| GBPUSD |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
1.33345 |
1.33270Buy limit |
1.32700 |
1.33999 |
+0.10R |
1:1.28 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.33345
Entry Point
1.33270
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.32700
Conservative Target
1.33999
Risk:Reward
1:1.28
Optimal Target
1.35061
Stop Loss Distance
57.0 pips
Target Distance
72.9 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.33715
1.33999
1.35061
Support:
1.32733
1.32618
1.32040
Rationale
Breakout above the 1.3311 range top with retail 61% short, BoE hike repricing and a softer dollar as Fed hike odds faded into the quiet period. Stop under 1.32733; target 1.33999 since 1.33715 sits closer than the risk.
|
| EURCHF |
Bearish
|
High
|
0.92489 |
0.92550Sell limit |
0.92930 |
0.92000 |
+0.10R |
1:1.45 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
0.92489
Entry Point
0.92550
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.92930
Conservative Target
0.92000
Risk:Reward
1:1.45
Optimal Target
0.92000
Stop Loss Distance
38.0 pips
Target Distance
55.0 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.92895
0.93154
0.93345
Support:
0.92597
0.92487
0.92000
Rationale
Fresh low under the 0.92597 swing with MACD extending lower and retail 67% long; sell a retest just below it with the stop above 0.92895. 0.92 is the only level below, so both targets sit there.
|
| GBPAUD |
Bullish
|
High
|
1.91348 |
1.91240Buy limit |
1.90550 |
1.92142 |
+0.10R |
1:1.31 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
1.91348
Entry Point
1.91240
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
1.90550
Conservative Target
1.92142
Risk:Reward
1:1.31
Optimal Target
1.92288
Stop Loss Distance
69.0 pips
Target Distance
90.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.92142
1.92288
1.92593
Support:
1.91197
1.91026
1.90612
Rationale
Uptrend retest of the 1.91026-1.91197 breakout zone after the Sunday dip, with retail 66% short and weak Australian jobs having cut RBA hike bets while BoE November hike pricing supports sterling. Stop under 1.90612, target 1.92142.
|
| CHFJPY |
Bullish
|
Medium
|
191.627 |
191.450Buy limit |
190.700 |
192.478 |
+0.09R |
1:1.37 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
191.627
Entry Point
191.450
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
190.700
Conservative Target
192.478
Risk:Reward
1:1.37
Optimal Target
193.000
Stop Loss Distance
75.0 pips
Target Distance
102.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
192.148
192.478
193.000
Support:
191.257
190.784
189.172
Rationale
Recovery through the October range with a widening MACD; buy the dip toward 191.257 with the stop under 190.784, targeting the 192.478 September high. The only short-JPY plan, kept small given official yen rhetoric near 159 in USDJPY.
|
| AUDCHF |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.57409 |
0.57460Sell limit |
0.57840 |
0.57043 |
+0.07R |
1:1.10 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.57409
Entry Point
0.57460
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.57840
Conservative Target
0.57043
Risk:Reward
1:1.10
Optimal Target
0.56728
Stop Loss Distance
38.0 pips
Target Distance
41.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.57289
0.57458
0.57810
Support:
0.57094
0.57043
0.56728
Rationale
Breakdown below the 0.57331 range floor after weak Australian jobs cut RBA hike odds; sell the Sunday bounce into 0.57458 with the stop above 0.5781. Medium confidence because AUD opened the week firmer.
|
| GBPNZD |
Bullish
|
Low
|
2.35539 |
2.35370Buy limit |
2.34770 |
2.36179 |
+0.06R |
1:1.35 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
2.35539
Entry Point
2.35370
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
2.34770
Conservative Target
2.36179
Risk:Reward
1:1.35
Optimal Target
2.36657
Stop Loss Distance
60.0 pips
Target Distance
80.9 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.36179
2.36657
2.37000
Support:
2.35427
2.34892
2.34420
Rationale
Uptrend shelf holding above 2.34892 with retail 75% short and BoE hike pricing behind sterling; stop just under Friday's low. Low confidence because MACD is cooling and NZD firmed on Friday.
|
| AUDUSD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.69687 |
0.69750Sell limit |
0.70160 |
0.69326 |
+0.05R |
1:1.03 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.69687
Entry Point
0.69750
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.70160
Conservative Target
0.69326
Risk:Reward
1:1.03
Optimal Target
0.69220
Stop Loss Distance
41.0 pips
Target Distance
42.4 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.69672
0.69898
0.70129
Support:
0.69326
0.69220
0.69098
Rationale
Lower-high downtrend with retail 65% long and RBA hike bets cut by the jobs miss; sell the gap above Friday's 0.69672 high with the stop beyond 0.70129. Downgraded from high: the softer dollar and the AUD bounce at the open lean against it.
|
| EURUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.12271 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.12271
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.12693
1.12854
1.13801
Support:
1.12080
1.11612
1.11130
Rationale
Bearish structure, but MACD has turned up and the dollar softened as Fed hike odds faded into the quiet period, so the short fights the macro tape. EUR weakness is expressed through EURCHF instead.
|
| USDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
157.863 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
157.863
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
158.056
158.338
158.992
Support:
157.694
157.521
156.375
Rationale
Range-bound between 157.521 and 158.992 with balanced momentum and retail near even; official yen rhetoric caps upside near 159, so there is no edge inside the box.
|
| USDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.82382 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.82382
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.82635
0.82820
0.83097
Support:
0.82272
0.82175
0.81830
Rationale
Low-confidence short near the 0.82175 low with split positioning. Redundant with the long-CHF plans in EURCHF, AUDCHF and CHFJPY.
|
| USDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.41199 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.41199
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.41689
1.41960
1.42392
Support:
1.41339
1.40867
1.39905
Rationale
CAD CPI m/m, Median and Trimmed CPI (High impact) at 08:30 NY fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan.
|
| NZDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.56613 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.56613
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.56746
0.56872
0.57486
Support:
0.56342
0.56104
0.55806
Rationale
Friday broke the top of the 0.5634 shelf and MACD crossed up, so a short fights fresh momentum despite 71% retail longs. Short-NZD exposure is already carried by GBPNZD.
|
| EURGBP |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.84199 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.84199
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.84503
0.84778
0.85079
Support:
0.84185
0.84000
Rationale
RSI 23.6 is deeply oversold and with the stop above 0.84503 the only level below, 0.84, does not reach 1:1. Long GBP is carried by GBPUSD, GBPAUD and GBPNZD.
|
| EURJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
177.235 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
177.235
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
177.965
178.336
179.309
Support:
177.104
176.516
176.254
Rationale
Rotating inside the 176.2535-178.336 box with balanced retail positioning; no edge inside the range.
|
| EURAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.61104 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.61104
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.62121
1.62272
1.62660
Support:
1.61658
1.61453
1.60807
Rationale
The Sunday open pushed price under the 1.61453 support the long lean depended on. Short AUD is already carried by GBPAUD, AUDCHF and AUDUSD.
|
| EURCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.58516 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.58516
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.59463
1.59612
1.60193
Support:
1.58794
1.58614
1.58000
Rationale
CAD CPI m/m, Median and Trimmed CPI (High impact) at 08:30 NY fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan.
|
| EURNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.98317 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.98317
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.99043
1.99388
2.00219
Support:
1.98247
1.98000
1.95740
Rationale
No support between 1.98 and 1.9574 gives 1:1 within 2 ATR of a short protected above 1.99043. EUR weakness is expressed through EURCHF.
|
| GBPJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
210.502 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
210.502
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
210.961
211.275
212.000
Support:
209.559
208.583
208.276
Rationale
Momentum improves at the range top, but long GBP is already carried by GBPUSD, GBPAUD and GBPNZD. Adding short-JPY exposure under official yen rhetoric is not worth it.
|
| GBPCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.09851 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.09851
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.10054
1.10459
1.10702
Support:
1.09614
1.09110
1.08947
Rationale
Mid-range between 1.09614 and 1.10459 with no momentum and evenly split retail; no edge.
|
| GBPCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.88274 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.88274
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.88508
1.89052
1.89256
Support:
1.88112
1.87948
1.87555
Rationale
CAD CPI m/m, Median and Trimmed CPI (High impact) at 08:30 NY fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan.
|
| AUDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
110.011 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
110.011
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
110.054
110.641
111.128
Support:
109.643
109.190
108.631
Rationale
Low-confidence short with the MACD histogram turning positive. Redundant with the short-AUD plans in GBPAUD, AUDCHF and AUDUSD.
|
| CADJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
111.808 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
111.808
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
112.432
112.586
112.921
Support:
111.569
111.237
110.756
Rationale
CAD CPI m/m, Median and Trimmed CPI (High impact) at 08:30 NY fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan.
|
| NZDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
89.372 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
89.372
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
89.612
90.063
90.542
Support:
89.111
88.959
88.664
Rationale
Friday closed above the 89.111 base ceiling with improving momentum, so shorting into that breakout lacks edge despite 72% retail longs.
|
| AUDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.98394 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.98394
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.98389
0.98613
0.98826
Support:
0.98151
0.98045
0.97906
Rationale
CAD CPI m/m, Median and Trimmed CPI (High impact) at 08:30 NY fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan.
|
| AUDNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.23093 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.23093
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.23153
1.23697
1.24367
Support:
1.22827
1.22692
1.22500
Rationale
Bearish breakdown, but redundant with the short-AUD plans in GBPAUD, AUDCHF and AUDUSD.
|
| NZDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.46638 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.46638
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.46755
0.46845
0.47237
Support:
0.46433
0.46365
0.46330
Rationale
Stalled mid-range inside 0.4633-0.46845. Long CHF is already carried by EURCHF, AUDCHF and CHFJPY.
|
| NZDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.79935 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.79935
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.80200
0.80322
0.80518
Support:
0.79815
0.79651
0.79543
Rationale
CAD CPI m/m, Median and Trimmed CPI (High impact) at 08:30 NY fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan.
|
| CADCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58348 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.58348
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58346
0.58636
0.58786
Support:
0.58280
0.58116
0.58018
Rationale
CAD CPI m/m, Median and Trimmed CPI (High impact) at 08:30 NY fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan.
|
| XAUUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
4177.13 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
4177.13
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
4166.08
4198.90
4217.17
Support:
4147.25
4110.89
4073.47
Rationale
Ranging between 4066.46 and 4226.97 with downside momentum fading and no bias. No edge until either boundary breaks.
|