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Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Tuesday, 20 October 2026 Forecast for: Wednesday, 21 October 2026 Plan window: Tue 23:00 – Wed 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

You are viewing an archived forecast

This is the forex forecast generated for 20 October 2026. View current forecast

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

Today's plans follow three themes: a weak euro, a firm Canadian dollar and a slightly softer US dollar. They are traded mainly through shorts in EURCAD, EURNZD, EURCHF, USDCAD, AUDCAD and USDCHF. Sterling pairs get no plans because UK CPI comes out at 02:00 New York time and can gap through any stop. Yen exposure is limited to one CHFJPY long, because USDJPY is trading close to the 160 area where Japan has stepped in before. Oil is swinging on US-Iran headlines, US yields are slipping and gold keeps making lower highs. Together these point to a cautious, mixed session rather than a clean risk-on day.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

  • GBP CPI y/y at 02:00 NY (forecast 3.4%, previous 3.1%): no plans on any sterling pair
  • GBP BoE Governor Bailey speaks at 09:00 NY, after strong UK jobs data lifted BoE hike bets
  • CAD and risk tone: oil swinging on US-Iran headlines, with the Bank of Canada decision due 28 October
  • EURCAD test of the 1.5740 low and USDJPY inside its 156.4-159.0 box, with intervention risk near 160

Best Opportunities

EURCAD Bearish
EURNZD Bearish
USDCHF Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (352 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 66% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

EURCAD

Bearish High Confidence
R/R 1:1.65

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.58030 Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.58410 (38.0 pips)
Conservative Target 1.57403 (62.7 pips)
Optimal Target 1.57000 (103.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.58208 1.58628 1.59612
Support: 1.57403 1.57000

Rationale

This is the cleanest short-euro/long-CAD trade: a persistent downtrend, a widening negative MACD and a heavily crowded 78% retail long, after French unrest gapped the euro lower. Sell a small bounce with the stop above 1.5821, target the 1.5740 low.

EURNZD

Bearish Medium Confidence
R/R 1:1.16

Expected result +0.07 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 1.97840 Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.98370 (53.0 pips)
Conservative Target 1.97223 (61.7 pips)
Optimal Target 1.95740 (210.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.97859 1.98717 1.99388
Support: 1.97223 1.95740 1.95361

Rationale

MACD has crossed below both its signal and zero, the lowest close in the sample was on 20 October, and retail is balanced, so nothing is braking the move. Sell just under the 1.9786 resistance, target the 1.9722 low, with 1.9574 beyond.

USDCHF

Bearish Low Confidence
R/R 1:1.29

Expected result +0.07 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.82620 Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.82890 (27.0 pips)
Conservative Target 0.82272 (34.8 pips)
Optimal Target 0.82175 (44.5 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.82635 0.83000 0.83822
Support: 0.82272 0.82175 0.81830

Rationale

Sell just under the 0.8264 resistance: MACD has crossed below its signal, RSI is under 50, and the dollar eased against every major as yields slipped. Stop above 0.8264 at 0.5 ATR, target the 0.8227 lows.

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair Direction Confidence Analysis Price Entry Stop Loss Target Expected result Risk:Reward

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 0.92728
Entry Point 0.92790
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.93035
Conservative Target 0.92228
Risk:Reward 1:2.29
Optimal Target 0.92000
Stop Loss Distance 24.5 pips
Target Distance 56.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.92895 0.93345 0.93701
Support: 0.92597 0.92228 0.92000

Rationale

Downtrend with lower highs, a widening negative MACD and 67% of retail long; sell under the 0.9290 resistance. The nearer 0.9260 support is too close to pay the 0.5 ATR stop, so the target is the 0.9223 low, which lowers the hit rate.

Forecast Details

Confidence High
Analysis Price 1.57928
Entry Point 1.58030
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.58410
Conservative Target 1.57403
Risk:Reward 1:1.65
Optimal Target 1.57000
Stop Loss Distance 38.0 pips
Target Distance 62.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.58208 1.58628 1.59612
Support: 1.57403 1.57000

Rationale

This is the cleanest short-euro/long-CAD trade: a persistent downtrend, a widening negative MACD and a heavily crowded 78% retail long, after French unrest gapped the euro lower. Sell a small bounce with the stop above 1.5821, target the 1.5740 low.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.82572
Entry Point 0.82620
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.82890
Conservative Target 0.82272
Risk:Reward 1:1.29
Optimal Target 0.82175
Stop Loss Distance 27.0 pips
Target Distance 34.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.82635 0.83000 0.83822
Support: 0.82272 0.82175 0.81830

Rationale

Sell just under the 0.8264 resistance: MACD has crossed below its signal, RSI is under 50, and the dollar eased against every major as yields slipped. Stop above 0.8264 at 0.5 ATR, target the 0.8227 lows.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 1.97694
Entry Point 1.97840
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.98370
Conservative Target 1.97223
Risk:Reward 1:1.16
Optimal Target 1.95740
Stop Loss Distance 53.0 pips
Target Distance 61.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.97859 1.98717 1.99388
Support: 1.97223 1.95740 1.95361

Rationale

MACD has crossed below both its signal and zero, the lowest close in the sample was on 20 October, and retail is balanced, so nothing is braking the move. Sell just under the 1.9786 resistance, target the 1.9722 low, with 1.9574 beyond.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 191.684
Entry Point 191.500
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 190.870
Conservative Target 192.148
Risk:Reward 1:1.03
Optimal Target 192.478
Stop Loss Distance 63.0 pips
Target Distance 64.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 192.148 192.478
Support: 191.166 190.784 189.172

Rationale

Uptrend paused just under 192.15 with a firmly positive MACD; buy a dip toward 191.17 support with the stop below it at 0.5 ATR. This is the only short-yen plan, kept small because the JGB auction lifted the yen and USDJPY is close to intervention levels.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.98599
Entry Point 0.98680
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.98960
Conservative Target 0.98389
Risk:Reward 1:1.04
Optimal Target 0.98113
Stop Loss Distance 28.0 pips
Target Distance 29.1 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.98613 0.98791 0.99256
Support: 0.98389 0.98113 0.97906

Rationale

Still capped below 0.9861-0.9879 after losing the range on 15 October, with MACD below its signal and the loonie firm. Sell inside the resistance band with the stop above 0.9879, target the 0.9839 old floor.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 4130.33
Entry Point 4142.00
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 4181.00
Conservative Target 4073.47
Risk:Reward 1:1.76
Optimal Target 4066.46
Stop Loss Distance 39.0 pts
Target Distance 68.5 pts

Key Levels

Resistance: 4155.43 4198.90 4226.97
Support: 4110.89 4073.47 4066.46

Rationale

October highs keep stepping lower under the 4,155 resistance, and the 4,111 floor is being retested; sell a bounce with the stop above 4,155. Confidence is low because the softer dollar and oil swings on Iran headlines could cushion gold.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 1.40639
Entry Point 1.40710
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.41330
Conservative Target 1.39905
Risk:Reward 1:1.30
Optimal Target 1.37620
Stop Loss Distance 62.0 pips
Target Distance 80.5 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.41286 1.41960 1.42968
Support: 1.40318 1.39905 1.37620

Rationale

Four straight lower closes through the 1.4196 floor, momentum turning down, and the news flow shows the loonie firm even after the soft CPI. Sell a shallow bounce with the stop above 1.4129, target the 1.3990 pivot.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.12298
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.12693 1.13000 1.13800
Support: 1.11820 1.11612 1.11130

Rationale

The bearish bias sits mid-range in the 1.1113-1.1269 box while the dollar softened against every major on lower yields, so selling EUR against USD fights the tape. The short-euro theme is already in EURCAD, EURNZD and EURCHF.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.33744
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.34091 1.35061 1.35678
Support: 1.32960 1.32733 1.32040

Rationale

UK CPI (High impact) at 02:00 NY falls inside the plan window, so the bullish breakout above 1.3280 gets no plan. Bailey speaks at 09:00 NY on top of that.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 158.280
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 158.481 158.992 159.777
Support: 158.025 157.536 156.678

Rationale

Compressed range between 157.5 and 158.95 with balanced retail positioning and no momentum. Strong JGB auction demand for the yen and the nearby 160 intervention zone make both sides unattractive.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.70112
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.70129 0.70450 0.70775
Support: 0.69700 0.69326 0.68941

Rationale

Price is pressing the 0.7013 cap of a 0.6894-0.7013 range, with RSI on the midline and retail split. No edge on either side before a daily close outside the range.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.56804
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.56872 0.57315 0.57486
Support: 0.56520 0.56104 0.55806

Rationale

Price sits right under 0.5687 resistance with 63% of retail long, and the first 1:1 target at 0.5732 is more than 1.2 ATR from a sensible entry. The short-USD theme is already in USDCAD and USDCHF.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.83965
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.84286 0.84503 0.84778
Support: 0.83843 0.83500

Rationale

UK CPI (High impact) at 02:00 NY rules out a plan despite the strong bearish trend and 79% retail long. RSI at 18.5 also adds snap-back risk on a soft print.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 177.746
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 177.965 178.336 179.309
Support: 177.134 176.516 176.254

Rationale

Stuck in the 176.2-178.3 range just under the 177.97 cap, with neutral retail and mixed momentum. Euro weakness and yen strength cancel out here.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.60170
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.61276 1.62660 1.63350
Support: 1.60312 1.60108 1.59545

Rationale

Price is slipping under the 1.6031 twin lows, but the regime is volatile and needs a wide volatility stop, and there is no level below 1.5955 for a second target. The short-euro theme is already in EURCAD, EURNZD and EURCHF.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 211.689
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 211.741 212.500 217.467
Support: 211.442 210.750 209.559

Rationale

UK CPI (High impact) at 02:00 NY means no plan on the fresh breakout above 210.3.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.10434
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.10459 1.10682 1.11044
Support: 1.09786 1.09600 1.08947

Rationale

UK CPI (High impact) at 02:00 NY falls inside the window, and price is sitting at the 1.1046-1.1070 rejection zone of a range-bound market.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.90758
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.91148 1.91889 1.92288
Support: 1.90446 1.90035 1.89388

Rationale

UK CPI (High impact) at 02:00 NY rules out a plan on the constructive 1.9045 base.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.88086
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.88508 1.89052 1.89256
Support: 1.87948 1.87321 1.87117

Rationale

UK CPI (High impact) at 02:00 NY, and price is in the middle of the 1.873-1.893 range with no directional push.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 2.35450
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.36000 2.36657
Support: 2.34534 2.34420 2.32432

Rationale

UK CPI (High impact) at 02:00 NY means no plan, despite the 75% retail short that favours buying the dip.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 110.974
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 111.128 111.645 112.616
Support: 110.356 109.643 109.233

Rationale

Price is right under the decisive 111.13 cap of a 108.6-111.1 range, with neutral RSI and balanced retail. Short-yen exposure is kept to CHFJPY.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 112.550
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 112.586 112.921
Support: 112.235 111.676 111.237

Rationale

Redundant with the long-CAD plans in EURCAD, USDCAD and AUDCAD. Price is pressing the 112.59 high, and the strong JGB auction bid for the yen argues against adding short-yen exposure.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 89.909
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 90.258 90.542
Support: 89.689 89.172 88.959

Rationale

Redundant with the CHFJPY short-yen plan. 66% of retail is long, and the 90.06-90.26 September highs directly overhead argue against chasing the breakout.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.57894
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.57810 0.58163 0.58464
Support: 0.57739 0.57480 0.57043

Rationale

Price sits on the 0.5774-0.5781 pivot after a breakdown and partial recovery. Soft momentum conflicts with the 65% retail short, so there is no edge.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.23429
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.23369 1.23697 1.24367
Support: 1.22942 1.22692

Rationale

Moving sideways between 1.229 and 1.234; soft technicals clash with the 71% retail short, so there is no clean side.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.46903
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.46984 0.47081 0.47237
Support: 0.46679 0.46433 0.46334

Rationale

Narrow 0.4633-0.4724 range with a flat MACD and RSI at 50; price is testing 0.4698 resistance with no directional edge.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.79884
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.80071 0.80322 0.80518
Support: 0.79815 0.79651 0.79468

Rationale

One of the tightest markets: three closes between 0.7988 and 0.7990 inside 0.7947-0.8061, so there is no trend to trade.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.58716
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58782 0.58866 0.59074
Support: 0.58472 0.58280 0.58116

Rationale

Price is pinned under the 0.5878-0.5880 rejection zone of a 0.5787-0.5887 range with a flat MACD. The CAD and CHF longs are already carried elsewhere.

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$3 average per $100 risked

93 of 133 picks filled, over 45 verified days · target hit 15%

Every plan on the board

−$6 average per $100 risked

357 plans over 45 verified days · target hit 10%

45 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 93 picks the honest range around the +$3 runs from −$13 to +$19 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 133 picks published, 93 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 24 of the 93 picks lost the full $100, against 53 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 97% of the Top 3 result, and 27 of the 93 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$13 to +$1, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 357 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 20 Oct 2026)

  • Target hit 10% (36)
  • Stop hit 24% (85)
  • Timed out 66% (236)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 162 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown
30% Win rate 36 of 121 plans closed at target or stop
-0.06R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one
+0.08R Timed-out average how those 236 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

21%
14 of 68 plans

Bearish

42%
22 of 53 plans

Win rate by pair

PairWin ratePlans
EURJPY
75%
3 / 4
GBPJPY
75%
3 / 4
NZDJPY
60%
3 / 5
AUDCHF
50%
3 / 6
NZDCAD
50%
2 / 4
AUDUSD
43%
3 / 7
EURUSD
40%
2 / 5
NZDUSD
40%
2 / 5
USDCAD
40%
2 / 5
XAUUSD
33%
1 / 3
GBPUSD
33%
1 / 3
CHFJPY
33%
1 / 3
EURCHF
30%
3 / 10
EURGBP
25%
1 / 4
EURNZD
25%
1 / 4
USDCHF
25%
1 / 4
USDJPY
25%
1 / 4
GBPAUD
20%
1 / 5
AUDJPY
17%
1 / 6
GBPNZD
0%
0 / 4
NZDCHF
0%
0 / 5
GBPCAD
0%
0 / 7
AUDCAD
0%
0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit
Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit
Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out
The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled
Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken
Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

20 Oct 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $148
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bearish 1.41160 → 1.40701 Not filled –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84310 → 0.83979 Not filled –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bearish 0.92760 → 0.92228 Timed out +0.42R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Bearish 1.58270 → 1.57727 Not filled –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Bullish 210.800 → 212.000 Timed out +1.16R
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Bullish 191.620 → 192.478 Timed out +0.41R
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Bullish 1.23180 → 1.23697 Timed out +0.10R
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Bearish 0.79950 → 0.79518 Timed out +0.31R
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
19 Oct 2026 0 target · 2 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $57
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Bullish 1.33270 → 1.33999 Timed out -0.41R
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Bearish 0.69750 → 0.69326 Timed out -0.11R
USDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bearish 0.92550 → 0.92000 Timed out -0.35R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Bullish 1.91240 → 1.92142 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Bullish 2.35370 → 2.36179 Stop hit -1.00R
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CHFJPY Bullish 191.450 → 192.478 Timed out +0.44R
AUDCHF Bearish 0.57460 → 0.57043 Timed out -0.62R
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
16 Oct 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $70
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59220 → 1.58614 Timed out +0.70R
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bearish 109.520 → 108.703 Stop hit -1.00R
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.950 → 88.283 Stop hit -1.00R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Bearish 0.57290 → 0.56728 Timed out +0.19R
AUDCAD Bearish 0.98300 → 0.97906 Timed out +0.30R
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46535 → 0.46330 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
15 Oct 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 0 timed out $100 → $0
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Bearish 1.58980 → 1.58614 Stop hit -1.00R
EURNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
14 Oct 2026 2 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $137
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Bearish 0.84525 → 0.84378 Timed out -0.30R
EURJPY Bearish 177.500 → 176.516 Target hit +1.54R
EURCHF Neutral Range Range held –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Bearish 1.59330 → 1.58963 Not filled –
EURNZD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.88350 → 1.88971 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPNZD Bullish 2.36000 → 2.36667 Timed out -0.10R
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.980 → 88.389 Target hit +1.69R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

  1. Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
  2. Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
  3. AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
  4. Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

  • Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
  • Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
  • Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
  • Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
  • Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
  • Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 17%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

  • Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
  • Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
  • Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
  • Adjust position size based on expected volatility
  • Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
  • Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

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