| EURCAD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.58850 |
1.58980Sell limit |
1.59335 |
1.58614 |
+0.10R |
1:1.03 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.58850
Entry Point
1.58980
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.59335
Conservative Target
1.58614
Risk:Reward
1:1.03
Optimal Target
1.58000
Stop Loss Distance
35.5 pips
Target Distance
36.6 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.59257
1.59626
1.60193
Support:
1.58614
1.58000
Rationale
Lower daily highs, retail 81% long and a euro that stayed the weakest major after the hot US CPI despite hawkish ECB talk all argue for selling a bounce under 1.5926 toward yesterday's 1.5861 low. The EU summit (Medium) at 06:15 NY argues for a tight stop just above resistance.
|
| EURUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.11636 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.11636
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.12050
1.12770
1.13370
Support:
1.11130
1.11000
1.10500
Rationale
USD Retail Sales, Core Retail Sales and PPI (High) at 08:30 NY fall inside the window, so no plan despite the bearish structure below 1.1205. The short-euro theme is carried by EURCAD instead.
|
| GBPUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.31966 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.31966
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.32550
1.32853
1.33110
Support:
1.31826
1.31366
1.31000
Rationale
UK GDP (High) at 02:00 NY and US Retail Sales and PPI (High) at 08:30 NY both fall inside the window. The range is also undecided after yesterday's breach and recovery of 1.3137.
|
| USDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
158.226 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
158.226
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
158.481
159.036
159.777
Support:
158.025
157.521
156.678
Rationale
US Retail Sales and PPI (High) at 08:30 NY fall inside the window. Tokyo's intervention threat near 160 also caps the upside of the coil under 159.04.
|
| USDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.83427 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.83427
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.83822
0.83947
0.84000
Support:
0.83160
0.82904
0.82272
Rationale
US Retail Sales and PPI (High) at 08:30 NY fall inside the window, so no plan on the uptrend. Yesterday's long upper wick at 0.8395 also showed the breakout stalling.
|
| AUDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.69736 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.69736
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.69898
0.70129
0.70775
Support:
0.69596
0.69326
0.69220
Rationale
Australian Employment Change and Unemployment Rate (High) at 20:30 NY and US Retail Sales and PPI (High) at 08:30 NY fall inside the window.
|
| USDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.42315 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.42315
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.42956
1.43000
1.43500
Support:
1.41960
1.41543
1.40867
Rationale
US Retail Sales and PPI (High) at 08:30 NY fall inside the window, so no plan despite the uptrend and retail at 79% short. The long-CAD view is expressed in EURCAD instead.
|
| NZDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.55920 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.55920
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.56262
0.56643
0.56872
Support:
0.55806
0.55649
0.55500
Rationale
US Retail Sales and PPI (High) at 08:30 NY fall inside the window, so no plan on the downtrend. Australian jobs data at 20:30 NY may also spill over onto the kiwi.
|
| EURGBP |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.84595 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.84595
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.84620
0.84870
0.85269
Support:
0.84474
0.84378
0.84255
Rationale
UK GDP (High) at 02:00 NY falls inside the window, so no plan despite the downtrend and retail at 81% long. The short-euro theme is carried by EURCAD.
|
| EURJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
176.635 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
176.635
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
177.589
178.336
179.309
Support:
176.516
176.212
175.500
Rationale
The pair is bearish below 177.59, but with the stop above that level the first support offering 1:1 is 175.50, beyond the two-week 176.2-178.3 band. One session is unlikely to get there, so there is no edge over the baseline.
|
| EURCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.93134 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.93134
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.93490
0.93701
0.93938
Support:
0.93018
0.92729
0.92597
Rationale
The pair is trapped in a 0.9260-0.9370 range with compressed sessions and balanced retail. SNB Chair Schlegel speaks at 00:30 NY, so there is no edge.
|
| EURAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.60083 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.60083
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.60670
1.61210
1.62272
Support:
1.59545
1.59000
Rationale
Australian Employment Change and Unemployment Rate (High) at 20:30 NY fall inside the window, so no plan despite the downtrend below 1.6121.
|
| EURNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.99631 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.99631
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.99388
2.00399
2.01110
Support:
1.99049
1.95740
1.95361
Rationale
Month-long 1.9905-2.0164 range with neutral RSI, soft MACD and mildly contrarian retail that offset each other, so there is no edge.
|
| GBPJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
208.804 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
208.804
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
210.097
210.304
211.275
Support:
208.358
208.193
207.866
Rationale
UK GDP (High) at 02:00 NY falls inside the window. The pair is also mid-range after yesterday's rejection at 210.30.
|
| GBPCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.10096 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.10096
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.10459
1.10702
1.11044
Support:
1.09963
1.09614
1.09110
Rationale
UK GDP (High) at 02:00 NY falls inside the window, and the pair is mid-range with a flat MACD.
|
| GBPAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.89237 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.89237
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.89500
1.89846
1.90693
Support:
1.88899
1.88552
1.87299
Rationale
UK GDP (High) at 02:00 NY and Australian jobs data (High) at 20:30 NY both fall inside the window.
|
| GBPCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.87780 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.87780
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.87855
1.88508
1.89071
Support:
1.87558
1.87437
1.87117
Rationale
UK GDP (High) at 02:00 NY falls inside the window, and the pair is ranging around the 1.8744-1.8756 pivot.
|
| GBPNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
2.35990 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
2.35990
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.36667
2.37000
2.38000
Support:
2.35427
2.34420
2.32432
Rationale
UK GDP (High) at 02:00 NY falls inside the window, so no plan on the press against 2.3667.
|
| AUDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
110.340 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
110.340
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
110.641
111.128
112.616
Support:
110.138
109.643
109.233
Rationale
Australian Employment Change and Unemployment Rate (High) at 20:30 NY fall inside the window. The 110.64-111.13 cap is also still intact.
|
| CADJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
111.195 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
111.195
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
111.297
111.569
112.586
Support:
110.925
110.798
110.522
Rationale
The pair is compressing in a wedge under 111.57 with RSI below 50, and retail at 65% long offsets the bullish MACD. Tokyo's intervention threat near 160 on USDJPY also argues against buying yen crosses.
|
| NZDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
88.480 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
88.480
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
89.111
89.511
90.542
Support:
88.244
88.116
87.500
Rationale
The bias is bearish, but with the stop above 89.11 the first level offering 1:1 is 87.50, below the two-week 88.12 floor and too far for one session. Australian jobs data at 20:30 NY may also jolt the kiwi.
|
| CHFJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
189.656 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
189.656
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
190.398
190.897
192.478
Support:
189.163
188.455
187.614
Rationale
This is a low-confidence bearish read just above the 189.16 range floor, so selling here leaves too little room to target. SNB Chair Schlegel also speaks at 00:30 NY.
|
| AUDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58179 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.58179
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58464
0.58571
0.58825
Support:
0.58095
0.58006
0.57875
Rationale
Australian Employment Change and Unemployment Rate (High) at 20:30 NY fall inside the window, so no plan on the recovery.
|
| AUDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.99230 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.99230
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.99256
0.99662
0.99756
Support:
0.98962
0.98389
0.98193
Rationale
Australian Employment Change and Unemployment Rate (High) at 20:30 NY fall inside the window, and the pair is trendless at its pivot.
|
| AUDNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.24708 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.24708
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.24650
1.24943
1.25000
Support:
1.24268
1.24046
1.23565
Rationale
Australian Employment Change and Unemployment Rate (High) at 20:30 NY fall inside the window, so no plan on the test of 1.2494.
|
| NZDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.46653 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.46653
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.46811
0.47237
0.47371
Support:
0.46679
0.46585
0.46433
Rationale
The pair is stuck in a 0.4643-0.4685 range with mixed momentum and mild retail crowding, so there is no edge.
|
| NZDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.79571 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.79571
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.79933
0.80200
0.80394
Support:
0.79543
0.79470
0.79000
Rationale
The structure is bearish, but price sits on 0.7954-0.7947 support, and with the stop above 0.7993 only 0.7900 offers 1:1, too far for one session. Australian jobs data at 20:30 NY may also spill onto the kiwi.
|
| CADCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58630 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.58630
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58778
0.58866
0.59074
Support:
0.58460
0.58280
0.58018
Rationale
The pair is testing 0.5878-0.5887 resistance with a flat MACD and balanced retail, so a breakout is not confirmed and there is no edge.
|
| XAUUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
4106.18 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
4106.18
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
4120.34
4166.08
4217.17
Support:
4073.47
4066.46
4019.14
Rationale
US Retail Sales, Core Retail Sales and PPI (High) at 08:30 NY fall inside the window. That keeps gold flat despite the lower highs below 4166.
|