| EURCHF |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
0.92728 |
0.92790Sell limit |
0.93035 |
0.92228 |
+0.10R |
1:2.29 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
0.92728
Entry Point
0.92790
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.93035
Conservative Target
0.92228
Risk:Reward
1:2.29
Optimal Target
0.92000
Stop Loss Distance
24.5 pips
Target Distance
56.2 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.92895
0.93345
0.93701
Support:
0.92597
0.92228
0.92000
Rationale
Downtrend with lower highs, a widening negative MACD and 67% of retail long; sell under the 0.9290 resistance. The nearer 0.9260 support is too close to pay the 0.5 ATR stop, so the target is the 0.9223 low, which lowers the hit rate.
|
| EURCAD |
Bearish
|
High
|
1.57928 |
1.58030Sell limit |
1.58410 |
1.57403 |
+0.10R |
1:1.65 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
High
Analysis Price
1.57928
Entry Point
1.58030
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.58410
Conservative Target
1.57403
Risk:Reward
1:1.65
Optimal Target
1.57000
Stop Loss Distance
38.0 pips
Target Distance
62.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.58208
1.58628
1.59612
Support:
1.57403
1.57000
Rationale
This is the cleanest short-euro/long-CAD trade: a persistent downtrend, a widening negative MACD and a heavily crowded 78% retail long, after French unrest gapped the euro lower. Sell a small bounce with the stop above 1.5821, target the 1.5740 low.
|
| USDCHF |
Bearish
|
Low
|
0.82572 |
0.82620Sell limit |
0.82890 |
0.82272 |
+0.07R |
1:1.29 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.82572
Entry Point
0.82620
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.82890
Conservative Target
0.82272
Risk:Reward
1:1.29
Optimal Target
0.82175
Stop Loss Distance
27.0 pips
Target Distance
34.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.82635
0.83000
0.83822
Support:
0.82272
0.82175
0.81830
Rationale
Sell just under the 0.8264 resistance: MACD has crossed below its signal, RSI is under 50, and the dollar eased against every major as yields slipped. Stop above 0.8264 at 0.5 ATR, target the 0.8227 lows.
|
| EURNZD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.97694 |
1.97840Sell limit |
1.98370 |
1.97223 |
+0.07R |
1:1.16 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.97694
Entry Point
1.97840
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.98370
Conservative Target
1.97223
Risk:Reward
1:1.16
Optimal Target
1.95740
Stop Loss Distance
53.0 pips
Target Distance
61.7 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.97859
1.98717
1.99388
Support:
1.97223
1.95740
1.95361
Rationale
MACD has crossed below both its signal and zero, the lowest close in the sample was on 20 October, and retail is balanced, so nothing is braking the move. Sell just under the 1.9786 resistance, target the 1.9722 low, with 1.9574 beyond.
|
| CHFJPY |
Bullish
|
Low
|
191.684 |
191.500Buy limit |
190.870 |
192.148 |
+0.07R |
1:1.03 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
191.684
Entry Point
191.500
Order Type
Buy limit
Stop Loss
190.870
Conservative Target
192.148
Risk:Reward
1:1.03
Optimal Target
192.478
Stop Loss Distance
63.0 pips
Target Distance
64.8 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
192.148
192.478
Support:
191.166
190.784
189.172
Rationale
Uptrend paused just under 192.15 with a firmly positive MACD; buy a dip toward 191.17 support with the stop below it at 0.5 ATR. This is the only short-yen plan, kept small because the JGB auction lifted the yen and USDJPY is close to intervention levels.
|
| AUDCAD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
0.98599 |
0.98680Sell limit |
0.98960 |
0.98389 |
+0.07R |
1:1.04 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.98599
Entry Point
0.98680
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
0.98960
Conservative Target
0.98389
Risk:Reward
1:1.04
Optimal Target
0.98113
Stop Loss Distance
28.0 pips
Target Distance
29.1 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.98613
0.98791
0.99256
Support:
0.98389
0.98113
0.97906
Rationale
Still capped below 0.9861-0.9879 after losing the range on 15 October, with MACD below its signal and the loonie firm. Sell inside the resistance band with the stop above 0.9879, target the 0.9839 old floor.
|
| XAUUSD |
Bearish
|
Low
|
4130.33 |
4142.00Sell limit |
4181.00 |
4073.47 |
+0.06R |
1:1.76 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
4130.33
Entry Point
4142.00
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
4181.00
Conservative Target
4073.47
Risk:Reward
1:1.76
Optimal Target
4066.46
Stop Loss Distance
39.0 pts
Target Distance
68.5 pts
Key Levels
Resistance:
4155.43
4198.90
4226.97
Support:
4110.89
4073.47
4066.46
Rationale
October highs keep stepping lower under the 4,155 resistance, and the 4,111 floor is being retested; sell a bounce with the stop above 4,155. Confidence is low because the softer dollar and oil swings on Iran headlines could cushion gold.
|
| USDCAD |
Bearish
|
Medium
|
1.40639 |
1.40710Sell limit |
1.41330 |
1.39905 |
+0.05R |
1:1.30 |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Medium
Analysis Price
1.40639
Entry Point
1.40710
Order Type
Sell limit
Stop Loss
1.41330
Conservative Target
1.39905
Risk:Reward
1:1.30
Optimal Target
1.37620
Stop Loss Distance
62.0 pips
Target Distance
80.5 pips
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.41286
1.41960
1.42968
Support:
1.40318
1.39905
1.37620
Rationale
Four straight lower closes through the 1.4196 floor, momentum turning down, and the news flow shows the loonie firm even after the soft CPI. Sell a shallow bounce with the stop above 1.4129, target the 1.3990 pivot.
|
| EURUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.12298 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.12298
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.12693
1.13000
1.13800
Support:
1.11820
1.11612
1.11130
Rationale
The bearish bias sits mid-range in the 1.1113-1.1269 box while the dollar softened against every major on lower yields, so selling EUR against USD fights the tape. The short-euro theme is already in EURCAD, EURNZD and EURCHF.
|
| GBPUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.33744 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.33744
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.34091
1.35061
1.35678
Support:
1.32960
1.32733
1.32040
Rationale
UK CPI (High impact) at 02:00 NY falls inside the plan window, so the bullish breakout above 1.3280 gets no plan. Bailey speaks at 09:00 NY on top of that.
|
| USDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
158.280 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
158.280
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
158.481
158.992
159.777
Support:
158.025
157.536
156.678
Rationale
Compressed range between 157.5 and 158.95 with balanced retail positioning and no momentum. Strong JGB auction demand for the yen and the nearby 160 intervention zone make both sides unattractive.
|
| AUDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.70112 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.70112
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.70129
0.70450
0.70775
Support:
0.69700
0.69326
0.68941
Rationale
Price is pressing the 0.7013 cap of a 0.6894-0.7013 range, with RSI on the midline and retail split. No edge on either side before a daily close outside the range.
|
| NZDUSD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.56804 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.56804
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.56872
0.57315
0.57486
Support:
0.56520
0.56104
0.55806
Rationale
Price sits right under 0.5687 resistance with 63% of retail long, and the first 1:1 target at 0.5732 is more than 1.2 ATR from a sensible entry. The short-USD theme is already in USDCAD and USDCHF.
|
| EURGBP |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.83965 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.83965
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.84286
0.84503
0.84778
Support:
0.83843
0.83500
Rationale
UK CPI (High impact) at 02:00 NY rules out a plan despite the strong bearish trend and 79% retail long. RSI at 18.5 also adds snap-back risk on a soft print.
|
| EURJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
177.746 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
177.746
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
177.965
178.336
179.309
Support:
177.134
176.516
176.254
Rationale
Stuck in the 176.2-178.3 range just under the 177.97 cap, with neutral retail and mixed momentum. Euro weakness and yen strength cancel out here.
|
| EURAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.60170 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.60170
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.61276
1.62660
1.63350
Support:
1.60312
1.60108
1.59545
Rationale
Price is slipping under the 1.6031 twin lows, but the regime is volatile and needs a wide volatility stop, and there is no level below 1.5955 for a second target. The short-euro theme is already in EURCAD, EURNZD and EURCHF.
|
| GBPJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
211.689 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
211.689
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
211.741
212.500
217.467
Support:
211.442
210.750
209.559
Rationale
UK CPI (High impact) at 02:00 NY means no plan on the fresh breakout above 210.3.
|
| GBPCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.10434 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.10434
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.10459
1.10682
1.11044
Support:
1.09786
1.09600
1.08947
Rationale
UK CPI (High impact) at 02:00 NY falls inside the window, and price is sitting at the 1.1046-1.1070 rejection zone of a range-bound market.
|
| GBPAUD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.90758 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.90758
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.91148
1.91889
1.92288
Support:
1.90446
1.90035
1.89388
Rationale
UK CPI (High impact) at 02:00 NY rules out a plan on the constructive 1.9045 base.
|
| GBPCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.88086 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.88086
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.88508
1.89052
1.89256
Support:
1.87948
1.87321
1.87117
Rationale
UK CPI (High impact) at 02:00 NY, and price is in the middle of the 1.873-1.893 range with no directional push.
|
| GBPNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
2.35450 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
2.35450
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
2.36000
2.36657
Support:
2.34534
2.34420
2.32432
Rationale
UK CPI (High impact) at 02:00 NY means no plan, despite the 75% retail short that favours buying the dip.
|
| AUDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
110.974 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
110.974
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
111.128
111.645
112.616
Support:
110.356
109.643
109.233
Rationale
Price is right under the decisive 111.13 cap of a 108.6-111.1 range, with neutral RSI and balanced retail. Short-yen exposure is kept to CHFJPY.
|
| CADJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
112.550 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
112.550
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
112.586
112.921
Support:
112.235
111.676
111.237
Rationale
Redundant with the long-CAD plans in EURCAD, USDCAD and AUDCAD. Price is pressing the 112.59 high, and the strong JGB auction bid for the yen argues against adding short-yen exposure.
|
| NZDJPY |
Neutral
|
Low
|
89.909 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
89.909
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
90.258
90.542
Support:
89.689
89.172
88.959
Rationale
Redundant with the CHFJPY short-yen plan. 66% of retail is long, and the 90.06-90.26 September highs directly overhead argue against chasing the breakout.
|
| AUDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.57894 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.57894
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.57810
0.58163
0.58464
Support:
0.57739
0.57480
0.57043
Rationale
Price sits on the 0.5774-0.5781 pivot after a breakdown and partial recovery. Soft momentum conflicts with the 65% retail short, so there is no edge.
|
| AUDNZD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
1.23429 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
1.23429
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.23369
1.23697
1.24367
Support:
1.22942
1.22692
Rationale
Moving sideways between 1.229 and 1.234; soft technicals clash with the 71% retail short, so there is no clean side.
|
| NZDCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.46903 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.46903
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.46984
0.47081
0.47237
Support:
0.46679
0.46433
0.46334
Rationale
Narrow 0.4633-0.4724 range with a flat MACD and RSI at 50; price is testing 0.4698 resistance with no directional edge.
|
| NZDCAD |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.79884 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.79884
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.80071
0.80322
0.80518
Support:
0.79815
0.79651
0.79468
Rationale
One of the tightest markets: three closes between 0.7988 and 0.7990 inside 0.7947-0.8061, so there is no trend to trade.
|
| CADCHF |
Neutral
|
Low
|
0.58716 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Forecast Details
Confidence
Low
Analysis Price
0.58716
Entry Point
—
Order Type
—
Stop Loss
—
Conservative Target
—
Risk:Reward
—
Optimal Target
—
Stop Loss Distance
—
Target Distance
—
Key Levels
Resistance:
0.58782
0.58866
0.59074
Support:
0.58472
0.58280
0.58116
Rationale
Price is pinned under the 0.5878-0.5880 rejection zone of a 0.5787-0.5887 range with a flat MACD. The CAD and CHF longs are already carried elsewhere.
|