Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Monday, 19 October 2026 Forecast for: Tuesday, 20 October 2026 Plan window: Mon 23:00 – Tue 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-10-19

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The euro is the weakest major as French unrest and crowded retail long positions weigh on it, and today's plans sell it against the Canadian dollar, the Swiss franc and the pound. Higher US Treasury yields keep the yen soft, so the plans buy CHFJPY and GBPJPY, while USDJPY stays neutral below 159 because Tokyo has warned it is ready to intervene again. The Canadian dollar holds firm after USDCAD broke its October floor, and crowded retail longs in the New Zealand dollar support selling NZDCAD and buying AUDNZD.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

GBP Average Earnings Index 3m/y at 02:00 NY (forecast 3.8%, previous 3.9%)
JPY: intervention risk as USDJPY coils under the 159.04 ceiling after Finance Minister Katayama's warnings
EUR: French unrest headline risk, with EURCAD 1.5773 and EURGBP 0.8398 lows in focus
USDCAD retest of the 1.4070 low after three straight lower closes

Best Opportunities

EURCAD Bearish

EURCHF Bearish

CHFJPY Bullish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (345 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

EURCAD

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:1.32

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.58270 Sell limit

Stop Loss 1.58680 (41.0 pips)

Conservative Target 1.57727 (54.3 pips)

Optimal Target 1.57500 (77.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.58628 1.59463 1.60193

Support: 1.57727 1.57500 1.57000

Rationale

Accelerating downtrend after Monday's gap to 1.5773, with the euro hit by French unrest and 78% of retail long. Sell the bounce with the stop above 1.5863 resistance, targeting the 1.5773 low then 1.5750.

Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail

EURCHF

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:2.13

Expected result +0.12 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.92760 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.93010 (25.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.92228 (53.2 pips)

Optimal Target 0.92000 (76.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.92895 0.93345 0.93701

Support: 0.92597 0.92228 0.92000

Rationale

Fresh post-collapse lows with a widening negative MACD and 67% of retail long. Stop above 0.9290 resistance at the 0.5 ATR minimum, targeting Monday's 0.9223 low then 0.9200.

Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail

CHFJPY

Bullish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.28

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 191.620 Buy limit

Stop Loss 190.950 (67.0 pips)

Conservative Target 192.478 (85.8 pips)

Optimal Target 193.000 (138.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 192.148 192.478 193.000

Support: 191.166 190.784 189.172

Rationale

Holding above the October range with a sharply rising MACD while higher US yields keep the yen weakest. Stop below 191.17, targeting 192.48 then 193; Tokyo's intervention warnings cap confidence.

Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
EURCHF	Bearish	High	0.92697	0.92760Sell limit	0.93010	0.92228	+0.12R	1:2.13	+0.42RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.12R Analysis Price 0.92697 Entry Point 0.92760 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.93010 Conservative Target 0.92228 Risk:Reward 1:2.13 Optimal Target 0.92000 Stop Loss Distance 25.0 pips Target Distance 53.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.92895 0.93345 0.93701 Support: 0.92597 0.92228 0.92000 Rationale Fresh post-collapse lows with a widening negative MACD and 67% of retail long. Stop above 0.9290 resistance at the 0.5 ATR minimum, targeting Monday's 0.9223 low then 0.9200. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Bearish	High	1.58175	1.58270Sell limit	1.58680	1.57727	+0.10R	1:1.32	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 1.58175 Entry Point 1.58270 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.58680 Conservative Target 1.57727 Risk:Reward 1:1.32 Optimal Target 1.57500 Stop Loss Distance 41.0 pips Target Distance 54.3 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.58628 1.59463 1.60193 Support: 1.57727 1.57500 1.57000 Rationale Accelerating downtrend after Monday's gap to 1.5773, with the euro hit by French unrest and 78% of retail long. Sell the bounce with the stop above 1.5863 resistance, targeting the 1.5773 low then 1.5750. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Bullish	Medium	191.789	191.620Buy limit	190.950	192.478	+0.10R	1:1.28	+0.41RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 191.789 Entry Point 191.620 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 190.950 Conservative Target 192.478 Risk:Reward 1:1.28 Optimal Target 193.000 Stop Loss Distance 67.0 pips Target Distance 85.8 pips Key Levels Resistance: 192.148 192.478 193.000 Support: 191.166 190.784 189.172 Rationale Holding above the October range with a sharply rising MACD while higher US yields keep the yen weakest. Stop below 191.17, targeting 192.48 then 193; Tokyo's intervention warnings cap confidence. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Bearish	Medium	1.41064	1.41160Sell limit	1.41550	1.40701	+0.08R	1:1.18	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 1.41064 Entry Point 1.41160 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 1.41550 Conservative Target 1.40701 Risk:Reward 1:1.18 Optimal Target 1.39905 Stop Loss Distance 39.0 pips Target Distance 45.9 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.41286 1.41983 1.42968 Support: 1.40701 1.39905 1.37620 Rationale Broke the 1.4196 floor on three lower closes, and the improved BoC business outlook offsets Monday's soft-CPI bounce. Stop sized at 0.6 ATR above 1.4129 resistance, targeting the 1.4070 low then 1.3991. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Bearish	Medium	0.84266	0.84310Sell limit	0.84530	0.83979	+0.08R	1:1.50	Not filled
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 0.84266 Entry Point 0.84310 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.84530 Conservative Target 0.83979 Risk:Reward 1:1.50 Optimal Target 0.83800 Stop Loss Distance 22.0 pips Target Distance 33.1 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.84503 0.84778 0.85269 Support: 0.84185 0.83979 0.83800 Rationale Staircase downtrend with 76% of retail long; sell a bounce with the stop above 0.8450, targeting a retest of Monday's 0.8398 low. RSI at 22 and UK earnings at 02:00 NY cap confidence at medium. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Bullish	Low	210.974	210.800Buy limit	210.000	212.000	+0.08R	1:1.50	+1.16RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 210.974 Entry Point 210.800 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 210.000 Conservative Target 212.000 Risk:Reward 1:1.50 Optimal Target 212.000 Stop Loss Distance 80.0 pips Target Distance 120.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 211.275 212.000 Support: 210.111 209.559 208.276 Rationale Breakout above 210.30 with rising daily lows and the yen the weakest major as US yields climb. Low confidence: UK earnings at 02:00 NY and intervention warnings can hit either leg; stop below 210.11, target 212. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Bearish	Low	0.79884	0.79950Sell limit	0.80240	0.79518	+0.08R	1:1.49	+0.31RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 0.79884 Entry Point 0.79950 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.80240 Conservative Target 0.79518 Risk:Reward 1:1.49 Optimal Target 0.79470 Stop Loss Distance 29.0 pips Target Distance 43.2 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.80200 0.80322 0.80518 Support: 0.79815 0.79518 0.79470 Rationale Rejected at 0.8032 inside a compressing range with 73% of retail long, tilting it toward the lower edge. Stop above 0.8020, targeting 0.7952 then 0.7947. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Bullish	Low	1.23260	1.23180Buy limit	1.22760	1.23697	+0.06R	1:1.23	+0.10RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.06R Analysis Price 1.23260 Entry Point 1.23180 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.22760 Conservative Target 1.23697 Risk:Reward 1:1.23 Optimal Target 1.24367 Stop Loss Distance 42.0 pips Target Distance 51.7 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.23369 1.23697 1.24367 Support: 1.22827 1.22692 Rationale The 1.2269-1.2283 floor has held twice with 70% of retail short, setting up a squeeze toward 1.2370, and China data favours AUD. Low confidence as MACD still leans down; stop below 1.2283. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.12135	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.12135 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.12693 1.13367 1.13801 Support: 1.11612 1.11130 Rationale Downtrend intact, but the dollar side is split between high US yields and fading Fed hike odds, so the euro-specific weakness is cleaner in the crosses. Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURCAD, EURCHF and EURGBP. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.33073	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.33073 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.33110 1.33715 1.35061 Support: 1.32733 1.32040 1.31366 Rationale Range-bound between 1.3273 and 1.3372 with RSI on the midline and no retail signal. UK earnings at 02:00 NY and Wednesday's CPI argue against forcing a direction. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	158.542	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 158.542 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 158.992 159.777 160.392 Support: 158.025 157.536 156.375 Rationale The triangle under 159.04 favours longs, but Finance Minister Katayama has warned Tokyo is ready to intervene again and the targets sit in that zone. No dip-buying into official warnings; the short-JPY theme runs through CHFJPY and GBPJPY. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.82666	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.82666 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.82635 0.83478 0.83947 Support: 0.82175 0.81830 0.80671 Rationale Flat RSI and balanced retail at the 0.8264 pivot, with fading upside momentum but no trend. No edge between 0.8218 and 0.8348. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.69806	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.69806 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.69898 0.70129 0.70775 Support: 0.69511 0.69326 0.68941 Rationale Pressing the 0.6990 ceiling with China data supporting AUD, but the bias is neutral and 0.7013 sits just overhead. No 1:1 path in either direction. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.56633	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.56633 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.56872 0.57315 0.57486 Support: 0.56458 0.56104 0.55806 Rationale Retail 70% long favours fading the bounce, but the first target only pays 1:1 at Monday's 0.5646 low and China data supports the antipodeans. Short-NZD is carried by NZDCAD and AUDNZD instead. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	177.783	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 177.783 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 177.965 178.336 179.309 Support: 177.104 176.516 176.254 Rationale Chopping inside 176.25-178.34 with balanced retail, and euro weakness offsets yen weakness here. No directional edge. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.60640	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.60640 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.61276 1.62272 1.62660 Support: 1.60312 1.60108 1.59545 Rationale Two-way chop with a 96-pip ATR and no trend after the spike was erased. Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURCAD, EURCHF and EURGBP. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Neutral	Low	1.98005	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.98005 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.98717 1.99043 1.99388 Support: 1.97549 1.95740 1.95361 Rationale Bearish breakout, but from a pullback entry 1.9755 pays under 1:1 and 1.9574 is beyond 2 ATR. Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURCAD, EURCHF and EURGBP. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.10005	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.10005 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.10054 1.10459 1.10682 Support: 1.09614 1.09110 1.08947 Rationale Compressed 1.0961-1.1005 coil with flat momentum and balanced retail. No directional edge ahead of UK earnings at 02:00 NY. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.90633	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.90633 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.91148 1.91889 1.92288 Support: 1.90448 1.90035 1.89388 Rationale Uptrend intact, but Monday's gap lower and China-supported AUD fight the long, and the first target barely reaches 1:1. UK earnings at 02:00 NY add event risk. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.87707	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.87707 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.87855 1.88508 1.89071 Support: 1.87466 1.87117 1.86514 Rationale Sitting on the 1.8747 support zone inside a range with no momentum and no retail signal. No edge. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.34975	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 2.34975 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.35280 2.35867 2.36657 Support: 2.34710 2.34420 2.32432 Rationale Slipping below its plateau while 70% retail short argues against chasing the dip. Mixed signals, no edge. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Neutral	Low	110.670	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 110.670 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 110.641 111.128 112.616 Support: 109.855 109.643 109.233 Rationale Back at the 110.64 pivot mid-range with no momentum or retail signal. Short-JPY is already carried by CHFJPY and GBPJPY under intervention risk. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	112.396	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 112.396 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 112.586 112.921 Support: 111.676 111.237 110.756 Rationale Breakout bias, but with the stop under 111.68 the 112.92 resistance pays under 1:1 and no further level is mapped. Short-JPY is already carried by CHFJPY and GBPJPY. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Neutral	Low	89.786	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 89.786 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 90.063 90.542 Support: 89.172 88.959 88.264 Rationale Bounce running into the 90.06-90.54 resistance zone with 69% retail long. No clean edge, and short-JPY is carried by CHFJPY and GBPJPY. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.57705	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.57705 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.57810 0.58163 0.58464 Support: 0.57301 0.57043 0.56665 Rationale At the 0.5781 pivot after a possible false break, but momentum damage has not healed. No edge. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.98466	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.98466 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.98613 0.98799 0.99256 Support: 0.98389 0.98165 0.97906 Rationale Retesting the broken 0.9839 floor from below with 50/50 retail and mixed AUD and CAD drivers. No edge. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.46816	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.46816 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.46828 0.47237 0.47371 Support: 0.46679 0.46433 0.46334 Rationale At the 0.4683 range ceiling with 64% retail long but no momentum to force a break. CHF and NZD exposure already carried elsewhere. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58604	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58604 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58636 0.58782 0.58866 Support: 0.58280 0.58018 0.57872 Rationale Quiet range approaching the 0.5864-0.5879 cap with only a faint retail signal and no momentum. No edge. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	4141.64	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 4141.64 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4198.90 4217.17 4226.97 Support: 4110.89 4073.47 4066.46 Rationale Range-bound 4066-4227 with fading highs and high US yields weighing, but 4110 support is close and the 78-dollar ATR leaves no clean 1:1 plan. Neutral. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$3 average per $100 risked

93 of 133 picks filled, over 45 verified days · target hit 15%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

357 plans over 45 verified days · target hit 10%

45 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 93 picks the honest range around the +$3 runs from −$13 to +$19 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 133 picks published, 93 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 24 of the 93 picks lost the full $100, against 53 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 97% of the Top 3 result, and 27 of the 93 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$13 to +$1, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 357 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 20 Oct 2026)

Target hit 10% (36)
Stop hit 24% (85)
Timed out 66% (236)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 162 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

30% Win rate 36 of 121 plans closed at target or stop

-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.08R Timed-out average how those 236 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

21%

14 of 68 plans

Bearish

42%

22 of 53 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
EURJPY	75%	3 / 4
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
NZDJPY	60%	3 / 5
AUDCHF	50%	3 / 6
NZDCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDUSD	43%	3 / 7
EURUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
USDCAD	40%	2 / 5
XAUUSD	33%	1 / 3
GBPUSD	33%	1 / 3
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
EURCHF	30%	3 / 10
EURGBP	25%	1 / 4
EURNZD	25%	1 / 4
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
USDJPY	25%	1 / 4
GBPAUD	20%	1 / 5
AUDJPY	17%	1 / 6
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 4
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 7
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

20 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $148

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Bearish	1.41160 → 1.40701	Not filled	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84310 → 0.83979	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.92760 → 0.92228	Timed out	+0.42R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.58270 → 1.57727	Not filled	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Bullish	210.800 → 212.000	Timed out	+1.16R
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Bullish	191.620 → 192.478	Timed out	+0.41R
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.23180 → 1.23697	Timed out	+0.10R
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.79950 → 0.79518	Timed out	+0.31R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

19 Oct 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $57

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Bullish	1.33270 → 1.33999	Timed out	-0.41R
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Bearish	0.69750 → 0.69326	Timed out	-0.11R
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.92550 → 0.92000	Timed out	-0.35R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.91240 → 1.92142	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.35370 → 2.36179	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Bullish	191.450 → 192.478	Timed out	+0.44R
AUDCHF	Bearish	0.57460 → 0.57043	Timed out	-0.62R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

16 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $70

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59220 → 1.58614	Timed out	+0.70R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Bearish	109.520 → 108.703	Stop hit	-1.00R
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.950 → 88.283	Stop hit	-1.00R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Bearish	0.57290 → 0.56728	Timed out	+0.19R
AUDCAD	Bearish	0.98300 → 0.97906	Timed out	+0.30R
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46535 → 0.46330	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

15 Oct 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $0

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.58980 → 1.58614	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

14 Oct 2026 2 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $137

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.84525 → 0.84378	Timed out	-0.30R
EURJPY	Bearish	177.500 → 176.516	Target hit	+1.54R
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.59330 → 1.58963	Not filled	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Bullish	1.88350 → 1.88971	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.36000 → 2.36667	Timed out	-0.10R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.980 → 88.389	Target hit	+1.69R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 17%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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The AI plan of the day on your chart: entry, stop and two targets for every market our AI reads as directional. The Trade Panel runs the whole account from one chart — five-factor signals, orders prefilled from the plan with automatic lot sizing, close-only account protection. The new Chart Panel sits beside each chart you trade: retail positioning, our signal and the AI plan for that market, levels drawn on the chart, stop and target you can drag. Available now: one license, both panels.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

EURCAD

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EURCHF

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