Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Thursday, 15 October 2026 Forecast for: Friday, 16 October 2026 Plan window: Thu 23:00 – Fri 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-10-15

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The Australian dollar is the weakest major heading into Friday. A surprise drop in September jobs cut bets on another RBA hike, and a chip-led equity sell-off keeps demand for the Swiss franc and the yen alive. Today's plans express four themes: short AUD, short NZD where retail traders are heavily long, long CHF and JPY as safe havens, and long CAD against the euro. Fed Chair Warsh and BoE Governor Bailey both speak inside the session, so every USD, GBP and gold pair stays on the sidelines today.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

GBP BOE Gov Bailey Speaks at 22:00 NY (Thu)
USD Fed Chairman Warsh Speaks at 23:30 NY (Thu)
CAD BOC Gov Macklem Speaks at 00:15 NY
AUD: RBA hike bets faded after the September jobs loss; watch AUDCHF at the 0.5704 low and AUDJPY at 108.63

Best Opportunities

AUDJPY Bearish

AUDCHF Bearish

EURCAD Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (338 filled plans), 11% hit the target, 23% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

AUDJPY

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.54

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 109.520 Sell limit

Stop Loss 110.050 (53.0 pips)

Conservative Target 108.703 (81.7 pips)

Optimal Target 108.631 (88.9 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 109.892 110.388 110.641

Support: 109.233 108.703 108.631

Rationale

Thursday's candle erased the 14 Oct rally after the Australian jobs loss cut RBA hike bets, and the chip-led equity sell-off favours JPY. Sell a pullback toward 109.5 with the stop above 109.89 resistance, targeting the 108.70-108.63 lows.

Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail

AUDCHF

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.81

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.57290 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.57600 (31.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.56728 (56.2 pips)

Optimal Target 0.56665 (62.5 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.57289 0.57779 0.58213

Support: 0.57043 0.56728 0.56665

Rationale

Sell a retest of the broken 0.5729 floor after the AUD jobs miss, with CHF firm on risk-off. 0.5778 is more than 1 ATR away, so a 0.7 ATR volatility stop is used, and the target is the 0.5673 pivot because Thursday's 0.5704 low sits closer than the stop.

Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

EURCAD

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.32

Expected result +0.08 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.59220 Sell limit

Stop Loss 1.59680 (46.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.58614 (60.6 pips)

Optimal Target 1.58000 (122.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.59626 1.60193 1.60671

Support: 1.59058 1.58614 1.58000

Rationale

Lower highs since 1 Oct and a 75% retail-long book favour selling Thursday's bounce below the 1.5963 cap, with the stop above it. Macklem's 00:15 NY remarks are a medium-impact risk on the CAD leg.

Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
AUDCHF	Bearish	Medium	0.57255	0.57290Sell limit	0.57600	0.56728	+0.10R	1:1.81	+0.19RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 0.57255 Entry Point 0.57290 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.57600 Conservative Target 0.56728 Risk:Reward 1:1.81 Optimal Target 0.56665 Stop Loss Distance 31.0 pips Target Distance 56.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.57289 0.57779 0.58213 Support: 0.57043 0.56728 0.56665 Rationale Sell a retest of the broken 0.5729 floor after the AUD jobs miss, with CHF firm on risk-off. 0.5778 is more than 1 ATR away, so a 0.7 ATR volatility stop is used, and the target is the 0.5673 pivot because Thursday's 0.5704 low sits closer than the stop. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Bearish	Medium	109.404	109.520Sell limit	110.050	108.703	+0.09R	1:1.54	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 109.404 Entry Point 109.520 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 110.050 Conservative Target 108.703 Risk:Reward 1:1.54 Optimal Target 108.631 Stop Loss Distance 53.0 pips Target Distance 81.7 pips Key Levels Resistance: 109.892 110.388 110.641 Support: 109.233 108.703 108.631 Rationale Thursday's candle erased the 14 Oct rally after the Australian jobs loss cut RBA hike bets, and the chip-led equity sell-off favours JPY. Sell a pullback toward 109.5 with the stop above 109.89 resistance, targeting the 108.70-108.63 lows. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Bearish	Low	88.845	88.950Sell limit	89.300	88.283	+0.09R	1:1.91	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 88.845 Entry Point 88.950 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 89.300 Conservative Target 88.283 Risk:Reward 1:1.91 Optimal Target 88.116 Stop Loss Distance 35.0 pips Target Distance 66.7 pips Key Levels Resistance: 89.073 89.111 89.511 Support: 88.283 88.244 88.116 Rationale Retail is 78% long in a range that keeps failing at 89.07-89.11, so sell just under that cap with the stop above it. The risk-off tone favours JPY, but starting from mid-range keeps confidence low. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Bearish	Medium	0.98223	0.98300Sell limit	0.98620	0.97906	+0.09R	1:1.23	+0.30RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 0.98223 Entry Point 0.98300 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.98620 Conservative Target 0.97906 Risk:Reward 1:1.23 Optimal Target 0.97800 Stop Loss Distance 32.0 pips Target Distance 39.4 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.98389 0.98826 0.99267 Support: 0.98193 0.98045 0.97906 Rationale Price broke below 0.9839 after weak Australian jobs data. The entry is shallow because Thursday closed near its low, with a 0.56 ATR stop above 0.9839 resistance, and BOC Gov Macklem (medium, 00:15 NY) caps confidence at medium. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Bearish	Low	0.46496	0.46535Sell limit	0.46720	0.46330	+0.09R	1:1.11	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.09R Analysis Price 0.46496 Entry Point 0.46535 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.46720 Conservative Target 0.46330 Risk:Reward 1:1.11 Optimal Target 0.46000 Stop Loss Distance 18.5 pips Target Distance 20.5 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.46685 0.46811 0.47081 Support: 0.46433 0.46330 0.46000 Rationale Retail is a crowded 73% long and the range has stalled near its 0.4633 floor, so sell a pullback with the stop above 0.4669 resistance. CHF firmed across the board on Thursday, but a target at the range floor keeps confidence low. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Bearish	Medium	1.59121	1.59220Sell limit	1.59680	1.58614	+0.08R	1:1.32	+0.70RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 1.59121 Entry Point 1.59220 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.59680 Conservative Target 1.58614 Risk:Reward 1:1.32 Optimal Target 1.58000 Stop Loss Distance 46.0 pips Target Distance 60.6 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.59626 1.60193 1.60671 Support: 1.59058 1.58614 1.58000 Rationale Lower highs since 1 Oct and a 75% retail-long book favour selling Thursday's bounce below the 1.5963 cap, with the stop above it. Macklem's 00:15 NY remarks are a medium-impact risk on the CAD leg. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.12124	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.12124 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.12409 1.12854 1.13801 Support: 1.11612 1.11525 1.11130 Rationale Fed Chairman Warsh speaks at 23:30 NY (High impact, USD) inside the plan window, so there is no directional plan despite the bearish lower-high structure. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.32722	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.32722 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.32853 1.33110 1.33999 Support: 1.32040 1.31826 1.31366 Rationale BOE Gov Bailey (22:00 NY) and Fed Chairman Warsh (23:30 NY), both High impact, fall inside the window. The range bias and 50/50 retail split offer no edge anyway. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	158.071	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 158.071 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 158.056 158.481 158.752 Support: 157.521 156.948 156.375 Rationale Fed Chairman Warsh speaks at 23:30 NY (High impact, USD). The pair is boxed in 157.5-158.95 with balanced retail. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.82725	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.82725 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.82955 0.83512 0.83822 Support: 0.82272 0.81830 0.80671 Rationale Fed Chairman Warsh speaks at 23:30 NY (High impact, USD) inside the window. The CHF strength theme is carried by AUDCHF and NZDCHF instead. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.69212	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.69212 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.69803 0.69898 0.70129 Support: 0.69037 0.68941 0.68500 Rationale The weak AUD jobs data supports the short, but Fed Chairman Warsh's 23:30 NY speech (High impact) rules out a plan. The short-AUD theme is carried by AUDJPY, AUDCHF and AUDCAD. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Neutral	Low	1.41922	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.41922 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.42392 1.42625 1.42956 Support: 1.41689 1.41543 1.41092 Rationale Fed Chairman Warsh speaks at 23:30 NY (High impact, USD), and BOC Gov Macklem adds CAD risk at 00:15 NY. No directional plan. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.56205	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.56205 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.56262 0.56342 0.56872 Support: 0.55806 0.55649 0.55500 Rationale Fed Chairman Warsh speaks at 23:30 NY (High impact, USD). The short-NZD theme is expressed in NZDJPY and NZDCHF instead. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Neutral	Low	0.84481	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.84481 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.84778 0.84930 0.85079 Support: 0.84474 0.84378 0.84255 Rationale BOE Gov Bailey speaks at 22:00 NY (High impact, GBP) inside the plan window, so the bearish, retail-crowded setup is set aside. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	177.237	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 177.237 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 177.413 177.589 178.336 Support: 176.516 176.295 176.212 Rationale This would repeat the long-JPY plans in AUDJPY and NZDJPY. Thursday's close near the 177.41 high also means the lower-high sequence has not been confirmed yet. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURCHF	Neutral	Low	0.92754	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.92754 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.93154 0.93345 0.93660 Support: 0.92729 0.92696 0.92597 Rationale The bias is bearish, but with a stop above 0.9315 the only level below, the 0.9260 low, does not reach 1:1. Without a real target, it stays neutral. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.62004	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.62004 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.62272 1.62660 1.63366 Support: 1.61658 1.60807 1.60639 Rationale The short-AUD theme is already carried by AUDJPY, AUDCHF and AUDCAD. A long here would also fight the bearish EUR read in EURCAD. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Neutral	Low	1.99492	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.99492 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.00219 2.00399 2.01110 Support: 1.99388 1.99043 1.95740 Rationale Price is sitting on the 1.9904 range floor with a neutral bias and a fading upside impulse. There is no edge either way. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	209.798	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 209.798 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 209.952 210.304 211.275 Support: 209.559 208.583 208.193 Rationale BOE Gov Bailey speaks at 22:00 NY (High impact, GBP) inside the plan window. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.09790	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.09790 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.10054 1.10459 1.10702 Support: 1.09614 1.09110 1.08892 Rationale BOE Gov Bailey speaks at 22:00 NY (High impact, GBP) inside the plan window. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.91762	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.91762 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.91889 1.92288 1.92593 Support: 1.91148 1.90612 1.90035 Rationale The breakout and the 67% retail short book favour longs, but BOE Gov Bailey speaks at 22:00 NY (High impact, GBP). The short-AUD theme is carried elsewhere. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.88353	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.88353 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.88429 1.89071 1.89256 Support: 1.87948 1.87555 1.87437 Rationale BOE Gov Bailey speaks at 22:00 NY (High impact, GBP), and the range shows no trend momentum. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.36136	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 2.36136 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.36657 2.37000 Support: 2.35427 2.35281 2.34420 Rationale BOE Gov Bailey speaks at 22:00 NY (High impact, GBP) inside the plan window, so the crowded-short long setup is set aside. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	111.386	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 111.386 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 111.514 111.569 112.586 Support: 110.925 110.756 110.522 Rationale The bias is neutral, with rising lows fighting a 67% retail-long book. A plan here would also cancel out the long-CAD and long-JPY plans. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	191.079	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 191.079 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 191.257 191.932 192.478 Support: 190.944 189.163 188.455 Rationale A low-confidence breakout long would sell JPY against the long-JPY plans in AUDJPY and NZDJPY, so it is skipped. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Neutral	Low	1.23142	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.23142 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.23697 1.24367 1.24943 Support: 1.23031 1.22827 Rationale Both legs are on the short side of today's plans, and the pair sits on range support after a full-range drop. There is no clean edge. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.79765	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.79765 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.80007 0.80200 0.80394 Support: 0.79543 0.79468 Rationale This would repeat the short-NZD plans in NZDJPY and NZDCHF and the long-CAD plans in AUDCAD and EURCAD. Macklem at 00:15 NY adds CAD risk. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58292	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58292 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58636 0.58786 0.58866 Support: 0.58206 0.58018 0.57872 Rationale A CAD short would cancel out the long-CAD plans. With a stop above 0.5864, only the 0.5787 floor reaches 1:1, and there is no level beyond it. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	4167.85	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 4167.85 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4177.51 4217.17 4226.97 Support: 4110.89 4073.47 4066.46 Rationale Fed Chairman Warsh speaks at 23:30 NY (High impact, and USD events count for gold). Price is range-bound between 4066 and 4227 with a 51/49 retail split. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$4 average per $100 risked

88 of 127 picks filled, over 43 verified days · target hit 16%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

345 plans over 43 verified days · target hit 10%

43 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 88 picks the honest range around the +$4 runs from −$11 to +$21 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 127 picks published, 88 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 23 of the 88 picks lost the full $100, against 51 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 74% of the Top 3 result, and 27 of the 88 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$14 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 345 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 16 Oct 2026)

Target hit 10% (36)
Stop hit 24% (83)
Timed out 66% (226)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 159 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

30% Win rate 36 of 119 plans closed at target or stop

-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.08R Timed-out average how those 226 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

21%

14 of 66 plans

Bearish

42%

22 of 53 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
EURJPY	75%	3 / 4
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
NZDJPY	60%	3 / 5
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDUSD	43%	3 / 7
EURUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
USDCAD	40%	2 / 5
XAUUSD	33%	1 / 3
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	30%	3 / 10
EURGBP	25%	1 / 4
GBPAUD	25%	1 / 4
EURNZD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
AUDJPY	17%	1 / 6
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 7
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 3
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

16 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $70

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59220 → 1.58614	Timed out	+0.70R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Bearish	109.520 → 108.703	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.950 → 88.283	Stop hit	-1.00R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Bearish	0.57290 → 0.56728	Timed out	+0.19R
AUDCAD	Bearish	0.98300 → 0.97906	Timed out	+0.30R
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46535 → 0.46330	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

15 Oct 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $0

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.58980 → 1.58614	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

14 Oct 2026 2 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $137

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84525 → 0.84378	Timed out	-0.30R
EURJPY	Bearish	177.500 → 176.516	Target hit	+1.54R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59330 → 1.58963	Not filled	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88350 → 1.88971	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.36000 → 2.36667	Timed out	-0.10R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.980 → 88.389	Target hit	+1.69R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

13 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 8 timed out $100 → $91

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.11680 → 1.11000	Timed out	-0.55R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Bullish	0.83410 → 0.83822	Timed out	-0.35R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84500 → 0.84250	Timed out	+0.01R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.60430 → 1.60000	Timed out	+0.18R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.720 → 88.244	Timed out	-0.38R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46680 → 0.46433	Timed out	-0.31R
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.79860 → 0.79581	Timed out	+0.28R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	4183.00 → 4110.89	Timed out	+0.38R

12 Oct 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $185

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.12070 → 1.11612	Target hit	+1.12R
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bullish	1.42470 → 1.42980	Timed out	+0.85R
NZDUSD	Bearish	0.56170 → 0.55930	Target hit	+1.09R
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84680 → 0.84474	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Bearish	1.60480 → 1.60000	Timed out	+0.36R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35680 → 2.36646	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24300 → 1.24650	Not filled	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 17%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

AUDJPY

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