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Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Sunday, 18 October 2026 Forecast for: Monday, 19 October 2026 Plan window: Sun 23:00 – Mon 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

You are viewing an archived forecast

This is the forex forecast generated for 18 October 2026. View current forecast

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Sterling leads as markets price a November Bank of England hike, while the Australian dollar stays heavy after a weak September jobs report cut RBA hike bets. Today's plans express three themes: long GBP, short AUD and long CHF against a soft euro. With the Fed in its pre-meeting quiet period and Canadian CPI due at 08:30 New York, all CAD pairs stay on the sidelines.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

  • CAD CPI m/m, Median and Trimmed CPI at 08:30 NY (High impact): all CAD pairs neutral
  • AUD: weak September jobs cut RBA hike odds; watch whether the AUD bounce at the weekly open fades in Asia
  • GBP: BoE November hike repricing; GBPUSD must hold 1.32733 after breaking the 1.3311 range top
  • USD: Fed quiet period ahead of the late-October FOMC; JPY verbal intervention risk near 159 in USDJPY

Best Opportunities

GBPAUD Bullish
GBPUSD Bullish
EURCHF Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (345 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

GBPAUD

Bullish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.31

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.91240 Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.90550 (69.0 pips)
Conservative Target 1.92142 (90.2 pips)
Optimal Target 1.92288 (104.8 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.92142 1.92288 1.92593
Support: 1.91197 1.91026 1.90612

Rationale

Uptrend retest of the 1.91026-1.91197 breakout zone after the Sunday dip, with retail 66% short and weak Australian jobs having cut RBA hike bets while BoE November hike pricing supports sterling. Stop under 1.90612, target 1.92142.

GBPUSD

Bullish Medium Confidence
R/R 1:1.28

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.33270 Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.32700 (57.0 pips)
Conservative Target 1.33999 (72.9 pips)
Optimal Target 1.35061 (179.1 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.33715 1.33999 1.35061
Support: 1.32733 1.32618 1.32040

Rationale

Breakout above the 1.3311 range top with retail 61% short, BoE hike repricing and a softer dollar as Fed hike odds faded into the quiet period. Stop under 1.32733; target 1.33999 since 1.33715 sits closer than the risk.

EURCHF

Bearish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.45

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.92550 Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.92930 (38.0 pips)
Conservative Target 0.92000 (55.0 pips)
Optimal Target 0.92000 (55.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.92895 0.93154 0.93345
Support: 0.92597 0.92487 0.92000

Rationale

Fresh low under the 0.92597 swing with MACD extending lower and retail 67% long; sell a retest just below it with the stop above 0.92895. 0.92 is the only level below, so both targets sit there.

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

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Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair Direction Confidence Analysis Price Entry Stop Loss Target Expected result Risk:Reward

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 1.33345
Entry Point 1.33270
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.32700
Conservative Target 1.33999
Risk:Reward 1:1.28
Optimal Target 1.35061
Stop Loss Distance 57.0 pips
Target Distance 72.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.33715 1.33999 1.35061
Support: 1.32733 1.32618 1.32040

Rationale

Breakout above the 1.3311 range top with retail 61% short, BoE hike repricing and a softer dollar as Fed hike odds faded into the quiet period. Stop under 1.32733; target 1.33999 since 1.33715 sits closer than the risk.

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Analysis Price 0.92489
Entry Point 0.92550
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.92930
Conservative Target 0.92000
Risk:Reward 1:1.45
Optimal Target 0.92000
Stop Loss Distance 38.0 pips
Target Distance 55.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.92895 0.93154 0.93345
Support: 0.92597 0.92487 0.92000

Rationale

Fresh low under the 0.92597 swing with MACD extending lower and retail 67% long; sell a retest just below it with the stop above 0.92895. 0.92 is the only level below, so both targets sit there.

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Analysis Price 1.91348
Entry Point 1.91240
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.90550
Conservative Target 1.92142
Risk:Reward 1:1.31
Optimal Target 1.92288
Stop Loss Distance 69.0 pips
Target Distance 90.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.92142 1.92288 1.92593
Support: 1.91197 1.91026 1.90612

Rationale

Uptrend retest of the 1.91026-1.91197 breakout zone after the Sunday dip, with retail 66% short and weak Australian jobs having cut RBA hike bets while BoE November hike pricing supports sterling. Stop under 1.90612, target 1.92142.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 191.627
Entry Point 191.450
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 190.700
Conservative Target 192.478
Risk:Reward 1:1.37
Optimal Target 193.000
Stop Loss Distance 75.0 pips
Target Distance 102.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 192.148 192.478 193.000
Support: 191.257 190.784 189.172

Rationale

Recovery through the October range with a widening MACD; buy the dip toward 191.257 with the stop under 190.784, targeting the 192.478 September high. The only short-JPY plan, kept small given official yen rhetoric near 159 in USDJPY.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 0.57409
Entry Point 0.57460
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.57840
Conservative Target 0.57043
Risk:Reward 1:1.10
Optimal Target 0.56728
Stop Loss Distance 38.0 pips
Target Distance 41.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.57289 0.57458 0.57810
Support: 0.57094 0.57043 0.56728

Rationale

Breakdown below the 0.57331 range floor after weak Australian jobs cut RBA hike odds; sell the Sunday bounce into 0.57458 with the stop above 0.5781. Medium confidence because AUD opened the week firmer.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 2.35539
Entry Point 2.35370
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 2.34770
Conservative Target 2.36179
Risk:Reward 1:1.35
Optimal Target 2.36657
Stop Loss Distance 60.0 pips
Target Distance 80.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.36179 2.36657 2.37000
Support: 2.35427 2.34892 2.34420

Rationale

Uptrend shelf holding above 2.34892 with retail 75% short and BoE hike pricing behind sterling; stop just under Friday's low. Low confidence because MACD is cooling and NZD firmed on Friday.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 0.69687
Entry Point 0.69750
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.70160
Conservative Target 0.69326
Risk:Reward 1:1.03
Optimal Target 0.69220
Stop Loss Distance 41.0 pips
Target Distance 42.4 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.69672 0.69898 0.70129
Support: 0.69326 0.69220 0.69098

Rationale

Lower-high downtrend with retail 65% long and RBA hike bets cut by the jobs miss; sell the gap above Friday's 0.69672 high with the stop beyond 0.70129. Downgraded from high: the softer dollar and the AUD bounce at the open lean against it.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.12271
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.12693 1.12854 1.13801
Support: 1.12080 1.11612 1.11130

Rationale

Bearish structure, but MACD has turned up and the dollar softened as Fed hike odds faded into the quiet period, so the short fights the macro tape. EUR weakness is expressed through EURCHF instead.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 157.863
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 158.056 158.338 158.992
Support: 157.694 157.521 156.375

Rationale

Range-bound between 157.521 and 158.992 with balanced momentum and retail near even; official yen rhetoric caps upside near 159, so there is no edge inside the box.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.82382
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.82635 0.82820 0.83097
Support: 0.82272 0.82175 0.81830

Rationale

Low-confidence short near the 0.82175 low with split positioning. Redundant with the long-CHF plans in EURCHF, AUDCHF and CHFJPY.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.41199
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.41689 1.41960 1.42392
Support: 1.41339 1.40867 1.39905

Rationale

CAD CPI m/m, Median and Trimmed CPI (High impact) at 08:30 NY fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.56613
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.56746 0.56872 0.57486
Support: 0.56342 0.56104 0.55806

Rationale

Friday broke the top of the 0.5634 shelf and MACD crossed up, so a short fights fresh momentum despite 71% retail longs. Short-NZD exposure is already carried by GBPNZD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.84199
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.84503 0.84778 0.85079
Support: 0.84185 0.84000

Rationale

RSI 23.6 is deeply oversold and with the stop above 0.84503 the only level below, 0.84, does not reach 1:1. Long GBP is carried by GBPUSD, GBPAUD and GBPNZD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 177.235
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 177.965 178.336 179.309
Support: 177.104 176.516 176.254

Rationale

Rotating inside the 176.2535-178.336 box with balanced retail positioning; no edge inside the range.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.61104
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.62121 1.62272 1.62660
Support: 1.61658 1.61453 1.60807

Rationale

The Sunday open pushed price under the 1.61453 support the long lean depended on. Short AUD is already carried by GBPAUD, AUDCHF and AUDUSD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.58516
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.59463 1.59612 1.60193
Support: 1.58794 1.58614 1.58000

Rationale

CAD CPI m/m, Median and Trimmed CPI (High impact) at 08:30 NY fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.98317
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.99043 1.99388 2.00219
Support: 1.98247 1.98000 1.95740

Rationale

No support between 1.98 and 1.9574 gives 1:1 within 2 ATR of a short protected above 1.99043. EUR weakness is expressed through EURCHF.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 210.502
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 210.961 211.275 212.000
Support: 209.559 208.583 208.276

Rationale

Momentum improves at the range top, but long GBP is already carried by GBPUSD, GBPAUD and GBPNZD. Adding short-JPY exposure under official yen rhetoric is not worth it.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.09851
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.10054 1.10459 1.10702
Support: 1.09614 1.09110 1.08947

Rationale

Mid-range between 1.09614 and 1.10459 with no momentum and evenly split retail; no edge.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.88274
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.88508 1.89052 1.89256
Support: 1.88112 1.87948 1.87555

Rationale

CAD CPI m/m, Median and Trimmed CPI (High impact) at 08:30 NY fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 110.011
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 110.054 110.641 111.128
Support: 109.643 109.190 108.631

Rationale

Low-confidence short with the MACD histogram turning positive. Redundant with the short-AUD plans in GBPAUD, AUDCHF and AUDUSD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 111.808
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 112.432 112.586 112.921
Support: 111.569 111.237 110.756

Rationale

CAD CPI m/m, Median and Trimmed CPI (High impact) at 08:30 NY fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 89.372
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 89.612 90.063 90.542
Support: 89.111 88.959 88.664

Rationale

Friday closed above the 89.111 base ceiling with improving momentum, so shorting into that breakout lacks edge despite 72% retail longs.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.98394
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.98389 0.98613 0.98826
Support: 0.98151 0.98045 0.97906

Rationale

CAD CPI m/m, Median and Trimmed CPI (High impact) at 08:30 NY fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.23093
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.23153 1.23697 1.24367
Support: 1.22827 1.22692 1.22500

Rationale

Bearish breakdown, but redundant with the short-AUD plans in GBPAUD, AUDCHF and AUDUSD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.46638
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.46755 0.46845 0.47237
Support: 0.46433 0.46365 0.46330

Rationale

Stalled mid-range inside 0.4633-0.46845. Long CHF is already carried by EURCHF, AUDCHF and CHFJPY.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.79935
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.80200 0.80322 0.80518
Support: 0.79815 0.79651 0.79543

Rationale

CAD CPI m/m, Median and Trimmed CPI (High impact) at 08:30 NY fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.58348
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58346 0.58636 0.58786
Support: 0.58280 0.58116 0.58018

Rationale

CAD CPI m/m, Median and Trimmed CPI (High impact) at 08:30 NY fall inside the plan window, so no directional plan.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 4177.13
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 4166.08 4198.90 4217.17
Support: 4147.25 4110.89 4073.47

Rationale

Ranging between 4066.46 and 4226.97 with downside momentum fading and no bias. No edge until either boundary breaks.

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$4 average per $100 risked

88 of 127 picks filled, over 43 verified days · target hit 16%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

345 plans over 43 verified days · target hit 10%

43 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 88 picks the honest range around the +$4 runs from −$11 to +$21 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 127 picks published, 88 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 23 of the 88 picks lost the full $100, against 51 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 74% of the Top 3 result, and 27 of the 88 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$14 to +$2, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 345 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 16 Oct 2026)

  • Target hit 10% (36)
  • Stop hit 24% (83)
  • Timed out 66% (226)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 159 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown
30% Win rate 36 of 119 plans closed at target or stop
-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one
+0.08R Timed-out average how those 226 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

21%
14 of 66 plans

Bearish

42%
22 of 53 plans

Win rate by pair

PairWin ratePlans
EURJPY
75%
3 / 4
GBPJPY
75%
3 / 4
NZDJPY
60%
3 / 5
AUDCHF
50%
3 / 6
NZDCAD
50%
2 / 4
AUDUSD
43%
3 / 7
EURUSD
40%
2 / 5
NZDUSD
40%
2 / 5
USDCAD
40%
2 / 5
XAUUSD
33%
1 / 3
GBPUSD
33%
1 / 3
CHFJPY
33%
1 / 3
EURCHF
30%
3 / 10
EURGBP
25%
1 / 4
GBPAUD
25%
1 / 4
EURNZD
25%
1 / 4
USDCHF
25%
1 / 4
USDJPY
25%
1 / 4
AUDJPY
17%
1 / 6
NZDCHF
0%
0 / 5
GBPCAD
0%
0 / 7
AUDCAD
0%
0 / 3
GBPNZD
0%
0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit
Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit
Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out
The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled
Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken
Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

16 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $70
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59220 → 1.58614 Timed out +0.70R
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bearish 109.520 → 108.703 Stop hit -1.00R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.950 → 88.283 Stop hit -1.00R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Bearish 0.57290 → 0.56728 Timed out +0.19R
AUDCAD Bearish 0.98300 → 0.97906 Timed out +0.30R
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46535 → 0.46330 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
15 Oct 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $0
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Bearish 1.58980 → 1.58614 Stop hit -1.00R
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
14 Oct 2026 2 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $137
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84525 → 0.84378 Timed out -0.30R
EURJPY Bearish 177.500 → 176.516 Target hit +1.54R
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59330 → 1.58963 Not filled –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88350 → 1.88971 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Bullish 2.36000 → 2.36667 Timed out -0.10R
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.980 → 88.389 Target hit +1.69R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
13 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 8 timed out $100 → $91
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.11680 → 1.11000 Timed out -0.55R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83410 → 0.83822 Timed out -0.35R
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84500 → 0.84250 Timed out +0.01R
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Bearish 1.60430 → 1.60000 Timed out +0.18R
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.720 → 88.244 Timed out -0.38R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46680 → 0.46433 Timed out -0.31R
NZDCAD Bearish 0.79860 → 0.79581 Timed out +0.28R
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Bearish 4183.00 → 4110.89 Timed out +0.38R
12 Oct 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $185
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.12070 → 1.11612 Target hit +1.12R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.42470 → 1.42980 Timed out +0.85R
NZDUSD Bearish 0.56170 → 0.55930 Target hit +1.09R
EURGBP Bearish 0.84680 → 0.84474 Not filled –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Bearish 1.60480 → 1.60000 Timed out +0.36R
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35680 → 2.36646 Not filled –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Bullish 1.24300 → 1.24650 Not filled –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

  1. Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
  2. Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
  3. AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
  4. Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

  • Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
  • Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
  • Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
  • Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
  • Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
  • Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 17%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

  • Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
  • Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
  • Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
  • Adjust position size based on expected volatility
  • Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
  • Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

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