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Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Wednesday, 14 October 2026 Forecast for: Thursday, 15 October 2026 Plan window: Wed 23:00 – Thu 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

You are viewing an archived forecast

This is the forex forecast generated for 14 October 2026. View current forecast

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The dollar firmed after a hotter US CPI print, and the euro stayed the weakest major as French fiscal worries outweighed hawkish ECB talk. Today's plans express one theme: a short euro against the Canadian dollar. Pairs on the US dollar, sterling and the Australian dollar stay flat ahead of Thursday's top-tier data, and yen crosses are left alone while Tokyo's intervention threat caps yen weakness.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

  • AUD Employment Change and Unemployment Rate at 20:30 NY (Wed)
  • GBP GDP m/m at 02:00 NY
  • USD Retail Sales, Core Retail Sales and PPI at 08:30 NY
  • JPY: intervention risk near 160 after official warnings; BoJ seen holding in October

Best Opportunities

EURCAD Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (333 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 23% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

EURCAD

Bearish Medium Confidence
R/R 1:1.03

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.58980 Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.59335 (35.5 pips)
Conservative Target 1.58614 (36.6 pips)
Optimal Target 1.58000 (98.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.59257 1.59626 1.60193
Support: 1.58614 1.58000

Rationale

Lower daily highs, retail 81% long and a euro that stayed the weakest major after the hot US CPI despite hawkish ECB talk all argue for selling a bounce under 1.5926 toward yesterday's 1.5861 low. The EU summit (Medium) at 06:15 NY argues for a tight stop just above resistance.

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair Direction Confidence Analysis Price Entry Stop Loss Target Expected result Risk:Reward

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 1.58850
Entry Point 1.58980
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.59335
Conservative Target 1.58614
Risk:Reward 1:1.03
Optimal Target 1.58000
Stop Loss Distance 35.5 pips
Target Distance 36.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.59257 1.59626 1.60193
Support: 1.58614 1.58000

Rationale

Lower daily highs, retail 81% long and a euro that stayed the weakest major after the hot US CPI despite hawkish ECB talk all argue for selling a bounce under 1.5926 toward yesterday's 1.5861 low. The EU summit (Medium) at 06:15 NY argues for a tight stop just above resistance.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.11636
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.12050 1.12770 1.13370
Support: 1.11130 1.11000 1.10500

Rationale

USD Retail Sales, Core Retail Sales and PPI (High) at 08:30 NY fall inside the window, so no plan despite the bearish structure below 1.1205. The short-euro theme is carried by EURCAD instead.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.31966
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.32550 1.32853 1.33110
Support: 1.31826 1.31366 1.31000

Rationale

UK GDP (High) at 02:00 NY and US Retail Sales and PPI (High) at 08:30 NY both fall inside the window. The range is also undecided after yesterday's breach and recovery of 1.3137.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 158.226
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 158.481 159.036 159.777
Support: 158.025 157.521 156.678

Rationale

US Retail Sales and PPI (High) at 08:30 NY fall inside the window. Tokyo's intervention threat near 160 also caps the upside of the coil under 159.04.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.83427
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.83822 0.83947 0.84000
Support: 0.83160 0.82904 0.82272

Rationale

US Retail Sales and PPI (High) at 08:30 NY fall inside the window, so no plan on the uptrend. Yesterday's long upper wick at 0.8395 also showed the breakout stalling.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.69736
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.69898 0.70129 0.70775
Support: 0.69596 0.69326 0.69220

Rationale

Australian Employment Change and Unemployment Rate (High) at 20:30 NY and US Retail Sales and PPI (High) at 08:30 NY fall inside the window.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.42315
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.42956 1.43000 1.43500
Support: 1.41960 1.41543 1.40867

Rationale

US Retail Sales and PPI (High) at 08:30 NY fall inside the window, so no plan despite the uptrend and retail at 79% short. The long-CAD view is expressed in EURCAD instead.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.55920
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.56262 0.56643 0.56872
Support: 0.55806 0.55649 0.55500

Rationale

US Retail Sales and PPI (High) at 08:30 NY fall inside the window, so no plan on the downtrend. Australian jobs data at 20:30 NY may also spill over onto the kiwi.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.84595
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.84620 0.84870 0.85269
Support: 0.84474 0.84378 0.84255

Rationale

UK GDP (High) at 02:00 NY falls inside the window, so no plan despite the downtrend and retail at 81% long. The short-euro theme is carried by EURCAD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 176.635
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 177.589 178.336 179.309
Support: 176.516 176.212 175.500

Rationale

The pair is bearish below 177.59, but with the stop above that level the first support offering 1:1 is 175.50, beyond the two-week 176.2-178.3 band. One session is unlikely to get there, so there is no edge over the baseline.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.93134
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.93490 0.93701 0.93938
Support: 0.93018 0.92729 0.92597

Rationale

The pair is trapped in a 0.9260-0.9370 range with compressed sessions and balanced retail. SNB Chair Schlegel speaks at 00:30 NY, so there is no edge.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.60083
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.60670 1.61210 1.62272
Support: 1.59545 1.59000

Rationale

Australian Employment Change and Unemployment Rate (High) at 20:30 NY fall inside the window, so no plan despite the downtrend below 1.6121.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.99631
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.99388 2.00399 2.01110
Support: 1.99049 1.95740 1.95361

Rationale

Month-long 1.9905-2.0164 range with neutral RSI, soft MACD and mildly contrarian retail that offset each other, so there is no edge.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 208.804
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 210.097 210.304 211.275
Support: 208.358 208.193 207.866

Rationale

UK GDP (High) at 02:00 NY falls inside the window. The pair is also mid-range after yesterday's rejection at 210.30.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.10096
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.10459 1.10702 1.11044
Support: 1.09963 1.09614 1.09110

Rationale

UK GDP (High) at 02:00 NY falls inside the window, and the pair is mid-range with a flat MACD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.89237
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.89500 1.89846 1.90693
Support: 1.88899 1.88552 1.87299

Rationale

UK GDP (High) at 02:00 NY and Australian jobs data (High) at 20:30 NY both fall inside the window.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.87780
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.87855 1.88508 1.89071
Support: 1.87558 1.87437 1.87117

Rationale

UK GDP (High) at 02:00 NY falls inside the window, and the pair is ranging around the 1.8744-1.8756 pivot.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 2.35990
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.36667 2.37000 2.38000
Support: 2.35427 2.34420 2.32432

Rationale

UK GDP (High) at 02:00 NY falls inside the window, so no plan on the press against 2.3667.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 110.340
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 110.641 111.128 112.616
Support: 110.138 109.643 109.233

Rationale

Australian Employment Change and Unemployment Rate (High) at 20:30 NY fall inside the window. The 110.64-111.13 cap is also still intact.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 111.195
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 111.297 111.569 112.586
Support: 110.925 110.798 110.522

Rationale

The pair is compressing in a wedge under 111.57 with RSI below 50, and retail at 65% long offsets the bullish MACD. Tokyo's intervention threat near 160 on USDJPY also argues against buying yen crosses.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 88.480
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 89.111 89.511 90.542
Support: 88.244 88.116 87.500

Rationale

The bias is bearish, but with the stop above 89.11 the first level offering 1:1 is 87.50, below the two-week 88.12 floor and too far for one session. Australian jobs data at 20:30 NY may also jolt the kiwi.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 189.656
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 190.398 190.897 192.478
Support: 189.163 188.455 187.614

Rationale

This is a low-confidence bearish read just above the 189.16 range floor, so selling here leaves too little room to target. SNB Chair Schlegel also speaks at 00:30 NY.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.58179
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58464 0.58571 0.58825
Support: 0.58095 0.58006 0.57875

Rationale

Australian Employment Change and Unemployment Rate (High) at 20:30 NY fall inside the window, so no plan on the recovery.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.99230
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.99256 0.99662 0.99756
Support: 0.98962 0.98389 0.98193

Rationale

Australian Employment Change and Unemployment Rate (High) at 20:30 NY fall inside the window, and the pair is trendless at its pivot.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.24708
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.24650 1.24943 1.25000
Support: 1.24268 1.24046 1.23565

Rationale

Australian Employment Change and Unemployment Rate (High) at 20:30 NY fall inside the window, so no plan on the test of 1.2494.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.46653
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.46811 0.47237 0.47371
Support: 0.46679 0.46585 0.46433

Rationale

The pair is stuck in a 0.4643-0.4685 range with mixed momentum and mild retail crowding, so there is no edge.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.79571
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.79933 0.80200 0.80394
Support: 0.79543 0.79470 0.79000

Rationale

The structure is bearish, but price sits on 0.7954-0.7947 support, and with the stop above 0.7993 only 0.7900 offers 1:1, too far for one session. Australian jobs data at 20:30 NY may also spill onto the kiwi.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.58630
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58778 0.58866 0.59074
Support: 0.58460 0.58280 0.58018

Rationale

The pair is testing 0.5878-0.5887 resistance with a flat MACD and balanced retail, so a breakout is not confirmed and there is no edge.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 4106.18
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 4120.34 4166.08 4217.17
Support: 4073.47 4066.46 4019.14

Rationale

US Retail Sales, Core Retail Sales and PPI (High) at 08:30 NY fall inside the window. That keeps gold flat despite the lower highs below 4166.

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$6 average per $100 risked

84 of 123 picks filled, over 41 verified days · target hit 17%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

338 plans over 41 verified days · target hit 11%

41 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 84 picks the honest range around the +$6 runs from −$10 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 123 picks published, 84 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 21 of the 84 picks lost the full $100, against 49 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 58% of the Top 3 result, and 27 of the 84 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$13 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 338 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 14 Oct 2026)

  • Target hit 11% (36)
  • Stop hit 23% (79)
  • Timed out 66% (223)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 159 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown
31% Win rate 36 of 115 plans closed at target or stop
-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one
+0.08R Timed-out average how those 223 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

21%
14 of 66 plans

Bearish

45%
22 of 49 plans

Win rate by pair

PairWin ratePlans
EURJPY
75%
3 / 4
NZDJPY
75%
3 / 4
GBPJPY
75%
3 / 4
AUDCHF
50%
3 / 6
NZDCAD
50%
2 / 4
AUDUSD
43%
3 / 7
EURUSD
40%
2 / 5
NZDUSD
40%
2 / 5
USDCAD
40%
2 / 5
XAUUSD
33%
1 / 3
GBPUSD
33%
1 / 3
CHFJPY
33%
1 / 3
EURCHF
30%
3 / 10
EURGBP
25%
1 / 4
GBPAUD
25%
1 / 4
EURNZD
25%
1 / 4
USDCHF
25%
1 / 4
USDJPY
25%
1 / 4
AUDJPY
20%
1 / 5
GBPCAD
0%
0 / 7
NZDCHF
0%
0 / 4
AUDCAD
0%
0 / 3
GBPNZD
0%
0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit
Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit
Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out
The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled
Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken
Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

14 Oct 2026 2 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $137
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84525 → 0.84378 Timed out -0.30R
EURJPY Bearish 177.500 → 176.516 Target hit +1.54R
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59330 → 1.58963 Not filled –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88350 → 1.88971 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Bullish 2.36000 → 2.36667 Timed out -0.10R
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.980 → 88.389 Target hit +1.69R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
13 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 8 timed out $100 → $91
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.11680 → 1.11000 Timed out -0.55R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83410 → 0.83822 Timed out -0.35R
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84500 → 0.84250 Timed out +0.01R
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Bearish 1.60430 → 1.60000 Timed out +0.18R
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.720 → 88.244 Timed out -0.38R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46680 → 0.46433 Timed out -0.31R
NZDCAD Bearish 0.79860 → 0.79581 Timed out +0.28R
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Bearish 4183.00 → 4110.89 Timed out +0.38R
12 Oct 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $185
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12070 → 1.11612 Target hit +1.12R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.42470 → 1.42980 Timed out +0.85R
NZDUSD Bearish 0.56170 → 0.55930 Target hit +1.09R
EURGBP Bearish 0.84680 → 0.84474 Not filled –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Bearish 1.60480 → 1.60000 Timed out +0.36R
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35680 → 2.36646 Not filled –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Bullish 1.24300 → 1.24650 Not filled –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
9 Oct 2026 1 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $84
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12210 → 1.11612 Timed out +0.61R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83060 → 0.83464 Timed out -0.23R
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84790 → 0.84613 Target hit +1.04R
EURJPY Bearish 177.250 → 176.516 Timed out -0.04R
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.90000 → 1.90693 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35920 → 2.36646 Timed out -0.18R
AUDJPY Bearish 110.000 → 109.233 Stop hit -1.00R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46650 → 0.46357 Timed out +0.35R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Bearish 4147.00 → 4066.46 Stop hit -1.00R
8 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 7 timed out $100 → $125
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12100 → 1.11612 Timed out -0.08R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83200 → 0.83615 Timed out -0.21R
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69710 → 0.69426 Timed out +0.45R
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bearish 0.93360 → 0.92951 Timed out +0.35R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59730 → 1.59058 Timed out +0.82R
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Bullish 1.24270 → 1.24650 Timed out -0.18R
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46690 → 0.46515 Timed out +0.61R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

  1. Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
  2. Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
  3. AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
  4. Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

  • Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
  • Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
  • Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
  • Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
  • Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
  • Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 17%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

  • Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
  • Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
  • Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
  • Adjust position size based on expected volatility
  • Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
  • Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

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