of 117 picks filled, over 39 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

325 plans over 39 verified days · target hit 10%

39 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 78 picks the honest range around the +$5 runs from −$12 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 117 picks published, 78 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 20 of the 78 picks lost the full $100, against 45 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 69% of the Top 3 result, and 26 of the 78 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$14 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 325 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 12 Oct 2026)

Target hit 10% (34)
Stop hit 24% (78)
Timed out 66% (213)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 158 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

30% Win rate 34 of 112 plans closed at target or stop

-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.09R Timed-out average how those 213 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%

14 of 65 plans

Bearish

43%

20 of 47 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
EURJPY	67%	2 / 3
NZDJPY	67%	2 / 3
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDUSD	43%	3 / 7
EURUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
USDCAD	40%	2 / 5
XAUUSD	33%	1 / 3
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	30%	3 / 10
EURGBP	25%	1 / 4
GBPAUD	25%	1 / 4
EURNZD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
AUDJPY	20%	1 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 6
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 4
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 3
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

12 Oct 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $185

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12070 → 1.11612	Target hit	+1.12R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42470 → 1.42980	Timed out	+0.85R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56170 → 0.55930	Target hit	+1.09R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84680 → 0.84474	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.60480 → 1.60000	Timed out	+0.36R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35680 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24300 → 1.24650	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

9 Oct 2026 1 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $84

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12210 → 1.11612	Timed out	+0.61R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83060 → 0.83464	Timed out	-0.23R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84790 → 0.84613	Target hit	+1.04R
EURJPY	Bearish	177.250 → 176.516	Timed out	-0.04R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.90000 → 1.90693	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35920 → 2.36646	Timed out	-0.18R
AUDJPY	Bearish	110.000 → 109.233	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46650 → 0.46357	Timed out	+0.35R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4147.00 → 4066.46	Stop hit	-1.00R

8 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 7 timed out $100 → $125

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12100 → 1.11612	Timed out	-0.08R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83200 → 0.83615	Timed out	-0.21R
AUDUSD	Bearish	0.69710 → 0.69426	Timed out	+0.45R
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93360 → 0.92951	Timed out	+0.35R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59730 → 1.59058	Timed out	+0.82R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24270 → 1.24650	Timed out	-0.18R
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46690 → 0.46515	Timed out	+0.61R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

7 Oct 2026 1 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $106

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84862 → 0.84547	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Bearish	178.280 → 177.029	Target hit	+1.12R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88480 → 1.89118	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35780 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	89.080 → 88.329	Not filled	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.80000 → 0.79711	Not filled	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

6 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $49

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12290 → 1.11612	Timed out	-0.50R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42500 → 1.42931	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56080 → 0.55798	Timed out	-0.67R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84890 → 0.84547	Timed out	+0.35R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.93290 → 0.93018	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88400 → 1.88934	Not filled	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35880 → 2.36646	Timed out	+0.25R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46580 → 0.46330	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 16%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

ChartJudge: an AI second opinion on your chart

Paste the chart you are looking at and get the trend, the key levels, bull and bear scenarios and a plan with entry, stop and two targets, or the setups worth waiting for. Behind every analysis on 29 markets is the Forex Sentiment engine: retail positioning, the five-factor signal, levels on real prices and the calendar. Free to try with a verified email, no card needed.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

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