Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Wednesday, 04 November 2026 Forecast for: Thursday, 05 November 2026 Plan window: Thu 00:00 – Thu 21:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

Archive 2026-11-04

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The US dollar fell after Democrats won both chambers of Congress in the midterm elections. The Swiss franc gained the most, helped by hotter Swiss inflation and talk that the Swiss National Bank could move away from zero rates. Today's plans carry two themes: long Swiss franc through short USDCHF, EURCHF and NZDCHF, and short New Zealand dollar through short NZDCHF and long EURNZD and AUDNZD. The dollar is sold only through USDCHF. Sterling pairs stay neutral ahead of the Bank of England decision at 07:00 New York. Plans that sell the yen are skipped while Tokyo keeps warning it may intervene to support it.

Volatility Forecast

Medium

Key Events to Monitor

GBP Bank of England rate decision, vote split and Monetary Policy Report at 07:00 NY, Governor Bailey at 07:30 NY
CHF SNB Chairman Schlegel speaks at 07:40 NY: the main risk for the long-franc plans
USD Unemployment Claims at 08:30 NY, BOC Gov Macklem at 10:30 NY, ECB President Lagarde at 13:00 NY
JPY: risk of intervention near the USDJPY 158.95 range ceiling after repeated warnings from Japan's Finance Minister

Best Opportunities

NZDCHF Bearish

EURCHF Bearish

USDCHF Bearish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (413 filled plans), 11% hit the target, 24% hit the stop and 65% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

NZDCHF

Bearish High Confidence

R/R 1:2.05

Expected result +0.11 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.45970 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.46190 (22.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.45520 (45.0 pips)

Optimal Target 0.45300 (67.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.46138 0.46497 0.46828

Support: 0.45515 0.45300

Rationale

A clean downtrend with lower highs down to 0.4614 and 77% of retail long, pairing the weakest currency with a franc bid on hot Swiss inflation. Sell the pullback under 0.4614 for the 0.4552 low; Schlegel at 07:40 NY is the event risk.

Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

EURCHF

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.23

Expected result +0.11 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.91800 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.92060 (26.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.91480 (32.0 pips)

Optimal Target 0.91300 (50.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.92018 0.92500 0.93345

Support: 0.91480 0.91299 0.91000

Rationale

Steady lower lows to 0.9130, rallies capped at 0.9202 and 75% of retail long, while hot Swiss inflation keeps the franc in demand. Schlegel at 07:40 NY and Lagarde at 13:00 NY hold confidence at medium.

Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail

USDCHF

Bearish Medium Confidence

R/R 1:1.04

Expected result +0.10 × your risk estimate

Entry Point 0.81750 Sell limit

Stop Loss 0.82200 (45.0 pips)

Conservative Target 0.81280 (47.0 pips)

Optimal Target 0.80670 (108.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.82169 0.82635 0.83128

Support: 0.81272 0.80671 0.80519

Rationale

Four lower lows, bounces capped at 0.8217 and 65% of retail long, while the dollar slid on the Democratic midterm sweep and hot Swiss CPI keeps the franc bid. SNB Chairman Schlegel at 07:40 NY and US claims at 08:30 NY hold confidence at medium.

Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair	Direction	Confidence	Analysis Price	Entry	Stop Loss	Target	Expected result	Risk:Reward	Result
EURCHF	Bearish	Medium	0.91738	0.91800Sell limit	0.92060	0.91480	+0.11R	1:1.23	+1.23RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R Analysis Price 0.91738 Entry Point 0.91800 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.92060 Conservative Target 0.91480 Risk:Reward 1:1.23 Optimal Target 0.91300 Stop Loss Distance 26.0 pips Target Distance 32.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.92018 0.92500 0.93345 Support: 0.91480 0.91299 0.91000 Rationale Steady lower lows to 0.9130, rallies capped at 0.9202 and 75% of retail long, while hot Swiss inflation keeps the franc in demand. Schlegel at 07:40 NY and Lagarde at 13:00 NY hold confidence at medium. Full EURCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCHF	Bearish	High	0.45926	0.45970Sell limit	0.46190	0.45520	+0.11R	1:2.05	+1.17RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence High Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.11R Analysis Price 0.45926 Entry Point 0.45970 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.46190 Conservative Target 0.45520 Risk:Reward 1:2.05 Optimal Target 0.45300 Stop Loss Distance 22.0 pips Target Distance 45.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.46138 0.46497 0.46828 Support: 0.45515 0.45300 Rationale A clean downtrend with lower highs down to 0.4614 and 77% of retail long, pairing the weakest currency with a franc bid on hot Swiss inflation. Sell the pullback under 0.4614 for the 0.4552 low; Schlegel at 07:40 NY is the event risk. Full NZDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
USDCHF	Bearish	Medium	0.81669	0.81750Sell limit	0.82200	0.81280	+0.10R	1:1.04	+0.08RTimed out
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.10R Analysis Price 0.81669 Entry Point 0.81750 Order Type Sell limit Stop Loss 0.82200 Conservative Target 0.81280 Risk:Reward 1:1.04 Optimal Target 0.80670 Stop Loss Distance 45.0 pips Target Distance 47.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 0.82169 0.82635 0.83128 Support: 0.81272 0.80671 0.80519 Rationale Four lower lows, bounces capped at 0.8217 and 65% of retail long, while the dollar slid on the Democratic midterm sweep and hot Swiss CPI keeps the franc bid. SNB Chairman Schlegel at 07:40 NY and US claims at 08:30 NY hold confidence at medium. Full USDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
EURNZD	Bullish	Medium	1.99748	1.99600Buy limit	1.98930	2.00310	+0.08R	1:1.06	+1.06RTarget hit
Forecast Details Confidence Medium Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 1.99748 Entry Point 1.99600 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.98930 Conservative Target 2.00310 Risk:Reward 1:1.06 Optimal Target 2.01110 Stop Loss Distance 67.0 pips Target Distance 71.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 2.00309 2.01110 2.01499 Support: 1.99388 1.98566 1.97778 Rationale Higher lows from 1.9778 to 1.9943 and 67% of retail short back the recovery, and NZD is the weakest leg across its crosses. The stop is the 0.5-ATR minimum, set just under the 1.9939 support; Lagarde at 13:00 NY is the main event risk. Full EURNZD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDNZD	Bullish	Low	1.24564	1.24480Buy limit	1.24100	1.24920	+0.08R	1:1.16	-1.00RStop hit
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks +0.08R Analysis Price 1.24564 Entry Point 1.24480 Order Type Buy limit Stop Loss 1.24100 Conservative Target 1.24920 Risk:Reward 1:1.16 Optimal Target 1.25560 Stop Loss Distance 38.0 pips Target Distance 44.0 pips Key Levels Resistance: 1.24650 1.24925 1.25558 Support: 1.24301 1.23928 1.23565 Rationale Holding 1.2393-1.2430 after the October breakout, with 69% of retail short and the RBA hike favouring AUD over the weak NZD. The stop is the 0.5-ATR minimum, set below 1.2430; recent highs have faded, so confidence is low. Full AUDNZD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPUSD	Neutral	Low	1.34755	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.34755 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.35030 1.35678 1.36755 Support: 1.34047 1.33673 1.32723 Rationale The Bank of England rate decision, vote split and Monetary Policy Report at 07:00 NY, plus Bailey at 07:30 NY, are High-impact GBP events inside the window. No plan despite the higher-low uptrend and 65% of retail short. Full GBPUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDJPY	Neutral	Low	158.408	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 158.408 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 158.477 158.948 159.777 Support: 158.025 157.375 156.962 Rationale Buying under the 158.95 range ceiling means fighting Japan's repeated intervention warnings, while the strong buy-back from 157.38 argues against shorting. Retail is split 51/49, so neither side has an edge. Full USDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURGBP	Neutral	Low	0.83359	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.83359 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.83635 0.84019 0.84778 Support: 0.83217 0.83000 Rationale The Bank of England rate decision and Bailey's remarks at 07:00-07:30 NY are High-impact GBP events inside the window. With RSI at 19.8, a sharp move either way is possible. Full EURGBP analysis Sentiment detail
GBPJPY	Neutral	Low	213.460	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 213.460 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 213.767 215.000 217.467 Support: 212.120 211.548 209.566 Rationale The Bank of England decision at 07:00 NY and Bailey at 07:30 NY are High-impact GBP events inside the window. Yen intervention warnings would argue for caution on a long anyway. Full GBPJPY analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCHF	Neutral	Low	1.10052	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.10052 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.10274 1.10588 1.10702 Support: 1.09635 1.09393 1.09110 Rationale The Bank of England rate decision and Monetary Policy Report at 07:00 NY are High-impact GBP events inside the window. The pair is also stuck mid-range between 1.0939 and 1.1070. Full GBPCHF analysis Sentiment detail
GBPAUD	Neutral	Low	1.92369	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.92369 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.92288 1.92662 1.93622 Support: 1.91893 1.91297 1.90080 Rationale The Bank of England rate decision and Bailey at 07:00-07:30 NY are High-impact GBP events inside the window. Wednesday's long upper wick at 1.9362 already marked a pause. Full GBPAUD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPCAD	Neutral	Low	1.88253	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.88253 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.88293 1.88476 1.89067 Support: 1.87948 1.87783 1.87417 Rationale The Bank of England rate decision and Monetary Policy Report at 07:00 NY are High-impact GBP events inside the window. No plan despite four rising lows and 68% of retail short. Full GBPCAD analysis Sentiment detail
GBPNZD	Neutral	Low	2.39630	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 2.39630 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 2.40826 2.42000 Support: 2.39021 2.38057 2.37196 Rationale The Bank of England rate decision and Bailey at 07:00-07:30 NY are High-impact GBP events inside the window. No plan despite the uptrend and 81% of retail short. Full GBPNZD analysis Sentiment detail
XAUUSD	Neutral	Low	4065.30	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 4065.30 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 4082.77 4144.57 4198.90 Support: 3970.00 3919.86 3870.09 Rationale Gold bounced as the dollar fell but stalls just under the 4083 pivot in a volatile regime, and a stop beyond 3970 barely reaches 1:1 at 4145. US claims at 08:30 NY add event risk. Full XAUUSD analysis Sentiment detail
USDCAD	Neutral	Low	1.39718	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.39718 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.40139 1.40680 1.41350 Support: 1.39413 1.39292 1.37620 Rationale The downtrend has stalled on the 1.3929 shelf, and the drop in oil on hopes of an end to the Iran war weakens the CAD side of a short. Macklem at 10:30 NY and US claims add event risk, and USDCHF already carries the short-USD theme. Full USDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
EURCAD	Neutral	Low	1.56927	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.56927 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.57191 1.57493 1.58208 Support: 1.56578 1.55910 1.55521 Rationale The downtrend has paused into higher lows at 1.5565-1.5658, and cheaper oil weighs on the CAD side of a short. Lagarde and Macklem both speak, and no edge clears the baseline. Full EURCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDJPY	Neutral	Low	110.964	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 110.964 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 111.128 111.305 111.561 Support: 110.423 109.561 108.667 Rationale Range-bound inside 108.63-111.56 with no positioning edge. Plans that sell the yen are skipped today because of the intervention warnings. Full AUDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CADJPY	Neutral	Low	113.391	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 113.391 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 113.659 114.000 115.419 Support: 112.757 112.418 111.483 Rationale The uptrend is orderly, but cheaper oil weighs on CAD and Tokyo's intervention warnings make selling yen near the USDJPY ceiling a poor trade. The only target at 1:1 or better, 114.00, barely clears the baseline. Full CADJPY analysis Sentiment detail
NZDJPY	Neutral	Low	89.080	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 89.080 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 89.393 90.035 90.337 Support: 88.959 88.695 88.101 Rationale Range-bound between 88.10 and 90.34 with no trend. 73% of retail is long, but the 88.10 floor has held twice. Full NZDJPY analysis Sentiment detail
EURUSD	Neutral	Low	1.12330	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.12330 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.12693 1.13000 Support: 1.11751 1.11612 1.11089 Rationale Price is pressing the 1.1269-1.1273 top of a month-long box with 68% of retail long, so the post-midterm dollar slide does not offer a clean breakout entry. USDCHF already carries the weak-dollar theme. Full EURUSD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.70050	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.70050 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.70129 0.70678 0.71291 Support: 0.69541 0.69326 0.68941 Rationale Price sits mid-range with flat momentum: the RBA hike supports AUD, but cautious risk sentiment has kept it lagging. No level gives a clean edge inside the 0.6954-0.7068 box. Full AUDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURAUD	Neutral	Low	1.60357	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 1.60357 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 1.60742 1.61734 1.62272 Support: 1.59937 1.59545 1.57767 Rationale Volatile with no settled direction: the spike to 1.6173 closed back near 1.6026 with a long upper wick. ATR above 100 pips and a midline RSI give no edge. Full EURAUD analysis Sentiment detail
CHFJPY	Neutral	Low	193.961	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 193.961 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 194.330 195.000 198.770 Support: 193.068 192.486 190.825 Rationale The breakout to 194.33 holds, but it would be a fourth long-franc plan after USDCHF, EURCHF and NZDCHF. It would also sell yen into Tokyo's intervention warnings. Full CHFJPY analysis Sentiment detail
CADCHF	Neutral	Low	0.58460	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.58460 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.58647 0.58786 0.59074 Support: 0.58447 0.58222 0.58018 Rationale Redundant with the long-franc plans in USDCHF, EURCHF and NZDCHF, though cheaper oil supports the bearish lean. Full CADCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDUSD	Neutral	Low	0.56236	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.56236 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.56262 0.56452 0.56872 Support: 0.55767 0.55649 0.55500 Rationale The tilt is bearish with 72% of retail long, but a short here buys the dollar against the post-midterm dollar slide. Redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDCHF, EURNZD and AUDNZD. Full NZDUSD analysis Sentiment detail
EURJPY	Neutral	Low	177.939	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 177.939 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 177.965 178.475 179.309 Support: 177.839 177.142 176.516 Rationale The breakout above 177.97 holds, but selling yen while USDJPY sits near its ceiling and Tokyo repeats intervention warnings risks a sharp reversal. Lagarde also speaks at 13:00 NY. Full EURJPY analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCHF	Neutral	Low	0.57209	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.57209 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.57442 0.57810 0.58163 Support: 0.57043 0.56602 Rationale Redundant with the long-franc plans in USDCHF, EURCHF and NZDCHF. Buyers defended 0.5660, and the RBA hike gives AUD some support. Full AUDCHF analysis Sentiment detail
NZDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.78560	—	—	—	—	—	Range held
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.78560 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.78745 0.78865 0.79470 Support: 0.78383 0.78074 0.77800 Rationale Redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDCHF, EURNZD and AUDNZD. Cheaper oil weighs on the CAD side, and Macklem speaks at 10:30 NY. Full NZDCAD analysis Sentiment detail
AUDCAD	Neutral	Low	0.97861	—	—	—	—	—	Range broken
Forecast Details Confidence Low Expected result R = what the plan risks — Analysis Price 0.97861 Entry Point — Order Type — Stop Loss — Conservative Target — Risk:Reward — Optimal Target — Stop Loss Distance — Target Distance — Key Levels Resistance: 0.98005 0.98396 0.98833 Support: 0.97802 0.97120 0.97000 Rationale The breakdown to 0.9712 was mostly retraced, 61% of retail short leans toward a bounce, and cheaper oil weighs on CAD. The first target at 1:1 or better is about 1.5 ATR away. Full AUDCAD analysis Sentiment detail

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$9 average per $100 risked

123 of 171 picks filled, over 58 verified days · target hit 16%

Every plan on the board

−$4 average per $100 risked

431 plans over 58 verified days · target hit 11%

58 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 123 picks the honest range around the +$9 runs from −$5 to +$22 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 171 picks published, 123 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 28 of the 123 picks lost the full $100, against 72 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 28% of the Top 3 result, and 31 of the 123 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$11 to +$3, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 431 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 6 Nov 2026)

Target hit 11% (49)
Stop hit 24% (102)
Timed out 65% (280)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 174 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown

32% Win rate 49 of 151 plans closed at target or stop

-0.04R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one

+0.10R Timed-out average how those 280 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

22%

18 of 81 plans

Bearish

44%

31 of 70 plans

Win rate by pair

Pair	Win rate	Plans
EURAUD	75%	3 / 4
GBPJPY	75%	3 / 4
EURJPY	60%	3 / 5
NZDCAD	60%	3 / 5
EURNZD	50%	3 / 6
NZDJPY	50%	3 / 6
EURGBP	50%	3 / 6
EURCAD	50%	2 / 4
AUDCHF	43%	3 / 7
EURCHF	42%	5 / 12
GBPUSD	40%	2 / 5
NZDUSD	40%	2 / 5
AUDUSD	38%	3 / 8
EURUSD	33%	2 / 6
USDCAD	33%	2 / 6
CHFJPY	33%	1 / 3
GBPAUD	29%	2 / 7
USDCHF	25%	1 / 4
XAUUSD	20%	1 / 5
USDJPY	20%	1 / 5
AUDJPY	13%	1 / 8
AUDNZD	0%	0 / 4
AUDCAD	0%	0 / 4
GBPCHF	0%	0 / 3
GBPNZD	0%	0 / 4
NZDCHF	0%	0 / 5
GBPCAD	0%	0 / 7

What each outcome means

Target hit: Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit: Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out: The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled: Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken: Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

6 Nov 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $174

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.83470 → 0.83217	Timed out	+0.03R
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.91580 → 0.91000	Timed out	+0.50R
EURAUD	Bullish	1.61900 → 1.62660	Target hit	+1.27R
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Bullish	2.00350 → 2.01499	Not filled	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.94150 → 1.95000	Target hit	+1.31R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.40250 → 2.42000	Not filled	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Bearish	0.56520 → 0.56000	Timed out	+0.60R
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

5 Nov 2026 2 target · 1 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $151

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Bearish	0.81750 → 0.81280	Timed out	+0.08R
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.91800 → 0.91480	Target hit	+1.23R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Bullish	1.99600 → 2.00310	Target hit	+1.06R
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24480 → 1.24920	Stop hit	-1.00R
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.45970 → 0.45520	Timed out	+1.17R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–

4 Nov 2026 0 target · 3 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $67

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURCHF	Bearish	0.91910 → 0.91554	Timed out	+0.60R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Bearish	1.56940 → 1.55910	Timed out	+0.23R
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPAUD	Bullish	1.92410 → 1.93000	Timed out	-0.32R
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.800 → 88.338	Stop hit	-1.00R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Bearish	0.57220 → 0.56836	Timed out	-0.11R
AUDCAD	Bearish	0.97660 → 0.97239	Stop hit	-1.00R
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.45900 → 0.45500	Timed out	-0.06R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
XAUUSD	Bearish	3945.00 → 3895.49	Stop hit	-1.00R

3 Nov 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $101

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURGBP	Bearish	0.83490 → 0.83217	Not filled	–
EURJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Bullish	2.38500 → 2.40000	Timed out	+0.58R
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.820 → 88.338	Timed out	-0.55R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCHF	Bearish	0.46050 → 0.45800	Timed out	+0.05R
NZDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
CADCHF	Bearish	0.58600 → 0.58280	Timed out	-0.04R
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

2 Nov 2026 2 target · 3 stop · 4 timed out $100 → $87

Pair	Direction	Entry → Target	Outcome	Result
EURUSD	Bearish	1.11705 → 1.11130	Stop hit	-1.00R
GBPUSD	Bullish	1.33825 → 1.34188	Target hit	+1.02R
USDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
USDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDUSD	Bullish	0.70240 → 0.70678	Stop hit	-1.00R
USDCAD	Bearish	1.39800 → 1.39413	Timed out	-0.34R
NZDUSD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURGBP	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
EURJPY	Bearish	176.050 → 175.398	Stop hit	-1.00R
EURCHF	Bearish	0.92075 → 0.91829	Target hit	+1.09R
EURAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
EURNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPAUD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
GBPNZD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
CADJPY	Neutral	Range	Range held	–
NZDJPY	Bearish	88.795 → 88.338	Timed out	+0.23R
CHFJPY	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDCAD	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
AUDNZD	Bullish	1.24780 → 1.25558	Timed out	-0.54R
NZDCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
NZDCAD	Bearish	0.78690 → 0.78383	Timed out	+0.36R
CADCHF	Neutral	Range	Range broken	–
XAUUSD	Neutral	Range	Range held	–

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 17%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
Adjust position size based on expected volatility
Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

Trading Expectancy: How to Calculate It Correctly and Improve ItExpectancy measures the average value you can expect per trade. It is the number that explains why a strategy can win mo…Read the article Forex Trade Management After Entry: Breakeven, Trailing, Partial Close, and When to Leave It AloneBreakeven, trailing, partial closes and the daily rollover: what each management tool does to a one-session plan, what i…Read the article Forex Position Sizing: How Much Should You Invest?Position Sizing refers to determining the most suitable investment for a single trade. Deciding to invest 10 euros rathe…Read the article

Daily Forex Forecast

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Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

General Outlook

Volatility Forecast

Key Events to Monitor

Best Opportunities

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

NZDCHF

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